Daily picks.

1:40
Naas (IRE)
1 May 2017
Coolmore No Nay Never Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (Plus 10 Race)
(2yo) 6f Good To Firm
1st €10,780 2nd €3,342.50 3rd €1,592.50 4th €717.50 5th €280
Pedigrees

TRAINER / JOCKEY
AGE WGT OR TS RPR MR
1 (4)

Alpha Centauri (IRE) 2/1F
Colm O'Donoghue
Mrs John Harrington
2 90 – – – –
Made all, driven clear from 2f out, extended advantage and in command over 1f out, easily (op 9/4)
2 (6)
2½
Actress (IRE) 7/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2 90 – – – –
Chased leaders, took closer order from halfway, driven in 2nd 2f out and no impression on winner entering final furlong, kept on same pace (op 4/1)
3 (9)
1¼ [3¾]
Shapes (IRE) 10/1
Colin Keane
G M Lyons
2 90 – – – –
Chased leaders, took closer order from halfway, soon pushed along in 2nd briefly and outpaced over 1f out, ridden in 4th inside final furlong and kept on same pace into 3rd closing stages, not trouble easy winner (op 8/1)
4 (3)
½ [4¼]
Yulong Gold Fairy 12/1
Pat Smullen
D K Weld
2 90 – – – –
Held up in mid-division, headway after halfway to chase leaders in 3rd inside final furlong where no impression on easy winner, ridden and lost place closing stages (op 10/1)
5 (15)
2¼ [6½]
Now You're Talking (IRE) 100/30
Ana O'Brien3
Joseph Patrick O'Brien
2 811 – – – –
Chased leaders, ridden on outer 1 1/2f out and no impression on easy winner in 5th inside final furlong, kept on same pace (op 13/2)
6 (7)
hd [6¾]
Ballot Box 16/1
Shane Foley
Mrs John Harrington
2 90 – – – –
Towards rear and pushed along in 11th early, ridden 2f out and closed under pressure between horses into 6th inside final furlong, kept on (op 14/1)
7 (8)
1¼ [8]
Navajo Dreamer (IRE) 14/1
Shane B Kelly3
M D O'Callaghan
2 811 – – – –
Slowly into stride and slightly awkward start, towards rear until took closer order in mid-division from halfway, ridden and no extra 2f out, one pace after
8 (1)
1¼ [9¼]
Yolo Star (IRE) 20/1
N G McCullagh
J P Murtagh
2 90 – – – –
Dwelt slightly, chased leaders, 5th before halfway, pushed along 2f out and soon no extra, weakened inside final furlong (op 25/1)
9 (5)
nk [9½]
Drombeg Dream (IRE) 50/1
Billy Lee
Augustine Leahy
2 90 – – – –
Slowly into stride, towards rear, some late headway inside final furlong, never nearer
10 (2)
5½ [15]
Button Popper 50/1
Gary Carroll
Augustine Leahy
2 90 – – – –
Slowly into stride, struggling in rear early, kept on one pace inside final furlong, never nearer
11 (10)
¾ [15¾]
Columbia Kid (IRE) 66/1
Sean Davis7
Lee Smyth
2 87 – – – –
Towards rear, ridden and no impression after halfway, kept on one pace inside final furlong, never nearer (op 50/1)
12 (14)
nk [16]
Lynn's Memory 16/1
Seamie Heffernan
Joseph Patrick O'Brien
2 90 – – – –
In rear of mid-division, ridden and no extra in 9th under 2f out, weakened inside final furlong (op 11/1)
13 (13)
2 [18]
Silvana Maria (IRE) 25/1
Chris Hayes
Lee Smyth
2 90 – – – –
Tracked leader early, pushed along from halfway and soon no impression on easy winner, weakened over 2f out
14 (12)
1¾ [19¾]
Stewardess (IRE) 16/1
Kevin Manning
John James Feane
2 90 – – – –
In rear of mid-division, raced freely, pushed along over 2f out and soon no extra, weakened inside final furlong
14 ran Winning time: 1m 10.60s (slow by 1.20s)

Alpha centauri

Maybe a decent 2yr old early maiden,winner doing so easily and .50 quicker than the 17 runner older race maiden,the winner in that race had only the one run and the second a further 2 1/2ls behind was rated 70 so on the times has beaten a 70 rated runner by a second on debut run with all the improvement on top.That following maiden did look a weak race but still you'd be disappointed if this wasn't at least a mid 90s horse or even a lot better one for the short list oif early listed races..
 
gigilo said:
2:20
Newmarket
18 Apr 2017
Montaz Restaurant EBF Stallions Novice Stakes (Plus 10 Race)
(Class 4) (2yo) 5f Row Good To Firm

1 (3)

Sound And Silence 7/2F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby
2 92 – – 85 –
With leaders until pushed ahead over 1f out, edged left and ridden inside final furlong, ran on well and always holding challenger (op 4/1 tchd 9/2)
2 (4)
½
Never Back Down (IRE) 9/2
James Doyle
Hugo Palmer
2 92 – – 82 –
In touch, ridden and headway to press leaders 2f out, driven and strong challenge over 1f out, sustained effort under pressure, kept on but always just held inside final furlong (op 4/1 tchd 5/1)
3 (2)
2 [2½]
Areen Faisal (IRE) 5/1
Paul Hanagan
Richard Fahey
2 92 – – 75 –
Ran green in last pair, some progress 1f out, switched right inside final furlong, stayed on strongly final 100yds to go 3rd last strides, no threat to leading pair (op 13/2)
4 (1)
nk [2¾]
The Love Doctor (IRE) 7/1
J F Egan
David Evans
2 92 – – 74 –
Pressed leaders, ridden and every chance 2f out until no extra inside final furlong, outpaced final 150yds, lost 3rd last strides (op 6/1 tchd 5/1)
5 (5)
¾ [3½]
Unfortunately (IRE) 9/1
Clifford Lee5
K R Burke
2 811 – – 71 –
Well in touch in midfield, ridden 2f out, chased leaders but unable to quicken entering final furlong, edged left and kept on same pace under pressure inside final furlong (op 10/1 tchd 11/1)
6 (8)
½ [4]
Shobrom (IRE) 8/1
Phillip Makin
Richard Fahey
2 92 – – 70 –
Led, headed and ridden over 1f out, unable to quicken entering final furlong, stayed on same pace inside final furlong (op 12/1)
7 (10)
4½ [8½]
Devil's Cowboy (IRE) 10/1
Jamie Spencer
Charles Hills
2 92 – – 53 –
With leader, ridden entering final 2f, outpaced and edged left over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong (op 14/1)
8 (9)
2½ [11]
Contribute 8/1
David Probert
Martyn Meade
2 92 – – 44 –
Dwelt and short of room leaving stalls, soon in touch in midfield, ridden over 2f out, soon struggling and outpaced, weakened over 1f out (op 6/1)
9 (6)
1 [12]
Frozen Angel (IRE) 18/1
Richard Kingscote
Tom Dascombe
2 92 – – 41 –
Dwelt and short of room leaving stalls, ran green in rear, never dangerous (op 20/1 tchd 16/1)
9 ran Winning time: 59.89s (slow by 2.29s

Probably worth following this maiden for the next month and should throw up winners,these Newmarket 2yr old maidens don't often turn out that great but the time unusually was pretty decent only .85 slower than El Astronaute winning off 88 in the 5f older handicap,that race was run at blistering pace whereas the 2yr old race looked steady early on.That time from the 2yr olds would suggest there could be some 100 horses in there and at least for early races should throw up a fair few winners,also was a lot quicker than todays 2yr old race,this race sets the early benchmark.Could be some nice bets in maidens/conditions etc..
Click to expand...


That's two winners in 5 days from the race,i very rarely follow these 2yr old early races from Newmarket but unusuall the time was good and frozen angel last in the race wins the conditions race at Ascot fav looked fairly decent although probably nothing special,going to throw up loads of winners thios race ..
 
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An couple of ew Yankees some small bets not over confident with watering so small interests,looking more at trying to get them for places..

2.0 Musselburugh

Lady cristal 5/1 ppower/sportsbook Prazeres 8/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor/betstars

An open handicap both lady cristal and prazeres drop slightly in class lasdy cruistal running well behind two progressive horses at bath runs off 61 with claim the race at bath for horses rated upto 85 and only beaten 2ls decent place chances if gets away on terms from 4 draw.Similarly prazeres ran over 6fs at ripon last time out in big field leading to the furlong pole and stasying on,the 2nd won at ponte yesterday has slightly better draw and again from decent drsaw decent place chances if repeatibng that run,les eyres horses running ok as well/
After justy watching hamidans girl have to admit looked very unlucky last time out and looks nicely handicapped on aw form and lightly raced on turf,might be worth trying some forecasts as not wotth backing now prices have gone..

2.30

Shobrom 7/4 365/skybet. 15/8 ppower

Shobrom comes out of the Newmarket 2yr old race mentioned above,was 6th beaten 4ls betting will be interesting compared to the Johnston horse and wouldn't be surprised if the prices end near enough the same with johnstons current odds on evens..

3.0

Atteq 10/11 lads/corals/victor/boyles

Atteq decent time at Beverley winning easily by 7ls has a 6 pound rise for that win but looking at the times that day at Beverley was actually .65 quicker than starlight romance winning off 75 in a decent handicap on the card same age group but atteq carried 13 pound more atteq is off 75 tomorrow,musselburugh far sharper track but still looks the one to beat.Seduce me could be the danger with step up in trip after running in decent handicap last time out..

5.0

Cosmic ray 7/2 ppower

Cosmic rays a veteran now,doesn't win very often but last two runs have been in slightly better class races,looks only two or three can win the race so looks at least place chances in a poor race..
 
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gigilo said:
An couple of ew Yankees some small bets not over confident with watering so small interests,looking more at trying to get them for places..

2.0 Musselburugh

Lady cristal 5/1 ppower/sportsbook Prazeres 8/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor/betstars

An open handicap both lady cristal and prazeres drop slightly in class lasdy cruistal running well behind two progressive horses at bath runs off 61 with claim the race at bath for horses rated upto 85 and only beaten 2ls decent place chances if gets away on terms from 4 draw.Similarly prazeres ran over 6fs at ripon last time out in big field leading to the furlong pole and stasying on,the 2nd won at ponte yesterday has slightly better draw and again from decent drsaw decent place chances if repeatibng that run,les eyres horses running ok as well/
After justy watching hamidans girl have to admit looked very unlucky last time out and looks nicely handicapped on aw form and lightly raced on turf,might be worth trying some forecasts as not wotth backing now prices have gone..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Looked diofferent class was different class lovely start to the week got a bit of 11/2 as well:ninja:,had an ew on hamidans as well with big drift!!!

2.30

Shobrom 7/4 365/skybet. 15/8 ppower

Shobrom comes out of the Newmarket 2yr old race mentioned above,was 6th beaten 4ls betting will be interesting compared to the Johnston horse and wouldn't be surprised if the prices end near enough the same with johnstons current odds on evens..

3.0

Atteq 10/11 lads/corals/victor/boyles

Atteq decent time at Beverley winning easily by 7ls has a 6 pound rise for that win but looking at the times that day at Beverley was actually .65 quicker than starlight romance winning off 75 in a decent handicap on the card same age group but atteq carried 13 pound more atteq is off 75 tomorrow,musselburugh far sharper track but still looks the one to beat.Seduce me could be the danger with step up in trip after running in decent handicap last time out..

5.0

Cosmic ray 7/2 ppower

Cosmic rays a veteran now,doesn't win very often but last two runs have been in slightly better class races,looks only two or three can win the race so looks at least place chances in a poor race..
Click to expand...
 
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gigilo said:
An couple of ew Yankees some small bets not over confident with watering so small interests,looking more at trying to get them for places..

2.0 Musselburugh

Lady cristal 5/1 ppower/sportsbook Prazeres 8/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor/betstars

An open handicap both lady cristal and prazeres drop slightly in class lasdy cruistal running well behind two progressive horses at bath runs off 61 with claim the race at bath for horses rated upto 85 and only beaten 2ls decent place chances if gets away on terms from 4 draw.Similarly prazeres ran over 6fs at ripon last time out in big field leading to the furlong pole and stasying on,the 2nd won at ponte yesterday has slightly better draw and again from decent drsaw decent place chances if repeatibng that run,les eyres horses running ok as well/
After justy watching hamidans girl have to admit looked very unlucky last time out and looks nicely handicapped on aw form and lightly raced on turf,might be worth trying some forecasts as not wotth backing now prices have gone..

2.30

Shobrom 7/4 365/skybet. 15/8 ppower

Shobrom comes out of the Newmarket 2yr old race mentioned above,was 6th beaten 4ls betting will be interesting compared to the Johnston horse and wouldn't be surprised if the prices end near enough the same with johnstons current odds on evens..

3.0

Atteq 10/11 lads/corals/victor/boyles

Atteq decent time at Beverley winning easily by 7ls has a 6 pound rise for that win but looking at the times that day at Beverley was actually .65 quicker than starlight romance winning off 75 in a decent handicap on the card same age group but atteq carried 13 pound more atteq is off 75 tomorrow,musselburugh far sharper track but still looks the one to beat.Seduce me could be the danger with step up in trip after running in decent handicap last time out..

5.0

Cosmic ray 7/2 ppower

Cosmic rays a veteran now,doesn't win very often but last two runs have been in slightly better class races,looks only two or three can win the race so looks at least place chances in a poor race..
Click to expand...


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!:cool: Ends another great day,pity about the 2 fahey horses the 2yr old looks dodgepoyt and atteq was beaten by the slow pace...won't complain though with bigger pricrs winning..

Yanks return £70 for £44 for £ew stakes far bettrr than doing them win only,even if the had just placed and all got beat would've ben £45 return for £44...;)
 
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Havn't worked out the yanks pleased with two winners got 11/2 the first one as well, free bet on the second in the 2yr old race and atteq traded 1.21 had worse days..got sio many piovks at the moment could put up 15 a day but some days would have no winners other days 6..won't be putting much on turf this season too much work.just a few bets now and again..
 
Done a slightly more speculative bet ew lucky 15

Ayr 3.30

Breaking free ran a decent 5th to wily rumpus at leicester last season in a slughtly better race than tomorrows but on seasonal debut missed the break,may have needed the run,but another pound drop could run well if handling faster ground..out of kyllachy so hopefully not to quick.Ching ching lor might also run better than last time ouit was in same race at catterick.

Hope you had a saver on ching ching lor sweet..:ninja: was unlucky in breaking frees race gutted never put it in multid.s

Breaking free 6/1 365

3.40 Southwell

Captain bobs becoming hard to win with hasn't won since 2014 but made swell debut had a few of these behind in that race,there's a possibility could be set up for finisher though if they all take each other on and viva verghlas looks the one that could be the danger..

Captain bob 4/1 365/ppower/victor/totesport/betfred/hills/lads/corals/betway

5.10

Tonis a star has become unreliable missing the breaks runs off 54 tomorrow with georgia cox ckaiming another 5 pound did win off 60 in june on the tutf but shown little on the awsince keeps missing the break.The positves are has never run in this grade and although has no fibresand form i thought her run here looked ok,missed break but switched to the rail had no chance from there that was back in jan only beaten 5ls off a mark of 63 this is such a poor race sheb may just run wel,l off this lowest ever martk..

Tonis a star 7/1 ppower/victor/ 13/2 sportsbook/totesport/skybet/hills/betfred/corals/

6.20

Bahamian sunrise drawn 15 on standside which usually is advantage if not over watered was 2nd on seasonal debut behind the proogressive goodwood crusader at bath on fast ground although beaten easily,just three lifetime runs could be more to come off a mark of 64,lots of unexposed runners hart stopper was 3rd on turf debut run to pribce of cool

Bahamian sunrise 10/1 365 11/1 ppower/sportsbook/hills

Don't know why I thought highs were advantage they are on the farside not the nearside,just trying to do too much so obviously now a disadvantage...



Ew multiples etc,quite ironically i wouldn't like to see fast ground and so used tio seeing gd/fm then overwaered it's difficult to get into mindset that ground will be quick,hopefully the griound will have some good in it,this season they have so far been a bit more subtle with watering..Again will be hoping for at least frame places on what are short prices.

Ayr 2.30

Longroom 4/7 365 skybet

Longroom won an apprentices rrace on seasonal debut,was on my to follows when winning at hamilton last season then flopped twice and won last time out,this might not be quite as obvious as should be as drawn wide so maybe worth having a reverse with teepee and cheeni tricast they both have form in this grade and on ground.It's going to go off 4/9 2/5 I woul;dv'e thought so decent trade free bet etc anyway..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Nice touch ended up 1/4 and the forecast for good measure just did two straights in the end was hardly worty doing with favs sp. ,just hope something else comes in incredible early prices 4/7!!Don't know how but the exactas paid £6.20 what a tiuch!

3.0

Insurplus is ;ightly raced,only had 5 runs and was an eyecatcher at goodwood lasty season over 5fs made its seasonal debut yesterday at hamilton staying on in better class race,don't know whether it will run but at least short term looks worth following.Again the draw could be the negative on fast ground the highs tend to have it, insurplus drawn 5 impossible to know with watering etc but could well be heavily backed even though only ran yesterday and trainer in form.

Insurplus 8/1 ppower/sportsbook 9/1 365/victor/hills

4.30

Kharbetation looked a bit special when winning at thirsk last june by 5ls for roger varian,that was on softer ground so ? and long lay off and handicapper hammered it for that win given a mark of 93,if there;s been any imprivement from last season then this maybe a group horse in future.The time of its win when hacked up was only a second slower than ginger jack winning the older handicap for horses rated upto 90 on the same day,he did look different class to those horses although an opening mark of 93 especially on debut will be very interesting to see if he can defy that first run back,regardless of result will be following this one closely for o'meara.Betting will be very interesting especially with opening shows..
Kings pavillion now with david barron from mark johnston stable,ran well on debut at notts for david barrion 5th to george william in same grade as tomorrows,had been out of form for mark johnston end of last seaso after winning off 88 and being rated 95 soo reasonably well handicapped with stable in form off 86..

Kharbetation 3/1 ppower 10/30 sportsbook 5/2 skybet/lads/totesport/spoting bet/betfred /Kings pavilion 8/1 ppower/sportsbook 15/2 365

You may find hugh taylor putting this up just based on the impression horse gave although long lay off..

6.10 Chelmsford

Marshall aid runs consistently well in this grade never runs a bad race although has never won but only looks 2/3 in the race think yasir and the juggler could run ok and look dangers..Wordiness well handicapped and some far better form than these may well sluice up with de sousa riding the run at bath was different class just runs a few unexpected poor ones and no track form so have stuck with the maiden and track form.

Marshall Aid 7/2 ppower/skbet/betfred/totesport 4/1 365/victot/corals/hills

7.40

Alnass ran decent 2nd on debut at newbury time compared favourably wityh bacchus winning the handicap on the same card and with natural improvement looks the one to beat although lightly raced trio...

Alnaas 6/4 sportsbook/totesport/betfred/betbright/victor 13/8 betfair

7.50 Windsor

Prendergast hill lots of form over this c/d not particularly well handicapped off 80 but won off 82 over c/d last season and two places main positve seems to be the ground if on the quick side and obvious frame claims at worst..

Prendergast hill 9/4 365/ppower/sportsbook/lads/victor


Will add this as well almost certainly goig to trade a lot lower and a strong possibility hugh taylor will put it up..

7.10 Chelmsford

Fujins been a revelation this season has won 4 races and reached form far beyind previous,last time out was 3rd in a class 2 to raucous 1st and 2nd rated 105 and 98 fujin 2ls behind winner and 1/4ls behind the 2nd off levels with winner and receiving 4 pound off kadrizzi so in theory back in handicap well in ioff just 85 and 5 pound claim to come off.The time was very quick 1m10.00 and as a comparison only .17 slower than the class 3 won by
Udontdodou fujin roughly a length slower than the winner rated 84 but carrying 6 pound more and same time as zac brown in 2nd rated 95 but carrying 2 pound more.It suggests the times and form were accurate and off just 80 no reason why he shouldn't run well,i'd be amazed if hugh taylor doesn't put him up at prices and even if beat will surely trade very low in last furlong,there's no reason why prices won't crash tomorrow especially if taylor puts it up and again could turn into a decent trade as well..

Fujuin 7/2 365/10/30 sybet/victor/lads/boyles/totesport/betfred/betway..

Strange betting this mrning 9/2 betfred 4/1 victor/ppower/sjames/boyles/skybet/sportsbook/betway/88sport/32red should be nice trade this with these prices..
 
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gigilo said:
Done a slightly more speculative bet ew lucky 15

Ayr 3.30

Breaking free ran a decent 5th to wily rumpus at leicester last season in a slughtly better race than tomorrows but on seasonal debut missed the break,may have needed the run,but another pound drop could run well if handling faster ground..out of kyllachy so hopefully not to quick.Ching ching lor might also run better than last time ouit was in same race at catterick.

Breaking free 6/1 365

3.40 Southwell

Captain bobs becoming hard to win with hasn't won since 2014 but made swell debut had a few of these behind in that race,there's a possibility could be set up for finisher though if they all take each other on and viva verghlas looks the one that could be the danger..

Captain bob 4/1 365/ppower/victor/totesport/betfred/hills/lads/corals/betway

5.10

Tonis a star has become unreliable missing the breaks runs off 54 tomorrow with georgia cox ckaiming another 5 pound did win off 60 in june on the tutf but shown little on the awsince keeps missing the break.The positves are has never run in this grade and although has no fibresand form i thought her run here looked ok,missed break but switched to the rail had no chance from there that was back in jan only beaten 5ls off a mark of 63 this is such a poor race sheb may just run wel,l off this lowest ever martk..

Tonis a star 7/1 ppower 13/2 sportsbook/totesport/skybet/hills/betfred/victor/corals/

6.20

Bahamian sunrise drawn 15 on standside which usually is advantage if not over watered was 2nd on seasonal debut behind the proogressive goodwood crusader at bath on fast ground although beaten easily,just three lifetime runs could be more to come off a mark of 64,lots of unexposed runners hart stopper was 3rd on turf debut run to pribce of cool

Bahamian sunrise 10/1 365 11/1 ppower/sportsbook/hills



Ew multiples etc,quite ironically i wouldn't like to see fast ground and so used tio seeing gd/fm then overwaered it's difficult to get into mindset that ground will be quick,hopefully the griound will have some good in it,this season they have so far been a bit more subtle with watering..Again will be hoping for at least frame places on what are short prices.

Ayr 2.30

Longroom 4/7 365

Longroom won an apprentices rrace on seasonal debut,was on my to follows when winning at hamilton last season then flopped twice and won last time out,this might not be quite as obvious as should be as drawn wide so maybe worth having a reverse with teepee and cheeni tricast they both have form in this grade and on ground.It's going to go off 4/9 2/5 I woul;dv'e thought so decent trade free bet etc anyway..

3.0

Insurplus is ;ightly raced,only had 5 runs and was an eyecatcher at goodwood lasty season over 5fs made its seasonal debut yesterday at hamilton staying on in better class race,don't know whether it will run but at least short term looks worth following.Again the draw could be the negative on fast ground the highs tend to have it, insurplus drawn 5 impossible to know with watering etc but could well be heavily backed even though only ran yesterday and trainer in form.

Insurplus 8/1 ppower/sportsbook 9/1 365/victor/hills

4.30

Kharbetation looked a bit special when winning at thirsk last june by 5ls for roger varian,that was on softer ground so ? and long lay off and handicapper hammered it for that win given a mark of 93,if there;s been any imprivement from last season then this maybe a group horse in future.The time of its win when hacked up was only a second slower than ginger jack winning the older handicap for horses rated upto 90 on the same day,he did look different class to those horses although an opening mark of 93 especially on debut will be very interesting to see if he can defy that first run back,regardless of result will be following this one closely for o'meara.Betting will be very interesting especially with opening shows..
Kings pavillion now with david barron from mark johnston stable,ran well on debut at notts for david barrion 5th to george william in same grade as tomorrows,had been out of form for mark johnston end of last seaso after winning off 88 and being rated 95 soo reasonably well handicapped with stable in form off 86..

Kharbetation 3/1 ppower 10/30 sportsbook 5/2 skybet/lads/totesport/spoting bet/betfred /Kings pavilion 8/1 ppower/sportsbook 15/2 365

6.10 Chelmsford

Marshall aid runs consistently well in this grade never runs a bad race although has never won but only looks 2/3 in the race think yasir and the juggler could run ok and look dangers..Wordiness well handicapped and some far better form than these may well sluice up with de sousa riding the run at bath was different class just runs a few unexpected poor ones and no track form so have stuck with the maiden and track form.

Marshall Aid 7/2 ppower/skbet/betfred/totesport

7.40

Alnass ran decent 2nd on debut at newbury time compared favourably wityh bacchus winning the handicap on the same card and with natural improvement looks the one to beat although lightly raced trio...

Alnaas 11/8 ppower 6/4 sportsbook/totesport/betfred/betbright

7.50 Windsor

Prendergast hill lots of form over this c/d not particularly well handicapped off 80 but won off 82 over c/d last season and two places main positve seems to be the ground if on the quick side and obvious frame claims at worst..

Prendergast hill 9/4 365/ppower/sportsbook/lads/victor
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Thanks. What's your strongest bet out of these?
 
There wasn't much in the prices that's why I never said anything about forecast sps,they just looked like they should run ok think most of them will shorten by a point to maybe a couple of points on the bigger priced ones so nothing outstanding they are much of a muchness and horses like breaking free and tonis a star are more guesswork than anything else.Only small stakes for me,just thought he place side of things looked ok more than picking winners which would be a bonus even though I know they aren't very big prices,jusr trying to find bets that will show some returns..
 
gigilo said:
Done a slightly more speculative bet ew lucky 15

Ayr 3.30

Breaking free ran a decent 5th to wily rumpus at leicester last season in a slughtly better race than tomorrows but on seasonal debut missed the break,may have needed the run,but another pound drop could run well if handling faster ground..out of kyllachy so hopefully not to quick.Ching ching lor might also run better than last time ouit was in same race at catterick.

Hope you had a saver on ching ching lor sweet..:ninja: was unlucky in breaking frees race gutted never put it in multid.s

Breaking free 6/1 365

3.40 Southwell

Captain bobs becoming hard to win with hasn't won since 2014 but made swell debut had a few of these behind in that race,there's a possibility could be set up for finisher though if they all take each other on and viva verghlas looks the one that could be the danger..

Captain bob 4/1 365/ppower/victor/totesport/betfred/hills/lads/corals/betway

5.10

Tonis a star has become unreliable missing the breaks runs off 54 tomorrow with georgia cox ckaiming another 5 pound did win off 60 in june on the tutf but shown little on the awsince keeps missing the break.The positves are has never run in this grade and although has no fibresand form i thought her run here looked ok,missed break but switched to the rail had no chance from there that was back in jan only beaten 5ls off a mark of 63 this is such a poor race sheb may just run wel,l off this lowest ever martk..

Tonis a star 7/1 ppower/victor/ 13/2 sportsbook/totesport/skybet/hills/betfred/corals/

6.20

Bahamian sunrise drawn 15 on standside which usually is advantage if not over watered was 2nd on seasonal debut behind the proogressive goodwood crusader at bath on fast ground although beaten easily,just three lifetime runs could be more to come off a mark of 64,lots of unexposed runners hart stopper was 3rd on turf debut run to pribce of cool

Bahamian sunrise 10/1 365 11/1 ppower/sportsbook/hills

Don't know why I thought highs were advantage they are on the farside not the nearside,just trying to do too much so obviously now a disadvantage...



Ew multiples etc,quite ironically i wouldn't like to see fast ground and so used tio seeing gd/fm then overwaered it's difficult to get into mindset that ground will be quick,hopefully the griound will have some good in it,this season they have so far been a bit more subtle with watering..Again will be hoping for at least frame places on what are short prices.

Ayr 2.30

Longroom 4/7 365 skybet

Longroom won an apprentices rrace on seasonal debut,was on my to follows when winning at hamilton last season then flopped twice and won last time out,this might not be quite as obvious as should be as drawn wide so maybe worth having a reverse with teepee and cheeni tricast they both have form in this grade and on ground.It's going to go off 4/9 2/5 I woul;dv'e thought so decent trade free bet etc anyway..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Nice touch ended up 1/4 and the forecast for good measure just did two straights in the end was hardly worty doing with favs sp. ,just hope something else comes in incredible early prices 4/7!!Don't know how but the exactas paid £6.20 what a tiuch!

3.0

Insurplus is ;ightly raced,only had 5 runs and was an eyecatcher at goodwood lasty season over 5fs made its seasonal debut yesterday at hamilton staying on in better class race,don't know whether it will run but at least short term looks worth following.Again the draw could be the negative on fast ground the highs tend to have it, insurplus drawn 5 impossible to know with watering etc but could well be heavily backed even though only ran yesterday and trainer in form.

Insurplus 8/1 ppower/sportsbook 9/1 365/victor/hills

4.30

Kharbetation looked a bit special when winning at thirsk last june by 5ls for roger varian,that was on softer ground so ? and long lay off and handicapper hammered it for that win given a mark of 93,if there;s been any imprivement from last season then this maybe a group horse in future.The time of its win when hacked up was only a second slower than ginger jack winning the older handicap for horses rated upto 90 on the same day,he did look different class to those horses although an opening mark of 93 especially on debut will be very interesting to see if he can defy that first run back,regardless of result will be following this one closely for o'meara.Betting will be very interesting especially with opening shows..
Kings pavillion now with david barron from mark johnston stable,ran well on debut at notts for david barrion 5th to george william in same grade as tomorrows,had been out of form for mark johnston end of last seaso after winning off 88 and being rated 95 soo reasonably well handicapped with stable in form off 86..

Kharbetation 3/1 ppower 10/30 sportsbook 5/2 skybet/lads/totesport/spoting bet/betfred /Kings pavilion 8/1 ppower/sportsbook 15/2 365

You may find hugh taylor putting this up just based on the impression horse gave although long lay off..

6.10 Chelmsford

Marshall aid runs consistently well in this grade never runs a bad race although has never won but only looks 2/3 in the race think yasir and the juggler could run ok and look dangers..Wordiness well handicapped and some far better form than these may well sluice up with de sousa riding the run at bath was different class just runs a few unexpected poor ones and no track form so have stuck with the maiden and track form.

Marshall Aid 7/2 ppower/skbet/betfred/totesport 4/1 365/victot/corals/hills

7.40

Alnass ran decent 2nd on debut at newbury time compared favourably wityh bacchus winning the handicap on the same card and with natural improvement looks the one to beat although lightly raced trio...

Alnaas 6/4 sportsbook/totesport/betfred/betbright/victor 13/8 betfair

7.50 Windsor

Prendergast hill lots of form over this c/d not particularly well handicapped off 80 but won off 82 over c/d last season and two places main positve seems to be the ground if on the quick side and obvious frame claims at worst..

Prendergast hill 9/4 365/ppower/sportsbook/lads/victor


Will add this as well almost certainly goig to trade a lot lower and a strong possibility hugh taylor will put it up..

7.10 Chelmsford

Fujins been a revelation this season has won 4 races and reached form far beyind previous,last time out was 3rd in a class 2 to raucous 1st and 2nd rated 105 and 98 fujin 2ls behind winner and 1/4ls behind the 2nd off levels with winner and receiving 4 pound off kadrizzi so in theory back in handicap well in ioff just 85 and 5 pound claim to come off.The time was very quick 1m10.00 and as a comparison only .17 slower than the class 3 won by
Udontdodou fujin roughly a length slower than the winner rated 84 but carrying 6 pound more and same time as zac brown in 2nd rated 95 but carrying 2 pound more.It suggests the times and form were accurate and off just 80 no reason why he shouldn't run well,i'd be amazed if hugh taylor doesn't put him up at prices and even if beat will surely trade very low in last furlong,there's no reason why prices won't crash tomorrow especially if taylor puts it up and again could turn into a decent trade as well..

Fujuin 7/2 365/10/30 sybet/victor/lads/boyles/totesport/betfred/betway..

Strange betting this mrning 9/2 betfred 4/1 victor/ppower/sjames/boyles/skybet/sportsbook/betway/88sport/32red should be nice trade this with these prices..
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Not that bad a day forecast and winner first race had a couple of savers on others mentioned in two races plus another winner three places,reduid the heinxzes a couple of times with some of the drifters and they somehow made a profit,will definitely be persevering with the multiples unreal getting profit on the heinzes no return off the lucky.Far to many shorter prices especially on some dodgy ground,will need a day to recover after that lot..Hopefully something better later in week...Almost forgot fujin traded at 1.2 as well,which was main objective of bet although I never made anything on the race as I kept backing it and ended up having fortunes on it so had to lay it back at 3.5 to make sure I didn't do a fortune so getting stake back which was a bit of a gutter..
 
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Wednesday Chester 3.0

A decent handicap sprint with a few improvers in the race but still the most interesting runner is 8yr old Sir maximilian he ran on this card last season in the conditions winning by an easy 4ls the most interesting thing was the time running .56 quicker than this years handicap and carrying 8 pound more than winner kimberella then rated 87 carrying 8 pound less than sir Maximillian but now rated 110.He hasn't won since that race but 2nd to medicean man and 3rd to krypton factor in meydan off these marks in the low 100s,not quite sure why he's 8/1 -7/1 and could easily go off favourite for this race..

Sir maximilian 8/1 365 7/1 hills/sjames
 
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Doncha maybe worth a small bet can't see to many outstanding in this years race,last time oput hadn't run for 2 months and although was behind firmament that race was over 7fs at ascot looked beat 3furlongs on but still was staying on at finish so respectable comeback run.Last year was a big eyecatcher in this race obviously loves this c/d mile mile not getting a clear run from the near side group where there was less pace motoring at finish the mile here looks perfect trip so stamina amnd ground issues seem ideal,strictly on that form has 3 1/2ls to find with gm Hopkins but would've been close between then with clear run.The rest of donnchas form hasn't compared really bar the last time run here over the inadequate 7fs,looks a tiny bit of value on last years run even though on strict formlines has a little to find with a couple,16s at the moment seems fair anything bigger would be too far to big..
If the draw does favour lows certainly wouldn't surprise me if master of the world ran ok always races with the pace 3rd in racelast year and although appears badly handicapped
looking through the field doesn't appear to be loads of pace on so could surprise and hit the frame.

Donncha 16/1 Boyles,betfred,victor,ppower,sjames,lads,corals,hi lls,totesport..18/1 sportsbook


The Lincoln

I do like morando as was an eyecatcher in the above race and looked under pressure but was picking up again looked open to loads of improvement but is 7/1,plus I put yuften up for the aw finals at 14/1 is even shorter to win the Lincoln at 12s but fit and still well handicapped on old form.I completely forgot about this race last year when donncha looked to be coming through to maybe win the race,ran ok on comeback run last season when 2nd at Donny in the spring mile,5th in a listed handicap at York,3rd to franklin d at goodwood,ran well behind librisa breeze over inadequate 7fs at ascot then the run behind yuften plus a respectable 4th in a listed race behind estidkhaar.Doesn't look as though as a specific ground preference ran well at Donny in the spring mile after exactly same break as this coming season,also hasn't been over raced and last season showed its most improvement.Morando looks the obvious improverbut no reason why donncha couldn't run well,i havn't really looked at the race I just remember the above race being very unlucky..


Victoria cup Saturday

Donncha again back to ascot where has the unlucky run at the end of the season behind yuften and remarkable,unfortunately this is a drop back in trip a mile does look his best trip but ran quite well over the c/d when 7th of 18 in October behind librisa breeze.Afjaan was in the race and held up looked a little bit unlucky and strictly on that form looks to have the beating of donncha but is 5 pound worse off and donnchas more than double the price.At these sort of prices with all its ascot form its hard to not have some sort of bet on it even though the trip maybe slightly on the short side and even though horse is hard to win with certainly deserves to pick up one of these.Has been going off a lot shorter at ascot in these races than current prices and I doubt whether he will be bigger than 10/1 tops on the day again the main positive is the horse isn't ground reliant runs equally well on gd/fm as well as gd/sft,probably shorter..

Donncha 16/1 ppower/sportsbook 14/1 hills/betfred/totesport/lads/boyles/betway/

You could leave this till Thursday when guaranteed runner,may even be lucky and see some more 16/1 as well..
 
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Another n/r Sir Maximillian would surely have beaten that lot,hard to find any value at the moment so back to small interest with an ew Trixie small singles..better on the place side..will see if I can find another for ew yank or lucky 15..what will probably happen is these 8 horse races will ruin the place siode of bets so couldn't have too much on..

2.05 Catterick

Capladancer 9/4 ppower/sportsbook 11/4 skybet 3/1 365/victor

Won second div of a maiden at ripon time seemed ok beat a Johnston horse won next time out,he has a runner in this race so may well be better than capla dancer and she has to concede 7 pound to the fioeld.There is a negative as last time out unshipped jock and ran off round track at ripon and withdrawn,so obviously would not be overly confident but from decent draw id running to debut she should be placed at least..
If the Johnston horse drifts signufiantly,this will be snmashed off the boards and you may see it nearter evens than the 3/1,so could be cracking trade regardless of result..


3.45

Coronation day 5/2 ppower 11/4 sportsbook

Ran seasonal debut at brighton looks to be open to slight improvement,similar tight track decent draw and similar ground looks obvious for at least another place against mainly exposed bunch..

4.15

Lady clitco 7/1 ppower/sjames 15/2 365/ sportsbook/victor

More speculative this one trainers in form 3/15 in last fortnight from small stable she hasn't won very often but was rated 71 last june and last time out showed her first bit of form in a long while although only 5th of 8 was in better grade than this staying on,big step up in trip so bit of guesswork betting will be very interesting in a very weak looking race..Has run well over hurdles over 2mile which bit of a positive graham lee rides..The two favs do stand out cavalier stays and been running consistently,while tonto'spirit is only rated 48 on the flat yet has improved dramatically over hurdles and now rated 127 potentially very well handicapped..

8/1 now with 365/victor..
 
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gigilo; 4.15 Lady clitco 7/1 ppower/sjames 15/2 365/ sportsbook/victor More speculative this one trainers in form 3/15 in last fortnight from small stable she hasn't won very often but was rated 71 last june and last time out showed her first bit of form in a long while although only 5th of 8 was in better grade than this staying on said:
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!! :adore:
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gigilo said:
Another n/r Sir Maximillian would surely have beaten that lot,hard to find any value at the moment so back to small interest with an ew Trixie small singles..better on the place side..will see if I can find another for ew yank or lucky 15..what will probably happen is these 8 horse races will ruin the place siode of bets so couldn't have too much on..

2.05 Catterick

Capladancer 9/4 ppower/sportsbook 11/4 skybet 3/1 365/victor

Won second div of a maiden at ripon time seemed ok beat a Johnston horse won next time out,he has a runner in this race so may well be better than capla dancer and she has to concede 7 pound to the fioeld.There is a negative as last time out unshipped jock and ran off round track at ripon and withdrawn,so obviously would not be overly confident but from decent draw id running to debut she should be placed at least..
If the Johnston horse drifts signufiantly,this will be snmashed off the boards and you may see it nearter evens than the 3/1,so could be cracking trade regardless of result..


3.45

Coronation day 5/2 ppower 11/4 sportsbook

Ran seasonal debut at brighton looks to be open to slight improvement,similar tight track decent draw and similar ground looks obvious for at least another place against mainly exposed bunch..

4.15

Lady clitco 7/1 ppower/sjames 15/2 365/ sportsbook/victor

More speculative this one trainers in form 3/15 in last fortnight from small stable she hasn't won very often but was rated 71 last june and last time out showed her first bit of form in a long while although only 5th of 8 was in better grade than this staying on,big step up in trip so bit of guesswork betting will be very interesting in a very weak looking race..Has run well over hurdles over 2mile which bit of a positive graham lee rides..The two favs do stand out cavalier stays and been running consistently,while tonto'spirit is only rated 48 on the flat yet has improved dramatically over hurdles and now rated 127 potentially very well handicapped..

8/1 now with 365/victor..
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KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!That's more like it doesn't stay apparently,wins by half the track got 9/1 as well,over watered at catterick wghhich might have helped it and been against the other lovely little touch!!!!!:ninja::lol::lol: Back in the groove!!!!:cool:
 
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