gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,796
Septembers figures wouldv;e been brilliant but hardly anything last two wweks started month off with 11/1 winner and a double i put up paid 26/1 settled at sp even though 6/1 and 9/1 were available when posted,settled at sp had lots of places 33/1,25/1,20/1 11/2 and 12/1 winner with quite a few other places...So stil returned an roi of 80%,i included the gold cup winner if you took that off then only 40% which is fair enough..
Will try a few things at my least favourute track staert wiith ew multiple
Newcastle 6.0
Deansgate 16/1 365 14/1 sportsbook 10/1 betfred/totesport(4)
Hard to see war department not figuring if it runs like last week,art echo drops in class only off 68 with claimer lightly raced on the aw still open to improvement looks sure to run well and inner circle coming nicely down the weights and this is a weak race compared to a lot of its turf runs this season could easily figure in finish..Don't know whther it's best to leave the julie camacho horses alone the one i put up on monday came 4th ran well but drifted from 9/2 to 12s on betfair and she hasn't had a winner in awhile even though running at 15% this season.Deansgate is her runner been disappointing this season highlight a third off 78 at thirsk in a 0-90 then followed up with 12/16 and 6/9 no apparent excuses it maybe just stable hitting poor form,but on last sessons aw newcasstle runs would be 4-5/1 in tomorrows race,fourth and a second off marks of 72 in this grade then won a 0-80 at 5/1 over tomorrows c/d..Again betting will probably bev a pointer a pound higher nut weaker race than that win,you'd expect it to be going off 5-6/1 tops in a race like this.
/7.30
Lucky lodge 8/1 365/ 17/2 b094etfred/totesport 9/1 skybet/victor 10/1 betbright Cliff 8/1 365 10/1 sportsbook(4)/ppower(4) skybet/betfred/totesport
Lucky lodge and cliff are on winnable marks and have decent records on the aw but two horses heading the market Billy fairplay and Eternal destiny off just marks of 53 and 46 could be thrown in,alsio lightly raced Billy fairplay 5th at dundalk in a 0-70 last december and eternal destiny
only five runs thitd to la fortuna in a 0-65 at chelmsford wpuldn't be a surprise if they fought out the finish.Of the others Lucky lodge already won three on the aw in 2018,although those wins at wolves all over 7fs and all off marks of 62,did win off 60 over tomorrows c/d in august 2017 in a 0-65 so has ew chance one to follow through aw season especially over the 7fs at wolves,unbelievably jock cam hardie on a 0/43 run so that is obvious negative.Cliff similarly decent aw record even though rarely winsbut on the aw 2/10 jock faye macmanohan not keen on but with her seven takes horse down to a mark of 52,last run here over c/d was last of 12 but onkly beaten 3ls off 65 in a 0-70 previous to that had been 2/3/3/1/2/1/6 has regressed since those runs at end of 2016/2017 but still cpable of wnning a race on the aw in this grade even though the two favs look the likeliest winnwers tomorrow.
8.0
Duke cosimo 11/2 365
Duke cosimo first time in a 0-60 on the aw usually runs in slightly better races than this although now eight and on downgrade very silar to lucky lodge,runs off 60 tomorrow and phil dennis takes off another three,lowest ever mark.He ran third here in august in a 0-65 although it really didn't look much better than thios 0-60 tomorrow,did win off 66 in january over c/d it's a bit of a guess how much ability he retins but obvious ew chance in this grade off this mark and ran quite well in a 0-70 at leicester last time out..The favourite guiding star ran on well over 5fs here last time out obvious chance and supaulette three year old off 59 and ghost three year old off 58.the easterby horse ran well from the front over 7fs here in this grade and fronm the standside draw could run well and ghost off 58 but claimer taking off three can't see why that won't run well with the easterby horse as well..alson drawn well..maybe some tiny savers and forecasts./.
Another angel 7/2 365 Little kingdom 18/1 lads(4) 16/1corals (4) 28/1 sportsbook
Displaying amber beat another angel and little kingdom penultimate runs there looks nothing between them on that form you could easily back the three of them and star cracker off just 50 also looks thrown in,only 3/43 but on the aw is 1/8 and three places.No real angle on the race although another angel is drawn low and little kingdom high,hoping one of them gets a soft lead on one si,de or both,maybe a saver/forecasts with star cracker.As mentioned above in earlier race can hardie on 43 consecuitve losers he rides lucky lodge for mel brittain and another angel in this last race,hopefully confidence hasn't been totally gone.
Will try a few things at my least favourute track staert wiith ew multiple
Newcastle 6.0
Deansgate 16/1 365 14/1 sportsbook 10/1 betfred/totesport(4)
Hard to see war department not figuring if it runs like last week,art echo drops in class only off 68 with claimer lightly raced on the aw still open to improvement looks sure to run well and inner circle coming nicely down the weights and this is a weak race compared to a lot of its turf runs this season could easily figure in finish..Don't know whther it's best to leave the julie camacho horses alone the one i put up on monday came 4th ran well but drifted from 9/2 to 12s on betfair and she hasn't had a winner in awhile even though running at 15% this season.Deansgate is her runner been disappointing this season highlight a third off 78 at thirsk in a 0-90 then followed up with 12/16 and 6/9 no apparent excuses it maybe just stable hitting poor form,but on last sessons aw newcasstle runs would be 4-5/1 in tomorrows race,fourth and a second off marks of 72 in this grade then won a 0-80 at 5/1 over tomorrows c/d..Again betting will probably bev a pointer a pound higher nut weaker race than that win,you'd expect it to be going off 5-6/1 tops in a race like this.
/7.30
Lucky lodge 8/1 365/ 17/2 b094etfred/totesport 9/1 skybet/victor 10/1 betbright Cliff 8/1 365 10/1 sportsbook(4)/ppower(4) skybet/betfred/totesport
Lucky lodge and cliff are on winnable marks and have decent records on the aw but two horses heading the market Billy fairplay and Eternal destiny off just marks of 53 and 46 could be thrown in,alsio lightly raced Billy fairplay 5th at dundalk in a 0-70 last december and eternal destiny
only five runs thitd to la fortuna in a 0-65 at chelmsford wpuldn't be a surprise if they fought out the finish.Of the others Lucky lodge already won three on the aw in 2018,although those wins at wolves all over 7fs and all off marks of 62,did win off 60 over tomorrows c/d in august 2017 in a 0-65 so has ew chance one to follow through aw season especially over the 7fs at wolves,unbelievably jock cam hardie on a 0/43 run so that is obvious negative.Cliff similarly decent aw record even though rarely winsbut on the aw 2/10 jock faye macmanohan not keen on but with her seven takes horse down to a mark of 52,last run here over c/d was last of 12 but onkly beaten 3ls off 65 in a 0-70 previous to that had been 2/3/3/1/2/1/6 has regressed since those runs at end of 2016/2017 but still cpable of wnning a race on the aw in this grade even though the two favs look the likeliest winnwers tomorrow.
8.0
Duke cosimo 11/2 365
Duke cosimo first time in a 0-60 on the aw usually runs in slightly better races than this although now eight and on downgrade very silar to lucky lodge,runs off 60 tomorrow and phil dennis takes off another three,lowest ever mark.He ran third here in august in a 0-65 although it really didn't look much better than thios 0-60 tomorrow,did win off 66 in january over c/d it's a bit of a guess how much ability he retins but obvious ew chance in this grade off this mark and ran quite well in a 0-70 at leicester last time out..The favourite guiding star ran on well over 5fs here last time out obvious chance and supaulette three year old off 59 and ghost three year old off 58.the easterby horse ran well from the front over 7fs here in this grade and fronm the standside draw could run well and ghost off 58 but claimer taking off three can't see why that won't run well with the easterby horse as well..alson drawn well..maybe some tiny savers and forecasts./.
Another angel 7/2 365 Little kingdom 18/1 lads(4) 16/1corals (4) 28/1 sportsbook
Displaying amber beat another angel and little kingdom penultimate runs there looks nothing between them on that form you could easily back the three of them and star cracker off just 50 also looks thrown in,only 3/43 but on the aw is 1/8 and three places.No real angle on the race although another angel is drawn low and little kingdom high,hoping one of them gets a soft lead on one si,de or both,maybe a saver/forecasts with star cracker.As mentioned above in earlier race can hardie on 43 consecuitve losers he rides lucky lodge for mel brittain and another angel in this last race,hopefully confidence hasn't been totally gone.
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