Daily picks.

So funny got abit of 40s in running Trepidation what a tiouch love the trainer,exactly the same as last run,nice horse with ability..may as well do it tomorrow as well..

Kempton 3.40


Trepidation 4/1 365 9/2 skybet/sportsbook

Steps up in trip,so far has only been 7fs the mile looks ok but this does have more interesting rinners in but stil open to improvement,the obvious one of c/d form and one that's won a couple of races is Jeanette May won twce on the turf in the summer,then was 3rd in a 0-52 over this c/d..Jeanette May looks the one to beat if Trepidation doesn't run or race comes too quick..

Frustrating a decent 2nd again place money back,only rated 49 think there will be races ywt with this one stake back an annoying day..


Wolves 2.20


Daysaq 12/1 hills generally

An open race,Daysaq one of the more lightly race runners has already finished behind Sir Hector at chelmsford when finishing fifth,didn't get a clear run in that race and is five pound better off for 2 1/2ls,Sir Hector is tough should run well so might not be much between them if Daysaq can repeat that form,just a small bet..Aces was a massive eyecatcher last time out,but has always been unreliable drops into an 0-60 but maybe the first time tb did the trick last time out..Drawn in the carpark maybe saver/forecasts with the three,just too very small stakes in wide open race

That's three runs now exact same thing stopped in running,drifted but just got no luck virtually pulled up..
 
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gigilo said:
We appear to be on banded racing throughout the aw cards poor stuff,will have some bets but only for interest at 1/4 stakes all sorts of things winning these 0-50 races so not taking the cards to serious am bored to tears..

Some hopefully thieving multis at lingfield

1.10

La Tahity 6/4 365

Only average maiden on debut,running green time was average as well,i doubt the horse is much better than a 75-80 horse it's c/d run might give it the edge over the other joint fav,i think it's more likely something that hasn't run could be lurking..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!Beat the other fav as suspected,won easily..




1.40

Hey Ho Lets Go 4/1 victor/hills Swiss pride 7/1 generally

Hey Ho Lets Go steps up in class after only finishing second last time out,am not quite sure how it's only 2/1 think it will drift horse is 1/26 on all known form you wouldn't expect it to win this but i thought the time looked ok last time out,maybe i will be wring but thought it was worth adding
after that run off just 8-2..
Swiss pride 1/3/1/3 over this c/d last run here back in August third off 72 tomorrow off 68 Laura Pearson takes off another 7 so just off 61,lowest ever mark has not won fior this trainer in ten runs,so relying on switchback to track c/d and decent mark decent ew chances in thios 0-70 if anywhere near previous form here..

Can't believe this race 2nd and 3rd Swiss Pride runs wide and the other git collared on the line two decent places again..



2.10


Jennivere 7/2 generally Little Sunflower 7/2 generally other firms going 4 places as well


Jennivere ran well here over c/d when second to Obtuse in first time blinkers,Obtuse has won twice since that was a 0-70 even though not a strong race 9/4 is skinny but if repeats last c/d run then will place at least as long as blinkers work again second time..Similarly Little Sunflower won a 0-65 over this c/d,this looks no better the negative being the 9 draw again obvious place chances..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!Nice winner again..

3.10


Passional evens 365 Everkyllachy 11/2 365


Again Passional looks a bit skinny only been winning these 0-55s and been beaten in them,although if you go back to September when with the Crisfords was 4th in a 0-65 off 59 a far better race over 5fs at wolves,looked one to follow backed it a couple of times but seemed to go backwards..Joined Stuart williams in four runs been 3/2/1/1 but only in these weak races,now running off 60 although with claimer taking off 5 tomorrow will be off 55 so still lower than the decent 4th at wolves..Another that may drift yet..
Everkyllachy hasn't won since may 2019,had lots of racing 56 runs 7 wins was first ever run for George Boughey last time out when 4th to Ago Go over c/d in a 0-65 staying on strongly in that race,drops two grades and a pound and with Laura Pearson riding looks like the one that will be backed running off just 48..If it runs to that last bit of form then decent ew chances at worst..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!1st and 3rd

Stevie Mckeane 7/1 ppower/sportsbook Music Major 14/1 365/hills 12/1 betfred/betway

Another low grade race a 0-50 classified stakes,not a great deal to go on although 4 places with firms,quite a few of these ran 23 days ago on the same card two different divs,Steve McKeane was the quickest division third in the 0-55 handicap,has only had six runs looks slow like the rest of them but again Laura Pearson takes off that 7 pound..A repeat of that run then obvious place chances maybe one of the very few that could improve,Music Major was also in that race 1 3/4ls behind Steve McKeane a veteran now only c/d winner in the race,stables on bad losing run but on previous seasons usually if runs one decent race follows it up with another..Like all tomorrows racing just small interests.

This was a farce Steve McKeane held up set the pace last time false result awful ride..



Same at wolves

4.10

Alsvinder 12/1 victor/skybet Chitra 20/1 ppower/sportsbook 18/1 888sports


Alsvinder hasn't won since march 2019,and no wins for Philip Kirby in 21 runs,has been running ok in recent runs in slightly better races its last c/d run here was back in November in a 0-80 finishing 2nd off 80,so even though well handicapped being a front runner and drawn 9 would only be tentative pick..If doesn't get on terms straight away then race will be gone,is closely matched with the well handicapped Drakefell as well on there 0-85 Chemsford run might be worh a little saver on that 2/3 over c/d and three pound below last win.
A rise in class for Chitra after running poorly here in a 0-70,penultimate run was second in a 0-75 would still be slightky speculative pick even on that run, this 0-75 looks red hot to me you could even back the rag so out of the bigger priced ones have gone for Chitra,hopefully won't try to lead like last time out as that would ruin Alsvinders chances as well,looks to be a lot of pace in the race..

Alsvinder placed ran well enough..



4.40


Capriolette 13/2 hills Servo 11/1 ppower/sportsbook

Probably a weak 0-70 Hectors Hare won easily enough last time out but that was just a 0-65,there were two divisions that night and Servo ran in the other,thought Servo may have been a little unlucky getting taken over to the far rail by the winner..That second div was slightly quicker than
Hectors Hare race,has a decent ew chance if they go quick enough tends to get behind..fav looks more reliable and would add for forecasts with others mentioned.
If they don't go quick enough then am hoping Capriolette may run well,usually leads, a fifth in a 0-75 at chelmsford this season,and a second at kempton in one of these 0-70s then started running over further, 1m2f races getting collared in the final furlong...Pieces have been on once when
fourth to crimewave off 71 over 1m2fs at lingfield,tomorrow back on for just the second time lowest ever aw mark,if track suits then obvious ew chance.Clay regazzoni keeps coming further down the weight,a decent third at newcastle in this grade last time out,could have a saver/forecasts on this.

Decent 2nd they just didn't go quick enoigh for Servo


5.10


Trepidation 4/1 ppower/sportsbook 3/1 skybet 7/2 4places victor

Trepidation was third in a 0-55 over c/d last time out, has only had six runs and its first sign of any form,gave them a huge start in that race 10ls at least,may have been flattered by the way it finished and looked a horrible ride looks like he might pull his races away,looks a horse with ability but maybe hard to catch right..Again its just a 0-50 classified stakes race so minimum stakes,the horse is entered again on wednesday in another one of these at kempton..wouldn't give up on this one i like the trainer..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Got 40s in running and 6s pre race,incredible exactly the same as last time,lovelt touch..




6.10


Radrizzani 2/1 victor/sportsbook/ppower/hills


Radrizzani looked slightly above average when winning easily first time out had some 70 horses behind on debut run,but next time out ran against some of the same horses and ran terrible,the only excuse could've been 12 day break or just one of those that had one decent run in it..Give it one chance to show that wasn't its form.Global response maybe the one to take advantage,6f run last time out was only average a drop to 5fs may help.

Had saver on global response so got stakes back..strange ride on fav..

6.40


Choosey 6/1 hills/ppower/sportsbook


Choosey one you usually put a line through,6yr old 2/22 a very strange profile has never reproduced some of its better runs in completely different class races but has been impossible to back..It's only win came here over 5fs off 65 in a 0-70 glimpses of form on the turf,then returned to the aw and 11/11 and 10/14 then last time out tongue tie was taken off first time since the win, a stewards about running missing break etc jockey saying missed break and removal of tongue strap favoured the horse and needs 6fs..Am not confident that's the case but did run on well last time out so will give it a token chance off 56 upped in trip and dropped in class..


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!I told ya..:ninja::ninja:

7.10


Fard 9/4 generally Secret Treaties 15/2 hills Onebaba 6/1 ppower/sportsbook


Fards a ridiculously short price,i expect it to drift been with Michael Blake for two runs,last time out ran in this class coming second the time compared well to the other division but current prices are very short although this is a bad race..
Secret Treaties still only the fourteen runs,2/7 on the aw its best run was winning at Chelmsford over 6fs in this grade,the time .55 quicker than the other division so looks as good as anything in here running off 49 three pound lower than that win..Hav'nt watched jock Frederick Larsson ride but he has had 2 winners from 18 runs claiming the 7,it ran poorly at kempton last time out,very poor infact but repeat of chelmsford obvious ew chances..Onebaba i've backed a couple of times and have now been avoiding after several poor runs,would be hard to be confident 0/17 on the aw while 1/7 on turf,the last time it ran on the aw was here third in a 0-60 over this c/d off 54 same mark timorrow and drops in class..Sarahs verse the bigger priced ones drops in class could run well has decent track form over 7fs in better races..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!And another and the firecast,just tops off a beautiful day,annoying as the two i really liked were 1,2 and fard reared...



8.10


Barones Rachael 25/1 hills 33/1 betfair


Baroness Rachael put up twice now,was very unlucky in running over this c/d in November finishing seventh looked like it might be involved in the finish,two other runners in that race were comparitively unlucky in running and were 2nd and 3rd in a 0-60 over this c/d next time out..Baroness Rachael was a big drifter at Chelmsford behind tomorrows favourite Ladywood and Pocketeer,something like 29s on betfair,just seemed to be allowed to drop out of the race,maybe the horse is a complete rogue has a lot to do on that run so betting will be interesting back over its c/d best run..a token pick but i will still probably follow it for a few runs especially if allowed to drop out the back tomorrow..

Same as last time out a huge drift again 33s..just been checking decs runs in a 0-50 classified stakes race at swell on thursday out of poets voice gettting a ton of weight,maybe a better run there.
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Wolves 6.30 Thursday

Onebaba 12/1 hills 10/1 365 17/2 skybet/betway/betfred 8/1 generally1

Must be doubtful Onebaba will run,won todat after a 7 week break was a very poor race it won tonight and its division was slower than the first won by Choosey,did have first time EB on presume todays race was the race they had planned as hammered,this is the same grade but a better race but could well go off near favourite again,Kingscote rides decent draw used to run in better 7f races than this...Doesn't look one to follow again stepping up i trip but the price seems ridiculous,this could go off 4/1 if it runs..i see horses in here that have dropped nicely in class but their prices look right at the moment..
 
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Hard to back it now after that run,the form of the race it ran well in has worked out well suspect it will run well when given up on it,also i never realized it was the 1m1 1/2fs yesterday although not sure that was an excuse for losing,runs tomorrow on fibresand out of poets voice maybe suit better but a complete guess now,think the fact stable havn't backed it since that eyecatching obviously havn't expected it too run well.Maybe they thought it would run well yesterday as was prominent..
 
Sothwell 3.15


Van Djik 9/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor/skybet 8/1 generally

Momtalik won its first ever race in 21 starts last time out,but its form at swell in 2019 and january at this track was different class to these so last time out looked a great bet in one of these,has too carry 10-1 but still by far the most likely looking winner,very rarely runs a bad race here,while the rest of the field hsve hardly ever put two decent runs together..
Will have a small bet on Van Djik was becoming a cliff horse for me as,always gets behind and ran some resapectable races but has never won a race now in 20 races,couldn't possibly have any confidence with getting left nearly every race...It has run here over a mile penultimate run,got outpaced then stayed on in a 0-52,the time was good even though beaten 6ls finishing 4th,if it repeated that exact run then would look a decent ew bet..Think it's very likely it will go off no bigger than 11/2-5/1 anyway so a decent trade in there all depending how short the fav goes currently 6/5..i suspect it will either place or miss the break and not get involved,realistically only four in the race...Baroness Rachel is out again,faded tamely yesterday,no positives from the last couple of runs,the only thing you ca say is it gets huge amounts of weight almost 2stone off horses rated just 50 and the slight thing that catches they eye sire poets voice 16% on surface..Hopefully wiill drift like a barge and just throw some coppers on it,just incase the unthinkable happens..currently 14/1..
 
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gigilo said:
Sothwell 3.15


Van Djik 9/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor/skybet 8/1 generally

Momtalik won its first ever race in 21 starts last time out,but its form at swell in 2019 and january at this track was different class to these so last time out looked a great bet in one of these,has too carry 10-1 but still by far the most likely looking winner,very rarely runs a bad race here,while the rest of the field hsve hardly ever put two decent runs together..
Will have a small bet on Van Djik was becoming a cliff horse for me as,always gets behind and ran some resapectable races but has never won a race now in 20 races,couldn't possibly have any confidence with getting left nearly every race...It has run here over a mile penultimate run,got outpaced then stayed on in a 0-52,the time was good even though beaten 6ls finishing 4th,if it repeated that exact run then would look a decent ew bet..Think it's very likely it will go off no bigger than 11/2-5/1 anyway so a decent trade in there all depending how short the fav goes currently 6/5..i suspect it will either place or miss the break and not get involved,realistically only four in the race...Baroness Rachel is out again,faded tamely yesterday,no positives from the last couple of runs,the only thing you ca say is it gets huge amounts of weight almost 2stone off horses rated just 50 and the slight thing that catches they eye sire poets voice 16% on surface..Hopefully wiill drift like a barge and just throw some coppers on it,just incase the unthinkable happens..currently 14/1..
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KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Have some of that,i had it fastest in on its 6ls beating here as well,just knew it was going to win once it got within 5ls with 21/2fs too go..cracking prices as well,even covered myself at 1.7 for 3 places as two non runners..Relentless..
 
FFS just been told it went 70s in running,i backed the one the otherday at 40s, if you were betting it you had to back it in running as well that's how it always runs,i was mucking about with my lad and his schoolwork only saw the last 3fs absolutey gutted,hope someoe did it in running,only saw the bfsps bollox..

Just watched replay,would definitely have backed it from the 4f pole,havn't watched any races today bar the last 2 1/2fs of that race..
 
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Great tipping.

Is there any all weather track where you are more likely to get a fast pace? Cubano pulls as bad as any horse you will see but would have a bit of ability in a big field were he could be buried off a fast pace.

Any idea where he might get it?
 
Southwell 12.50


Silver Nemo 8/1 365/generally 14/1 sportsbook/ppower

An interesting little race,wouldn't like to discount anything,Swinton Noon so far the only runner guaranteed to get trip on this track has won over a mile here ,the fav switches to fibresand progressive,Woke Media is off a nothing mark not done much but out of Kentucky Derby winner Orb so switching to surface could be a big improver,the Johnson horse got behind when it ran against Swinton Noon..
I was hoping to see Silver Nemo in a race where it was an ew bet and bigger prices,i don't know what its best trip is likely to be or surface,ran ok here when 3rd over 5fs a weak looking 0-65 but that race was 1.19 seconds quicker than the 0-60 for older horses,Silver Nemo then stepped up in trip running over 6fs at Wolves..That race was a 0-70 got behind but looked like it was staying on then stopped in run and slightly eased finishing 7th possibility it was the 4th best horse in the race,those last two runs staying on has enabled it too be now dropped four pound to 54..It may not like the 7fs and not sure which surface suits best,the sire is desperate Markaz just 2/59 on the aw and strangely no runners on the surface..a decent top class sprinter but a sire with very poor stats..The only positive i can see for this surface is that the grandsire Dark Angel is 17% on surface,although it could turn out Silver Nemo is a 6f horse not a 7f horse,will have a small bet on it..Won't be crossing it off as off this mark looks like it will win a race and maybe at a bigger price,just too many ? in tomorrows race to have a great deal of confidence and could be running against horses well in.Plenty of opprtunities to run in lower class races off current marks..
With all books going at least 8/1 then maybe a nice little trade,plenty of 9s as well can see it going off 5/1-11/2 tops.


Looked like it was going to win,then switched and eased at finish the track is so different at the moment surface is desperate out and out stayers needed there with colder weather,it might stay 7fs if the track was running atandard today the race was slow by 6 seconds usually you'd expect that race to be 3 or 4 seconds quicker..Same in the third race that shouldv'e been a tight handicap but the horses that have run decent times there were beaten out of sight,they hated it..
 
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Lingfield 2.50


Kodiac Harbour 7/1 skybet/unibet The Game Is On 141 365/hills 11/1 sportsbook/ppower gebnerally


A couple of small bets,this 1m2f race has quite a few unexposed 4yr olds making reappearences after breaks and they could be open to improvement
the one that's run well here before Madam Peltier won here in November just seven runs and could easily be well involved..Kodiac Harbour been very consistent this season,6yr old ninteen runs was rated 86 earlier in the year,plumetted down the weights the ran consistently a second here to Lady Pendragon over this c/d in a decent time,that race also had the other pick The Game Is on ,that one staying on at finish 1 3/4ls behind Kodiac Harbour has a 7 pound turnaround 1 3/4ls..Two more decent runs Kodia Harbour over this c/d second twice,then won over a mile just a case of too manty races too soon as was a bit disappointing last time out over the mile here..The times at even adjusted weights suggest still has decent ew chances,The Game is On obviously has ability but unreliable,the run before that fourth and last time out finished out the back and it was reflected in the betting.The positives could be coming back here and Kirby rides it the only time was when it was that fourth..Simon Dows had four wnners in last 14 days..be interesting to see if there's any oney for it after last run run when looked like it shouldv'e been backed..bound to win a race at some point..

What a wierd race they go pace and Kodica bay runs its worst race all season,run there three times this seaso over c/d and all three runs quicker on the clock,the betting looked very suspect to me even thoigh went off 6.6 all its runs were quicker than that was never even attempted to be put in the race,maybe a false pace but horse has laid up handy previously..And the other has thrown in another bad run,would need to watch the race again.The two horses with the fastest times over c/d this season finish last and second last
 
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gigilo said:
Southwell 12.50


Silver Nemo 8/1 365/generally 14/1 sportsbook/ppower

An interesting little race,wouldn't like to discount anything,Swinton Noon so far the only runner guaranteed to get trip on this track has won over a mile here ,the fav switches to fibresand progressive,Woke Media is off a nothing mark not done much but out of Kentucky Derby winner Orb so switching to surface could be a big improver,the Johnson horse got behind when it ran against Swinton Noon..
I was hoping to see Silver Nemo in a race where it was an ew bet and bigger prices,i don't know what its best trip is likely to be or surface,ran ok here when 3rd over 5fs a weak looking 0-65 but that race was 1.19 seconds quicker than the 0-60 for older horses,Silver Nemo then stepped up in trip running over 6fs at Wolves..That race was a 0-70 got behind but looked like it was staying on then stopped in run and slightly eased finishing 7th possibility it was the 4th best horse in the race,those last two runs staying on has enabled it too be now dropped four pound to 54..It may not like the 7fs and not sure which surface suits best,the sire is desperate Markaz just 2/59 on the aw and strangely no runners on the surface..a decent top class sprinter but a sire with very poor stats..The only positive i can see for this surface is that the grandsire Dark Angel is 17% on surface,although it could turn out Silver Nemo is a 6f horse not a 7f horse,will have a small bet on it..Won't be crossing it off as off this mark looks like it will win a race and maybe at a bigger price,just too many ? in tomorrows race to have a great deal of confidence and could be running against horses well in.Plenty of opprtunities to run in lower class races off current marks..
With all books going at least 8/1 then maybe a nice little trade,plenty of 9s as well can see it going off 5/1-11/2 tops.


Looked like it was going to win,then switched and eased at finish the track is so different at the moment surface is desperate out and out stayers needed there with colder weather,it might stay 7fs if the track was running atandard today the race was slow by 6 seconds usually you'd expect that race to be 3 or 4 seconds quicker..Same in the third race that shouldv'e been a tight handicap but the horses that have run decent times there were beaten out of sight,they hated it..
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Kempton 4.15


Silver Nemo 7/1 365/hills


Out again,drops into a 0-55 drops too 6fs a completely different track,Onaledge was 5th in the wolves race where it was a little bit of an eyecatcher off 57,tomorrow heads the weights off 55 so worst ever race it's run in..and Onaledge won a 0-75 today..Again things look to have conspired against it be interestig to see if it actually runs,gets the carpark draw in 12,the claimer takes another 7 off so only runs off 48 but i presume Molly Presland isn't upto much,but i did say would probably have to back it a few ties ashae it just wasn't a bigger pruce in the right race great mark but obvious negatives too see..

Waste of time with her riding draw comes up 1,2,3 will have to wait for another race got hammered just befire the off as well,just seems to be suc a huge advantage recently drawn low..drawn 12 was beaten after 2 furlongs..all predictable..
 
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Saturday some early prices up,low grade races so minimum stakes although i think the two last time out winners look sure to get backed even though favs..

Lingfield 2.0


Dutugamunu 9/2 hills/365


Dutugamunu had only its fifth run over this c/d at lingfield was a lower grade race a 0-58 the horse looks huge looks more like a swell type sire stats at lingfield are not great just 1/15 although on poly 10/66 so 15% on surfacer,the time was decent in the race it won so it may have been the pace that allowed it get involved,looked open to more imprivement and with the first time TP for the win on again..Doesn't look anything like a lingfield horse to me,and it maybe better at swell sire stats there 2/8,think there's more races to be won with it just hope there's plenty of pace in the race..
Deb's delight has been an eyecatcher in most runs this season best form at Newcastle in class 5s staying on well did run here in this class and on this sharper track again think she needs the pace to collapse but another with just nine runs must have a decent ew chance at least 8/1 hills maybe bigger if fav gets bet..I can also see Roman Spinner running well,would be fav if at its best,shown very little lately but some glimpses of form was placed on the turf in 0-70s back in the summer,no wins on the turf but 5/29 on the aw last three wins have all come over a mile,thirteen months ago last win but that was a 0-85 recent runs on the aw midfield in better races,first run in a class 6 since november 2017 winning off 65 off 64 saturday..Wouldn't discount in this race currently 12/1 hills may get slightly bigger if fav gets backed.,frustrating thing about these runners they all need some pace to aim at and there does appear to be a lack of it..


2.35


Apollinaris 9/2 hills/betfred 5/1 365 Porto Ferro 25/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor


Another last time out c/d winner,again won a weaker race than this last time out but was dropped out from a low draw gave the field at least 10ls and then stayed on running wide,just like the other pick lightky raced that was sixth ever run and again looks like one of those that may need a decent pace to aim at..Will probably get well backed just because of stable form,although the two horses i;ve backed from the stable recentky were nearr last than first,hopefully stable not gig out of form..got a four pound rise for that win these horses in this grade rarely back up a win with another but at least looks open to some improvement.
I put up Port Ferro last time out over 6fs,he;s only ever won over that trip and just 4/60 but three races back they put first time TP on,the next three runs was 3/4/5 the first two over 7fs one over tomorrows c/d third behind Cape Greco in a decent time,then fourth at kempton staying on again,the third confrerie won yesterday..Then i put him up over 6fs here,was never in the race outpaced till the last 100 yards when coming back on the bridle so worth a speculatuve bet again with that TP on even though never won over the trip,he's 20/1 he drifted like a barge last time out may well do again..If he can just run to that c/d run he would have a decent ew chance..


Kempton 4.15


Global Acclaim 7/4 365 6/4 generally

Global Acclaim won over 6fs here on December 2nd,won in 1m12.84 nothing outstanding but for first run a respectable time probably a mid 80s horse based on that run and maybe open to some improvement..The question mark is probably the 7fs,will probably get overbet so a decent trade in there,unless there's something decent in here,could well be with little form to go on if there isn't then this will go off odds on..
 
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Homeschooling a complete nightmare,but has to be done so betting on sidelines,chuck up the occasional bet..


Wolves 5.15 Friday.


Kodi Koh 14/1 hills/365 generally


A dodgepots lowgrade race for horses rated upto 52,Kodi Koh is 1/29 so poor win record its only win back in May 2019 winning over 1m2fs at Newcastle,has plenty of form there over that trip,they maybe getting its mark as low as possible because they havn't run it over that trip recently..
It's last two runs have been here at wolves ran well over this c/d when second in a 0-55 then last time out over further fifth in a slowly run race,looks an unlikely winner drawn in the carpark in 13,trainer simon west no winners for 635 days and trip looks on short side loads of negatives just looks a little bit overpriced on place side..Windsorlot like the rest unreliable but has a decent draw,Blue Whisper looked likely to win again,but then flopped another with a terrible draw but in the right race..


4.05 Lingfield


Bird To Love 22/1 ppower/sportsbook 20/1 betway Double Legend 33/1 ppower/sportsbook betway go 4 places 22/1


Another terrible race for horses rated 0-60 there's only two of the thirteen runners that have won over the trip and Bird To LOve os ine of them,completely unreliable drops itself out more often than not usually too much to do or never gets involved at all..But the current prices look about double what i thought it would be,will be amazed if it's allowed to go off bigger than 11-12/1 unless of course it's a complete non trier,jockeys hopeless Isobel Francis but she has won on him befiore,probably why such a big price/drufter with books..Will probably need then to go quick,the horse still has 3/21 runs has won off 51,52 and 55 but claimers taking off 7 off those marks,tomorrow off 59 so would be highest winning mark even though 7 off..Record here's quite good 3/1/2 then last time out was 8/10 no pace and althoigh was never far off the pace just dropped away..It's penultimate run over c/d was beaten 7ls but ran on well and the time was around 3 seconds quicker than it's last run..Can't see much pace in the race again just hope that with so many horse that are 1m2f horses one or two go off too quick,then would have a better ew chance than the current prices.
Double Legend is the other distance winner in the rsace 2/17 on the aw hasn't been running quite as bad as latest runs suggest,was 4ls behind Bird To Love when that was second but didn't get a clear run and was eased,couldn't say it was unlucky but tomorrow runs off lowest ever mark of 51 and although the grandaughter rides and she's not very good her 5 takes it down too 46,won off 51 and 58 in the past..In june was 4th over this c/d off 62,also ran better than it looked on paper when 9th of 14 to Beat The Breeze,again wouldn't have won but may have finisjed in the first five..These two runners have the two weaker jocks and trainers in the race but they would be overpriced ew bets on a going day.
 
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gigilo said:
Homeschooling a complete nightmare,but has to be done so betting on sidelines,chuck up the occasional bet..


Wolves 5.15 Friday.


Kodi Koh 14/1 hills/365 generally


A dodgepots lowgrade race for horses rated upto 52,Kodi Koh is 1/29 so poor win record its only win back in May 2019 winning over 1m2fs at Newcastle,has plenty of form there over that trip,they maybe getting its mark as low as possible because they havn't run it over that trip recently..
It's last two runs have been here at wolves ran well over this c/d when second in a 0-55 then last time out over further fifth in a slowly run race,looks an unlikely winner drawn in the carpark in 13,trainer simon west no winners for 635 days and trip looks on short side loads of negatives just looks a little bit overpriced on place side..Windsorlot like the rest unreliable but has a decent draw,Blue Whisper looked likely to win again,but then flopped another with a terrible draw but in the right race..


4.05 Lingfield


Bird To Love 25/1 victor/skybet 22/1 ppower/sportsbook 22/1 betway Double Legend 33/1 ppower/sportsbook betway go 4 places 22/1


Another terrible race for horses rated 0-60 there's only two of the thirteen runners that have won over the trip and Bird To Love is one of them,completely unreliable drops itself out more often than not usually too much to do or never gets involved at all..But the current prices look about double what i thought it would be,will be amazed if it's allowed to go off bigger than 11-12/1 unless of course it's a complete non trier,jockeys hopeless Isobel Francis but she has won on him before,probably why such a big price/drifter with books..Will probably need them to go quick,the horse still has 3/21 runs has won off 51,52 and 55 but claimers taking off 7 off those marks,tomorrow off 59 so would be highest winning mark even though 7 off..Record here's quite good 3/1/2 then last time out was 8/10 no pace and although was never far off the pace just dropped away..It's penultimate run over c/d was beaten 7ls but ran on well in 2nd and the time was around 3 seconds quicker than it's last run..Can't see much pace in the race again just hope that with so many horses' that are 1m2f horses one or two go off too quick,then would have a better ew chance than the current prices.
Double Legend is the only other distance winner in the race, 2/17 on the aw hasn't been running quite as bad as latest runs suggest,was 4ls behind Bird To Love when that was second but didn't get a clear run and was eased,couldn't say it was unlucky but tomorrow runs off lowest ever mark of 51 and although the grandaughter rides and she's not very good her 5 takes it down too 46,won off 51 and 58 in the past..In june was 4th over this c/d off 62,also ran better than it looked on paper when 9th of 14 to Beat The Breeze penultimate run,again wouldn't have won but may have finisjed in the first five..These two runners have the two weaker jocks and trainers in the race but they would be overpriced ew bets on a going day.
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Bird In Love 25/1 generally now,looks ominous.
 
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gigilo said:
Homeschooling a complete nightmare,but has to be done so betting on sidelines,chuck up the occasional bet..


Wolves 5.15 Friday.


Kodi Koh 14/1 hills/365 generally


A dodgepots lowgrade race for horses rated upto 52,Kodi Koh is 1/29 so poor win record its only win back in May 2019 winning over 1m2fs at Newcastle,has plenty of form there over that trip,they maybe getting its mark as low as possible because they havn't run it over that trip recently..
It's last two runs have been here at wolves ran well over this c/d when second in a 0-55 then last time out over further fifth in a slowly run race,looks an unlikely winner drawn in the carpark in 13,trainer simon west no winners for 635 days and trip looks on short side loads of negatives just looks a little bit overpriced on place side..Windsorlot like the rest unreliable but has a decent draw,Blue Whisper looked likely to win again,but then flopped another with a terrible draw but in the right race..


4.05 Lingfield


Bird To Love 22/1 ppower/sportsbook 20/1 betway Double Legend 33/1 ppower/sportsbook betway go 4 places 22/1


Another terrible race for horses rated 0-60 there's only two of the thirteen runners that have won over the trip and Bird To LOve os ine of them,completely unreliable drops itself out more often than not usually too much to do or never gets involved at all..But the current prices look about double what i thought it would be,will be amazed if it's allowed to go off bigger than 11-12/1 unless of course it's a complete non trier,jockeys hopeless Isobel Francis but she has won on him befiore,probably why such a big price/drufter with books..Will probably need then to go quick,the horse still has 3/21 runs has won off 51,52 and 55 but claimers taking off 7 off those marks,tomorrow off 59 so would be highest winning mark even though 7 off..Record here's quite good 3/1/2 then last time out was 8/10 no pace and althoigh was never far off the pace just dropped away..It's penultimate run over c/d was beaten 7ls but ran on well and the time was around 3 seconds quicker than it's last run..Can't see much pace in the race again just hope that with so many horse that are 1m2f horses one or two go off too quick,then would have a better ew chance than the current prices.
Double Legend is the other distance winner in the rsace 2/17 on the aw hasn't been running quite as bad as latest runs suggest,was 4ls behind Bird To Love when that was second but didn't get a clear run and was eased,couldn't say it was unlucky but tomorrow runs off lowest ever mark of 51 and although the grandaughter rides and she's not very good her 5 takes it down too 46,won off 51 and 58 in the past..In june was 4th over this c/d off 62,also ran better than it looked on paper when 9th of 14 to Beat The Breeze,again wouldn't have won but may have finisjed in the first five..These two runners have the two weaker jocks and trainers in the race but they would be overpriced ew bets on a going day.
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KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Hsve some of that RELENTLESS!!!!!Non stayers riddled with them,what a touch!!:lol::lol:
 
Some tiny interests on some speculative poor races..

12.40 Wolves


Unapologetic 14/1sportsbook/ppower


A 7f race for horses rated upto 60,favourite Onebaba i put up three races back when it won then penultimaterun when staying on from a mile back here in a 0-65,then went to Southwell looked likely to be wrong surface as run poorly there previously not looking to have the stamina..If anything it stayed on strongest i've seen it,beating Qaaraat and thats come out and won a 0-65 as well since..The Tony Carroll horse runs of 61 but steps up a furlong,that looks a slight negative but if you look at its runs last season was running in the 70s and got beat here in 2nd to Inaam off 70,if its back to its best then will probably win..Eldelbar rarely runs a bad race form over the c/d obvious place chances at worst same with Mo Henry never won over this trip but chucked in on even the one run here this season when 2nd in a 0-65 to Tuaranga Leela off 58 in a good time,tomorrow runs off just 54 and caimer takes off 7..These three look the obvious three to me..
At bigger price Unapologetic a more speculatve bet,six lifetime runs has shown nothing previously till the one run over this c/d when it was 2nd getting touched off in a 0-65,three winners have come out of that race in December and the horse looks like it will pick up a race...The negatives are there too see next time out was 7th of 9 at Newcastle and it went off 10/1 after the decent Wolves run,which seemed odd as sam grade then went to Swell and went off 40/1,so stable were not expecting it to back up that decent second..Will have a small bet on it looks like one of those you may have to back a few times and might pop up at a big price..
I've also been keeping an eye on the Evans horse Jungle Bells ran a fairly decent maiden on debut beaten just over 7ls,has been beaten easily on all other runs going off 50/1,40/1,50/1 33/1 and 150/1,it is obviously very limited but it's been hit with the whip once,pretty convinced they have not tried with it and trying to get it in a terrible race...Last time out was last of 13,but looked to come back on the bridle over 6fs here,wouldv'e passed half the field in the last 2fs if it had got a run,it steps up in trip tomorrow i still get the feeling this race would be too strong for it,but just don't know if its much better than that last run currently 25/1.

Obvious pick wins after Onebaba non runner Elderbar, got stake back on Unapologetic 4 places at 1.8




1.10


Word Of Honoue 6/1 365


Word of Honour has already won this season over 1m1/2f here just 12 lifetime runs nine on the aw won off 50 then ran over that trip again 3rd off 55 in a 0-60,since has run second in a selling handicap over 7fs didn't look the right trip time,if the go a decent pace which is what helped it LTO over this c/d then obvious ew chances in a 0-55.Velvet Vita won its first race in 19 starts last time out,won by 5ls looks the one to beat on that run,it's last two runs has had EB on so could still be wel handicapped off just 50..Volia Par has been on the diwngrade and showed a glimmer last time out when fourth and dropped another two pound,could be the one for inrunning as nearly always leads.

Turning into an annoying day no pace got stopped i run,had a saver on the obvious fav at 3/1 so got stakes back again..won easy did look well in word of honour got outpaced off slow pace then hampered when running on...



2.10


G For Gabrial 5/1 365 9/2 generally Quoteline Direct 8/1 hills/skybet 15/2 sportsbook/ppower/skybet

Only two runners in this race have won over the trip and both rags Enmeshing is a c/d winner and ran ok in a 1m2f race at lingfield last time out not getting a clear run,could run well back on a track it has loads of placed form in this grade and even stronger..G For Gabrial dioesn't look reliable but has caught they eye a few times,just 1/23 0/7 on the aw this season has been consistent here over 1m 1 1/2fs and has finished third in a 0-70,but last time out led a 0-65 didn't look to get home over the 1m 1 1/2fs tomorrow steps up further in trip to 1m4fs might be the wrong trip but just a 0-55 so a small bet on that..
The other Quoteline Direct 0-8 on the aw but two 2nds here this season over c/d,looks an unlikely winner as those races were 0-55 this is a 0-60
but still has ew chances even though maybe only battling fir 3rd or 4th..


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!! 8.0 bfsp plus the ew on Quoteline direct 3rd,that will do me!!



2.40

Alsvinder 5/1 365 Tathmeen 5/1 generally Dazzling Des 12/1 365 11/1 hills

Ultra compettve race,looks to be a lot of pace in the race Alsvinder rarely get much value in its pruces,same tomorrow has been running well but hasn't really looked like winning decent draw in 4 has been 2nd and 3rd here over this c/d this season it looks more obvious place than anything else..Tatmeen hasn't win in 19 races its form suggest it's not well handicapped but very consitent and has run wel in this grade over 6fs here recently so loads of psce may suit another obvious place chance..Out of the biger prced ones Dazzking Des has a squak,it's a horse i usually leave
as another that gets left and finishes and one that you could keep bettingmbut as there's so much pace in the race might suit and another token bet..This season already 2nd and 3rd over c/d in similar races to this..ran a poor race last time out at lingfield over 6fs so like all the picks would be small interest.

Dazzling des second got 14/1 Tasmeen reared in the stalls and Alsvinder looked like a non trier to me or just totally lost interest,was a bit of entertainment for the day anyway..and a bit of profit.
 
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Southwell 6.40

Bellevarde 25/1 victor

Not been in great form Bellevarde plenty of racing now as 7yr old 56 races so on downgrade,hasn't won since October 2019 when winning off 73 best run last turf season was 4th off 75 in a 0-85 at windsor and shown nothing since..Mark has tumbled down now to just 65,ran last night finishing 6th at wolves over 5fs,was passing horses on the bridle at finish then got hampered 1/2 furlong out,might've been third..I was hoping it would run again in this grade and get some massive prices,but Richard Price has him entered again at swell,so sort of forced into having a small bet on it,doesn't look the right race has won at swell but over 6fs won off 72 in January 2019,a weaker race than tomorrows' race and this is 5fs..
With the claimer taking off 7 down to just 58 tomorrow but running against 5f swell specialists and they are in form Mulzim,Fantasy Keeper and Mondammej,the most interesting runner in the race is Mondammej long term i think this could be half decent...On debut won at Newcastle over 6fs,that night beat two next time out winners hacking up,they are now rated 71 and 70 and the winning time was only .09 slower than Astro Jakk rated 85,that nights run suggested Mondammej could be anything..You couldv'e put it on 85 just based on that run on the times that night,since has just pulled its races away beaten in a two horse race and then last time out didn't get a great run although faded at finish in a 0-85..
Once they get this horse settled he will be far better than its current mark of just 81 looks thrown on that debut run,it might click tomorrow sire
stats aren't very high 11% but 17% over 5fs,seems strange that he hacked up on debut but last two races has not got home over 5fs or 6fs,i will be following this one through the turf season...even if it again bombs out as could yet be a turf horse.
 
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Southwell 1.45



Silver Nemo 25/1 sportsbook/ppower/victor 22/1 betfred 22/1 20/1 generally Galeophobia 11/1 hills/betfred/betway 10/1 generally 12/1 365

An interesting little race,wouldn't like to discount anything,Swinton Noon so far the only runner guaranteed to get trip on this track has won over a mile here ,the fav switches to fibresand progressive,Woke Media is off a nothing mark not done much but out of Kentucky Derby winner Orb so switching to surface could be a big improver,the Johnson horse got behind when it ran against Swinton Noon..
I was hoping to see Silver Nemo in a race where it was an ew bet and bigger prices,i don't know what its best trip is likely to be or surface,ran ok here when 3rd over 5fs a weak looking 0-65 but that race was 1.19 seconds quicker than the 0-60 for older horses,Silver Nemo then stepped up in trip running over 6fs at Wolves..That race was a 0-70 got behind but looked like it was staying on then stopped in run and slightly eased finishing 7th possibility it was the 4th best horse in the race,those last two runs staying on has enabled it too be now dropped four pound to 54..It may not like the 7fs and not sure which surface suits best,the sire is desperate Markaz just 2/59 on the aw and strangely no runners on the surface..a decent top class sprinter but a sire with very poor stats..The only positive i can see for this surface is that the grandsire Dark Angel is 17% on surface,although it could turn out Silver Nemo is a 6f horse not a 7f horse,will have a small bet on it..Won't be crossing it off as off this mark looks like it will win a race and maybe at a bigger price,just too many ? in tomorrows race to have a great deal of confidence and could be running against horses well in.Plenty of opprtunities to run in lower class races off current marks..
With all books going at least 8/1 then maybe a nice little trade,plenty of 9s as well can see it going off 5/1-11/2 tops.


Looked like it was going to win,then switched and eased at finish the track is so different at the moment surface is desperate out and out stayers needed there with colder weather,it might stay 7fs if the track was running atandard today the race was slow by 6 seconds usually you'd expect that race to be 3 or 4 seconds quicker

Will try Silver Nemo again,it's back at swell drops back to 6fs which might be more suitable and the surface has been quicker last few meetings but has run again since and reared at Kempton finishing stone last,as said the sire is dire Markaz just 2/62 now..Has dropped another pound to 53,that wolves run i mentioned previously has still kept working out that it was an eyecather in,maybe give it one more chance if it shows nothing tomorrow as that was its best run by a long way at wolves and in a 0-70..pieces are taken off after running in them last time out.Desert Boots is 11/2 in this race yet Silver Nemo upsides it in that four horse race where it faded..Unless its a complete non trier i can't see why this should be going off bigger than 10-12/1 tops..based on its two runs at thew track..
The other Galephobia has shown very little two poor runs on the turf then got beat in a three horse race at swell after a 6 month break was beaen 4ls and faheys other runner was 25/1 and 2nd,so the form looks very weak..The horse looked in need of the run,looks to have plenty of scope and even though looked beaten 2fs out,lost no more ground at finish, it runs off 60 jock takes off three,the time of the race wasn't a lot slower than the 6f race Tashbeeh ran here thats 6/1 but at weights the Fahey horse would look well in with that one..Hard to get precise goings at swell as they see to be changing every otherday so i could be wrong but as it's so lightly raced will have a little bet on that as well off just 57 and the least exposed runner in the race..
 
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gigilo said:
Southwell 1.45



Silver Nemo 25/1 sportsbook/ppower/victor 22/1 betfred 22/1 20/1 generally Galeophobia 11/1 hills/betfred/betway 10/1 generally 12/1 365

An interesting little race,wouldn't like to discount anything,Swinton Noon so far the only runner guaranteed to get trip on this track has won over a mile here ,the fav switches to fibresand progressive,Woke Media is off a nothing mark not done much but out of Kentucky Derby winner Orb so switching to surface could be a big improver,the Johnson horse got behind when it ran against Swinton Noon..
I was hoping to see Silver Nemo in a race where it was an ew bet and bigger prices,i don't know what its best trip is likely to be or surface,ran ok here when 3rd over 5fs a weak looking 0-65 but that race was 1.19 seconds quicker than the 0-60 for older horses,Silver Nemo then stepped up in trip running over 6fs at Wolves..That race was a 0-70 got behind but looked like it was staying on then stopped in run and slightly eased finishing 7th possibility it was the 4th best horse in the race,those last two runs staying on has enabled it too be now dropped four pound to 54..It may not like the 7fs and not sure which surface suits best,the sire is desperate Markaz just 2/59 on the aw and strangely no runners on the surface..a decent top class sprinter but a sire with very poor stats..The only positive i can see for this surface is that the grandsire Dark Angel is 17% on surface,although it could turn out Silver Nemo is a 6f horse not a 7f horse,will have a small bet on it..Won't be crossing it off as off this mark looks like it will win a race and maybe at a bigger price,just too many ? in tomorrows race to have a great deal of confidence and could be running against horses well in.Plenty of opprtunities to run in lower class races off current marks..
With all books going at least 8/1 then maybe a nice little trade,plenty of 9s as well can see it going off 5/1-11/2 tops.


Looked like it was going to win,then switched and eased at finish the track is so different at the moment surface is desperate out and out stayers needed there with colder weather,it might stay 7fs if the track was running atandard today the race was slow by 6 seconds usually you'd expect that race to be 3 or 4 seconds quicker

Will try Silver Nemo again,it's back at swell drops back to 6fs which might be more suitable and the surface has been quicker last few meetings but has run again since and reared at Kempton finishing stone last,as said the sire is dire Markaz just 2/62 now..Has dropped another pound to 53,that wolves run i mentioned previously has still kept working out that it was an eyecather in,maybe give it one more chance if it shows nothing tomorrow as that was its best run by a long way at wolves and in a 0-70..pieces are taken off after running in them last time out.Desert Boots is 11/2 in this race yet Silver Nemo upsides it in that four horse race where it faded..Unless its a complete non trier i can't see why this should be going off bigger than 10-12/1 tops..based on its two runs at thew track..
The other Galephobia has shown very little two poor runs on the turf then got beat in a three horse race at swell after a 6 month break was beaen 4ls and faheys other runner was 25/1 and 2nd,so the form looks very weak..The horse looked in need of the run,looks to have plenty of scope and even though looked beaten 2fs out,lost no more ground at finish, it runs off 60 jock takes off three,the time of the race wasn't a lot slower than the 6f race Tashbeeh ran here thats 6/1 but at weights the Fahey horse would look well in with that one..Hard to get precise goings at swell as they see to be changing every otherday so i could be wrong but as it's so lightly raced will have a little bet on that as well off just 57 and the least exposed runner in the race..
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Lovely touch and i added in Desert Boots for the firecast just incredible how that forms worked out and the fahey horse got 4th place money as well.
 
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