Daily picks.

4.10 Catterick

Mukhayyam was taken out of the stoute stable by mick easterby lasy season and ran 16 times from april to november was very consistent only winning once but once stepped up in trip was 2/2/2/3/3/1 winning by 6ls in this grade off 80 at ripon,runs off 83 with the claim tomorrow.Last two runs were in vclass 2 handicaps easterbys been winning everything early season,if fit then would look massive at current prices,appears to go on most ground but looking closely at the times where its run its best races gd/gdfm looks more favourable thats where its best form has been so hopefully no overwatering..Obviously first time out and never run at track,but you'd expect this to be heavily backed if spot on first time out as could easily make a case for this being around that 3/1 price it won at ripon..

Mukhayyam 10/1 365/ 8/1 corals..
 
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Have already backed one of his winners this season colin,so 1-0 to me if this doesn't go off nearer 7/2 then you will know although is first time out anyway on track it's never run on so there are some ? anyway..
 
gigilo said:
Have already backed one of his winners this season colin,so 1-0 to me if this doesn't go off nearer 7/2 then you will know although is first time out anyway on track it's never run on so there are some ? anyway..
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I've done the forecast with Sellingallthetime.
 
SlimChance said:
I've done the forecast with Sellingallthetime.
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Beat that 12ls and 24ls last season and in better class races,don't think it was non trier just not fit went off 13/2 far to big in a race as weak as that,i also got the eastertbys mixed up wasn't mw was the other..
 
gigilo said:
14th April 3yr old finals day..

Fastest 7f race ran at lingfield this season,second thoughts on only 3rd ever lifetime run clocking 1m22.10 going away from sutter county at finish there must be loads more to come have been no prices up from any firms but bar the run by kananee over 6fs at Newcastle todays time is miles clear of anything over 7fs this season.Infact looking the most of the best 7f handicaps run here over the last 2/3 seasons non have been quicker,the time was also quicker than haalicks win in the final last season,with likely impriovement to come I can see this going off nearer evens may even be odds on,if you can get a bet on with betway the 2/1 betway are showing will never be bigger...If you can get a bet on its worth taking as I doubt most firms are going to open bigger than 6/4 13/8 you may not even see that...

Second thoughts 2/1 betway..

3/1 Corals 11/4 Lads can't see thesecprices lasting long...
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KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Biggest bet of the year,nice horse loads to come!!!:cool::lol:
 
Well done. They were so slow to cut the 11/4 and 3/1. I wish Lads and Coral were first up with prices on everything. Sick that you called the SP spot on so far out, just sick.
 
gigilo said:
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Biggest bet of the year,nice horse loads to come!!!:cool::lol:
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Cheers Gigilo, never in danger and backed a few times at the 3/1. Shame Lancelot couldnt sneak a place but saved on Kimberella as I know you liked that one after the stable switch and fast time last time out
 
310884MONTYS said:
Cheers Gigilo, never in danger and backed a few times at the 3/1. Shame Lancelot couldnt sneak a place but saved on Kimberella as I know you liked that one after the stable switch and fast time last time out
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Cost me well in excess of 4 figures not placing,travelled like the winner although didn't like the way it went to post and was awash in sweat and then fpund nothing in last 1/2 furlong in finishing 4th it's difficult to know if that was a weak renewal or very good form time seemed pretty good,the winners obviously running better than ever have always thought gracious john has loads of abiity and encore d'ors been sitting on my to fillows since cracking time on the aw at wolves.This maybe better form than first appears,gracious john will be the most interesting runner back at the track as trying to make all and just getting collared best ever run on the aw..
 
SlimChance said:
Well done. They were so slow to cut the 11/4 and 3/1. I wish Lads and Coral were first up with prices on everything. Sick that you called the SP spot on so far out, just sick.
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Am amazed it never went off odds on that was what the time was telling me nothing anywhere near it from the 3yr olds,hope it comes back to the aw as would like to see it what sort of times it could clock..
 
3.55 Southwell

Boy in the bar 11/1 sportsbook/10/1 365..

Am very surpruised books have priced up boy in the bar at double figures,although he was out of form at beginning of the season for ian Williams once blinkers went back on and return to turf won off 75 and 81 and then runner up to kimberella and then going off 9/1 against oh this is us runner up in Lincoln winner yesterday off a mark of 87.He's had 4 runs on the aw never shown anything,but never run at swell sire runs at 14% so decent stats,has visor on tomorrow respectable draw in 3,of course maybe just out for run and this stable imposible to predict,if this had been a turf race you'd hve been looking at 6/4 tops so the betting and not overnight betting but tomorrows will be very interesting.
His all weather mark is 80,so he wouldn't have been able to run in this race off turf mark,so it looks like trying to exploit the mark,robet Winston ruides used to ride him for david barron and fahey 6/2/1/1/2/3/5/2 hasn't ride him since may 2015 he looks like a trier and if that's the case then at least price wiose then should be heavily backed and at worst a decent trade.Think If stable really like it,you;re going to see it completely crash because its turf form is in higher class races to these and would be going off favourite...

11/2 now,if stable think its fit and goes on surface those prices won't last either and vice versa..
 
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hi gigilo
glad to have found you again. followed you on another forum for a long time, until you left.
read that you were on here from the betfair forum.

hope your health is a bit better.
 
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Gerry said:
hi gigilo
glad to have found you again. followed you on another forum for a long time, until you left.
read that you were on here from the betfair forum.

hope your health is a bit better.
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Which forum was that,have I spoke to you previously?***********
 
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gigilo said:
3.55 Southwell

Boy in the bar 11/1 sportsbook/10/1 365..

Am very surpruised books have priced up boy in the bar at double figures,although he was out of form at beginning of the season for ian Williams once blinkers went back on and return to turf won off 75 and 81 and then runner up to kimberella and then going off 9/1 against oh this is us runner up in Lincoln winner yesterday off a mark of 87.He's had 4 runs on the aw never shown anything,but never run at swell sire runs at 14% so decent stats,has visor on tomorrow respectable draw in 3,of course maybe just out for run and this stable imposible to predict,if this had been a turf race you'd hve been looking at 6/4 tops so the betting and not overnight betting but tomorrows will be very interesting.
His all weather mark is 80,so he wouldn't have been able to run in this race off turf mark,so it looks like trying to exploit the mark,robet Winston ruides used to ride him for david barron and fahey 6/2/1/1/2/3/5/2 hasn't ride him since may 2015 he looks like a trier and if that's the case then at least price wiose then should be heavily backed and at worst a decent trade.Think If stable really like it,you;re going to see it completely crash because its turf form is in higher class races to these and would be going off favourite...

11/2 now,if stable think its fit and goes on surface those prices won't last either and vice versa..
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Pulled what a surprise that's the 4th time in 12 months when prices have gone...
 
4.55 Southwell

Ryedale rio 8/1 365..

Ryedale rio ran well over c/d on first run since july 2016 out of captain rio so no surprise to see running well on surface,sat off the pace and not given a hard race given one crack of the whip but was pushed over to farside so proably cost it a couple of lengths.With natural improvement should be more to come on this surface,has run twice since this run but over 6fs at wolves and catterick the ryun here finished a 1/4 of a length behind powerful wind tomorrow a pound worse off,could easily reverse that form from debut run and is double the price of the jf.There looks very little between powerful wind and borough boy and the easterby horse,only negative could be early prices as he's been winning everything won another two today but can only bet the form.Will surely go off near enough fav if improbement is expected returned to the sc/d..

13/2 skybet/betbright
 
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1:00
Wolverhampton (AW)
17 Apr 2017
All New Micra At West Way Nissan Maiden Stakes
(Class 5) (3yo+) (5f216yds) 6f Standard
1st £4,140.16 2nd £1,232 3rd £615.68 4th £307.84
1 (2)

Mostahel 2/1
Frankie Dettori
Richard Hannon
3 92 – – – –
Tracked leaders going well, challenged over 1f out, led approaching final furlong, soon clear under hands and heels riding, easily (op 5/2 tchd 7/4)
2 (5)
4
Farook (IRE) 5/2
Jim Crowley
Charles Hills
3 92 76 – – –
Tracked leader, led well over 1f out, soon joined, headed approaching final furlong, ridden and kept on but no chance with winner (tchd 9/4)
3 (4)
3¾ [7¾]
Hydroxide 7/4F
William Buick
Hugo Palmer
3 92 tb1 82 – – –
5th early and soon niggled along, effort over 2f out and raced wide, ridden over 1f out, ran on steadily final furlong (op 5/4 tchd 2/1)
4 (6)
4 [11¾]
Calypso Jo 9/1
Joe Doyle
Kevin Ryan
3 92 – – – –
Raced wide first 2f, ridden over 2f out, one pace (op 10/1 tchd 11/1)
5 (3)
3¾ [15½]
Coronation Cottage 100/1
Georgia Cox5
Malcolm Saunders
3 86 63 – – –
Led, ridden and headed over 1f out, weakened
6 (7)
¾ [16¼]
Sweet Amazement 200/1
Steve Drowne
Mark Usher
3 811 h1 – – – –
Held up early, 4th 2f out, soon ridden and no impression
7 (1)
1 [17¼]
Flower Cup 66/1
Irineu Goncalves
Chris Dwyer
4 98 h1 – – – –
Dwelt, always in rear (op 50/1)
7 ran Winning time: 1m 12.82s (slow by 0.62s)

Mostahel

Think this maybe the quickest maiden ever run at the track and yet this was only the 3yr olds 3rd ever run hacking up at finish by 4ls,the second was rated 76 so would estimate with ease of win handicapper will put him on a mark of 88 and at least on the aw that would look a very nice mark,has run twice on the turf over further and slower ground.Cannot see really why he won't be kept to sprinting,hopefully won't be thrown into listed races and try and exploit handicaop marks,looking at the time and ease of the win he could easily be a hundred rated aw horse in the future so maybe worth risking a bet on him on turf as well as being out of acclamation and the sire relishing gd/fm ground he may well be just as good on turf.If he is as good on turf on fast ground then the mark could similarly be lenient..reminds me of another horse I put on here to follow after winning similarly in quick time Encore d'or now rated 101 been slightly disappointing but still won 4 races on the aw but never won on the turf was 3rd on Saturday to kimberella..Hopefully this one will be better on turf as well and might knock up a sequence very interesting runner..
 
3.25 Ripon

Straightothepoint have taken 8/1 15/2 left with victor and corals,just a small interest..

Straightothepoint won this race last season and from the 2 draw on farside tomorrow drawn 1 on the farside last season just beating dandyleekie also running in sam,race there should be little between them again same draw for dandyleekie also stayed farside that day.Acouple in here like dragon king.he's very well handicapped first run for ian jardine hanagan rides and was 2nd in a race for horses rated upto 95 last season at ayr,also been backed from 12s into 13/2 will probably win if at its best and is also a c/d winner he's drawn 3 alongside STTP.Just thought the smart horse was worth a small bet as usually leads,a lot will depend on just how fast the ground is most of the big field races there now the sprints very little seperates them draw wise,says gd/fm hopefully will be nearer good ground and should at least trade relatively low in running.
Would also keep a close eye on best trip,although veteran now at 9 last season ran off his highest ever mark of 89,tomorrow runs of just 80 and with claim just 73 lowest mark since 2012,was 10th of 20 in the consolation st Wilfrid off 89 over this c/d so from what could be a good draw in 14 would be no surprise of ran well and one for noting for future races..
 
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