Daily picks.

Multis got ruined by the rain at bath,did the form on gd/fm have avoided those recently was due one so frustrating..


Chelmsford 6.50

Lawmaking 16/1 hills/ppower/sportsbook/skybet 14/1 365

Thoroughly exposed Lawmaking 7yr ol,stuck around low to mid 80s wins in his turn has plenty of decent placed form in this grade and even slightly better,and two runs here over c/d been 3/1 unlucky loser when third july 2019 here and then won off 82 next time out in this grade..both those runs were in first and second time pieces..A couple of respectable runs in 0-90s at kempton,bit outclassed,then scudamore tried him over the stick no good,came back in june decent fourth to Al Erayg at Newcastle,then tailed off forst poor run in a longwhoile,maybe a bad omen but did notice a visor and blinkers have been on for those two runs,yet its best recent runs were with the pieces when 1/3,back to its c/d win tomorrow off 83 only a pound higher than the win..Bit to p[rove now,but on last seasons form it couldn't be biger than 7-8/1 in this race..
 
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gigilo said:
Wolves 7.45


Calm down 11/4 4 places 5/2 365


A poor race over 1m 1 1/2fs at wolves,very little worthwhile form in the race and it looks likely the favourite Calm Down will go off very short unless the other couple of three year olds are anygood in the race,which they might be impossible to know..Calm downs had four runs,shown nothing tlll last tun in a handicap on gd/fm ground at windsor that was a 0-70 for all age groups,finished fifth beaten 2 3/4ls off 55 wasn't fancied so perhaps not expected..Tomorrow a 0-55 with Murphy riding,if non of those are expected to improve will go off very short..Sire Intello 17% strike rate on Tapeta and over this trip 5/9,guaranteed free bet if not betting it ew..the negative as always the carpark draw in 12..


some small ew multiples unsure of what ground will be si small stakes..

wolves 5.35



Lequinto 6/1 hills/365/victor 11/2 sky/sportsbook/ppower

A 0-75 over the 7fs at wolves,Tony Carroll purchase from Ireland and last time out over tomorriws c/d ran brst ever race this grade coming second,first five places filled by 3yr olds,striictly on form didn't look anything special but was a second quicker than the other division.. That seemed out of lone with previous form,he has also got behind in races and hung a few times,so would not be a strong pick till he privrs that he doesn't do that again,but obvious ew chances on that last run..Favourite lead singer has only had two runs,the haydock maiden it ran in on debut has thrown up some 80-90 rated horses,he's been given a mark of 73 could be anything out of kingman..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!The clock never lies!!!


Bath 3.0


Capla Spirit 5/1 victor/365 generally Zulu Zander 9/2 ppower/sportsbook

Am not sure of the ground at Bath whatever do not want to see any rain,says good am hoping it will be be nearer gd/fm by racetime for this 3yr old sprint handicap for horses rated upto 70..Capla Spirit is rated 71,Tyler heard takes off seven down to 64 never won on turf from fuve runs,but
was third to Agent Shiftwell and recent winner Sur Mer same class race off 70,not a great price but obvious place chances,quite like the look of
we're united a thirteen runner maiden ran well enough over 6fs at Leicester in this grade,wouldn't rule put and may drift to a big price..Very little to find with fav on collateral form..Zulu Zander c/d winner doesn't win too often,a second here to Indian Sounds off 70 earlier in the season in a 0-72,runs off two pound lower obvious ew chances..

4.0


By My Side 15/2 generally

Nothing more than a small ew bet in a compwtitve could be informative handicap for mainly improving 3yr olds,By My Side six runs last two runs looks to have been improvement,won over 1m2fs at Sandown beating Gonna Dancealot,that ones gone on to be runner upto the improving Ice Sprite in a 0-85..Then last time out only second of six on fast ground at Windsor beaten easily by Almareekh by 5ls although that was a 0-100 and had Squelch just behind it,that one had won a 0-90 by 6ls on previous run..So many ope to improvent in the race,some of these could be anything but this does have some decent form and may still improve itself.
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Ascot Friday 5.20


Triggered 25/1 hillls.20/1 365 16/1 skybet/betway/betfred/888/victor 14/1 unibet/ppower.

Unsure of what ground will be at ascot tomorrow,a massive competitve field guessing the draw as well hopefully the ground will be good on the straight track Triggered doesn't have soft in its form anywhere currently saus gd/sft gd in places hopefully good by the off..He's won two races back in 2018 an inconsistent profile,joined Mark Loughnane from Ed Walker had four runs with him,the first three very respectable 4/4/8 off marks of 87,86,85 first run 4th in a 0-88 at Haydock 4th to Wentworth in a 0-90 at Donny,both better races than tomorrow then was 8th at York..That run was not as good as previous two runs missed the break and switched too stands side was a bit better than the 4ls beaten..The haydock run and the York run the ground was verging on gd/sft,nit really knowing till Ascot start hoew the ground will be the straight tracjk may actually be faster than those two runs,but won't know till into the card..Looking at the Donny run faster ground and better clsss race,,then to show his absolute best then gd/fm would be preferable,he went off 9/1 last time out tomotrrow 25/1 any of those three rus woould entitle him to be 8-9/1 in this 0-85..The other? is the draw he's in 17 so no choice to stay where he is,i might have a bet on the otherside as well,this looks a monster trade to me,if other books open same prices as no way its going off 25/1..runs off 81 lowest mark since its last win.

Rain showers now at ascot,ffs useless this weather,will keep an eye on the times of first two races tomorrow both 6f races see whst times they record.
 
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gigilo said:
Ascot Friday 5.20


Triggered 25/1 hillls.20/1 365 16/1 skybet/betway/betfred/888/victor 14/1 unibet/ppower.

Unsure of what ground will be at ascot tomorrow,a massive competitve field guessing the draw as well hopefully the ground will be good on the straight track Triggered doesn't have soft in its form anywhere currently saus gd/sft gd in places hopefully good by the off..He's won two races back in 2018 an inconsistent profile,joined Mark Loughnane from Ed Walker had four runs with him,the first three very respectable 4/4/8 off marks of 87,86,85 first run 4th in a 0-88 at Haydock 4th to Wentworth in a 0-90 at Donny,both better races than tomorrow then was 8th at York..That run was not as good as previous two runs missed the break and switched too stands side was a bit better than the 4ls beaten..The haydock run and the York run the ground was verging on gd/sft,nit really knowing till Ascot start hoew the ground will be the straight tracjk may actually be faster than those two runs,but won't know till into the card..Looking at the Donny run faster ground and better clsss race,,then to show his absolute best then gd/fm would be preferable,he went off 9/1 last time out tomotrrow 25/1 any of those three rus woould entitle him to be 8-9/1 in this 0-85..The other? is the draw he's in 17 so no choice to stay where he is,i might have a bet on the otherside as well,this looks a monster trade to me,if other books open same prices as no way its going off 25/1..runs off 81 lowest mark since its last win.

Rain showers now at ascot,ffs useless this weather,will keep an eye on the times of first two races tomorrow both 6f races see whst times they record.
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Smashed into 15/2 as expected,won a few quid tradiong but had no chance as soon as they shunned the stands side previous race was obvioous what was going to happen and the 1 draw wins,was dropped out last and then came nearest the standside was miles behind beaten 3ls,25/1 was a stupid pruce if the ground hadn't been slow,jusr ruined the race one for nexttime..

I think the jocks are wrong as well,they've run up tthe middle on the last race on the card ywt they've still only run 1 second quicker than the two maiden winners on theor first runs,the first winner was on the stsnds side rail..You would expect a big difference in times if that were the case,i hope someone stats on nearside rail tomorrow a front runner as that still looks the place to be despite that result the front runners took them over there today annoyingly..
 
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Over the last 4/5 days all meetings goings given as good/gdsft then changed to good Ascot,York,Musselburugh and all of them gd/sft so you are throwing money awat unles laying off the next day,similar thing again tomorrow at both lingfield and windsor good/gdsft,i will have some small bets but definitely want good ground at worst..1/2 stakes

Lingfield 1.0

Ashazuri 10/1 victor/hills Added in Torochica 10/1

An ultra competutve 0-75 over 1m2fs Ashazuri thoroughly exposed,looking at the race there look at least better handicapped horses Power of States,Jack D'or,Five Helmets and Torochica so maybe only 4tth or 5th best in anyway and they have all been backed..Am hoping on fast ground and just the experience of the track,Tyler Saunders hasn't rode him since last season and won on him both times in 2019,runs off 66 with claim tomorrow,runner upto Awesomedude penultimate run,that won ogf 82 today at york,but that wss on fast ground at Sandown..Could only be a token bet,hoping that ground dries and others don't handle the track..Torochica back out to 10/1 this morning was third at Sandown when had Ashazuir behind,hopefully if one bombs out then the other will hit the frame,been dropped four pound since that third in a 0-80..Another small stakes interest.

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!A little beauty,and Ashazuri never ran thankfully played up,that Sandown form was the best form and once the ground change was confoirmed with the lovely little drift,they stood out the others mmentioned prefer slightly slower ground,what a tiuch,probably did us a faviyr Ashazuri not running as they are both front runners..


3.0


Silver Cliffs 5/2 365

Silver Cliffs looks a horrible ride only five runs has abiliuty as when shown at Sandown in a 0-70 6th beaten 3 1/2ls not getting a clear run,flopped on next run then at Yarmouth was 4th,got in all sorts of trouble then ran on strongly ar finish..That was a very poor race,is a short price consiodering running astyle misses break which here if runners come stands side becomes impossible to come from behind..Will be interesting to see if the can ride more posituvely as the 7 draw would be bad if missed the break,probably best horse in the race if gets away on level terms.

What a farce that was deliberate,i should know better i said in wrute up whst would haopen but was non trier anyway..



4.0


Glencora 7/1 365

Glencora shown nothing on four aw runs,then one run at Yarmouth over 7fs in a 0-70 the ground was on the slow side so might have to prove itself on the ground tomorrow,she has a similar running style to Silver Cliffs gets behind but finished full of running at yarmouth in that race,probably the second best horse in the race..Again drawn in 4 will be all about the rail and if front runners dominate,i suspecr the rail will dominate especially if ground drys out..strangely she went off 25/1 in her next race at Kempton after that run,either they have no confidence in her or were waiting for a race similar to this,she's down four pound from the yarmouth race.Obvious ew chances on that run..


Windsor 5.30


Dhabyah 2/1 hills/365

Impossible to know how good these are so lightly raced looks like a decent maiden,Dhabyah beat Coconut on debut at haydock that ones rated 85 although all its form was in maidens beaten miles at Ascot on saturday,the time at haydock looked good though compared to the class 4 handicap on the card was 1.8 seconds quicker..It looks at least a 90 horse but the others are so lightly raced from Gosden and Stoutes they could be anything,but can't really see this being 2/1 so free bet in there will be 6/4 tops..


6.0

Grinling 6/1 365 Eastend Girl 9/2 generally

Grinling has run here three times won a poor race off 67,then was third to Buriram on softer ground in a 0-85 then second to Labeebb third yesterday in the class 2 at ascot,so its form looks solid maybe not going to be progressing but dropped into a 0-75 as long as ground isn't too quick decent place chances..
Eastendgirl progressing slightly,just the five runs,won a weak race at Chepstow then was fourth of seven at Sandown beaten a length staying on,the fourth and fifth have come out of that race and ran well in better class races,tomorrow though will be faster ground by the looks and that will be a big ? sire Youmzain poor stats on faster ground although very small sample so far..again only a small fancy.



6.30


Diva Kareem 13/2 victor/unibet 6/1 generally Casa Loupi 11/2 hills

Csa Loupi went off 100/1 on handicap debut last time out,just the four runs stepped up in trip to 1m2 1/2fs at sandown in a 0-90 beaten 4 3/4ls slightly stopped in run,if taken at face value then would look a strong favourite with improvement to come dropped back into a 0-65..Think it's hard to take at face value..Sire stats aren't great at the track either in terms of winners and trip,but race is weak so hard not to give it a chance infact i would be willing to give it another chance or two especially if the ground ends up really quick..That seems unlikely but might be better on softer ground..
Diva Kareem got beat here in a 0-60 last time out going off favourite,won't be winning on that form,previous to that had run a decent sixth at sandown over 1m2fs,but its best run was at bath when second to lovers gait in a 0-70..That winner has since run on to be fourth to Tronada in a
0-80 with the horse in third Rock Of Fame coming second,there maybe an angle with the ground for Diva Kareem that race was on faster ground then its previous runs..Hopefully by racetime tomorrow the track will be gd/gdfm,it was definitely a big improvement on all its other runs..These two could completely bomb out even though they appear to have some of the best form,leaving loads at big prces,have taken a look to see if somethings worth adding,.But just having a quick glance the John Flint horse Gravity Wave although exposed has loads of form in this grade and even better,fourth at Epsom over 1m4fs in a 0-80 and a second to Blue Medici in a 0-70 going off 6/1..Hasn't run for 12 months so lot to ask but jock Imogen Mathias rode him last three runs won on him next run in an amateur riders second, and then was third on him similar race at Carlisle,if at best could run well..Also Could Couldn't She,c/d winner exposed but runs the same sort of races would have every chance of placing at the very least especially if the unexposed ones flop..

7.0


Visichio 18/1 victor/ppower/sportsbook

Historical has the best recent piece of form,third at Beverley over 1m4fs in a 0-75,probably needs to repeat that run on faster ground and by far the most likeliest winner,Double Reflection is interesting Appleby took it off Karl Burke last November quite interesting he has had it on the aw never done anything and so got its turf mark down to 58,when he got it of Burke it was rated 70..It was only April 2019 it was rated 82 on the turf,it has been second here over c/d off 68 in the past and although a regressive profile with claimer taking off another five tomorrow down to just 53 and maybe preferable faster ground might bounce back..
Vischios only had seven runs a couple of decent runs and the others abysmal and inexplicable,would only be a token pick after its last couple of runs one run here over c/d second off 68 in a fillies handicap,a 0-70 maybe one for in running leads its races and last three just tamely fading away..Drawn 1 tomorrow,bound to trade lower even if shows nothing at finish..Has been running poorly,but might just get a nice trade in running.
 
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Newcastle 5.50


Spantik 8/1 365

Not a lot of form to go on low grade 0-60 1m2fs,Spantik won a maoden race in Aufust 2019 got a rating of 78 when he went to Roger Fell has run on this surfaace before in a 0-75 eighth beaten 4ls off 75 that was only back in June,looked like was staying on at finish..Since then been running on the turf just looking not goofd enoiugh in 0-75s and 0-70s,being stepped up in trip showing nothing but being one paced and staying on although beaten over a dozen lengths on those starts..Tomorrow back at Newcastle off just 61,a more realistic mark and into a class 6 for the first time,Hanagan booked may run a bit better in this grade..


8.20


Pearl of Qatar 15/2 victor/sportsbook/ppower generally 7/1 4 places betfred Calins Lad 11/1 victor/sky 10/1 365 generally 4 places betfred

An open big field 6f sprint on the straight a 0-60,Pearl Of Qatar is a c/d winner hard to win with rarely runs two races the same last run here was in October 2019 won off 57 in this grade a 0-60 drawn in 14 off 55 then has an ew chance..Run some decent races this season but ran terrible last time out.
Cailins lad has been an eyecatcher a few times,punters think he's been a non trier on a couple if runs, but Appleby got rid of him now with Ben Haslam and has done the same thing with him,was fourth in a 0-70 in March when an enquiry of running placed third..He's just a horrible ride i t even though plenty of ability,was eighth of eleven in june over 5fs here but that trip was too short and staying on under hands n heels..Then just to prove the point pieces were put on last time out on the turf and he reared in stalls raceover,obviously unreliable but has yet to run over 6fs on the aw in a 0-60 ew chances if Haslams trying with him..maybe some forecasts with short priced fav Arnold.
 
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gigilo said:
Over the last 4/5 days all meetings goings given as good/gdsft then changed to good Ascot,York,Musselburugh and all of them gd/sft so you are throwing money awat unles laying off the next day,similar thing again tomorrow at both lingfield and windsor good/gdsft,i will have some small bets but definitely want good ground at worst..1/2 stakes

Lingfield 1.0

Ashazuri 10/1 victor/hills Added in Torochica 10/1

An ultra competutve 0-75 over 1m2fs Ashazuri thoroughly exposed,looking at the race there look at least better handicapped horses Power of States,Jack D'or,Five Helmets and Torochica so maybe only 4tth or 5th best in anyway and they have all been backed..Am hoping on fast ground and just the experience of the track,Tyler Saunders hasn't rode him since last season and won on him both times in 2019,runs off 66 with claim tomorrow,runner upto Awesomedude penultimate run,that won ogf 82 today at york,but that wss on fast ground at Sandown..Could only be a token bet,hoping that ground dries and others don't handle the track..Torochica back out to 10/1 this morning was third at Sandown when had Ashazuir behind,hopefully if one bombs out then the other will hit the frame,been dropped four pound since that third in a 0-80..Another small stakes interest.

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!A little beauty,and Ashazuri never ran thankfully played up,that Sandown form was the best form and once the ground change was confoirmed with the lovely little drift,they stood out the others mmentioned prefer slightly slower ground,what a tiuch,probably did us a faviyr Ashazuri not running as they are both front runners..


3.0


Silver Cliffs 5/2 365

Silver Cliffs looks a horrible ride only five runs has abiliuty as when shown at Sandown in a 0-70 6th beaten 3 1/2ls not getting a clear run,flopped on next run then at Yarmouth was 4th,got in all sorts of trouble then ran on strongly ar finish..That was a very poor race,is a short price consiodering running astyle misses break which here if runners come stands side becomes impossible to come from behind..Will be interesting to see if the can ride more posituvely as the 7 draw would be bad if missed the break,probably best horse in the race if gets away on level terms.

What a farce that was deliberate,i should know better i said in wrute up whst would haopen but was non trier anyway..



4.0


Glencora 7/1 365

Glencora shown nothing on four aw runs,then one run at Yarmouth over 7fs in a 0-70 the ground was on the slow side so might have to prove itself on the ground tomorrow,she has a similar running style to Silver Cliffs gets behind but finished full of running at yarmouth in that race,probably the second best horse in the race..Again drawn in 4 will be all about the rail and if front runners dominate,i suspecr the rail will dominate especially if ground drys out..strangely she went off 25/1 in her next race at Kempton after that run,either they have no confidence in her or were waiting for a race similar to this,she's down four pound from the yarmouth race.Obvious ew chances on that run..

Placed as write up..draw


Windsor 5.30


Dhabyah 2/1 hills/365

Impossible to know how good these are so lightly raced looks like a decent maiden,Dhabyah beat Coconut on debut at haydock that ones rated 85 although all its form was in maidens beaten miles at Ascot on saturday,the time at haydock looked good though compared to the class 4 handicap on the card was 1.8 seconds quicker..It looks at least a 90 horse but the others are so lightly raced from Gosden and Stoutes they could be anything,but can't really see this being 2/1 so free bet in there will be 6/4 tops..

Goes off evens shouldv'e sluiced up beaten on the nod..


6.0

Grinling 6/1 365 Eastend Girl 9/2 generally

Grinling has run here three times won a poor race off 67,then was third to Buriram on softer ground in a 0-85 then second to Labeebb third yesterday in the class 2 at ascot,so its form looks solid maybe not going to be progressing but dropped into a 0-75 as long as ground isn't too quick decent place chances..
Eastendgirl progressing slightly,just the five runs,won a weak race at Chepstow then was fourth of seven at Sandown beaten a length staying on,the fourth and fifth have come out of that race and ran well in better class races,tomorrow though will be faster ground by the looks and that will be a big ? sire Youmzain poor stats on faster ground although very small sample so far..again only a small fancy.

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Grinling won easy,waste of a bet the other especially with 7 runners



6.30


Diva Kareem 13/2 victor/unibet 6/1 generally Casa Loupi 11/2 hills

Csa Loupi went off 100/1 on handicap debut last time out,just the four runs stepped up in trip to 1m2 1/2fs at sandown in a 0-90 beaten 4 3/4ls slightly stopped in run,if taken at face value then would look a strong favourite with improvement to come dropped back into a 0-65..Think it's hard to take at face value..Sire stats aren't great at the track either in terms of winners and trip,but race is weak so hard not to give it a chance infact i would be willing to give it another chance or two especially if the ground ends up really quick..That seems unlikely but might be better on softer ground..
Diva Kareem got beat here in a 0-60 last time out going off favourite,won't be winning on that form,previous to that had run a decent sixth at sandown over 1m2fs,but its best run was at bath when second to lovers gait in a 0-70..That winner has since run on to be fourth to Tronada in a
0-80 with the horse in third Rock Of Fame coming second,there maybe an angle with the ground for Diva Kareem that race was on faster ground then its previous runs..Hopefully by racetime tomorrow the track will be gd/gdfm,it was definitely a big improvement on all its other runs..These two could completely bomb out even though they appear to have some of the best form,leaving loads at big prces,have taken a look to see if somethings worth adding,.But just having a quick glance the John Flint horse Gravity Wave although exposed has loads of form in this grade and even better,fourth at Epsom over 1m4fs in a 0-80 and a second to Blue Medici in a 0-70 going off 6/1..Hasn't run for 12 months so lot to ask but jock Imogen Mathias rode him last three runs won on him next run in an amateur riders second, and then was third on him similar race at Carlisle,if at best could run well..Also Could Couldn't She,c/d winner exposed but runs the same sort of races would have every chance of placing at the very least especially if the unexposed ones flop..

Moores horse goes off crazy prices Diva Kareem hated the ground needs it quick up had a nice little saver on Couldn't couldn't she got 20/1 just a bad race crazy prices on winner sp 16/1..

7.0


Visichio 18/1 victor/ppower/sportsbook

Historical has the best recent piece of form,third at Beverley over 1m4fs in a 0-75,probably needs to repeat that run on faster ground and by far the most likeliest winner,Double Reflection is interesting Appleby took it off Karl Burke last November quite interesting he has had it on the aw never done anything and so got its turf mark down to 58,when he got it of Burke it was rated 70..It was only April 2019 it was rated 82 on the turf,it has been second here over c/d off 68 in the past and although a regressive profile with claimer taking off another five tomorrow down to just 53 and maybe preferable faster ground might bounce back..
Vischios only had seven runs a couple of decent runs and the others abysmal and inexplicable,would only be a token pick after its last couple of runs one run here over c/d second off 68 in a fillies handicap,a 0-70 maybe one for in running leads its races and last three just tamely fading away..Drawn 1 tomorrow,bound to trade lower even if shows nothing at finish..Has been running poorly,but might just get a nice trade in running.
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A great day but some frustrating rides,shouldv'e won Vischio but jock decides to hold it just off the pace and then finishing strongly,a great ew bet but wouldv'e made a monster day..another great start to the week though..
 
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Kempton 4.05

Urban Highway 12/1 365 11/1 victor/skybet 10/1 generally

Tony Carroll has two runners in this the fav,well handicapped on irish form even though a thirteen race maiden,was rated 64 at one point and now rated 51 Franny Norton rides,it's an absolutely abysmal race for horses rated upto 55 over 6fs..He has another runner Urban Highway,it's drawn in the carpark in 11 and has Elisha Whittington riding,but might be worth following for a couple of runs,only 1/19 wins that was on the turf off 62 september 2019 and has had four aw runs three here at kempton.Was third off 63 over 7fs and has had a sixth and a fourth,best run was when fourth in October 2019 running off 68 in a 0-70 here hampered beaten only 4ls,on that form would be favourute to win this..but loads of poor runs since and mark has plummeted to just 53 and Elisha Whittington takes off another five,fiften pound lower than that good run last season..
A glimmer of form last time out at Goodwood fifth of eleven at Goodwood in a 0-70,looks good on paper but was on desperate heavy ground everything looks against it but after that run will have to give it a couple of chances..off current mark.

12/1 generally


Wolves 5.10

Source of Weatlh 25/1 365 genereally 20/1 this morning,doesn't look promising

I have no doubt that Source of Wealth is well handicapped but it might need fast turf and a stiff 5fs,on debut ran at Hamilton over 5fs they had the ging as gd/sft which it wasn't the winning time was only .75 above standard for a 2yr old maiden back in June,it was good at worst..slightly outpaced and then running on strongly undoubtedly the second best horse in the race..The second Miss Milbys rated 71 the winner Blackberry rated 83,time comparisons were interesting on the card,this was a fillies race and the following race for stallions winner and runner up both now rated 85 that race only .19 quicker..that was a decent maiden as well the stallions race..Then the following class 4 handicap for horses rated upto
78 was only .10 quicker than the fillies race that was for older horses as well..
Source of Wealth went back to hamilton twice after that,one was on gd/sft and one was on soft the other gd/sft went off 11/1o favourute last run beaten 10ls,switching to Tapeta tomorrow sire stats are ok on surface 16% but over 6fs just 1/23,tomorrow gets to run off 69 with claimer taking off five pound..It's debut run suggests by times and the way it finished it could well be high 70s,but knowing trip it needs and knowing that decent turf ground suits..i will follow it for a few runs but it may even struggle to get its ground this season..Interesting runner on current mark,as per has a poor draw as well..Will surely be heavily backed at current prices if stable think surface will suit as the apprentice with 14% strike rate,if not will follow for awhile/

16/1 generally..
 
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gigilo said:
Newcastle 5.50


Spantik 8/1 365

Not a lot of form to go on low grade 0-60 1m2fs,Spantik won a maoden race in Aufust 2019 got a rating of 78 when he went to Roger Fell has run on this surfaace before in a 0-75 eighth beaten 4ls off 75 that was only back in June,looked like was staying on at finish..Since then been running on the turf just looking not goofd enoiugh in 0-75s and 0-70s,being stepped up in trip showing nothing but being one paced and staying on although beaten over a dozen lengths on those starts..Tomorrow back at Newcastle off just 61,a more realistic mark and into a class 6 for the first time,Hanagan booked may run a bit better in this grade..

Second runs into one,..nice place pruces though


8.20


Pearl of Qatar 15/2 victor/sportsbook/ppower generally 7/1 4 places betfred Calins Lad 11/1 victor/sky 10/1 365 generally 4 places betfred

An open big field 6f sprint on the straight a 0-60,Pearl Of Qatar is a c/d winner hard to win with rarely runs two races the same last run here was in October 2019 won off 57 in this grade a 0-60 drawn in 14 off 55 then has an ew chance..Run some decent races this season but ran terrible last time out.
Cailins lad has been an eyecatcher a few times,punters think he's been a non trier on a couple if runs, but Appleby got rid of him now with Ben Haslam and has done the same thing with him,was fourth in a 0-70 in March when an enquiry of running placed third..He's just a horrible ride i t even though plenty of ability,was eighth of eleven in june over 5fs here but that trip was too short and staying on under hands n heels..Then just to prove the point pieces were put on last time out on the turf and he reared in stalls raceover,obviously unreliable but has yet to run over 6fs on the aw in a 0-60 ew chances if Haslams trying with him..maybe some forecasts with short priced fav Arnold.
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Probably unlucky loser Cailins lad isolated on far side,must have traded low another decent place,Pearl Of Qatar N/R
 
Small stakes betting on the smaller cards am hoping that for once they get the going right and there's actually no slow ground like they've been doing all week like today at Donny,Sandown and Chester all racing on far slower ground than forecast..If there's no rain at these two meetings them may see some faster ground,presuming they havn't out the wrong goings up again..





Lingfield 2.45


Lady Isabel 14/1 sportsbook/ppower/victor


Will have a token bet on this as well,definitely one i will be following in low grade races,just get the feeling with all top trainers in here with unexposed horses,tiscould turn out to be a strong race for the grade as not a great deal of form to go on and even though she showed promise
Lady Isabel,might have to wait for a lower grade race but maybe the same pruces..She had previously shiwn nothing,then last time out at windsor was under pressure 1/2mile out,looked beat but then picked up again to be nearest finsh..That race was over 1m2fs at Windsor in a 0-70,staying on in sixth same grade tomorrow but the race is chicca full of unexposed horses,and she gets first time peces although she got a two pound drop fior that run now down to 63..Jpseph Parrs looking a bit of shrewdy has had five winners from 23 runners ad a trauner too follow for the furture longterm as well..












5.0


Magical Ride 8/1 victor/ppower/sportsbook

Magical Raide the most exposed runner in the field,although is 4/11 on turf last win was was by 7ls off 80 that was a 0-75 hasn't won since that race in August 2019,came back this season running in very competitve sprints,a fourth to Aljady in a 0-95 at windsor,got left 8ls ran on ok but never going to win in that grade..Ran in another 0-95 at windsor still respectable run,both those runs on gd/fm ground which all its best form is on..Last time out ran at Chester ground was very slow,ran better than appeated seemed to be making some ground when stopped in run,again would never have won but might've been 3-4ls better than the 8ls beaten..Has huge weight tomorrow dropping in class,on a mark of 85 in a 0-85,running against some unexposded runners,a lot to ask but at least drops in class and first time visor..hard to find anything of any confodence in the race as some are so lightly raced,another one of the welterwieghts The Cruising Lord, decent 6f horse was thid to Wentworth Fslls off 92 in june,staying on at Donny has never run over this trip probably just a sprinter but he alsoo ran well behind Mafgical ride in the race behind Aljady,looked beat pushed wide but still looked as though staying on..Guessing but runs off just 84 and also likes fast ground,if that's what they race on..


6.0

Rock Icon 11/1 hills/betfred 12/1 victor/ppower/sportsbook What An Angel 6/1 365/hills

A veteran Rock Icon,has changed trainers eight times i don't know the horses history but obviously must be a nightmare to train and is now with Chelsea Banham had one run for here here in this grade,ran a great race when out the back of the field stopped in running,the switching wide to finish in a three wat photo an unlucky loser..That was a weaker race than this but gets the claimer taking off 7 tomorrow,would looka decent ew bet on that run but he is obviouslt thoroughly unreliable,alsi josh quinn is booked unsre what this claimer does as only three rides in 2020..hopeful more than confident..
What An Angel also a little exposed compared to interesting 3yr olds in the race,has never won on turf infact only win was last time out on the aw at kempton seen running in simlilar races to this mainly 0-75s,a few formilnes through some races at sandown in 0-75s suggest there's very little between What An Angel and Dourado tomorrow..Dourado does have a better draw in 9 so maybe worth a saver althoigh hasn't won since 2018,is always there or there abouts,hard to see it running a terrible race and is a c/d winner..and lowest ever mark..you could swop tthis with What An Angel if doing multiples as i have no real preference...between the three it maybe the Hannon horse has a bad draw so watch earlier races as in 2..


Musselburugh

3.30


Full Of Sass 8/1 365

As mentioned hopefully gd/fm or near enough on the straight track,Full Of Sass has run two decet races and both on quicker ground one was in a 6f maiden,the other was a nusery at Redcar fir horses rated upto 75..That was a weak race for the gradebut she did finish second and she had Harswell Ptrince behind tomorrows fav in the race..Then she ran at Ayr on what was soft ground,says good but race was slow by 4.4 seconds as opposed to the slow by .26 at thirsk 5f race..Harswell Prince beat her in the Ayr race and is better off at the weights..she's probably an unlikely winner Dods Johnson and Smart have runners,Prudhoe ran a respectable time at Hamilton looks well in off 61 and the Johnson horse been in the frame last five runs,looks hard to keep out of the frame again..maybe the obvious one as back to faster ground may suit..The johnson horse is drawn 7 Full of Sass 6 hopefully that will be an advantage,has been the last few meetings..The Dods horse Scarboroughdebut is drawn 8 he came seventh of eight at donny on debut the first six have all won lowest rated is 74 and the winner won the Flying Childers today and this ones running off just 59,two weaker runs on slower going could be chucked in off 59..Might try some forecasts savers on draws,as long as no rain.

4.35


Dapper Man 5/1 365 Royal Brave 11/1 generally 12/1 skybet/betfred/betway

Was hoping to see bigger for Dapper Man as stable totally put of form couldv'e easily been bigger after lots of poor runs,so maybe on a non trier but is in right grade,was recently third of five here in a 0-80 beaten a length,tomorrow drops into 0-70 has the 11 draw and its wins have mainly come on decent ground.running off lowest mark since may 2018...Not a horse i can ever remember betting.
The other Royal Brave reached it's highest ever mark last season of 91,very strange as an older horse improved 2018 season,but now on big decline just as quick,plummeted to just 64 lowest since its first ever season in 2014,hard to believe really..Has run here a few times lately,a fourth to Gowanbuster off 72 beaten 3 1/4ls split Longroom and Economic crisis they have both won since,Royal Braves well in with them on that run,looks thorougly unreliable but what might suit is the ground if its very quick..Really needs a pace collapse hasn't happenred here recently,but still has ew chances..Amazing Alba is flying there were two 5f races on the card last time out and hers was quicker than than this grade,even though she was only winning a 0-60 a poor draw tomorrow,but would not be surprised if she ran well again.
6.45


Cindy Looper 12/1 365 9/1 victor/unibet 8/1 hills/

Cindy loopers has had eight runs,glimmers of form in a couple of her early runs getting a mark in mid 50s,encountered fast ground for the first time penultimate run when second at Redcar over 7fs,she led that race off a mark of 52 the race was a 0-62 so slightky better than tomorrows race..She then went back to softer ground and over 6fs,so back to hopefully quick ground tomorrow from the 2 draw would have decent ew chances if she can repeat it..


Looks like have got done by the going reports again,musselburughs supposed to be gd/fm the first race was slow by over 3 seconds just ridiculous same at lingfield,i don't know whats going on with these going reports they are a joke all my forms based on fast ground..Thought it seemed off the last one at musselburugh hadn't shortened considering its only decent run was on fast ground..i'm trying to fins out if tracks have been watered but that time at musselvburugh has jusr wiped out my bets and maybe lingfoeld..Harswell price just got touvhed off in the first at musselbutugh and loves soft groynd,full of sass never led has led every race its run in..ridiculous..
The first two races all slow by 3 seconds and then economic cristis softt ground horse beats major pusey,am amzed royal brave even got in the frame,i just ca't understand hoe they have gd/fm on the track when the ground is at best gd/sft maybe sot,its absolutely nuts..no wonder cindy lopper drifted and eldebar got backed,what a complete farce that was today..Usually musselburugh are spot on,especially the straight track 8.4 on going stick unless its been watered or rained..
 
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Wolves 6.20


Critical Thinking 14/1 365

Don't think i've ever backed thios horse when winning,had 60 races no wins in 12 n the turf but 7 on the aw from 48,runs off a mark of 61 lowest since may 2018 most of the wins coming over 7fs,so a 0-60 7fs race wouldv'e looked good after its last run..Went off 40/1 finishing 4th in a 0-75 off 62 LTO beaten 2 1/2ls,time was similar to the first div on same card so ran well,tomorrow steps upto 1m1/2 nowhere near as good over this trip last run here was poor over this distance and previous to that was second in a 0-65 over this trip..That was a 0-65 but beaten 5ls but was a very weak race running off 59 tomorrow off 61 with claimer taking off 5,just looks worth a small bet although i suspect he might halve in price so probably a decent trade in there..Worth noting for return to 7fs,as this isn't its best trip..
Scoffsman would be interesting if fit 287 days off just the nine runs not won on the aw but a decent third here in a better race last season,actually went off 3/1 favourite when last seen and refused to race,has dropped himself out a couple of times as well,obvious ability and would have a very decent ew chance if fit and actually came out of the stalls..
 
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Watering so will be small stakes as done form on gd/fm ground..




Thirsk 1.15


Victory Heights 5/2 Billian 11/4

Will be disappointing if one of these doesn't win although always a bit eyecatching when entered in these auction stakes races instead of something far better,Victory heights is a good example only three runs and a wind op already so there msybe a ?..The other Billian won at Beverley on secod run,the time of the race only .03 slower than the class 4 for older horses,if victory heights doesn't turn up then this would be the one on that form..Both decent places at prices...

My suspivcions were right,although betting them ew was small loss 71 rated the winner,beaten sh/hd and a nck sps 13/8 and 15/8 some great trades on these..



1.45


Air To Air 5/2 365 betfred 4 places Babe Alicious 9/1 generally 4 places betfred


A 0-70 nursery over 7fs a bit of a guessing game,Air To Air got left on debut at wolves made loads of ground up even though still beaten 6ls but was respectable first run was upsoides recent winner that hacked up at wolves recently Denzils Laughing won off 60 but hacked up on sunday..
Then on second run again at Chelmsford dwelt again making late ground into fourth,the fifth won next time out Faustus,doesn't look chucked in off 66 but the trip looks right suspect it may drift as horses that top the weights have better form but on soft ground..
Babe Alicious just the two runs,a decent debut at Cateririck gave the field 8ls start and not given a hard race,finished a nk behind a horse that has since finisghed second in a handicap,looked far better than that form,then next time out ran at Hamilton set an impossible task beaten over 7ls but over 5fs again and on soft ground..That looked a decent race the first two were newcomers but the third Burning Cagh was fourth in Flying Childers on saturday..been given a mark of 60 could be well in if trip and ground suit..Think the mark looks decent,but 7fs on fast ground bit of guessing involved.

Ait to air misses break by 5ls,unbelievable today thats three picks all done on the line,ridiculous thankfully i do these ew so only small loss again..no luck today,another monster trade ended up 4/6..


2.50


Spiorad 11/2 generally Club Wexford 20/1 ppower/victor/sportsbook 18/1 skybet/888sport/365


Spiorad just the twelve runs three wins won by 5ls over c/d August 2019 off 79,then won off 84 at thirsk upped in trips in the 90s unplaced twice,
penultimate run was third in a 0-88 at York but flopped here last time out,now back down to 86 in a class 4 forst time since the wins..Not a great pruce based on last run,but right track class and mark..
Club Wexford has been running ok in decent races and on the wrong ground,second to Glasses up off 90 early season in a 0-95 then soft ground runs,gors on soft but not its best srface was even third in a 0-95 at haydock as well off 83 and ran welll considering the chester run was a 0-105 on slow ground beaten 5 1/2ls..Was probably a little better than that form as well,but the last time out at thirsk flopped,the ground looks right timorrow and size of field but i was waiting for the ayr card to be runing won two class 2s there last season..The other big negative Roger Fells having a nightmare season 0/40,so probably worth following Club Wezford for a few runs,and those ayr cards.Dawaleeb doesn't win too often but last time out was third in the race Club Wexford ran in and decent place chances at worst,loads of decent placed form in this grdae and better.Really Club Wexford shouldn't be going off bigger than 6-7/1 if stable expect it to run to form..monster trade..or so it should be.

Farce of a race they go no pace and the total rag win,defintely not trying with club wexford was out the back drifted from 6/1 to 14s on betfair,surprised wasn't entered at Ayr this week maybe it is havn'r chreced,and spoirad came out awkward in the stalls shouldv'e won i really hate redcar bar that one meeting a saturday ago..

3.20


Lady Nectar 7/1 hills Normandy Barriere 7/1 365/hills/skybet/betfred/unibet 7/1 5 places 5 places 15/2 ppower/sportsbook/victor


Lady Nectar looks outclassed on her form but the time she won on gd/fm at thirsk looked decent that day she won easily of 65 carrying 9-5 but her winning time was only .22 slower than Another Batt winning the 0-95,bit to prove now after flopping at Catterick but based on that time in a 0-75 as long as the grounds quick then she should be competitive oiff 73..
Will give Normandy Barriere one chance,i used to back it all the time havn't backed it in recent time has been on the downgrade,hasn't won since
May 2017 but last season was still rated 96,a second to Swindler at Ascot off 87 on fast ground,its always looked a fast ground horse and from what i can see looking at last years times at the tracks the Swindler run was the last time it ran on geunine gd/fm..They ae watering at Redcar but hopefully will be gd/fm by the off giving it this one chance.
 
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gigilo said:
Wolves 6.20


Critical Thinking 14/1 365

Don't think i've ever backed thios horse when winning,had 60 races no wins in 12 n the turf but 7 on the aw from 48,runs off a mark of 61 lowest since may 2018 most of the wins coming over 7fs,so a 0-60 7fs race wouldv'e looked good after its last run..Went off 40/1 finishing 4th in a 0-75 off 62 LTO beaten 2 1/2ls,time was similar to the first div on same card so ran well,tomorrow steps upto 1m1/2 nowhere near as good over this trip last run here was poor over this distance and previous to that was second in a 0-65 over this trip..That was a 0-65 but beaten 5ls but was a very weak race running off 59 tomorrow off 61 with claimer taking off 5,just looks worth a small bet although i suspect he might halve in price so probably a decent trade in there..Worth noting for return to 7fs,as this isn't its best trip..
Scoffsman would be interesting if fit 287 days off just the nine runs not won on the aw but a decent third here in a better race last season,actually went off 3/1 favourite when last seen and refused to race,has dropped himself out a couple of times as well,obvious ability and would have a very decent ew chance if fit and actually came out of the stalls..
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Beverley 5.05


Ifton 7/1 365 Grouseman 7/1 365 betfred 4 places 13/2 sportsbook/ppower/betfred 4 places

Worst race of the day probably,a classified race for horses rated upto 55 faourute Stone Mason could be well in was rated in the 70s at one point now with Appleby tomorrow first time pieces,hard to know what trip suits best ran ok in a 0-65 handicap at Donny staying on one paced,but lasr time out at swell led and didn't stay although a 0-65 beaten 4 1/2ls.. A guessing game but might be worth adding at least for forecasts Tyler heard takes off another three as well it has been in the best races,so obvious favourite at the weights..
Iftona a seventeen runer maiden,but thats how bad this race is but already this season has been third in a 0-60 at leicester,last season had three places two in 0-60s and one in a 0-70 also has a fourth in a 0-75 at kempton going this way round..if it runs to the majority of its form i can't see it being unplaced even if not winning,the obvoous negative Ruth Carrs having a nighmare..
Grouseman five runs,first handicap run was here on fourth run August 12th,not a bad race for the grade a 0-65 staying on beaten 2 1/4ls the third was a previois winner that had beaten Bollin Margaret a winner again yesterday,the winner of that race Jupiter race has won again and the fifth directly behind Grouseman was second next time out in a 0-75..The time of that Beverley race was quicker than the other two c/d handicaps as well,but as with these unreliable types came out and run last at wolves last time out,si back here but this time drops back rtwo furlongs,doesn't look right on the 1m2f run but compared to most in this race was respectable form..Small interesrs in a desperate race.

Got doneover by the watering again boredering on gd/sft why they keep doing it,just ridiculous race was slow by 6 seconds the last time grouseman ran there over 2fs further the race was slow by 2.35 seconds,strubg out like washing a complete farce..good/gdfm the going was yesterdat and they watered it..Just impossible to win when they persist doing this..will be the same all week as well,better off waitung tioll weather rurns on the turf to gd/sft/.
 
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Chelmsford 7.30

Parkncilla 10/1 365 7/1 skybet Amor Fati 9/2 365


Both C/D winners Amor Fati 4/26 on the aw but hasn't won since July 2019 and that was on the turf on the aw April 2019 dropped to lowest mark since winning over C/D in March 2019,Kirby rode it that day and has a record of 1/1/2/2 when riding..The obvious negatives are there to see unreliable,but like last time out should've won a 0-65,probably going to need a decent pace as well,not guaranteed crystal pallas cat will lead and
could do with Jeanette May taking it on..It will be the same for Parkncilla needs them to go quick,for such a lowgrade horse not a bad aw record 2/12
and a couple of places, won back to back races over c/d last season off 49 then 52 but was also second offf 57 and 59 then january was fourth off 62 in a 0-70..Three poor runs after that although ran ok last time out here over inadequate 7fs,staying on in a 0-60,as Amor Fati even though gets the right trip needs a decent pace,Saffie Osborne also rides a negative but does take off 7 on last seasons form would be no bigger than 4/1 to win this race..Nearly all its form last season was in better races than this,hopefully plenty of pace to suit the pair..
 
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As suspected overwatered at ponte although gutted as liked the 1,2 in the last and by then had dried out quite a bit,don't know whats going on at ayr the grounds desperate yet hasn't rained for days i was trying to pre empt the form and do it on gd/gdfm seems highky unlikeky thats going to happen looking at todays times,maybe get good ground by saturday very strange the going there..Can only be small interests,it's that time of year when forms changing and watering good ground in Autumn makes no sense..Another race today a pick gettig left miles Parknacilla sees to be every other race at the minute,luck is desperate and the other Amor Fati traded 1.5 as well..

Ayr 1.40

Invincibly 10/30 victor/hills generally Mcmerry Jim 7/2 victor/hills

Invincibly ran a decent time at redcar beaten by Alpha rose by 3ls, but that had finished second on debut and had previous experience,that was on very slow ground at Thirsk it looks like simlar ground to Ayrs tomorrow,the class three handicap on the card at thirsk was only .80 quicker so it looks like Invincibly sets a decent standard..The other runner maybe one for the future,made its debut at swell to a previous winner and that horse Kool Mee Dee has won again off 77,the time at swell backed this up but the negative is the sire The Last Lion, has had just 1/24 runners very poor very strange for a horse that beat blue point..If this shows nothing tomorrow looks like it will be heading back to fibresand or an other surface..Danny tudhope rides one for michael bell and thats been entered in a group 2so possobly a lot more to come



2.10


Gumdrop 11/2 generally

Looks like fav Wobwobwob was set up for this two weeks,big gamble at Redcar on monday and now entered here off just 68,was 2 1/2ls quicker than an older handicap on the same card gets in here off 68 looks nearer to an 80 horse toi me the sires had 6/34 runners the question mark could be the ground 0/5 on soft but 2/9 on gd/sft looked like soft grounf to me today looks desperate..Maybe a little saver/forecat with Gumdrop/Showalong,Gumdrops looking a little exposed but won a 0-85 at chester by over 3ls,time looked respectable the seconds been placed again and the thirds won a 0-75..Obvious place chances,just a lot of unexposed runners in the race..from top stables.,including the easterby runner showalong i put it up last time out hacked up ar redcar and could be chucked in again on ground it definitely likes,will be surprised of winner doesn't come from these three..


3.20


Last Empire 3/1 sportsbook/ppower Back To Brussels NR now 4/1 365/hills 7/2 generally

Been some shocking results in these sort of races at Ayr in the past listed races for fillies Back to Brussells has just come up a non runner,Last Empire was fourth in this last year as a 3yr old so at least has experience of the track,invariably misses the break..Looks like might be improving two runs on softer ground this season a sixth to liberty beach at Haydock and a second to Dakota Gold in the beverley bullett stand out,needs to not concede too much start..Magical Journey and Queens gift have run well in these listed fillies races before if favourite flops..


4.55


Pacino 6/1 ppower/sportsbook/hills

Vive La Difference maybe have been aimed at this race,was an eyecatcher in the legends race at Donny last week and now runs off just 67,lowest mark since november 2017,was sixth here staying on in a 0-75 last season off 73 now off just 67,easterbys winning everythjng he's running,also Mustaqbal i put up at ripon after a massive eyecatching run here in a better race on simiajr ground..That one if repeating that Ayr form would have ew chances as well,but is drawn in the carpark,Pacino 1/18 on turf never won over the trip but last two from three runs have been in better races a third at haydock in a 0-78 on faster ground and then last time out a second in a 0-80 at chester..The ground there was very soft and similar to tomorrows it has never run well on that ground before so will have to repeat that firm,does look a bit odd but obvious place chances if it does with Billy Garrity taking off another five.


5.25


Cassy 5/2 /betfredhills 4places Ralphy Boy Two 12/1 365 15/2 hills 4 places

Casy O won a 0-85 today at Ayr straight out again tomorrow in weaker race,was actually the first div of two divs and a second quicker,obviously conditions suit so the obvious one to beat presuming it runs,is only two pound higher than when fourth at York in a 0-83,i presume its just the conditions that have benefitted it..just seven lifetime..
Ralphy Boy Two just a 3yr old eleven runs,has run some good races this season sprinting last season second off 71 over 6fs on heavy ground,came back this season and ran fourth of eight at haydock on soft ground in a 0-85,three runs since all respectable 3/2/5 all at Hamilton
3rd in a 078,2nd in a 0-85 on soft ground and 5th in a 0-75 over 1m3fs just too far,off 70 tomorrow in a 0-70 could easily run well as long as it's not a Hamilton or right handed specialist.

4/1 generally




Kempton 5.10

Daphne May 8/1 generally

Bagara is the obvious one if it repeats its Sandown 0-75 run,dropping into just a 0-65,hannon has two in the race so presume this is his main runner and obvious looking favourite...Daphne May from smaller trainer doesn't have many winners but running at 13% and aw 3yr old races 2/9
Daphne May easily beaten last time out at Redcar fourth beaten 5ls but desperate ground,its debut run beaten 4ls at Wolves staying on over 6fs it could be well handicapped time looked ok winner Tattoo is rated 75,the second let the form down in a maiden at wolves last week although was probably as good as this race if not better..The third Cuban Breeze won off 71 at wolves two weeks ago so rated 76 while Daphne May gts in here off just 61,looks a fair mark but when i checked sire stats on the aw although good on Tapeta and Fibresand the stats are poor on this surface and track running at less than 10%..maybe one for notebook back at wolves but will have a small bet just incase takes to it..


8.15


Run After Genesis 15/2 skybet 7/1 generally 4 places Lithario 14/1 sky/sportsbook/ppower

Again have ended picking a carpark draw in Run With Genesis,trainers 0/27 with 4yr olds on the aw this season so plrenty of negatives although he has had 2/5 winners recently Run With Genesis gets to run off lowest mark since winning off 60 over 7fs here back in March 2019 looked a 7f horse till ran over tomorriws c.d when third off 65 in a 0-70 got stopped in run..that was november 2019..Came back from break and ran at lingfield on the turf on straight track,finishing 5th staying on strongly only beaten 1 3/4ls,that was a 0-70 but very weak race,that last c/d run here at kenpton it looks like these 0-65s are his grade or maybe slightky higher 0-70s but the draw is the negative tomorrow..
Lothario 3/14 on the aw and 4 places,0/7 on the turf and 0 places over a mile on the aw is/ 2/6/5/3/1/8/ although hasn't won since August 2019 a 0-75 off 70,this season four runs two on turf and the twi aw runs wrong trips so forgiveable,tomorrow off 65 and that's its lowest mark since march 2019..An interesting runner if anywhere near its best,although again poor draw in 9,at leat in right race and right prices..Takeonefortheeam regular here,been running well 3/19 won off 63 in june over c./d and last time out ran well enough in a 0-75 beaten 3 3/4ls,looks as good as the other two could replace one of those with this one i have no preference as its c/d form is very consistent around 15/2..Edward greatrex rides,hes won on her before over c/d but hasn't rode in recent times on known c/d form these three stand out..

Think i will resign myself to not betting at ayr when the grounds like this,hardky anythigs going on the track most of the horses i did were beat after 3/4fs the ground is so slow it must just be really tacky because the results make absolutely no sense the first winner had 7ls to find on the second and the runner up was having its first run on there...A complete guessing game..
 
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Small stakes for me a few horses at wolves that could run well but have had plenty of chances



Wolves 4.40


Source Of Light 11/4 365 Starseed 10/3 365


I put Source Of Light up last time out here in a handicap,it made its debut at Hamilton beaten 2ls by Blackberry in a really fast time,then came second at hamilton on sifter ground 68 rated horse behind it in third,then went off 11/10 fav on soft ground again.It then came tio wolves off .69 and went off a huge price 28/1,something must have happenred from the debut run the time the form everything about that race was good but two runs later drited to 28/1 from early pruces of 7/1,and tomorrow drops into a seller..Even stranger that the stable havn't even given it another chance on turf on faster griud,that debut run it says the ground was gd/sdt which it wasn't it was only .50 above standard at Hamilton,something has either happened to the horse so in seller or they have massively underestimated it's first run,that doesn't seem feasible they could have a 75 horse and lose it tomorrow..Stands out a mile on its form,but i still don't understand wht they havn't given it a run on qick turf after only four runs..
Starseeed is second in on form,but even that could be supect as tomorrow 6fs it has some ok form on the aw was 2 1/2ls behind Electric Blue ad that got touched off at catterick today in a 0-75 nursery,they are the obvious two at the weights and known form but very strange no handicap routes for horses with just four runs..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!So they wre just setting that race up for it,i suspected it very syrange though maybe they don't relaize how goodthios horse could be on the turf forecast as well..max bets in that race csf £6.89 Exacta £7 best betting race of the day..


Newbury 1.05


Mithras 4/5 hills

Mithras gave the field a 15ls start on debut at Sandown the psce held up and the front three looked decent,eventually finishing fourth winners since been beaten third in a listed race and the second third and fifth have won..That race maybe not be quite as good as first thoight even though is backed up by the time,but Mithras looked the best horse in the race,a maiden tomorrow if it gets beat and runs too form it will be beaten by a group horse..

All crwaled from the stalls and a freak result,you can ignore that may as well chuck mithras in the deep end next time out and get a decent price..and a decent pace


Wolves

7.15


You're Cool 14/1 365 Dark Side Dream 7/1 ppower/sportsbook

Dark Side Dream could only be a token pick,stable no winners for 190 days,thoroughky exposed 8yr old althoigh last two runs here has been 2nd and 3rd so has ew chances,wouldn't be a total shock if Jorvick prince ra ok for the Appleby stable either a pound lower than last win over c/d didn't run to bad in a 0-75 over c/d when beaen 23/4ls back in february 11/1..You're Cool another trainer that's in desperate form Derek Shaw no winners for 194 days and most them are finishing last,Lewis Edmunds always rudes this horse especially when it wins ad he's on Dark Side Dream..so it looks like he's switched to that runner because of lack of confidence..Luke Morrios is riding,looks like he's just ridig anything going,and the horse bombed out here just five days ago..only positve was the run befire that on the 2nd of September got cut up from the break
over this c/d did well to be only get beat 2 1/2ls and that was a 0-70...the second lord of the Glen has won since as well..It would be speculatuve with those jockey bookings,but if trying it could easily bounce back ad run into a pplace..


Wolves 6.15

Dancing Feet 7/2 365/hills Amber Island 13/2 sportsbook/ppower

Dancing Feet could still be an interesting runner,in this 0-85 6f race in February on second ever run it won here by 6ls in a time of 1m 12.73 a vert fast time on the same card that night a clas 2 for horses rated upto 105 it was slower by .01 and carried 7 pound more tha the 87 rated concierge
on that run on onky second time at the track running to the low 90s..Has run in a couplr of 7f listed races on the turf beaten easily,and a 6f handicap gradually getting into wealer races then last time out beaten over 7fs by Delilah Park at kempton in this grade...That run suggests its nowhere near as good as just 7 months ago,but have to try it back on tapeta over its c/d win off just 83..
Amber Island only six lifetime runs,was 40/1 third here over 7fs recentky staying on rally strongly,unsure why they've dropped it to 6fs but could easily progress to be competitve in this slightly better race,horse came from Apleby stable and adn't run for 7 months so decenr run..

7.45


Ustath 15/2 365

Even more speculative than the previous race Ustath has shown very little in recent time,still only 12 lifetime runs 5 o the aw one win April 2019 won by 6ls over this c/d and absolutely nothing since,has been in the last two nearly every run since..Ran a little better last time out in a 0-65,beaten 4 1/2ls drops into a 0-60 would be very speculatuve but thats the only glimmer of showing something in awhiile and Roger Fell actually had a winner since after horrendous run..


Newmarket 3.15


Dancing In The Woods 10/1 unibet 9/1 hills 8/1 generally 17/2 victor/betway


An unreliable type although plenty of ability,1/8 wins likes gd/gdfm ground two poor runs this season with one decent one here over c/d run in a respectable time coming second to Broughtons Gold and 3 1/2ls back to the third a couple of winners have come out of that 0-90..If can get out on terms from decent draw could run well in a 0-85,but hard to catch rightmbut track trip and ground suits,..

4th but got stake back evens for 4 places,so no damage..
 
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gigilo said:
As suspected overwatered at ponte although gutted as liked the 1,2 in the last and by then had dried out quite a bit,don't know whats going on at ayr the grounds desperate yet hasn't rained for days i was trying to pre empt the form and do it on gd/gdfm seems highky unlikeky thats going to happen looking at todays times,maybe get good ground by saturday very strange the going there..Can only be small interests,it's that time of year when forms changing and watering good ground in Autumn makes no sense..Another race today a pick gettig left miles Parknacilla sees to be every other race at the minute,luck is desperate and the other Amor Fati traded 1.5 as well..

Ayr 1.40

Invincibly 10/30 victor/hills generally Mcmerry Jim 7/2 victor/hills

Invincibly ran a decent time at redcar beaten by Alpha rose by 3ls, but that had finished second on debut and had previous experience,that was on very slow ground at Thirsk it looks like simlar ground to Ayrs tomorrow,the class three handicap on the card at thirsk was only .80 quicker so it looks like Invincibly sets a decent standard..The other runner maybe one for the future,made its debut at swell to a previous winner and that horse Kool Mee Dee has won again off 77,the time at swell backed this up but the negative is the sire The Last Lion, has had just 1/24 runners very poor very strange for a horse that beat blue point..If this shows nothing tomorrow looks like it will be heading back to fibresand or an other surface..Danny tudhope rides one for michael bell and thats been entered in a group 2so possobly a lot more to come



2.10


Gumdrop 11/2 generally

Looks like fav Wobwobwob was set up for this two weeks,big gamble at Redcar on monday and now entered here off just 68,was 2 1/2ls quicker than an older handicap on the same card gets in here off 68 looks nearer to an 80 horse toi me the sires had 6/34 runners the question mark could be the ground 0/5 on soft but 2/9 on gd/sft looked like soft grounf to me today looks desperate..Maybe a little saver/forecat with Gumdrop/Showalong,Gumdrops looking a little exposed but won a 0-85 at chester by over 3ls,time looked respectable the seconds been placed again and the thirds won a 0-75..Obvious place chances,just a lot of unexposed runners in the race..from top stables.,including the easterby runner showalong i put it up last time out hacked up ar redcar and could be chucked in again on ground it definitely likes,will be surprised of winner doesn't come from these three..


3.20


Last Empire 3/1 sportsbook/ppower Back To Brussels NR now 4/1 365/hills 7/2 generally

Been some shocking results in these sort of races at Ayr in the past listed races for fillies Back to Brussells has just come up a non runner,Last Empire was fourth in this last year as a 3yr old so at least has experience of the track,invariably misses the break..Looks like might be improving two runs on softer ground this season a sixth to liberty beach at Haydock and a second to Dakota Gold in the beverley bullett stand out,needs to not concede too much start..Magical Journey and Queens gift have run well in these listed fillies races before if favourite flops..


4.55


Pacino 6/1 ppower/sportsbook/hills

Vive La Difference maybe have been aimed at this race,was an eyecatcher in the legends race at Donny last week and now runs off just 67,lowest mark since november 2017,was sixth here staying on in a 0-75 last season off 73 now off just 67,easterbys winning everythjng he's running,also Mustaqbal i put up at ripon after a massive eyecatching run here in a better race on simiajr ground..That one if repeating that Ayr form would have ew chances as well,but is drawn in the carpark,Pacino 1/18 on turf never won over the trip but last two from three runs have been in better races a third at haydock in a 0-78 on faster ground and then last time out a second in a 0-80 at chester..The ground there was very soft and similar to tomorrows it has never run well on that ground before so will have to repeat that firm,does look a bit odd but obvious place chances if it does with Billy Garrity taking off another five.


5.25


Cassy 5/2 /betfredhills 4places Ralphy Boy Two 12/1 365 15/2 hills 4 places

Casy O won a 0-85 today at Ayr straight out again tomorrow in weaker race,was actually the first div of two divs and a second quicker,obviously conditions suit so the obvious one to beat presuming it runs,is only two pound higher than when fourth at York in a 0-83,i presume its just the conditions that have benefitted it..just seven lifetime..
Ralphy Boy Two just a 3yr old eleven runs,has run some good races this season sprinting last season second off 71 over 6fs on heavy ground,came back this season and ran fourth of eight at haydock on soft ground in a 0-85,three runs since all respectable 3/2/5 all at Hamilton
3rd in a 078,2nd in a 0-85 on soft ground and 5th in a 0-75 over 1m3fs just too far,off 70 tomorrow in a 0-70 could easily run well as long as it's not a Hamilton or right handed specialist.

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Fcuk me a winner at Ayr,lovely drift 4/1 5.78 on the faor,gone from disaster too completely turned dat around,great stuff,tragic stuff that ayr meeting..:lol::lol:

4/1 generally




Kempton 5.10

Daphne May 8/1 generally

Bagara is the obvious one if it repeats its Sandown 0-75 run,dropping into just a 0-65,hannon has two in the race so presume this is his main runner and obvious looking favourite...Daphne May from smaller trainer doesn't have many winners but running at 13% and aw 3yr old races 2/9
Daphne May easily beaten last time out at Redcar fourth beaten 5ls but desperate ground,its debut run beaten 4ls at Wolves staying on over 6fs it could be well handicapped time looked ok winner Tattoo is rated 75,the second let the form down in a maiden at wolves last week although was probably as good as this race if not better..The third Cuban Breeze won off 71 at wolves two weeks ago so rated 76 while Daphne May gts in here off just 61,looks a fair mark but when i checked sire stats on the aw although good on Tapeta and Fibresand the stats are poor on this surface and track running at less than 10%..maybe one for notebook back at wolves but will have a small bet just incase takes to it..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Talk about well handicapped,crazy hardly a penny for it either,that's the beauty of small trainrs on the aw...:ninja:


8.15


Run After Genesis 15/2 skybet 7/1 generally 4 places Lithario 14/1 sky/sportsbook/ppower

Again have ended picking a carpark draw in Run With Genesis,trainers 0/27 with 4yr olds on the aw this season so plrenty of negatives although he has had 2/5 winners recently Run With Genesis gets to run off lowest mark since winning off 60 over 7fs here back in March 2019 looked a 7f horse till ran over tomorriws c.d when third off 65 in a 0-70 got stopped in run..that was november 2019..Came back from break and ran at lingfield on the turf on straight track,finishing 5th staying on strongly only beaten 1 3/4ls,that was a 0-70 but very weak race,that last c/d run here at kenpton it looks like these 0-65s are his grade or maybe slightky higher 0-70s but the draw is the negative tomorrow..
Lothario 3/14 on the aw and 4 places,0/7 on the turf and 0 places over a mile on the aw is/ 2/6/5/3/1/8/ although hasn't won since August 2019 a 0-75 off 70,this season four runs two on turf and the twi aw runs wrong trips so forgiveable,tomorrow off 65 and that's its lowest mark since march 2019..An interesting runner if anywhere near its best,although again poor draw in 9,at leat in right race and right prices..Takeonefortheeam regular here,been running well 3/19 won off 63 in june over c./d and last time out ran well enough in a 0-75 beaten 3 3/4ls,looks as good as the other two could replace one of those with this one i have no preference as its c/d form is very consistent around 15/2..Edward greatrex rides,hes won on her before over c/d but hasn't rode in recent times on known c/d form these three stand out..

That last race was unreal takeonefirthetean trades 1.44 with lithario trading 3s,runoutofgenesis miles out the back,they both,finish out of the frame and runoutofgenesis gets third,can't believe what i saw there untreal stuff got 10/1 the 3rd 15/2 the 4th so no loss on the race bar some firecast...was paying 4 places

Think i will resign myself to not betting at ayr when the grounds like this,hardky anythigs going on the track most of the horses i did were beat after 3/4fs the ground is so slow it must just be really tacky because the results make absolutely no sense the first winner had 7ls to find on the second and the runner up was having its first run on there...A complete guessing game..
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Leicester 2.0


First Lott 9/1 365 15/2 betway/victor/skybet 7/1 ppower/sportsbook/888sport

A decent debut at Goodwood in 6f maiden,was fift beaten 2 3/4ls,running green was dropped out from the tree drawn whilst the first four were pretty prominent,she aso seemed to not hadle the track,the winners rated 80 the second.,third and fourth all won on next runs now rated 95,76 and 80 Meu Amor went off fav in a the big nursery at donny last week finising syrongly in 3rd and the second Illykato wasfifth to Umm Kulthum yesterday..First Lott flopped next time out at Newbury over 7fs on soft ground,back to 6fs running off a mark of 73,should be winning races at somepoint,she does look a bit quirky so may have to follow her for a few runs.Follow suit has rock solid form and Dirty rascal bar last run form was also rock solid..Could well go off 9/2-5/1 ish decent trade.
 
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gigilo said:
Leicester 2.0


First Lott 9/1 365 15/2 betway/victor/skybet 7/1 ppower/sportsbook/888sport

A decent debut at Goodwood in 6f maiden,was fift beaten 2 3/4ls,running green was dropped out from the tree drawn whilst the first four were pretty prominent,she aso seemed to not hadle the track,the winners rated 80 the second.,third and fourth all won on next runs now rated 95,76 and 80 Meu Amor went off fav in a the big nursery at donny last week finising syrongly in 3rd and the second Illykato wasfifth to Umm Kulthum yesterday..First Lott flopped next time out at Newbury over 7fs on soft ground,back to 6fs running off a mark of 73,should be winning races at somepoint,she does look a bit quirky so may have to follow her for a few runs.Follow suit has rock solid form and Dirty rascal bar last run form was also rock solid..Could well go off 9/2-5/1 ish decent trade.

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Chucked in as the Goodwood form showed and on the clock,only thing that worried me was the crazy watering the did,race was slow by 1.18 seconds so got awa with it,won't find a better handicapped horse all week,been following that nmaiden at goodwood off a cliff,its winning fortunes..Lovely start to the week,almost had my max ew on that today..:ninja:
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Can't say i like much tomorrow,notice they are waterig tracks and there is rain on top,so the turfs a complete waste of time two token bets in same race timorrow at kempton be like a 1/4 pt on them..

Kempton 6.30


Misu Pete 40/1 ppower/sportsbook 33/1 skybet/betfred/betway/boyles/888sport/victor Rogue Tide 16/1 365 14/1 generally


Misu Pete a veteran,one i usually put a line straight through only time it wins has been from the front and likes to dominate drawn in the carpark tomorrow so will be interseting to see how he's ridden,last time out was drawn 9 wasn't rushed up and ran reasonably well over an inadequate 7fs finishing quite well complete opposite of anything previous to form..Was still only 7th but was running on,again will have to try the same tactics from the 12 draw be interesting if they try holding up again or just sacrifice the race by trying to get to the front..he did win here over c/d off a two pound lower mark in March obviously very speculative for a horse of his age t go against running style but that run seemed respectable.Rogue Tide was in the sae race,has had seven races just two places was sprinting when with simon crisford was only only july was 5/12 staying on in a 0-68 for 3yr olds over 6fs at this track..then went to Mark Loughnane has gone off massive prices,has not shown anything in first two runs,and although only ninth last time out looked to be staying on in Misu Petes race when running up the backs of horses stopping...That is the way it appeared and am not 100% thats what happened as a bad angle,also considering it's form the prices aren't brilliant Hollie Doyles riding so has influenced that,same as Misu Ptete a small speculative bet,the horse was rated 66 in that better 6fs race tomorrow runs off 60 but stepping upto the mile..
 
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Just 1/2 stakes for me,usually a day i leave alone dne some small multiples



Newmarket 3.35


Good Birthday 25/1 skybet 8 places


Good birthday was 3rd in this last year,tomorrow runs off an 8 pound lower mark,this is probably one of the strongest cambrideeshires for a longwhile so really Good Birthday should not be good enough to win this and also has a low draw shown nothing this season till LTO when finishing strongly behind Ilarab although still beaten easily and a furlong shorter tomorrow..Things have chaged over the week,the rain was forecast 35mm to arrive by today and timorrow,if there's no rain tomorrow it's going to be nearer to gd/fm times today like Kamekos win that race was fast by .58 seconds..Tomorrow if no rain this race will be almost identical ground to last years race when it was fast by .81 seconds,so knowing that Good Birthday likes this ground quick with that run,then that's the small angle i could see,have been through all the market leaders and most of them have been rcing on a lot slower ground although ther forms superior..Good birthday would need at least four or five to underperform but might still run ok if some don't go on the ground,hopefully no rain overnight..Hve tried to find another that likes it rayfast but havn't gone through every runner yet..I may have a look in the morning..A speculatuve bet but maybe would look better if draw is negligible and ground stays the same..

A farce of a race but a lovely juicy bonus getting the 8th place,will settle for that..:D




4.10


Meu Amor 4/1 Betfred/skybet/hills/ppower/sportsbook 4 and 5 places

Meu Amor made its debut in the Goodwood maiden i put First Lott up on monday,that one wining easily off 72 on monday,Meu Amor went onto win a maiden after that goodwood race,then on third run last time out a hot nursery at Donny running off 76 beaten 1 1/2ls by Spright with Nazuna in second..Today Nazuna was second in the Group2 to Isabella Giles,Nazuna and Meu Amor were stands side at Donny while Spright was in the middle maybe was an advantage with hannon horse 4th at 150/1,that one runs in tomorrows race as well,Meu Amors got bumped up five pouud for that run for coming third looks harsh but after Nazunas run today then hard to argue with..Would be more worried about the draw,the ground has dried out is going to be on the quick side if no rain and that more often than not favours the high draws..The may hpefully just race up the middle being 2yr olds Meu Amors drawn low in 4..Just a small fancy because of the draw.

**** me robbed goes farside and wins and the tree high draws come 1,2,3 16,14,17 unreal stiill nice for multiples,what an advanate the stands side must be,a great day today thoigh so can't complain i knew when i did wrte up what cpuld happen..





4.40


Arigato 14/1 365/hills 9/1 generally

It maybe that Arigato has run its races this season beaten 3fs out at York last time out and running really free,but penultimate run at Goodwood was drawn 1 went off 7/2 fav and althoigh finised out the back was stopped five or six times in running,looked like woulv'e been involved in the finish of some sort..Previously this season runs at Newmarket over this trip has been 1/1/4 won off 79 by 91/2ls then beat Blown By win off 87 and probably its best run when 4th in Bunbury Cup,on that form then would be 4-5/1 shot the negative must be its last run worst all season..But is previous form ws so good here all season at these prices can't be left,betting will be interesting stalls are in the middle but if they switch stands side could be drawn well in 9..Tomfre also has a decent c/d record here as well hasn't won this season but plenty of track form if back to form off a dropping mark..


Haydock 12.55


Lady Hayes 11/8 365 4/5 betfred/victor


Lady Hayes made debut at Sailsbury in what looked a very fast time,to me it looked the fasest race on the card and that included a group 3 the runner up light refrain had been beaten several times but did hack up at newcastle earlier i the week and may have imprived for the slightly slower ground..A quick turnaround,i suspect it will either win or bomb out completely,the ground at haydock looks very poor as usual and there was a karl burke horse there thatran today that had a decent speedfigure on gd/sft and never even placed,put down in notebook if it gets beat as this could be a group horse..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Returns 1/3 am not surprised,almost ha my mex on this one,thats why i hate haydock only just won but its fsr better than that..


1.30



Dubai Honour 7/2 365 Orman 6/1 365

These two don't set a very high standard Dubai Honour was second at chester unlucky in running shouldv'e won not great form but experienced on the ground its last run was quicker than the 0-80 on the chester card for older horses,but that was an apprentices race so not quite as good as it appeared..Orman was second at goodwood on desperate ground to lone eagle that won a nursery at donny next time out off 84..This could be red hot maiden newcomers from hannon,balding,cox dascombe,palmers horse looks like big improver as well maybe try a multiple with the other shorter prices for a thieving bet..anything running to a mark of 85+ will probably beat these two..done mainly for some thieving multiples

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Another lovely touch,looked bets to nothing and landed the forecast,horses i that race still had to ru to 85+ at least to beat them ans on poor ground worked out lovely..CSF£17.20..:ninja:


Ripon 5.40



Penny Pot Lane 9/1 ppower/sportsbook 17/2 victor 8/1 sky


A 7yr old mare now doesn't win too often nowadays,the last time she won was this race last season an apprentuce handicap by 3 1/2ls off 65 tomorrow she runs off 66 with jock Joseph Lyons takes off 5 havn't watched him ride but he's had two winners from 18 rides and 3 places..Pennypot Lane ran ok last time out a weak handicap at ponte was second although same grade on paper,hadn't shown anything on other runs but she did run here in an 0-85 over c/d was only 9th of 15 but was drawn 6 she came stands side and it took her 2 1/2fs to get onto the rail so may have used up several lengths to get that pitch and was eased at finish..Tomorrow she's drawn in 8 so she has ew chances,although this looks a really competitve race and quite a few unexposed,Lady Celias run at hamilton last time out best recent piece of form and looks to be improving..and rasheeq will love the ground running well last two runs,thois easier race.
 
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Another very good day,two winners a forecast and five places,not bothering tomorrow as unsure of goings so just one for monday so far

Bath 2.20


Coleys Koko 7/1 365 13/2 hills 11/2betwat/betfred/victor


Coleys Koko has the best speedfigure and form in this 0-65 nursery over 5 1/2fs,on debut was fifth at Thirsk over 5fs,probably one of fastest maidens of the season Umm Kulthum won now rated 102 touched off in juddmonte yesteday,Digital second rated 83 ran well at donny recently in huge field finishig 6th..The third Blind Beggar got touched off at haydock on friday by a horse rated 93 ad the 4th Ballintoy Harbour on second run won a maiden easily,the 6th 2ls behind Coleys Koko,Bedford Flyer recent,y won a 0-75 off 69 as well..
So two runs later could say Coleys Koko has been disappointing on that run,eighth at beverley in a maiden then 4th i a conditions race at musselburugh won by Blackberry,both those runs were on slower ground although only good/gdsfft as opposed to the gd/fm at thirsk where that race was faster tan the 0-85 for older horses on the same card,she now gets in here off 62 the jock bit of a negative does takes off another 5 pound down to just 57..Bath looks like it will be rattling currently gd/fm/fm in places but maybe fm on monday,has a little to prove now but at least got the same ground sires 17% on firm,although quite poor stats over this extended 5fs,tinkler trains if there's possible improvement expected from stable would surely expect this to be heavily bet and vice versa if not..If taken at face value that debut run a mark of 70 would be conservative..interesting runner.
 
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