gigilo
Senior Jockey
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Daily picks.
- Thread starter gigilo
- Start date
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
Southwell 7.45
Oblate 11/1 365 10/1 hills 9/1 skybet
Oblate has a decent c/d record here,2/2/9/1/4 all those races back to back from October 9th to january won off 60 in a decent time quite easily beating Break The Silence and Tagur,the last run here was fourth off 66 looked an unlucky loser stopped in run to eventually be beaten 1 3/4ls..Changed stables going to Chelsea Banham from Robyn Brisland he has a runner in tomorrows race so will be interesting how his runner goes in the betting in comparison,Oblates had six runs for her shown nothing but hasn't run here since that run off 66 and that's allowed it to slip too lowest ever mark 54..The race is full of 3&4 yr olds so maybe not the right race for it,could well be unexposed horses in here,but now its running off a decent mark and right surface then should be followed when running at swell,can actually drop a grade yet as well into a 0-55,so one for notebook regardless of result..
Oblate 11/1 365 10/1 hills 9/1 skybet
Oblate has a decent c/d record here,2/2/9/1/4 all those races back to back from October 9th to january won off 60 in a decent time quite easily beating Break The Silence and Tagur,the last run here was fourth off 66 looked an unlucky loser stopped in run to eventually be beaten 1 3/4ls..Changed stables going to Chelsea Banham from Robyn Brisland he has a runner in tomorrows race so will be interesting how his runner goes in the betting in comparison,Oblates had six runs for her shown nothing but hasn't run here since that run off 66 and that's allowed it to slip too lowest ever mark 54..The race is full of 3&4 yr olds so maybe not the right race for it,could well be unexposed horses in here,but now its running off a decent mark and right surface then should be followed when running at swell,can actually drop a grade yet as well into a 0-55,so one for notebook regardless of result..
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gigilo
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A decent place,don't think that's anywhere near its form of last season though.got 4/5 for 4 places as well...
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Markssetgo
At the Start
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- Nov 9, 2017
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- 72
Giggs this Halloween i spent to much on fireworks give us a juicy win double me auld son!
gigilo
Senior Jockey
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Nottingham 4.10
Regula Income 11/1 hills
Regular Income shown nothing this season tailed off nearly every run,last time out at windsor appeared to be travelling well when just getting inti the race and clipping heels and unseaed rider,that was on desperate ground in a class 4..Tomorrow runs in a clas 5 hasn't run in one of these 0-75s since May 2019 when winning over tomorrows c/d off 74 with claimer taking off the seven,went onto win again off 78 and second off 80 on heavy at windsor last run of 2019 fifth in a 0-95 on slow ground again..Everythings in its favour if the last run was a sign of coming into form.Amy collier takes off five so down to 70 so marks ok..
Gamesters Icon won this race last season and on heavy ground,only a pound higher than last years win if some of these don't like the ground then should be therabouts same jockey riding Alice Stevens but this is her only ever winner..
Try some small ew multipls..
4.50
Wise Judgement 5/1 sportsbook/ppowe
Wise Judgement disappointing on second run was second on debut at Beverley to Zeyaadh went onto win a listed race next time out so ew chances if it was the heavy grOund that beat it at haydock,sire Lope De Vega decent stats on poly and over this trip..You could keep this one seperate as really heavy ground last time out shouldn't have been a negative so there's a ? over it,again top trainers in race looking at place side with previous experience..
6.20
Beyond Equal 8/1 365
Beyond Equal was looking liked an improver at one time currentky 5/25 but looked likely to be far better horse than a mid 80s horse,started the season with a second off 90 at Newmarket in a 0-95 the fifth at windsor in another 0-95,gradually runs got worse thrugh the season,hasn't run terrible in those runs and there might be a possibilty that the forecast good grund its run on on last few runs was too slow..Has no softer griund form but those runs looking at the ground were nearer gd/sft looking at the times at best,marks now fallen to just a pound below last win off 83,and although only two runs on the aw both of those were here last season over c/d was second to Soldiers minute and fifth to Show Stealer a 0-95 and a 0-105 went off fav in the 0-105 rnning off 88..Down into a 0-85 a revival in form would be a decent ew bet,not a great deal of c/d form to go on in the race although El Hombre came back to form at wolves last time out in a 0-90 and has run well here before and did win off 88 on the aw last season dow too just 85.
7.50
Come On Girl 6/1 365 generally
Come On Girl a bit exposed but 2/8 on the aw but has only been with Appleby for three runs and has been 5/4/2 off 61,60 and 59 the 5th was a 0-70 and the other two runs a 0-65 and then last time out another 0-70 at lingfield,first time pieces and in a 0-60 a little bit to prove over the trip
maybe Appleby can get a bit more improvement out..
Notts 12.40
Mrs Fitzherbert 9/4 365
Mrs Fitzherbert only looks respectable after debut run over c/d,but was on the same desperate ground the maiden it contested was quicker than the 0-70 nursery,i've added on natural improvement on top and get it somewhre near 80 based on the nursery..You have varian,dascombe,haggas and palmer with newcomers in the race,if any of them are above average then i doubt Mrs Herbert will win but for multiples and on similsr ground woryh it for the place side of bets if nothing else..
1.10
Dancing To Win 7/4 365
Similar to the other notts favourite ran at yarmouth on desperate ground,the form didn't see t mean much the ground was so slow that it appeared to be decent to the ret of the card,it's a similar favouute should love ground and trip but stil has to beat Gosdens and haggas horses..Again the place money running on and if the other stables are no good especially on the ground..
Regula Income 11/1 hills
Regular Income shown nothing this season tailed off nearly every run,last time out at windsor appeared to be travelling well when just getting inti the race and clipping heels and unseaed rider,that was on desperate ground in a class 4..Tomorrow runs in a clas 5 hasn't run in one of these 0-75s since May 2019 when winning over tomorrows c/d off 74 with claimer taking off the seven,went onto win again off 78 and second off 80 on heavy at windsor last run of 2019 fifth in a 0-95 on slow ground again..Everythings in its favour if the last run was a sign of coming into form.Amy collier takes off five so down to 70 so marks ok..
Gamesters Icon won this race last season and on heavy ground,only a pound higher than last years win if some of these don't like the ground then should be therabouts same jockey riding Alice Stevens but this is her only ever winner..
Try some small ew multipls..
4.50
Wise Judgement 5/1 sportsbook/ppowe
Wise Judgement disappointing on second run was second on debut at Beverley to Zeyaadh went onto win a listed race next time out so ew chances if it was the heavy grOund that beat it at haydock,sire Lope De Vega decent stats on poly and over this trip..You could keep this one seperate as really heavy ground last time out shouldn't have been a negative so there's a ? over it,again top trainers in race looking at place side with previous experience..
6.20
Beyond Equal 8/1 365
Beyond Equal was looking liked an improver at one time currentky 5/25 but looked likely to be far better horse than a mid 80s horse,started the season with a second off 90 at Newmarket in a 0-95 the fifth at windsor in another 0-95,gradually runs got worse thrugh the season,hasn't run terrible in those runs and there might be a possibilty that the forecast good grund its run on on last few runs was too slow..Has no softer griund form but those runs looking at the ground were nearer gd/sft looking at the times at best,marks now fallen to just a pound below last win off 83,and although only two runs on the aw both of those were here last season over c/d was second to Soldiers minute and fifth to Show Stealer a 0-95 and a 0-105 went off fav in the 0-105 rnning off 88..Down into a 0-85 a revival in form would be a decent ew bet,not a great deal of c/d form to go on in the race although El Hombre came back to form at wolves last time out in a 0-90 and has run well here before and did win off 88 on the aw last season dow too just 85.
7.50
Come On Girl 6/1 365 generally
Come On Girl a bit exposed but 2/8 on the aw but has only been with Appleby for three runs and has been 5/4/2 off 61,60 and 59 the 5th was a 0-70 and the other two runs a 0-65 and then last time out another 0-70 at lingfield,first time pieces and in a 0-60 a little bit to prove over the trip
maybe Appleby can get a bit more improvement out..
Notts 12.40
Mrs Fitzherbert 9/4 365
Mrs Fitzherbert only looks respectable after debut run over c/d,but was on the same desperate ground the maiden it contested was quicker than the 0-70 nursery,i've added on natural improvement on top and get it somewhre near 80 based on the nursery..You have varian,dascombe,haggas and palmer with newcomers in the race,if any of them are above average then i doubt Mrs Herbert will win but for multiples and on similsr ground woryh it for the place side of bets if nothing else..
1.10
Dancing To Win 7/4 365
Similar to the other notts favourite ran at yarmouth on desperate ground,the form didn't see t mean much the ground was so slow that it appeared to be decent to the ret of the card,it's a similar favouute should love ground and trip but stil has to beat Gosdens and haggas horses..Again the place money running on and if the other stables are no good especially on the ground..
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gigilo
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Another very good short turf season 243 points up,60% ROI it was a lot higher but slow last month,although never had a bad losing run since racing resumed and the figures were much better as the multiples returned bombs,which i haven't included..
Kempton 7.35
Magical Wish 12/1 ppower/sportsbook a very very strange drift looks very ominuous already drifted to 22/1 victor/betway 20/1 betfred/boyles
18/1 skybet/sportsbook/ppower
A 0-95 full of unexposed 3&4 yr olds Magical Wish a 4yr old but had plenty of racing,on the aw 2/6 and 3 places did win a 0-105 at lingfield in march off 93, tomorrow runs in a 0-95 off 96 claimer takes off three down to last winning mark..Won in august off 95 at Donny another 0-105,last time out was fifth at lingfield in a 0-105 behind documenting is drawn in the carpark in 11 so wouldn't be very confident being run at kempton,usually leads its races so could be a big negative but at least maybe get something in running..Diocles Of Rome has been running well,its overall aw form doesn't look particularly well in but there's a lot of pace in the race and maybe run to suit,wasn't far behind Magical Wish at Donny when staying on only 1 1/4ls behind.
Huge drit looks like non trier or maybe its the pace angle,still worth trying as should get stake back in running at worst.
Kempton 7.35
Magical Wish 12/1 ppower/sportsbook a very very strange drift looks very ominuous already drifted to 22/1 victor/betway 20/1 betfred/boyles
18/1 skybet/sportsbook/ppower
A 0-95 full of unexposed 3&4 yr olds Magical Wish a 4yr old but had plenty of racing,on the aw 2/6 and 3 places did win a 0-105 at lingfield in march off 93, tomorrow runs in a 0-95 off 96 claimer takes off three down to last winning mark..Won in august off 95 at Donny another 0-105,last time out was fifth at lingfield in a 0-105 behind documenting is drawn in the carpark in 11 so wouldn't be very confident being run at kempton,usually leads its races so could be a big negative but at least maybe get something in running..Diocles Of Rome has been running well,its overall aw form doesn't look particularly well in but there's a lot of pace in the race and maybe run to suit,wasn't far behind Magical Wish at Donny when staying on only 1 1/4ls behind.
Huge drit looks like non trier or maybe its the pace angle,still worth trying as should get stake back in running at worst.
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gigilo
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placepot wolves
3,5,11
5,6,10
1,4,8,9
4,5
1,5
1,4,11
Wolves 6.45
Nezar 40/1 victor 33/1 ppower
Nezar 9yr old most exposed in the race,invariably gets left and comes off the pace impossible to predict as wins when you least suspect and rarely runs twi decent races back to back as record suggests just 4/43 on the aw has been nearer last most runs this season and in between a couple of runs that stood out a fifth to Lezardieux over 6fs running on strongly and and a second to huma nature in June off 74..More likely to be out the back than win or even place,but is capable of running well on his day,so a small interest..Adelante is well handicapped slipping in weights another that rarely wins just 1/19 but capable slipping into a 0-75 first time 10/1 victor..
Already drifting like a barge,am not surprised though..32s be bigger than whe it sarted.
3,5,11
5,6,10
1,4,8,9
4,5
1,5
1,4,11
Wolves 6.45
Nezar 40/1 victor 33/1 ppower
Nezar 9yr old most exposed in the race,invariably gets left and comes off the pace impossible to predict as wins when you least suspect and rarely runs twi decent races back to back as record suggests just 4/43 on the aw has been nearer last most runs this season and in between a couple of runs that stood out a fifth to Lezardieux over 6fs running on strongly and and a second to huma nature in June off 74..More likely to be out the back than win or even place,but is capable of running well on his day,so a small interest..Adelante is well handicapped slipping in weights another that rarely wins just 1/19 but capable slipping into a 0-75 first time 10/1 victor..
Already drifting like a barge,am not surprised though..32s be bigger than whe it sarted.
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310884MONTYS
Amateur Rider
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Its already been cut to 28s mate
gigilo
Senior Jockey
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Lovely jubbly 3rd got 5.8 for 4 places as well sp 33s fast pace suited it that's what it needs nearest finish there,very nice around 35% profit on pisspot...
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gigilo
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Kempton 6.0
Jonah Jones 7/1 365 7/2 skybet Typhoon Ten 9/1 skybet 11/1 ppowr/sportsbook
A decent 6f sprint for horses rated upto 90,Jonah Jones still lightly raced enough to improve,been going off short pruces in class 2s&3s last three runs 5/3/4 Ascot,York,Donny 0-105s has never run on the aw before so a bit to prove and on turning track but at least the stats are good on the track, sire No Nay Never 20% on track and 16% over the trip..Obvious place chances at worst running off just 88..
The more exposed one Typhoon Ten been stuck on this mark for twelve months so not well handicapped,running well in class 2s on the turf
switched back to the aw here over c/d late september was second off this mark in a similar race,so another with place chances even though exposed..
Try some ew multiples thieving bets..
4.25
Just Beautiful 11/8 ppower/sportsbook
Just Beautiful beat Daphne May on debut over 7fs here,daphne may has won twice since now rated 78 Just Beautiful beat it 5ls in a fairly decent time it looks like somethings going to have to high 80s maybe 90 to beat it,although does have to give weight with penalty,not a ceetainty but may well get overbet with lots of newcomers..
5.0
Dollar Bid 9/4 victor/hills/365 Sargasso sea 9/4 365
Dollar bids run two decent races at wolves on debut fifth to a horse now rated 111 then third run last time out beaten by a horse rated 90 both races were run in decent times and similarly Sargasso Sea out of Sea The Stars cost 520,000 euros on debut second at newcastle..split two winners time was decent again..Form not as good as Dollar Bids but that was only debut open to loads of improvement after travelling like the winner on debut..
6.30
Bird For Life 12/1 ppower/sportsbook Blazon 12/1 ppower/sportsbook
A pin job so just token bets might even be worth doing a seperate multiple without this race to smaller stakes and just keepig the shorties tigether..Bird for life thoroughly exposed had loads of racing,third in one of these 0-70s at Chelmsford in september then even though only sixth of nine here recently that was in a 0-80,was run at a decent pace and probably why it hasn't woin as many races as it shouldv'e as was stayig on strongly in that race..It would be its highest ever wining mark,so not an obvious winner but has an ew chance as long as they don;t dawdle which they do tend to do at Kempton..
Blazon another regular exposed loads of racing,never won on the turf and that has showed with very poor runs in recent months but last time he ran here won off 66 the same grade tomorrow off 64 lowest aw mark since january 2019,ew chances if running anywhere near its best..
7.0
Davina Kareem 9/2 victor 4/1 generally Devine Consent 4/1 ppower/soortsbook
Wouldn't be overly confident with these two even though they head the market,have backed Diva Kareem once or twice and looked better than its current mark so has been disappointing,hopefully will place was running in better races on the turf and consistent but thirteen runs without a win..Was running in 0-65s and 0-70s then a couple of poor runs bacjend of season were disappointing,gets tio run off just 54 tomorrow strangely one of its best ever runs was on debut here in june 2016 over 6fs so maybe the track will bring the best out in it..
The other Devine Consent a lightky raced five runner maiden,recent,y bought off haggas for just 12,000 but at least has one decent run at wolves in a 0-65 when third off 62,tomorrow off 60 so obvious place chances again,nothing more than that for the pair in a very weak race.
Stealth Commanddr looks the other obvious alternative,maybe saver/forecasts.
Jonah Jones 7/1 365 7/2 skybet Typhoon Ten 9/1 skybet 11/1 ppowr/sportsbook
A decent 6f sprint for horses rated upto 90,Jonah Jones still lightly raced enough to improve,been going off short pruces in class 2s&3s last three runs 5/3/4 Ascot,York,Donny 0-105s has never run on the aw before so a bit to prove and on turning track but at least the stats are good on the track, sire No Nay Never 20% on track and 16% over the trip..Obvious place chances at worst running off just 88..
The more exposed one Typhoon Ten been stuck on this mark for twelve months so not well handicapped,running well in class 2s on the turf
switched back to the aw here over c/d late september was second off this mark in a similar race,so another with place chances even though exposed..
Try some ew multiples thieving bets..
4.25
Just Beautiful 11/8 ppower/sportsbook
Just Beautiful beat Daphne May on debut over 7fs here,daphne may has won twice since now rated 78 Just Beautiful beat it 5ls in a fairly decent time it looks like somethings going to have to high 80s maybe 90 to beat it,although does have to give weight with penalty,not a ceetainty but may well get overbet with lots of newcomers..
5.0
Dollar Bid 9/4 victor/hills/365 Sargasso sea 9/4 365
Dollar bids run two decent races at wolves on debut fifth to a horse now rated 111 then third run last time out beaten by a horse rated 90 both races were run in decent times and similarly Sargasso Sea out of Sea The Stars cost 520,000 euros on debut second at newcastle..split two winners time was decent again..Form not as good as Dollar Bids but that was only debut open to loads of improvement after travelling like the winner on debut..
6.30
Bird For Life 12/1 ppower/sportsbook Blazon 12/1 ppower/sportsbook
A pin job so just token bets might even be worth doing a seperate multiple without this race to smaller stakes and just keepig the shorties tigether..Bird for life thoroughly exposed had loads of racing,third in one of these 0-70s at Chelmsford in september then even though only sixth of nine here recently that was in a 0-80,was run at a decent pace and probably why it hasn't woin as many races as it shouldv'e as was stayig on strongly in that race..It would be its highest ever wining mark,so not an obvious winner but has an ew chance as long as they don;t dawdle which they do tend to do at Kempton..
Blazon another regular exposed loads of racing,never won on the turf and that has showed with very poor runs in recent months but last time he ran here won off 66 the same grade tomorrow off 64 lowest aw mark since january 2019,ew chances if running anywhere near its best..
7.0
Davina Kareem 9/2 victor 4/1 generally Devine Consent 4/1 ppower/soortsbook
Wouldn't be overly confident with these two even though they head the market,have backed Diva Kareem once or twice and looked better than its current mark so has been disappointing,hopefully will place was running in better races on the turf and consistent but thirteen runs without a win..Was running in 0-65s and 0-70s then a couple of poor runs bacjend of season were disappointing,gets tio run off just 54 tomorrow strangely one of its best ever runs was on debut here in june 2016 over 6fs so maybe the track will bring the best out in it..
The other Devine Consent a lightky raced five runner maiden,recent,y bought off haggas for just 12,000 but at least has one decent run at wolves in a 0-65 when third off 62,tomorrow off 60 so obvious place chances again,nothing more than that for the pair in a very weak race.
Stealth Commanddr looks the other obvious alternative,maybe saver/forecasts.
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gigilo
Senior Jockey
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Wolves 5.30
Aegeus 16/1 365/skybet/hills/victor/betway/betfred
Aegeus has only ever won a maiden,its form has just got gradually worse was third at kempton off 67 in june in a 0-67 over a mile then last two respectable runs for Jed O'keefe on turf 2/2,since joined the Appleby stable has been 9/10 8/8 10/11 5/13 and last run was 13/13 beaten 86ls..The only respectable run was over this c/d when fifth beaten easily looked one paced,but that was a 0-70 and the time was decent the first four have all run well since,that was off a mark of 64 with first time pieces..Then ran last of the 13 back on turf no headgear,first time visor tomorrow,drops into a 0-58 doesn't look like it's going to be an Appleby horse with big transformation,if it could repeat that 5th then would be half current prices,looks totally untrustworthy but may at least get a decent trade out of it,fav Dr Uno looks the one to beat along with G For Gabrial ran in a slightly better race than this last tie out here..Those two look the obvious two in the race..
Aegeus 16/1 365/skybet/hills/victor/betway/betfred
Aegeus has only ever won a maiden,its form has just got gradually worse was third at kempton off 67 in june in a 0-67 over a mile then last two respectable runs for Jed O'keefe on turf 2/2,since joined the Appleby stable has been 9/10 8/8 10/11 5/13 and last run was 13/13 beaten 86ls..The only respectable run was over this c/d when fifth beaten easily looked one paced,but that was a 0-70 and the time was decent the first four have all run well since,that was off a mark of 64 with first time pieces..Then ran last of the 13 back on turf no headgear,first time visor tomorrow,drops into a 0-58 doesn't look like it's going to be an Appleby horse with big transformation,if it could repeat that 5th then would be half current prices,looks totally untrustworthy but may at least get a decent trade out of it,fav Dr Uno looks the one to beat along with G For Gabrial ran in a slightly better race than this last tie out here..Those two look the obvious two in the race..
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gigilo
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Tuesday Wolves 6.30
Gabrial The One 14/1 hills 10/1 victor
A 0-85 with unexposed runners in Fair star and Daheer both have won last two races top two in the market,neither of the have won beyond 1m1 1/2fs,the probability is one of them will be better than these,most of these even though a 0-85 don't look reliable so it's hard to find something to take the front two on with..Gabrial The One thoroughly exposed stuck in the high 70s,hasn't fallen below 77 since April 2019..
A Chester specialist is very rarely out of the first four,last two runs there of the season was fourth off 80 and fourth of 79,has had one run on the aw won on this surface at Newcastle won off 78 in June,but that was only a 0-78 tomorrow's race is a 0-85,doesn't look a winner waiting to happen but with slight ? over most of the runners has an ew chance..Can't see it going off 14/1,so decent trade running off 77 probably be nearer to 7-8/1...
Waiting for all championship ante post prices,nothing up yet..
Gabrial The One 14/1 hills 10/1 victor
A 0-85 with unexposed runners in Fair star and Daheer both have won last two races top two in the market,neither of the have won beyond 1m1 1/2fs,the probability is one of them will be better than these,most of these even though a 0-85 don't look reliable so it's hard to find something to take the front two on with..Gabrial The One thoroughly exposed stuck in the high 70s,hasn't fallen below 77 since April 2019..
A Chester specialist is very rarely out of the first four,last two runs there of the season was fourth off 80 and fourth of 79,has had one run on the aw won on this surface at Newcastle won off 78 in June,but that was only a 0-78 tomorrow's race is a 0-85,doesn't look a winner waiting to happen but with slight ? over most of the runners has an ew chance..Can't see it going off 14/1,so decent trade running off 77 probably be nearer to 7-8/1...
Waiting for all championship ante post prices,nothing up yet..
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gigilo
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Wolves 3.50
Dynamo Walt 11/1 365/hills/victor 10/1 generally Jorvick Prince 9/2 hills 4/1 skybet
An ultra competitve race over 5fs Jorvick Prince 7/35 on the aw,hasn't wn since Feruary off this mark of 59 over c/d was second here in September off 58 in a 0-65 then last time out got stopped i run behind a few of these,no guarantee that form wil be turned around,there are six fron runners in this race so will probably need gaps to open..The main reason for betting it's from Apple stable,almost certain to get overbet and could go off a stupid price so there's a risk free bet there..probably decent trade.
The other is Dynamo Walt the veteran 9yr old,has regressed to lowest mark since 2013 and hasn't run in a class 6 since 2014 been in and out this season after starting it on a mark of 70 when coming back in September a couple of stand out runs when third to Get Boosting in a 0-80 at 40/1 off 62 and a fifth in a 0-75 off 62..Ran mediocre last time out eight of ten in a 0-75 beaten 5ls,his mark is now just 57 and the claimer takes off five down to just 52..he still look capable of winning some low grade races,the big negatuve is Derek Shaw he hasn't had a winner for 255 days so would be his first winner in a year..Hopefully at some point his horses will come back to form so will have to back the veteran in this frst time grade in six years..and just keep following.
The race looks chocca full of front runners and if choosing one of them then would just go for the biggest priced one The defiant 9/1 ran here over c/d in August went off far to quick,but recorded a good time and although only second looks as good as most in this and double the prices of the other front runners..
What a wierd race 5 horses that lead got left jorvick prince drifted from 2/1 out to 8s after applebys other horse getting hammered race before and won absolutely stunk,,only return was 4th on dynamo walt at evens,a very very strange race...will have to watch that again strangest race i've seen in a long time..
5.50
4.50
Badessa 20/1 365/hills 18/1 generally Ebqaa 28/1 ppower/sportsbook generally this morning
Badessa has only had three runs debut here over 1m4fs when fourth in a maiden September 2019 was under pressure throughout that race at one time looking like fadin away,only for the last furong to pick up and what looked to be staying in strongly,eventually beaten by 4 1/2ls..Winners now rated 72,second 68 third 59 they all had previous experience..Second run was at Kempton fifth of eight over 1m4fs in a slowly run race,hard to weigh up form in slowly run race the made seasonal reapperence at swell in a handicap off 60,it looked like may have been laid out for the race sire Dunaden has a 40% strike rate there and high srike rate over 1m6fs but no money for it maybe needed the run after a year off..They have decided to bring the horse back to wolves over 1m6fs,the sire stas are unbelievably bad 18 runners 0 winners 0 places,but his debut run suggested the surface was ok,might be a case of just regressed but runs off just 56 and another three off with claimer..A speculatuve bet with such poor sire stats but a bad race, would like to see it backed from the balding stable,maybe the plan is back to swell might try it for next couple of runs..
The other James Unetts runner hasn't been seen for 339 days,was running in slightky better races than tomorriw when last seen although its last couple of runs weren't great would still make it competitive in this race,all the way back to march 2019 it won over c/d off 64 the just two more runs its last over this c/d was beaten an easy 8ls in an amateur riders race..A sht in the dark after such a long break,although has won after 4 months break befire and won off breaks before,traner is relatively local so would want to see money fir it,it may go off 100/1 trainers not had a winner for 511 days,but not very many runners this is owest lifetime mark..If it ran to its best would be 5-6/1 to win this..
5.50
Mr Coco Bean 7/1 ppower/sportsbook/hills The Throstles 33/1 ppower/sportsbook.
The 1m 1 1/2 extended mile at Wolves,Mr Coc Bean hasn't win since july 2019 o0n turf and january 2019 on the aw,ran some decent races on turf in 0-80s this season without winning and last two runs have been at Newcasle a second and third to Toro Dorado and High Commisioner in 0-80s,possible trip migt be slightly on the short side but drops in grade..Decent ew chances if handling the track,never run here befire but lots of form at chester..
A speculative bet on The Throstles,been running poorly last time out was last at Newcastle didn't run terrible here in late September but didn't lo a winner waitng to happen,last win here was off 74 in December 2019,lowest aw mark since 2018 a leap of faith returning to form but huge pruces..If you go back to anywhere near his best has the best speedfigures over this c/d.Kevin Frost trains so money for it would be very interesting,probably the only positve thingthat might be in its favour pieces are retained which havn't been on for the poor runs recently but were on last win..Clay Regazzoni got the track record here as a 2yr old over a furlong shorter,the time was crazily quick due to the surfce being the quickest it's ever been,but first run back here since win and still open to improvement on this surface,impossible to discount running off just 73..
6.50
Elmetto 8/11 generally 4/5 betfair
A short priced one had two this seasonals debut run at kempton runner upto 87 rated Desert Flyer,actually don't think you coul rate it much above 80 yet but with such little form in the race and more improvement to come on what's been seen so far then something will have to imprive dramatically.
7.50
Trusty Rusty 7/1 sportsbook Leo Davinci 7/2 skybet10/30 generally
Looks only to be for in this,this ones the biggest prce so a small bet only run over c/d was secod to Frow the time of that race although slower than one or two of these that night the track looked on the slower side made most of the running,only eight runs two on the aw,flopped next time out at Kempton over 6fs..An unreliable bunch but decent ew chances on that one run here..Leo Davinci has looked a bit unlucky the last twice,the problem is the horse invariably misses the break has been drawn 10 and 12 here recentky,is draw 3 tomorrow but need to not get left 6ls like last two runs another one with obvious place claims on those last twi runs..The favourite Shamarouski is hard not to like,won over c/d last run even though 397 days ago,won easily in a fast time only four runs could be different class to these and now Michael igham trains,woud hae a saver/forecasts ..an interesting runner.
Dynamo Walt 11/1 365/hills/victor 10/1 generally Jorvick Prince 9/2 hills 4/1 skybet
An ultra competitve race over 5fs Jorvick Prince 7/35 on the aw,hasn't wn since Feruary off this mark of 59 over c/d was second here in September off 58 in a 0-65 then last time out got stopped i run behind a few of these,no guarantee that form wil be turned around,there are six fron runners in this race so will probably need gaps to open..The main reason for betting it's from Apple stable,almost certain to get overbet and could go off a stupid price so there's a risk free bet there..probably decent trade.
The other is Dynamo Walt the veteran 9yr old,has regressed to lowest mark since 2013 and hasn't run in a class 6 since 2014 been in and out this season after starting it on a mark of 70 when coming back in September a couple of stand out runs when third to Get Boosting in a 0-80 at 40/1 off 62 and a fifth in a 0-75 off 62..Ran mediocre last time out eight of ten in a 0-75 beaten 5ls,his mark is now just 57 and the claimer takes off five down to just 52..he still look capable of winning some low grade races,the big negatuve is Derek Shaw he hasn't had a winner for 255 days so would be his first winner in a year..Hopefully at some point his horses will come back to form so will have to back the veteran in this frst time grade in six years..and just keep following.
The race looks chocca full of front runners and if choosing one of them then would just go for the biggest priced one The defiant 9/1 ran here over c/d in August went off far to quick,but recorded a good time and although only second looks as good as most in this and double the prices of the other front runners..
What a wierd race 5 horses that lead got left jorvick prince drifted from 2/1 out to 8s after applebys other horse getting hammered race before and won absolutely stunk,,only return was 4th on dynamo walt at evens,a very very strange race...will have to watch that again strangest race i've seen in a long time..
5.50
4.50
Badessa 20/1 365/hills 18/1 generally Ebqaa 28/1 ppower/sportsbook generally this morning
Badessa has only had three runs debut here over 1m4fs when fourth in a maiden September 2019 was under pressure throughout that race at one time looking like fadin away,only for the last furong to pick up and what looked to be staying in strongly,eventually beaten by 4 1/2ls..Winners now rated 72,second 68 third 59 they all had previous experience..Second run was at Kempton fifth of eight over 1m4fs in a slowly run race,hard to weigh up form in slowly run race the made seasonal reapperence at swell in a handicap off 60,it looked like may have been laid out for the race sire Dunaden has a 40% strike rate there and high srike rate over 1m6fs but no money for it maybe needed the run after a year off..They have decided to bring the horse back to wolves over 1m6fs,the sire stas are unbelievably bad 18 runners 0 winners 0 places,but his debut run suggested the surface was ok,might be a case of just regressed but runs off just 56 and another three off with claimer..A speculatuve bet with such poor sire stats but a bad race, would like to see it backed from the balding stable,maybe the plan is back to swell might try it for next couple of runs..
The other James Unetts runner hasn't been seen for 339 days,was running in slightky better races than tomorriw when last seen although its last couple of runs weren't great would still make it competitive in this race,all the way back to march 2019 it won over c/d off 64 the just two more runs its last over this c/d was beaten an easy 8ls in an amateur riders race..A sht in the dark after such a long break,although has won after 4 months break befire and won off breaks before,traner is relatively local so would want to see money fir it,it may go off 100/1 trainers not had a winner for 511 days,but not very many runners this is owest lifetime mark..If it ran to its best would be 5-6/1 to win this..
5.50
Mr Coco Bean 7/1 ppower/sportsbook/hills The Throstles 33/1 ppower/sportsbook.
The 1m 1 1/2 extended mile at Wolves,Mr Coc Bean hasn't win since july 2019 o0n turf and january 2019 on the aw,ran some decent races on turf in 0-80s this season without winning and last two runs have been at Newcasle a second and third to Toro Dorado and High Commisioner in 0-80s,possible trip migt be slightly on the short side but drops in grade..Decent ew chances if handling the track,never run here befire but lots of form at chester..
A speculative bet on The Throstles,been running poorly last time out was last at Newcastle didn't run terrible here in late September but didn't lo a winner waitng to happen,last win here was off 74 in December 2019,lowest aw mark since 2018 a leap of faith returning to form but huge pruces..If you go back to anywhere near his best has the best speedfigures over this c/d.Kevin Frost trains so money for it would be very interesting,probably the only positve thingthat might be in its favour pieces are retained which havn't been on for the poor runs recently but were on last win..Clay Regazzoni got the track record here as a 2yr old over a furlong shorter,the time was crazily quick due to the surfce being the quickest it's ever been,but first run back here since win and still open to improvement on this surface,impossible to discount running off just 73..
6.50
Elmetto 8/11 generally 4/5 betfair
A short priced one had two this seasonals debut run at kempton runner upto 87 rated Desert Flyer,actually don't think you coul rate it much above 80 yet but with such little form in the race and more improvement to come on what's been seen so far then something will have to imprive dramatically.
7.50
Trusty Rusty 7/1 sportsbook Leo Davinci 7/2 skybet10/30 generally
Looks only to be for in this,this ones the biggest prce so a small bet only run over c/d was secod to Frow the time of that race although slower than one or two of these that night the track looked on the slower side made most of the running,only eight runs two on the aw,flopped next time out at Kempton over 6fs..An unreliable bunch but decent ew chances on that one run here..Leo Davinci has looked a bit unlucky the last twice,the problem is the horse invariably misses the break has been drawn 10 and 12 here recentky,is draw 3 tomorrow but need to not get left 6ls like last two runs another one with obvious place claims on those last twi runs..The favourite Shamarouski is hard not to like,won over c/d last run even though 397 days ago,won easily in a fast time only four runs could be different class to these and now Michael igham trains,woud hae a saver/forecasts ..an interesting runner.
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gigilo
Senior Jockey
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Try some ew multiples
Wednesday Lingfield 11.30
Janus 12/1 365/skybet/victor/sportsbook/betway/888sport King Of Athelstan 10/1 hills 17/2 skybet/victor
A couple of small bets a 0-60 1m4f race at lingfield,hopefully at the very worst one will hit the frame Janus and King Athelstan completeky exposed and plenty of 3yr olds lurking with no form but only had three races in most instances so likely hood going to be something better than current marks..Janus 23 runs 3/10 on the aw but two of those wins back in 2017 and last win was February 2020 over 1m2fs here,since that run has been 2/3/2/2/3/5/6/4/4/3/5/5 last three runs in hurdle races,so not a winner waiting to happen but just consistent,there's a ? over the trip as well although last run here was staying on when hampeed finishing fourth in a 0-65 over this c/d..Realistically place chances are best chance,but recent hurdle runs all respectable suggest trip should be ok..
The other King Athelstan is a regular here,plenty of form in these c/d races went off 11/4 fav last time it ran here over c/d staying in third when hampered in this grade,he's completely exposed just 1/11 on the aw but consistent his last three runs over c/d 1/2/3 a bit off putting that Hector Crouch isn't riding as always rides it Kirby takes the ride.
1.40
Fox Duty Free 10/30 hills 11/4 generally
Fox Duty Free only won a weakish handicap last time out,first run for Ralph Beckett after being with Andrew Balding was backed as well eve though was coming back on twi races where it had refused to race and reluctant to race,so there's always the chance it may do it again perhaps why Balding got rid..He did win easily last time out over this c/d,it looked like there was improvement to come with just six lifetime runs and at frust the time of 1m22.50 looked very good but the track was as quick as i've ever seen it so maybe the time flatters it..The two other previous winners have better form,this looked an ew bet to nothing as long as it diesn't refuse to race..
2.45
Mamillius 12/1 hills/skybet 11/1 generally
Gumras a big impriver been drawn poorly at chelmsford at and still managed to win its last two races,will have to imprive again but short enough
Blame Culture has become well handicapped as well has been 5th and 2nd here in 0-85 and an 0-82 off marks of 81 and 79 diesnt wi too often but runs off just 72 must have great ew chances..There are other interesting runners as well but maybe only playing for a place so a small bet on one of the older horses Mamillius,has never won on the aw but has a record of 2/2/2/4 has run well after breaks last run after a break was five months and was second here just touched off in second off a mark of 77..followed that up over 6fs here in a 0-78 finishing really well nearest finish..Strictly on those runs dropped into a 0-70 would look a decent ew bet,but a lot of these look well in or have shown glimpses of being better than current marks,whereas Mamillius is thoroughly exposed..but has dropped to lowest ever mark and as no c/d winners in the race then worth a small bet.
Kempton 8.30
Run After Genesis 4/1 365 7/2 hills 10/30 skybet
A mile race for horses rated upto 60 Run For Genesis 2/17 a win over 7fs here off 60 and a turf win off 64,looked likely to win more races when mark rose and then ran some consitent races here was third in a 0-70 over tomorrows c/d off 65 last season,then several more runs befire coming back here and third in a 0-65 after giving the field 10ls start..and in a decent time..Has never run in a 0-60 on the aw before,the negative is the trainer Brian Johnsion usually has a very high strike rate but like Ruth Carr has had a terrible season,if it can produce those runs mentioned in a 0-60 then obvious place chances at the very least..Dreaming Of Paris and The warrior are both c/d winners both well handicapped The Warrior didn't get a run at lingfield last time out last two runs were here in the summer 4th and 5th in 0-65 obvious place chances,maybe a saver and firecasts these three..Out of the rags Willingy has shown ability a 5th here in a 0-70 behind the same horse Run For Genesis was 3rd to another maybe worth chucking in fir some coppers and firecasts..
Wednesday Lingfield 11.30
Janus 12/1 365/skybet/victor/sportsbook/betway/888sport King Of Athelstan 10/1 hills 17/2 skybet/victor
A couple of small bets a 0-60 1m4f race at lingfield,hopefully at the very worst one will hit the frame Janus and King Athelstan completeky exposed and plenty of 3yr olds lurking with no form but only had three races in most instances so likely hood going to be something better than current marks..Janus 23 runs 3/10 on the aw but two of those wins back in 2017 and last win was February 2020 over 1m2fs here,since that run has been 2/3/2/2/3/5/6/4/4/3/5/5 last three runs in hurdle races,so not a winner waiting to happen but just consistent,there's a ? over the trip as well although last run here was staying on when hampeed finishing fourth in a 0-65 over this c/d..Realistically place chances are best chance,but recent hurdle runs all respectable suggest trip should be ok..
The other King Athelstan is a regular here,plenty of form in these c/d races went off 11/4 fav last time it ran here over c/d staying in third when hampered in this grade,he's completely exposed just 1/11 on the aw but consistent his last three runs over c/d 1/2/3 a bit off putting that Hector Crouch isn't riding as always rides it Kirby takes the ride.
1.40
Fox Duty Free 10/30 hills 11/4 generally
Fox Duty Free only won a weakish handicap last time out,first run for Ralph Beckett after being with Andrew Balding was backed as well eve though was coming back on twi races where it had refused to race and reluctant to race,so there's always the chance it may do it again perhaps why Balding got rid..He did win easily last time out over this c/d,it looked like there was improvement to come with just six lifetime runs and at frust the time of 1m22.50 looked very good but the track was as quick as i've ever seen it so maybe the time flatters it..The two other previous winners have better form,this looked an ew bet to nothing as long as it diesn't refuse to race..
2.45
Mamillius 12/1 hills/skybet 11/1 generally
Gumras a big impriver been drawn poorly at chelmsford at and still managed to win its last two races,will have to imprive again but short enough
Blame Culture has become well handicapped as well has been 5th and 2nd here in 0-85 and an 0-82 off marks of 81 and 79 diesnt wi too often but runs off just 72 must have great ew chances..There are other interesting runners as well but maybe only playing for a place so a small bet on one of the older horses Mamillius,has never won on the aw but has a record of 2/2/2/4 has run well after breaks last run after a break was five months and was second here just touched off in second off a mark of 77..followed that up over 6fs here in a 0-78 finishing really well nearest finish..Strictly on those runs dropped into a 0-70 would look a decent ew bet,but a lot of these look well in or have shown glimpses of being better than current marks,whereas Mamillius is thoroughly exposed..but has dropped to lowest ever mark and as no c/d winners in the race then worth a small bet.
Kempton 8.30
Run After Genesis 4/1 365 7/2 hills 10/30 skybet
A mile race for horses rated upto 60 Run For Genesis 2/17 a win over 7fs here off 60 and a turf win off 64,looked likely to win more races when mark rose and then ran some consitent races here was third in a 0-70 over tomorrows c/d off 65 last season,then several more runs befire coming back here and third in a 0-65 after giving the field 10ls start..and in a decent time..Has never run in a 0-60 on the aw before,the negative is the trainer Brian Johnsion usually has a very high strike rate but like Ruth Carr has had a terrible season,if it can produce those runs mentioned in a 0-60 then obvious place chances at the very least..Dreaming Of Paris and The warrior are both c/d winners both well handicapped The Warrior didn't get a run at lingfield last time out last two runs were here in the summer 4th and 5th in 0-65 obvious place chances,maybe a saver and firecasts these three..Out of the rags Willingy has shown ability a 5th here in a 0-70 behind the same horse Run For Genesis was 3rd to another maybe worth chucking in fir some coppers and firecasts..
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gigilo
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Last edited:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
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- 9,797
Last edited:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
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Just some 1/4 staked speculative bets and shorties and ew multiples..nothing outstanding thought the most interesting horse on the card was Stay Smart
Newcastle 4.15
Violet Warda 13/8 365
Violet warda made its debut over c/d,the maiden it ra in was quicker than the two 0-65s on the same night fir older horses,negative could be poor draw bit of a guessing game on the draw at Newcastle as it can vary far from meeting to meeting..The julie Camacho horse might gove the fav most to do,got left and wasn;t given a hard race here over c/d couldv'e well been the best horse in the race,at 4/1 maybe a little ew saver..
4.45
Patsy Fagan 4/1 generally Fircombe Hall 15/2 generally Stay Smart 11/1 365/hills
Patsy Fagan and Fircombe hall have had eight and ten chances to win both maidens,running consistently both have c/d form in 0-70s here so they look obvious frame contenders neither of the pair looking outstanding as win bets although they are in the right grade..The bigger pruced of the three Stay Smart i've been watching since it's debut,looks ti have regresed won a maien on debut at wolves,the 4th,5th and 6th have all won and are all horses rated in high 70s and 80,Stay Smart then ran at ascot beaten 19ls in a listed race,followed that up with another coule of mediocre runs on the turf was third off 74 in a nursery but beaten 7ls.Then a poor run at Kempton over 6fs,then came back onto tapeta here over 5fs,was very difficult to see from head on but looked like it didn't get a clear run,may have just been outpaced but looked like it came back on the bridle last half a furlong,eventuall6th beaten 3 1/2ls..Next time out taken to lingfield looked odd place to run and was raised in class to a 0-85,outpaced and well beaten but was not losing ground at finish,back on tapeta tomorrow raised in trip and running off 65,if it is the track and trip needed then
might be well backed,the betting will probably tell the story..
6.15
Silent Hunter 13/8 365/hills/victor/sportsbook
Added this in fir multiples,hard to know how much ability it retains hasn't run fir 779 days,debut loked a decent run then was runner upto a 94 rated horse,althugh the time if its last race was slow,just interesting kept in training sire does ok here,the Appleby horse Kells maybe the danger first run fir him and some decent form in ireland
6.45
Debs Delight 16/1 victor/hills/betfred/betway/365/boyles 14/1 generally
An ultra competitive 7f race looks impossible,First Response has the best form but thats over a mile here,couldn't possibly disciunt it and maybe an alternative pick in the race with so much track form..Debs Delight a 3yr old that had shown nothing,only its last run showed a bit of promise
maybe one to follow for a few runs did win on debut in August 2019 but the nothing,last time out over this c/d on sixth lifetime run was sixth in this grade,got a little outpaced and pushed over to farside and although not a huge eyecatcher but looked a little better than that run..Wouldn't gove up on it if it bombed tomorrow usually sire dies far better over 6fs so be interrsting to see how nmuch pace it shows..first time tongue tie.
7.15
Nubough 7/1 victor/hills Friendly Advice 16/1 365/hills 12/1 generally
Only 1/21 Nubough that 1/9 on the aw although was rated 84 at one time on the turf three runs this season on tapeta two seconds and a third and last run here was second in a 0-70 over 5fs so place chances in same grade even though hard to win with..The more speculative Friendly Advice 2/16 both on turf was rated 77 at one point,just three runs in 2020 and only last time out showed a glimpse opf form,running at wolves over this trip was hanging left and right in the race but at least showed retains ability pieces were on and tomorriw swapped for first time visor..
Drops into a 0-70 first time since winning at beverley may 2019,fanning rides won on him previously..
Newcastle 4.15
Violet Warda 13/8 365
Violet warda made its debut over c/d,the maiden it ra in was quicker than the two 0-65s on the same night fir older horses,negative could be poor draw bit of a guessing game on the draw at Newcastle as it can vary far from meeting to meeting..The julie Camacho horse might gove the fav most to do,got left and wasn;t given a hard race here over c/d couldv'e well been the best horse in the race,at 4/1 maybe a little ew saver..
4.45
Patsy Fagan 4/1 generally Fircombe Hall 15/2 generally Stay Smart 11/1 365/hills
Patsy Fagan and Fircombe hall have had eight and ten chances to win both maidens,running consistently both have c/d form in 0-70s here so they look obvious frame contenders neither of the pair looking outstanding as win bets although they are in the right grade..The bigger pruced of the three Stay Smart i've been watching since it's debut,looks ti have regresed won a maien on debut at wolves,the 4th,5th and 6th have all won and are all horses rated in high 70s and 80,Stay Smart then ran at ascot beaten 19ls in a listed race,followed that up with another coule of mediocre runs on the turf was third off 74 in a nursery but beaten 7ls.Then a poor run at Kempton over 6fs,then came back onto tapeta here over 5fs,was very difficult to see from head on but looked like it didn't get a clear run,may have just been outpaced but looked like it came back on the bridle last half a furlong,eventuall6th beaten 3 1/2ls..Next time out taken to lingfield looked odd place to run and was raised in class to a 0-85,outpaced and well beaten but was not losing ground at finish,back on tapeta tomorrow raised in trip and running off 65,if it is the track and trip needed then
might be well backed,the betting will probably tell the story..
6.15
Silent Hunter 13/8 365/hills/victor/sportsbook
Added this in fir multiples,hard to know how much ability it retains hasn't run fir 779 days,debut loked a decent run then was runner upto a 94 rated horse,althugh the time if its last race was slow,just interesting kept in training sire does ok here,the Appleby horse Kells maybe the danger first run fir him and some decent form in ireland
6.45
Debs Delight 16/1 victor/hills/betfred/betway/365/boyles 14/1 generally
An ultra competitive 7f race looks impossible,First Response has the best form but thats over a mile here,couldn't possibly disciunt it and maybe an alternative pick in the race with so much track form..Debs Delight a 3yr old that had shown nothing,only its last run showed a bit of promise
maybe one to follow for a few runs did win on debut in August 2019 but the nothing,last time out over this c/d on sixth lifetime run was sixth in this grade,got a little outpaced and pushed over to farside and although not a huge eyecatcher but looked a little better than that run..Wouldn't gove up on it if it bombed tomorrow usually sire dies far better over 6fs so be interrsting to see how nmuch pace it shows..first time tongue tie.
7.15
Nubough 7/1 victor/hills Friendly Advice 16/1 365/hills 12/1 generally
Only 1/21 Nubough that 1/9 on the aw although was rated 84 at one time on the turf three runs this season on tapeta two seconds and a third and last run here was second in a 0-70 over 5fs so place chances in same grade even though hard to win with..The more speculative Friendly Advice 2/16 both on turf was rated 77 at one point,just three runs in 2020 and only last time out showed a glimpse opf form,running at wolves over this trip was hanging left and right in the race but at least showed retains ability pieces were on and tomorriw swapped for first time visor..
Drops into a 0-70 first time since winning at beverley may 2019,fanning rides won on him previously..
Last edited:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
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- 9,797
Just some 1/4 staked speculative bets and shorties and ew multiples..nothing outstanding thought the most interesting horse on the card was Stay Smart
Newcastle 4.15
Violet Warda 13/8 365
Violet warda made its debut over c/d,the maiden it ra in was quicker than the two 0-65s on the same night fir older horses,negative could be poor draw bit of a guessing game on the draw at Newcastle as it can vary far from meeting to meeting..The julie Camacho horse might gove the fav most to do,got left and wasn;t given a hard race here over c/d couldv'e well been the best horse in the race,at 4/1 maybe a little ew saver..
4.45
Patsy Fagan 4/1 generally Fircombe Hall 15/2 generally Stay Smart 11/1 365/hills
Patsy Fagan and Fircombe hall have had eight and ten chances to win both maidens,running consistently both have c/d form in 0-70s here so they look obvious frame contenders neither of the pair looking outstanding as win bets although they are in the right grade..The bigger pruced of the three Stay Smart i've been watching since it's debut,looks ti have regresed won a maien on debut at wolves,the 4th,5th and 6th have all won and are all horses rated in high 70s and 80,Stay Smart then ran at ascot beaten 19ls in a listed race,followed that up with another coule of mediocre runs on the turf was third off 74 in a nursery but beaten 7ls.Then a poor run at Kempton over 6fs,then came back onto tapeta here over 5fs,was very difficult to see from head on but looked like it didn't get a clear run,may have just been outpaced but looked like it came back on the bridle last half a furlong,eventuall6th beaten 3 1/2ls..Next time out taken to lingfield looked odd place to run and was raised in class to a 0-85,outpaced and well beaten but was not losing ground at finish,back on tapeta tomorrow raised in trip and running off 65,if it is the track and trip needed then
might be well backed,the betting will probably tell the story..
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!A lovely touch winner and firecast,it shouldv'e won stay smart as well,agony to watch as forecast wouldv'e been better as wel,lovely drift last night the winnerCSF £25 EXACTA £26!!
6.15
Silent Hunter 13/8 365/hills/victor/sportsbook
Added this in fir multiples,hard to know how much ability it retains hasn't run fir 779 days,debut loked a decent run then was runner upto a 94 rated horse,althugh the time if its last race was slow,just interesting kept in training sire does ok here,the Appleby horse Kells maybe the danger first run fir him and some decent form in ireland
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!
6.45
Debs Delight 16/1 victor/hills/betfred/betway/365/boyles 14/1 generally
An ultra competitive 7f race looks impossible,First Response has the best form but thats over a mile here,couldn't possibly disciunt it and maybe an alternative pick in the race with so much track form..Debs Delight a 3yr old that had shown nothing,only its last run showed a bit of promise
maybe one to follow for a few runs did win on debut in August 2019 but the nothing,last time out over this c/d on sixth lifetime run was sixth in this grade,got a little outpaced and pushed over to farside and although not a huge eyecatcher but looked a little better than that run..Wouldn't gove up on it if it bombed tomorrow usually sire dies far better over 6fs so be interrsting to see how nmuch pace it shows..first time tongue tie.
Another eyecatching run gave them 10ls has to switch round the whole field may have been the best horse in the race,frustrating to watch as you could see what was going to happen finishing 5th..beaten by the draw.The winner had tudhope on,thats two winners tonight where he's won on the rail and shiyuldv'e won on stay smart..
7.15
Nubough 7/1 victor/hills Friendly Advice 16/1 365/hills 12/1 generally
Only 1/21 Nubough that 1/9 on the aw although was rated 84 at one time on the turf three runs this season on tapeta two seconds and a third and last run here was second in a 0-70 over 5fs so place chances in same grade even though hard to win with..The more speculative Friendly Advice 2/16 both on turf was rated 77 at one point,just three runs in 2020 and only last time out showed a glimpse opf form,running at wolves over this trip was hanging left and right in the race but at least showed retains ability pieces were on and tomorriw swapped for first time visor..
Drops into a 0-70 first time since winning at beverley may 2019,fanning rides won on him previously..
ffs cannot believe that nubough looked like winning going off far to quick gets the place money in 4th and friendly advice comes through cantering diesn't quite get there,both mustv'e traded odds on,nice to get them in the frame but ffs and the previous race with debs delight not getting placed ruined some nice multiples..Another decent day,couldv'e been brilliant..
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gigilo
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Wolves 4.0
Street Poet 25/1 365 20/1 skybet/hills Roller 10/1 hills/skybet/victor
First and second favs look well handicapped to me Hectors Hare and Merhags Princess Hectors Hares div last tume it won here over c/d was 1.4 seconds quicker than the other div and the debut run of Merhags Princess at Chelmsford where its maiden was quicker than the 0-75 fillies handicap..Had a run on turf hadn't run since june then beaten 10ls at wolves comes here off just 64,looks likely one of these will be well handicapped currently 6/4 and 6/1..
Just going to have a couple of token bets at bigger prices Rollers got some decent times round here,an habitual loser but in recent times has won a couole of races,invariably gets left and if they crawl then doesn't show,was 4th here in a 0-70 in August off 70 this would be a high marj fir him to win off 67,could run well if there's enough pace in the race..
Street Poet 51 races loads of racing 8/43 on the aw usually leads the races so may help Roller if isn't titally out of form,recent runs all nearer last than first but in better class races was behind Roller in the 0-70 mentioned,there aren't really any positves on recent form..What doies catch the eye is pieces not on for last four runs even though they were better class races,oif you narrow his races down to class 6s with pieces on remarjkable recird of 2/2/2/2/2/1/1/1/3/7/2/1 and with tomorrows jock Tom Eaves riding 4/1/2/1/1...So back in a class 6 running off 60,if it were to show its best would have a decent ew chance,hopefully if it doesn't show anything will at least go quick enough for Roller to perhaps be involved..
Read the race perfect how street poet hasn't got third dropped the reigns 3ls clear a furloing to go got 4/1 on Hectors Hare coildn't believe it drifted to that price crazy,and the firecast thought i'd got the trucsast ffs got 1.9 fir 4 places street poet the winner bumped the other two as well
annoying as cost me the 25/1 place..
Street Poet 25/1 365 20/1 skybet/hills Roller 10/1 hills/skybet/victor
First and second favs look well handicapped to me Hectors Hare and Merhags Princess Hectors Hares div last tume it won here over c/d was 1.4 seconds quicker than the other div and the debut run of Merhags Princess at Chelmsford where its maiden was quicker than the 0-75 fillies handicap..Had a run on turf hadn't run since june then beaten 10ls at wolves comes here off just 64,looks likely one of these will be well handicapped currently 6/4 and 6/1..
Just going to have a couple of token bets at bigger prices Rollers got some decent times round here,an habitual loser but in recent times has won a couole of races,invariably gets left and if they crawl then doesn't show,was 4th here in a 0-70 in August off 70 this would be a high marj fir him to win off 67,could run well if there's enough pace in the race..
Street Poet 51 races loads of racing 8/43 on the aw usually leads the races so may help Roller if isn't titally out of form,recent runs all nearer last than first but in better class races was behind Roller in the 0-70 mentioned,there aren't really any positves on recent form..What doies catch the eye is pieces not on for last four runs even though they were better class races,oif you narrow his races down to class 6s with pieces on remarjkable recird of 2/2/2/2/2/1/1/1/3/7/2/1 and with tomorrows jock Tom Eaves riding 4/1/2/1/1...So back in a class 6 running off 60,if it were to show its best would have a decent ew chance,hopefully if it doesn't show anything will at least go quick enough for Roller to perhaps be involved..
Read the race perfect how street poet hasn't got third dropped the reigns 3ls clear a furloing to go got 4/1 on Hectors Hare coildn't believe it drifted to that price crazy,and the firecast thought i'd got the trucsast ffs got 1.9 fir 4 places street poet the winner bumped the other two as well
annoying as cost me the 25/1 place..
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gigilo
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Wasn't watching in running but street poet someones told me traded around 2s or under,great race to bet in..
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gigilo
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Wolves 5.10
The Throstles 25/1 365 18/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet/victor
A speculative bet on The Throstles,been running poorly last time out was last at Newcastle didn't run terrible here in late September but didn't look a winner waiting to happen,last win here was off 74 in December 2019,lowest aw mark since 2018 a leap of faith returning to form but quite a big price..If you go back to anywhere near his best has the best speedfigures over this c/d.Kevin Frost trains so money for it would be very interesting,probably the only positve thing that might be in its favour pieces are retained which havn't been on for the poor runs recently but were on last win,5/16 on the aw lowest aw mark since winning off 68 August 2018.Last win was December 2019 off 74 over c/d..off 70 tomorrow..
That was the write up for last weeks run,was a late non runner think it may have been on the drift as well betting will be interesting from gambling stable.
Chelmsford 3.25
Baroness Rachael 16/1 365/skybet/hills generally
A low grade 1m2f race for horses rated upto 60,horse was a non runner when i did it a couple of weeks ago,has very little worthwhile form although ran a decent race when fourth at lingfield on third run,surrounded by mid sixty horses,then showed nothing next two runs..Then last time out on sixth run was 7/13 over the 1m1/2f at Wolves,got stopped in running in a slowly run race looked likely to be involved in the finish and was virtually pulled up at finish..At face value the form didn't mean alot as race was so slow,but the two other unlucky runners in that race Beechwood Emily and Desert Cat they were seventh and ninth all equally stopped in runs they came out and were seconfd and third to Spirut of Rowdon last time out in this grade..Am a bit surprised to see this running over 1m2fs as sire poet's voice usually better over shorter,plus sire stats are better at wolves and the Dam Queen Aggie also loved it round wiolves,this maybe a run down the field but will have to follow it fir awhile after that last run..Owned by Shropshire Wolves,if they are trying and thinks the trip and track is ok then will surely be backed,Baroness Rachael was infront of Eyes in the wolves race and that's priced at 9/2,so betting will surely be a pointer..running off just 49 claimer takes off three is another five pound better in with eyes as well..
The Throstles 25/1 365 18/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet/victor
A speculative bet on The Throstles,been running poorly last time out was last at Newcastle didn't run terrible here in late September but didn't look a winner waiting to happen,last win here was off 74 in December 2019,lowest aw mark since 2018 a leap of faith returning to form but quite a big price..If you go back to anywhere near his best has the best speedfigures over this c/d.Kevin Frost trains so money for it would be very interesting,probably the only positve thing that might be in its favour pieces are retained which havn't been on for the poor runs recently but were on last win,5/16 on the aw lowest aw mark since winning off 68 August 2018.Last win was December 2019 off 74 over c/d..off 70 tomorrow..
That was the write up for last weeks run,was a late non runner think it may have been on the drift as well betting will be interesting from gambling stable.
Chelmsford 3.25
Baroness Rachael 16/1 365/skybet/hills generally
A low grade 1m2f race for horses rated upto 60,horse was a non runner when i did it a couple of weeks ago,has very little worthwhile form although ran a decent race when fourth at lingfield on third run,surrounded by mid sixty horses,then showed nothing next two runs..Then last time out on sixth run was 7/13 over the 1m1/2f at Wolves,got stopped in running in a slowly run race looked likely to be involved in the finish and was virtually pulled up at finish..At face value the form didn't mean alot as race was so slow,but the two other unlucky runners in that race Beechwood Emily and Desert Cat they were seventh and ninth all equally stopped in runs they came out and were seconfd and third to Spirut of Rowdon last time out in this grade..Am a bit surprised to see this running over 1m2fs as sire poet's voice usually better over shorter,plus sire stats are better at wolves and the Dam Queen Aggie also loved it round wiolves,this maybe a run down the field but will have to follow it fir awhile after that last run..Owned by Shropshire Wolves,if they are trying and thinks the trip and track is ok then will surely be backed,Baroness Rachael was infront of Eyes in the wolves race and that's priced at 9/2,so betting will surely be a pointer..running off just 49 claimer takes off three is another five pound better in with eyes as well..
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gigilo
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Wednesday Kempton 5.25
Rohaan evens hills. 10/11 365 5/4 ppower/sportsbook/betfred/betway/victor 11/10 888sport 6/5 skybet/boyles
Rohaan on fourth lifetime run hacked up at Newcastle making up 10ls in the last furong winning by 1 1/2ls,probably good for another 5-6ls the way it won the second Att..aboy Roy came out this week and won at Swell so form been franked already,on paper this 0-75 looks a completely different class race,Rohaan got a 6 pound penalty fir the win but with claim only three pound higher..so running off 58..The time was interesting it won easily but was also .40 quicker than the 0-75 for older horses,the winner Look Out Louis rated 73 was 2 1/2ls slower than Rohaan,yet Rohaans running off just 58 in a nursery..Negatives a terrible draw in 10,also the sire does better on other surfaces so there are ?,regardless of that it just has to be backed till it gets beat as could well be an 80+ horse,if it does get beat then would be huge value next time out,the clock watchers should pile in on this and it may go off 4/9 2/5,looking through the rest of the runners those that have run on the aw they havn't done a lot on the clock,so it maybe top weight Muay Thai that could be an improver and run well..
Rohaan evens hills. 10/11 365 5/4 ppower/sportsbook/betfred/betway/victor 11/10 888sport 6/5 skybet/boyles
Rohaan on fourth lifetime run hacked up at Newcastle making up 10ls in the last furong winning by 1 1/2ls,probably good for another 5-6ls the way it won the second Att..aboy Roy came out this week and won at Swell so form been franked already,on paper this 0-75 looks a completely different class race,Rohaan got a 6 pound penalty fir the win but with claim only three pound higher..so running off 58..The time was interesting it won easily but was also .40 quicker than the 0-75 for older horses,the winner Look Out Louis rated 73 was 2 1/2ls slower than Rohaan,yet Rohaans running off just 58 in a nursery..Negatives a terrible draw in 10,also the sire does better on other surfaces so there are ?,regardless of that it just has to be backed till it gets beat as could well be an 80+ horse,if it does get beat then would be huge value next time out,the clock watchers should pile in on this and it may go off 4/9 2/5,looking through the rest of the runners those that have run on the aw they havn't done a lot on the clock,so it maybe top weight Muay Thai that could be an improver and run well..
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gigilo
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6/4 unibet/victor11/8/Skybet/Betway/Betfred/Boyles/hills/888sport 6/4 betfair strange drift obviously an evans horse drifting not a good sign,think i'd be tempted to add in Deputy as well looks well handicapped on thirsk run and ran ok here over further,dropping back 2fs,still nowhere near as good as fav i will be following it regardless of it got beat today anyway..
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