something had to run to at least 85 on debut big ask..
Some utter trash racing for a saturday three poor cards Ascot for watching but betting looks a waste of time,fancy nothing really will have a token bet on one fir now might do some sort of lucky 15 for an interest later
Wolves 4.55
Monaadhil 14/1 generally
Do a couple of ew trixies for now,no more than speculative Monaadhil 2/16 all runs four runs on the aw was rated 84 when with Marcus Tregoning then joined Ruth Carr in june 2019 been totally regressive,now down to just 59,one decent run for her that was penultimate run when 4th over c./d in a 0-65,was beaten 5 1/4ls but gave the field 15ls start..The time was respectable for grade,but the followed that up with another poor run at Chelmsford,drops into a 0-60 for the first time tomorrow and back over the c/d fourth,Ruth Carrs having a nightmare run,but at least it's in the right grade..
Reponse Exacte has had fourteeen runs won as a 2yr old on debut has already been with six trainers,they are all struggling to find its trip mark has gone from 82 down to just 57,last time out at least showed some form when second over 7fs,terrible profile but a bad race a possibility could run well upped another furlong..
6.0
Appleby and gosdens head the market both newcomers,they won't have to be brilliant to win this No man ran respectable third on debut well beaten 6 14/s the second was an appleby horse was 5ls behind that so tomorrow betting should be very informatuve..The winner of the race looked a bit special and the appleby runer up had been second to maximal on debut run,if the Palmer horse imprives for that debut run then obvious ew chance..The other Millitary man ran in what looked maybe slightly better than an average maiden but maybe just average for newmarket,one paced fifth Gleneagles a great sire on turf but the stats are poor so far on the aw so would be a token pick with maybe improvement over this longer trip..The Appplebt horse cost over 1,000,000 so this could be a hot maiden with gosde runner as well..
No man 15/2 victor Millitary man man 7/1 365
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMM!!Lovely when you ee the goseden and appleby horses drift and yours ends up fav,nice day on a load of shite racing!!
6.30
Gavlar 13/2 hills generally 7/1 365
Gavlar veteran now at as 9yr old,on downgrade bur run ok in three out if its last four runs wuth three fourths,all those races were 0-65s or better although hasn't won since august 2018 so looks more of a place chance,a line through Selsey Sizzler ties in with the fav if it can run to its last three out of four runs then decent place chance..
Some ridiculously copetitve cards toorrow will try some small ew multis and singles..
Windsor 4.0
Espresso Freddo 8/1 ppower/sportsbook Part Island 4/1 sportsbook/ppower/generally
Espresso Freddo thoroughly exposed off 68 but last five runs on sifter ground has been first 0ff 58 followed by 2/2/2/3 was third in a 0-80 at newmarket last turf run of 2019,comeback this season on aw no good then last time out second to the progressive Flying Moon in a 0-70.
Last season was second in this race off 66 but on desperate ground,so not well handicapped but likes ground and c/d ew chances..Party Island
been consistent,doesn't look to be improving but appears to love thios ground a second at haydock in a 0-75 and a win there in a 0-69..Last time out run looked below par,no real excuse unless the horse is just a total mudlark if it is then tomorrows ground will suit..Mabo and Dancing Jo were second and third to Expresso Freddo last season when they met at bath,they have ew chances at bigger prices,Dancing Jo has a 20 pound turnaround for 4 1/2ls,which looks huge but thats the only bit of soft ground form she's ever shown,she has looked like a fast ground horse they have avoided slow ground sire stats aren't great but don't necessarily suggest she would prefer fast ground as opposed to softer.
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!Sluiced up Party Island placed as well.....
Wolves 4.25
Sulochana 6/1 ppower/sportsbook Pax Britannica 15/2 365 13/2 hills
A wide open 0-60 handicap over 1m4fs,Sulochanas had seven runs
best runs have been last two a second in a 0-65 a Bath off 56 at Bath over 1m5fs and then a third in a 0-60 at Chelmsford
beaten 3 1/4ls over 1m 5 1/2fs,drops back slightly in trip to 1m4fs with first time blinkers..Sire stats ae decent on surfce 18* winners and 20% over the trip,Cieran Fallon rides,trainer hughie morrison aso has the favourite no form yet but has angus villiers booked ridig lots of winners betting will be informative..
Pax Brittanica ran in a slightly beter race last time out at Newcastle running fifth beaten in a 0-70 was upped to this trip after staying on in a 0-65 at lingfield on penultimate run,off just 56 if handles the track then another with decent place chances dropped into a 0-60 and Critique looks well in with seven pound claimer has run well in this grade before and although ran poorly here one run thats when blinkers weren't on so maybe saver/firecasts.
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBPOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Can't believe this never went off favourite unbelievable 8s still on the fair!!!!:lol::lol:
5.0
Swissal 11/2 hills 5/1 ppower/sportsbook
The most interesting horse in this race is Dubai Elegance 25/1 ppower/sportsbook,i put it up in December and January when winning back to back races lat win was in a class 5 0-75 off 58 over 7fs the other run over 7fs here was second off 58 in a 0-58,this really is only a slightly better race..The huge negative is Derek Shaw no winners since lockdown and his hirses are running abysmally,have also noticed all its wins and best runs were with pieces on last five runs was 5/1/1/2/5 then for no apparent reason not on since February 20th,maybe saving them for a touch when horses are in form but at current prices i wouyld chuck some coppers on off a mark of just 55..
Swissal i've oput up a couple of times,from the 10 draw it looks of very little value at 9/2 although did come second in a 0-65 two days ago ad is due to go up in weights,the time of its division was virtually the same as the second div so will take the risk dropped in class and hope it gets the pace it will need to get involved..dropping in class
Nice place gave them 15ls strt and Dubai Elegance got up for 4th both ppower ad sportsbook paying 4 places,having a monster night...
5.30
Sfumato 15/2 generally
Sfumato wouldv'e stood out at the prices on last years form,but looks far more unreliable this season has a 1/3 over this c/d from last season won off 59 and then ws third in a 0-65 going off 3/1 both races..hasn't really shown much since..Numerous runs over 6fs since,simply looks like he hasn't been getting home,ony respectable run was a fourth recenty in a 0-65 over the 6fs here at wolves,but again never got home runs off 58 a pound below last win,nothing more than hopeful the 7fs may suit better..Favourite Soveriegn Beauty was rated 70,has a dodgy profile but last time out suddenly back to form when second off 60 at sailsbury,the sire free eagle does well on tapeta 14% so could well impoie for surface..
Kyllachy dragon has an even worse profile tailed off gambled last week at swell the one interesting thing is both recent runs here in December and January was second off 65 and third off 63 tomorrow off just 57,this race is so bad these three could be the three to concentrate on fiorecasts/savers etc etc.
Forecasts and savers unreal and got evens for 4 places sfumato annoying it never hiot the frame done in photo but as write up nothing in the race nice little touch again, forecast paid £17.58 exacta £20 and backed the pair a great day 6.27 Soveriegn beauty,anything else would be a huge bonus!!
7.30
Champs De Reves 7/1 365 8s betfair My Poem 13/2 365/hills
Champs De Reves looks exposed,last three runs has stepped up in trip two seconds on turf both to sing the blues at bath so decent turf runs the last run was in a 0-80 if it could transfer that run to tapeta then would look a little better,in between though has been fourth of nine over 1m6fs at chelmsford on the aw,megan nicholls takes off three tomorrow,there are a lot less exposed runners in this race vulnerable but obvious place chances off 71..
My poem has been running in some decent races on turf a third and fiurth in a 0-80 and 0-85..sire stats look good on surface 15% but when you look at sire over the 1m4fs just 2/51 so seems an unlikely winner,it maybe the horse wants dropping to 1m2fs ran well here over 1m1/2f in a 0-78 staying on third..Will add it tomorrow,but i will be watching this one closely for future reference for coming back here over shorterr if it doesn'tt stay..
Manjaam has plenty of form here and over longer trips here,running over hurdles and now slipped to a decent mark if this field doesn't show improvement or go on the surface he would be the obvious one to have a saver on..lowest mark since march 2016..
Mugged mtyself in that race gave the sire stats and it prived right again,hated it last and fav,the other got left just being greedy adding in that race,
8.0
Enzo 16/1 ppower/sportsbook
I did a few John Butler horses last week useless,then of course he had a winner after long losing run Enzos profile is poor but has dropped down to last winning mark which was its lowest ever mark of 55 August 2019 was also placed off 62,63,63 last season once over this c/d and once at lingfield over 1m2fs..Did nothing after that although a couple of those runs didn't get clear runs,has had two runs this season shown absolutely nothing just weakening when going with the pace,you'd want to see this heavily backed from this stable and wit Luke Morris riding,at least it's in the right grade now..It's such an open race it's hard to pick anythuing else as nine of the thirteen runners have a chance on form,so for now wuill just stick with Enzo till watched some replays..if they went for a gamble on Enzo it's even possible it could end up favourite,vice versa could be 33s by the off..An interesting runner.
Stormover ran flat again,trainers out of form was up there but found nothing and Bad Attitude went off 8/11 laughable pruce i backed it agai at evens after non runners and laid off at 1.2 it traded 1.02 was canterig,but as in write up the horse is very one paced they went no gallop desperate time very poor ride by the jock to sit off that pace,it's one of those horses you will see placing throughout the aw season and will win a race or two..
Leicester 12.20
Balgara 12/1 hills/victor 10/1 generally
Another desperate ground meeting at Leicester,the races were a guessing game there the last meeting and the grounds going to be even worse on monday,so for now just the one pick in a 7f nursery for horses rated upto 70..Balgara has had six runs was running in decent maidens nearer last than first in all three first runs but plenty of winners have come out of all three,then went handicaping at sandown on soft ground running in a 0-75 over 7fs finishing third..Gave the field 10ls strt in that 0-75,didn't get the clearest of runs and did have a chance of winning entering final furlong,ultimately looked to get outstayed the winner Valorant was runner up in a 0-95 at Donny this week and the fourth envega was only fourth of five next time out in a 0-85 but was staying on in a ponte nusery..The fifth Risque was 4ls behind Bagara and that finished 5/27 in a newmarket nursery on next run..first four were rated 82,84,92 and 94..The ground at sandown was sot race was slow by six seconds,the following 0-80 for older horses was slower than the nursery,so the time was backed up as well..Begara was off 64 in that race was switched to the aw at kempton and two poor runs beaen easily in mondays grade.. Sire Equiano not great stats outside of sprinting distances,soft ground 16% but the ground will be heavy stats go down too 10% so about average,just purely based on the Sandown run from the form i can see would be favourite to win this race ignoring the twi kempton races,sire not great there either..A massive field with desperate ground but betting should be informative..would be amazed if this doesn't halve in prices..
Yorkshire Lady has riun in three maidens not showng much although ran ok at beverlet beaten over 8ls was stayig on and the horse ifront of it
ran ok in a 0-80 last time out i suspect her opening mark of 60 is ok,whther its anygood in this 0-70 and heavy ground would be guesswork and Cuban Fox alreadt beaten in 0-60s placing ran ok in a 0-70 over 6fs last time out on heavy ground..These two probably have place chances,although you would suspect something hidden in fifteen runners.
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Bagara smashed into 5/1 fav non runner thought ffs,took 16s Yorkshire Lady will settle for that and in multis!!:lol::lol: aboiut time i had some luck!!Lokked well i on the sailsbury run all about stamina..hope you backed it!!
Leicester 3.55
George Rinsdale 5/2 365 2/1 hills
George Rinsdale has gone up 12 pounds since winning here over c/d off 50,although the day he won by 6 1/2ls he couldv'e won by 10+ has won again at Ayr and last time out was second at Ayr in a 0-70 over a mile,back here in a 0-65 skinny at 2/1 maybe get slighty bigger when otherbooks open up..He loks open to more imprvement on this surface,but is no cetainty a couple of others catch the eye Dave Evans sends four to newcastle and one of them Scofflaw although regressing could easily run well in this race,was rated 8 at one point in 2019 won off 76 at cheter on the turf in the August..Had shown nothing this season till getting backed in a 0-80 at Windsor finishing fifth,maybe a sighn of coming into form dropped in class back on the aw and hollie doyle booked runnig off just and lowest ever mark..And the two more obvious runners Armed and Clifftop heaven both slipped in weights and both have run inbetter races here obvious alternatives to the favourite,both were rated higher in previous runs here..
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Won exactly how it looke like it should a stone in hand!!
Newcastle
4.30
Sittenham Wood 7/1 365/betfred/ppower/sportsbook/victor/sky
You're taing a risk with Sittenham Wood he won easily by 6 1/2ls on 22nd September a terrible race but time compres well to most of mondays runners c.d runs,was rated 55 winning that race but his next two runs he's been tailed off 57ls and 29l different tracks and surfaces,hard to find excuses for losses like that..you could say ground on one run at redcar and maybe going the wrng way at kempton but the distances beaten was beaten miles out..More of a token selection back at this track,and with Danny Tudhope back on board..
Same as last two runs gave them 15ls,although this time got stopped in run wouldn't have won but woulfv'e been figting for a place maybe 4th,worth noting if it ca get out on terms no way it was going to win i've had 2 mw winners today,when was the last time mw had a treble..
5.30
Line Of Reason 16/1 betfred/victor/ppower Manshood 16/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor
An ultra competitive 6f race for horses rated upto 80 and eight c/d winners,just a couple of token bets bot runners traned by Paul Midgeley h's on a losing run so would be token bets,Line of Reason rarely wins now been racing all through the summmer,am not sre if he 's had enough last two runs have been out of line with most runs this season..He wn off 78 in late June but was touched off in another 0-80 was fourth and fift in a 0-90 always there abouts so looks a little overpruced in a 0-80,just last two runs been poor back on 78 and has track form..
Midgleys other Manshood is very unpredictable,a win ad two seconds here also won in june off 76 but a slightly weaker race but followed that up here in a 0-85 finishing second off 83 tomorrow off 77,he is unreliable but could be competitve if at his best in a 0-80..
Non trier manshood and jock gave up on line of reason,didn't want ti finish in the frame
6.30
Ask The Wind 9/2 hills 4/1 365
A 0-70 nursery over 7fs,again lots lihtky raced so guesswork and the surface the best piece of looking turf form s far is from Ask the Wind just three runs and the last was first time in a nusery,second at Goodwood to Consrvatire beaten 3ls,that was over 7fs Conservatoire franed the form toda winning a 0-90 at Donny..The third in the Gooodwood race Farasi Lane was third in a 0-90 nursery on previous run so the form looks solid around the first three,the negatives are sire stats just around 10% on surface and trip,the Goodwood run was on desperate ground and sire stats point towards running over further,there are some very good sire stats on this surface over 1m4fs and upwards..The do crawl here in lots of races
so that could be a negative as well but a mark of 64 is definitely one it will be wnning off even if it is over further..
High peak has previous experience here was second on debut,doesn't look chucked in off 70 but form ties in with fav has run terrible last two runs but bee gelded if nothing imprives then must have place chances at least if repeating debut run..
Worst ride of the day award different class to these and never involved till last 100 yards,will get penalised for it as well so annoying.
Redcar 3.35
Max Oclock 14/1 ppower/sportsbook generally
An impossible looking nursery with lots of lightly raced horses,looks a fair race for the grade plenty of form in the race grounds going to be soft probably not fr off heavy ground,lots of lightly raced runners iposible guessing on those runners.Bomb Squad will definitely like the ground won a poor race at windsor when i put it up ar a massive price and been consistent since was third in a 0-70 last time out,exposed ground may determine if it can figure as obviously likes it desperate..Two other winners Vivacious Boy and Max oclock Two other winners Vivacious Boy and Max oclock have both won 0-65s already,although i suspect this race maybe better even though just a 0-60...vivacious boy has finished behind bomb squad as well and was runner up t Max Oclock at ayr..Max Oclock won easily over 5fs at ayr the ground was given as good/gd/sft when infact it was soft ground the race was slow by over four seconds,he looked like there was more to come with a comfirtable win..Then has disappointed last three runs,twice on the aw and once at Thirsk on good ground..Perhaps he just had that one decet run,but the only time has run on slower ground it won,out of a very average sire in Camacho the stats are very poor on good or faster ground,but when on softer and heavy ground the look far better..So at the pruces will hope the ground brings the ayr form back certainly was ging aay at ayr over 5fs so it looked on that run that 6fs would suit,speculatuve but at pruces then worth a small bet..just four pound higher than the win..