Daily picks.

2.30 Bath

Kowaiyess might be worth a very s,all bet at a short [price,his debut run at Kempton was run in under a minute beaten 2 1/2ls has to prove he can do it on tyurf but one I will definitely be keeping onside even if he flops tomorrow especially for the aw,with natural improvement he could've clocked a very decent time at Kempton.The runners in this race have been disappointing so probably a case of him transferring that aw form to grass..

Kowaiyess 11/8 365
 
4.10 Bath

Simply me is only rated 59 but been running quite well hard to see him not running well a5th at Windsor off 62 in a better race than tomorrows then beaten just over 4ls by the highly progressive Lincoln rocks although that run wasn't as good as previous then beaten by german whip at Kempton off 57,showee a bit of temperament in that race which is why not quite as god as originally thought.He's wprth a small bet after that run as does appear to like this fast ground,i certyainly won't be backing him again if he does same thing tomorrow..might be worth having a small reverse forecast with improving fav beatbybeatbybeat..

Simply me 5/1 365/victor


Nice little saver on beatbythebeatbythebeat after mine non runner cracking price as well considering mine was withdrawn!!
 
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Done some ew multiples to 1/6th of normal stakes they are all horses I put up last time out that flopped or to follows can't say I really strongly like one of them but as they're all running on one day will give them one last chance and have some coppers on them,quite a few prices have gone,if I get time will put a write up but I think they are on the thread most of them some quite recently..

2.30 Brighton

Titan goddess 13/8

Titan goddess gets to run off same mark as when winning apprentice race at Leicester by 7ls massive improvement winning 3 on the bounce never previously won a race very strange profile,the time at Leicester was very good for grade and looks like one of those runners that will hack up or maybe simply won't han.dle this sort of track.There must be a very good chance this going off odds on I reckon 10/11 maybe shorter so decent trade in there even if doesn't handle the track..

3.30

Multigifted taken 7s off to follows

Multi gifted is totally unpredictable ran a decent race when 3rd on the aw in june off 57,runs behind niacarra,jimenez and at Windsor over this trip
when 3rd to toms rock were in completely different class races so better form figures than it looks,but then returned to Kempton and was last.
He will win a race maybe a couple but predicting when is speculative,tomorrows race is very poor it maybe he needs better class races looking at his form all of the decent runs have been in higher class races and the poorer runs in this class.I was going to lreave him after tomorrow,but think if he doesn't show up tomorrow I might just back him at huge prices in better races..

4.15

Take a note 14/1

Massively competitive race take a note hasn't won since 2014 hasn't really shown much this season started on a mark of 88 and now off 75 claimer takes off another 5 pound down to 70,thats lowest ever turf mark and hasn't run in this grade since 2013.His last two runs there has been a glimmer of form didn't get a run at Epsom off 80 when 4th and ran ok at Newmarket,the fact crowleys not riding and rode him on last 4 wins probably points to lack of stable confidence so obviously speculative just to see drop in class makes some difference..



4.30

Hipz taken 10/1

Put hipz up last time previous form round this c/d was very good even though on downgrade hardly ever run a bad race at brighton,he may just be falling out of love with the game as that race was weak and I noticed he drited out to big prices which in a race like that seemed very strange.He's drawn out in the carpark Crowley rides and takes on burauq and the reel way both beat him last time out,no real reason why he should reverse form bar the fact that was his worst ever run at the track.So again speculative and hoping he [roduces just running to a mark of 60 ish was 3rd off 69 over this c/d earlier in season,going to need luck a a pace collapse from that draw as well..

Chelmsford 8.50

Tommy's secret taken 10/1

Similar to hipz a horse that was running in different class races last season,i;'ve put him up the last twice ran ok last time out over tomorrows c/d but that form will still not be good enough even though running off 63 and the claimer taking off 5 pound.Have purely done him because of the 1 draw as usually races prominent stable are out of form still nightmare season,if he doesn't get taken on he may just show a bit more

Grounds like a road at brighton fastest it's been all season unreal,couldn't have fancied mine on that ground even the hounds races are only just above standard looks impossible to come off the pace as well,might have to give these another chance now looks like far rails been watered and knowhere else very strange..
 
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i'll have to ask because i don't deal with bookies..when you have multiples..lets say hills offer 10/1 about horse A..and ladbrokes offer 12/1 about horse B..how do you combine in multiples with different bookies?
 
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Have to bet with as many firms as possible and not best prices,could never get more than £5ew multiple at any best prices anyway maximum I will just keep putting them on till I think there's no more value as prices fall, preferable if prices till following day last but sometimes the prices are so blatantly obviously going to go then putting buttons on anyway.
 
Balmoral handicap 4.25 Ascot

Doncha maybe worth a small bet can't see to many outstanding in this years race,last time oput hadn't run for 2 months and although was behind firmament that race was over 7fs at ascot looked beat 3furlongs on but still was staying on at finish so respectable comeback run.Last year was a big eyecatcher in this race obviously loves this c/d mile mile not getting a clear run from the near side group where there was less pace motoring at finish the mile here looks perfect trip so stamina amnd ground issues seem ideal,strictly on that form has 3 1/2ls to find with gm Hopkins but would've been close between then with clear run.The rest of donnchas form hasn't compared really bar the last time run here over the inadequate 7fs,looks a tiny bit of value on last years run even though on strict formlines has a little to find with a couple,16s at the moment seems fair anything bigger would be too far to big..
If the draw does favour lows certainly wouldn't surprise me if master of the world ran ok always races with the pace 3rd in racelast year and although appears badly handicapped
looking through the field doesn't appear to be loads of pace on so could surprise and hit the frame.

Donncha 16/1 Boyles,betfred,victor,ppower,sjames,lads,corals,hills,totesport..18/1 sportsbook
 
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8.45 Wolves

Mercifully looks a rogue and a terrible ride only had 7 runs has ability but just doesn't put it all in already had headgear and tt last time out,has run at wiolves over 7fs finishing 3rd as 2yr old slow time and a 4th of 11 to blackout at Newmarket in a different class race compared to tomorrows only beaten 6lsLast time out ran at Kempton was scrubbed along throughout he looks like a cliff horse that will be given endless chances,undoubtedly has ability but wether he will put it in is just guesswork.The race he runs in tomorrow is very poor and the maun angle is probably trading as 16s and 14s in this race against such poor runners I can see this going off half this price so should be able to make a few quid trading anmd leave a bit running on may as well back it as looks like big price contraction..

Mercifully 14/1 365/skybet/betfred/victor/lads/hills

7/1 now as I expected been backing it right down to 10s so will make a nice few quid off it,had a little bet on Oregon gift in same race at 25s never expected that to be hammered as well in same race 8/1 now,these two could be 1st and 2nd favs the way the bettings going..

Worked out perfect got 1/2 barrow out of it laid off at 6.6 and got £300 running on..

Looks like going is quick at ascot now 8.9 puts me off the one in the lsst as others will prefer ground,not worth laying off as only had a small bet.
 
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Haydock Result
14 Oct 2016
« 2:00 » DAVID SMITH TRAVEL MAIDEN FILLIES' STAKES (PLUS 10 RACE)
(Class 5) (2yo) 6f Inner Good
£3,234.50, £962.50, £481.00, £240.50
RESULTRATE RACE
Show all comments in runningShow all pedigrees
HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

«
1
11 Eartha Kitt 5/2F 2 9-0 Tom Dascombe — * *
b/br f Pivotal - Ceiling Kitty (Red Clubs) Richard Kingscote

Prominent, headway and close up over 2f out, challenged over 1f out, ridden to lead inside final furlong, edged left and kept on well (tchd 2/1)


2
10 ¾ Cashla Bay 100/30 2 9-0 John Gosden — * *
b f Fastnet Rock (AUS) - Rose Blossom (Pastoral Pursuits) Frankie Dettori

Tracked leaders, headway over 2f out and soon close up, ridden over 1f out, soon challenged and every chance, driven and edged left inside final furlong, no extra towards finish (op 7/2 tchd 3/1 and tchd 4/1)


3
1 1¾ Classical Times 16/1 2 9-0 Peter Chapple-Hyam — * *
b f Lawman (FR) - Sunday Times (Holy Roman Emperor) James Doyle

Tracked leaders, headway over 2f out, ridden to challenge over 1f out, every chance entering final furlong, kept on same pace (op 12/1 tchd 11/1)


«
4
7 1¼ Glacier Point 10/1 2 9-0 Clive Cox — * *
ch f Foxwedge (AUS) - Ahwahnee (Compton Place) John Fahy

Led 2f, close up, ridden to lead again 1 1/2f out, driven and headed inside final furlong, gradually weakened (op 14/1)


«
5
12 1¼ Sparkle 25/1 2 9-0 Ed Dunlop — * *
b f Oasis Dream - Gemstone (IRE) (Galileo) Graham Gibbons

Midfield, headway 2f out, soon ridden and stayed on well final furlong, nearest finish (op 14/1)


«
6
3 1 Queen Of Time 9/2 2 9-0 Henry Candy — * *
b f Harbour Watch (IRE) - Black Belt Shopper (IRE) (Desert Prince) Dane O'Neill

Chased leaders, ridden along 2f out, driven over 1f out, gradually weakened (op 4/1 tchd 5/1)


«
7
5 ½ Bombay Dream 6/1 2 9-0 William Haggas — * *
ch f Sepoy (AUS) - Indiana Blues (Indian Ridge) Pat Cosgrave

Took keen hold, tracked leader, led after 2f, ridden along 2f out, headed 1 1/2f out, soon weakened (op 7/1 tchd 8/1)


8
6 3¾ Chicago Star 66/1 2 9-0 Mick Channon — * *
b f Exceed And Excel (AUS) - Librettista (AUS) (Elusive Quality) Tony Hamilton

Took keen hold, tracked leaders, pushed along over 2f out, soon ridden and weakened (op 50/1)


9
9 3¾ Rely On Me (IRE) 14/1 2 9-0 Andrew Balding — * *
br f Kyllachy - Life Rely (USA) (Maria's Mon) Oisin Murphy

Dwelt and in rear, headway on outer and in touch over 2f out, ridden well over 1f out, soon weakened (op 25/1)


10
8 3 Sherbert 40/1 2 9-0 Richard Hannon — * *
b f Power - Original (Caerleon) Sean Levey

Always towards rear (op 50/1)


11
13 2½ Nuzha 100/1 2 9-0 David Evans — * *
ch f Mayson - Always On My Mind (Distant Relative) J F Egan

In touch, ridden along over 2f out, soon weakened


«
12
4 4½ Kulgri 100/1 2 9-0 Kevin Ryan — * *
ch f Monsieur Bond (IRE) - Jord (IRE) (Trans Island) Tom Eaves

Always towards rear


12 ran TIME 1m 10.73s (fast by 0.27s

Cashla bay
Classical times

An interesting maiden on the clock only .49 slower than munfallet winning the older handicap for horses rated upto 95 and with the 2nd cashla bay and classicval times making their debuts could be looking at a pair of very decent what will probably be 3yr olds,one of the better times seen in a maiden over the last couple of months worth noting as sometimes you get one of these getting xhucked in a maiden on the aw.They get priced up at 2/1 and you're probably looking at a 2s on shot so always worth keeping track of these maidens run at smaller tracks,might even be worth looking closely at other runners on behind for nurseries as well and runners marks in behind especially fort the winter and aw season..
 
Probably wouldv'e won donncha only one running on exactly the same as last year cantering stopped in run,looked winner to me..
 
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5.30 Newcastle

Sir domino ran well in a race for horses rated uoto 85 over tomorrows c/d also race was the same time as the other div so form looks rock solid as he had first bombardment behind winner next time out,he doesn't have a reliable profile but last two runs on aw have been good and in better grade,if he ran to those runs again nothing like a 9/1 shot more like a 9/2 shot.He doesn't have good profile I stopped backing him on turf awhile back but as he's run better on the two aw runs plus looks overpriced then worth a brt..
Eternitys gate similarly been running in slightly better races went off 10/30 fav at wolves two runs back for horses rated upto 80 then finished just behind sir domino in a race for horses rated upto 85,verty disappointing next time out at Chelmsford but again on all the aw runs looks very similar to sir domino and is overpricede if repeats its best..Both dropping into a race for horses rated upto 75,again both of these could halve in prices.


Sir domino 9/1 365/victor 8/1 sportsbook
Eternitys gate 10/1 365 12/1 lads/victor 14/1 sportsbook..pushed out to 14/1 with 365 strange betting..

Still 12/1 victor/lads/hills/betway Eternitys gate
 
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gigilo said:
8.45 Wolves

Mercifully looks a rogue and a terrible ride only had 7 runs has ability but just doesn't put it all in already had headgear and tt last time out,has run at wiolves over 7fs finishing 3rd as 2yr old slow time and a 4th of 11 to blackout at Newmarket in a different class race compared to tomorrows only beaten 6lsLast time out ran at Kempton was scrubbed along throughout he looks like a cliff horse that will be given endless chances,undoubtedly has ability but wether he will put it in is just guesswork.The race he runs in tomorrow is very poor and the maun angle is probably trading as 16s and 14s in this race against such poor runners I can see this going off half this price so should be able to make a few quid trading anmd leave a bit running on may as well back it as looks like big price contraction..

Mercifully 14/1 365/skybet/betfred/victor/lads/hills

7/1 now as I expected been backing it right down to 10s so will make a nice few quid off it,had a little bet on Oregon gift in same race at 25s never expected that to be hammered as well in same race 8/1 now,these two could be 1st and 2nd favs the way the bettings going..

Worked out perfect got 1/2 barrow out of it laid off at 6.6 and got £300 running on..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!!Gamble landed wish I#d left the other £600 on now!!!!Lovely little toucvh though I can't complain!!!:ninja: Wouldmn't have had much more on anyway unreal,£300ew usually would've been £400...

Looks like going is quick at ascot now 8.9 puts me off the one in the lsst as others will prefer ground,not worth laying off as only had a small bet.
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Well done giggsy ,didn`t do the forcast but a nice winner , Donncha seemed very unlucky in running aswell :cool:
 
Very well done yet again. I am fairly new to the forum but have been following your posts for a little while and I am very impressed with the excellent quality of your advice and the reasonings behind it. Thank you so much for sharing your selections and for the insight.

Great work this evening.
 
Cheers fella good to see a reply from one person out of the hundreds that are looking in and moving the markets..:ninja: been on reasonable run last 3 months but as I said previously nothing like the last 20 still good enough to give them a good hiding though!!Don't be intimidatyed by all the KKKAAABBBOOMMSS it's all for show to wind those idiots up on betfair,always advertising the site ion there and really winds them up i'll be on there shortly telling them about yet another gamble of the weekend landed!!:lol:I can hear the gnashing of teeth from There already,lets hope you're bringing the thread a big upsurge THEBOO!!!;)
 
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gigilo said:
8.45 Wolves

Mercifully looks a rogue and a terrible ride only had 7 runs has ability but just doesn't put it all in already had headgear and tt last time out,has run at wiolves over 7fs finishing 3rd as 2yr old slow time and a 4th of 11 to blackout at Newmarket in a different class race compared to tomorrows only beaten 6lsLast time out ran at Kempton was scrubbed along throughout he looks like a cliff horse that will be given endless chances,undoubtedly has ability but wether he will put it in is just guesswork.The race he runs in tomorrow is very poor and the maun angle is probably trading as 16s and 14s in this race against such poor runners I can see this going off half this price so should be able to make a few quid trading anmd leave a bit running on may as well back it as looks like big price contraction..

Mercifully 14/1 365/skybet/betfred/victor/lads/hills

7/1 now as I expected been backing it right down to 10s so will make a nice few quid off it,had a little bet on Oregon gift in same race at 25s never expected that to be hammered as well in same race 8/1 now,these two could be 1st and 2nd favs the way the bettings going..exacta £52 £32 and the crazy thing is I did combinations with the third so got the forecasts 4 times as well because they dead heated for second unreal and never did the tricast nice drift on the Ellison horse as well...:whistle:

Worked out perfect got 1/2 barrow out of it laid off at 6.6 and got £300 running on..

Looks like going is quick at ascot now 8.9 puts me off the one in the lsst as others will prefer ground,not worth laying off as only had a small bet.
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gigilo said:
Cheers fella good to see a reply from one person out of the hundreds that are looking in and moving the markets..:ninja: been on reasonable run last 3 months but as I said previously nothing like the last 20 still good enough to give them a good hiding though!!Don't be intimidatyed by all the KKKAAABBBOOMMSS it's all for show to wind those idiots up on betfair,always advertising the site ion there and really winds them up i'll be on there shortly telling them about yet another gamble of the weekend landed!!:lol:I can hear the gnashing of teeth from There already,lets hope you're bringing the thread a big upsurge THEBOO!!!;)
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Well done gigolo.

I enjoy reading your write ups but never back them as I can never tell if you really fancy them. Most put up here tend to have the caveat from you that its only worth putting pennies on as you're not that confident.

Considering the way the market moves most of the time if I was on betfair I could definitely see the back to lay angle, but I don't do any online betting so lost on me really.

I just really enjoy reading how you get to your selections.

Out of interest do you ever have a really confident selection? Genuine question mate.
 
It's impossible to get to get accurate going reports the first two months this season were unbelievable complete guesswork,only been the last 4 months that have been more accurate but even the last couple of days like haydock and today at ascot miles out on the going.If I put 6 picks on here and they get beat because iof the going then I don't want to see anyone overstaking and me having to moan and make excuses about the ground and in a lot of cases it is the ground,it shouldn't put you off backing them anyway as the results are always the same longterm.Think the one at Windsor I said was 9/2 shot put up at 10s looked different class to me as I said,i don't reduce my stakes that much I usually bet level stakes usually £400ew or £800 win on shortie if I can get a bet on coz you won't get much more than that on anyway on anything but because of the going reports if I say i'm having buttons on that probably means i'm having 2/3 of what I normally would,that would probavbly be because of dubious ground or the draw I usually try and mention it.I put buttons up because hopefully that encourages more to just bet level stakes and not overbet..
The values all at the bigger prices and most of the time on the aw,you look at the winners recently and a high % have been on the aw on here,as far as the turf goes at least this season has been a complete guessing game I look at the times everyday on the turf and after the first couple of races the going is nearly always wrong if you see the word good as a going description you may as well put a line through the meeting..
 
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