Daily picks.

A couple of small interests might do something at newcastle as well,minimum stakes anyway..

Wolves 7.45

Global Humour 9/1 365/hills/skybet 17/2 ppower/sportsbook

Global Humour has three runs over the 6fs at Wolves,1/2/3 off marks of 60,64 and 64 those runs were all back to back August/September time
hasn't been at its best since although last three runs have been over 5fs at Newcastle running on in two of them 0-65s..Its recent form has enabled it to drop to a mark of 59 and claimer takes off another 5 down to just 54,so returns here off a ten pound lower mark when it went off 5/2 favourite finishing third..Was hoping it would be a bigger price as Goldies horses not running well,this 0-60 is the right grade but runs agaunst a couple that could be improving like the impressive Eldelbar,Chooseys come back to form as well beat that one last time out over this c/d and still very well handicapped..Global Humour decent ew chances if anywhere near its best..



8.15


Toolmaker 33/1 victor/betfred/sportsbook/ppower


Toolmakers a speculative pick had seven runs where looked useless then last time out ran over tomorrows c/d was 5th behind Choosey and Eldebar and Charles Le Brun was fourth,finished 3 34ls behind the winner,but go stopped a little in run twice during the race may have finished close up to Charles Le Brun the three horses mentioned are 1,2,3 heading the market in the first division tomorrrow.Probably worth following for a few runs,suspect it might have too run in one of those classified races to win,so a speculative bet eve though a pound out of the handicap..
Kingsley Klarion showed promise in only third run in 12 months,if john butlers got it back to its best then would taje some beating and Secret Potions been running consistently and not beaten far in 0-65s recently hasn't won since april 2019 but runs off just 57,decent ew chances..



Newcastle

1.30

Major Blush 9/2 365 Ajman prince 13/2 ppower/sportsbook


Ajmam Prince a veteran at 8 but only 21 runs 2/17 on the aw has been one to avoid in recent time was running in far better races here in the past was rated 77 in june on the aw,lots of poor runs since the one decent run was penultimare run when 4th to Brancaster in a 0-70 over tomorrows c/d on 28th of December..Then ran another poor race last time out over 2mile here,but will have a small bet on it running off just 63,last time it ran off this mark it won over this c/d October 2016..
Ad Libitum won over c/d last time out,back to form looks well handicapped still should run well would add that in for forecasts/saver,Major Blush doesn't look good enough to win this,think it will drift it has two runs on turf that suggest when back on grass its going to be worth following its form looks weaker on the aw the positive was when it ran here over this c/d the time looked ok..

2.0


Hajey 5/1 365 9/2 general Man of Verve 10/1 generall

A desperate classified stakes 0-50 over 1m2fs,Hajey has had ten runs no wins a few places,but was third to Ad Libitum last time out over 2furlongs further in a better race,consdering the track was so slow the time looked ok faded i last furlong if it backs that run up a decent chance..
Man of verve 3/17 on the aw strike rates good for a horse rated just 46,won a 0-55 over c/d in september off 46 nearly all of its runs in between its been nearer last than any other position but at least in the right race..




3.0


Al Ozzdi 15/2 ppower/sportsbook


A 0-55 over a mile 2/19 on the aw but is now on a losing streak of eighteen runs that goes back to january 2020 winning off 60,been running loads of consistent races since,unlikely winner on profile but recent races here have been in better grades a 3rd here too traveller in a 0-65 back in september off 62..Tomorrow runs off 57 he doesn't scream out wiinner waitung to happen but anywhere near that run then decent ew chances again.



3.30


My Boy Lewis 11/1 generally


My Boy Lewis has run two respectable races here over a mile 2nd to Vive La Difference and a third to Kentucky Connection,this is the same grade
but horses in here like Ghatanfar looks to be improving and Kindly been running in better races,Kindly bit to prove over 7fs if they crawl i think the fav Ghatanfar and Kindly look the two to beat as run in a 0-80 last time out running on well over 6fs..Will have a token bet on Mty Boy Lewis he looks a bit outclassed on theur runs,am hoping with the cold weather the track might be running slow and suit My Boy Lewis so small ew bet,maybe add others in for forecasts..


4.0


Hagar 15/2 skybet/victor 13/2 betfred (3 places)

Hagar was a big eyecatcher last time out in this garde back in September looks to be running over the wrong trip again tomorrow as previous run 6fs,so surprised to see it entered in this race,just a token bet as only 7 runners betfred going 3 places one for the notebook probably




4.30


Nellies French 6/5 ppower/sportsbook

A very short price for a horse thas only won one race and that was last time out in this grade at wolves,might just win on default everything looks out of form but there are a few pretty well handicapped but they havn't won for along time..Suwaan is just 2/43 but one run here in a 0-65 when 5th in a far better race twio races back would give it a great chance,has to be considered against such a poor field..


What a waste of time and effort that was...
 
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gigilo said:
A couple of small interests might do something at newcastle as well,minimum stakes anyway..

Wolves 7.45

Global Humour 9/1 365/hills/skybet 17/2 ppower/sportsbook

Global Humour has three runs over the 6fs at Wolves,1/2/3 off marks of 60,64 and 64 those runs were all back to back August/September time
hasn't been at its best since although last three runs have been over 5fs at Newcastle running on in two of them 0-65s..Its recent form has enabled it to drop to a mark of 59 and claimer takes off another 5 down to just 54,so returns here off a ten pound lower mark when it went off 5/2 favourite finishing third..Was hoping it would be a bigger price as Goldies horses not running well,this 0-60 is the right grade but runs agaunst a couple that could be improving like the impressive Eldelbar,Chooseys come back to form as well beat that one last time out over this c/d and still very well handicapped..Global Humour decent ew chances if anywhere near its best..



8.15


Toolmaker 33/1 victor/betfred/sportsbook/ppower


Toolmakers a speculative pick had seven runs where looked useless then last time out ran over tomorrows c/d was 5th behind Choosey and Eldebar and Charles Le Brun was fourth,finished 3 34ls behind the winner,but go stopped a little in run twice during the race may have finished close up to Charles Le Brun the three horses mentioned are 1,2,3 heading the market in the first division tomorrrow.Probably worth following for a few runs,suspect it might have too run in one of those classified races to win,so a speculative bet eve though a pound out of the handicap..
Kingsley Klarion showed promise in only third run in 12 months,if john butlers got it back to its best then would taje some beating and Secret Potions been running consistently and not beaten far in 0-65s recently hasn't won since april 2019 but runs off just 57,decent ew chances..

Another nice little touch,gutted it got beat tried to make all,just did too much an unlucky loser to run into one...



Newcastle

1.30

Major Blush 9/2 365 Ajman prince 13/2 ppower/sportsbook


Ajmam Prince a veteran at 8 but only 21 runs 2/17 on the aw has been one to avoid in recent time was running in far better races here in the past was rated 77 in june on the aw,lots of poor runs since the one decent run was penultimare run when 4th to Brancaster in a 0-70 over tomorrows c/d on 28th of December..Then ran another poor race last time out over 2mile here,but will have a small bet on it running off just 63,last time it ran off this mark it won over this c/d October 2016..
Ad Libitum won over c/d last time out,back to form looks well handicapped still should run well would add that in for forecasts/saver,Major Blush doesn't look good enough to win this,think it will drift it has two runs on turf that suggest when back on grass its going to be worth following its form looks weaker on the aw the positive was when it ran here over this c/d the time looked ok..

2.0


Hajey 5/1 365 9/2 general Man of Verve 10/1 generall

A desperate classified stakes 0-50 over 1m2fs,Hajey has had ten runs no wins a few places,but was third to Ad Libitum last time out over 2furlongs further in a better race,consdering the track was so slow the time looked ok faded i last furlong if it backs that run up a decent chance..
Man of verve 3/17 on the aw strike rates good for a horse rated just 46,won a 0-55 over c/d in september off 46 nearly all of its runs in between its been nearer last than any other position but at least in the right race..




3.0


Al Ozzdi 15/2 ppower/sportsbook


A 0-55 over a mile 2/19 on the aw but is now on a losing streak of eighteen runs that goes back to january 2020 winning off 60,been running loads of consistent races since,unlikely winner on profile but recent races here have been in better grades a 3rd here too traveller in a 0-65 back in september off 62..Tomorrow runs off 57 he doesn't scream out wiinner waitung to happen but anywhere near that run then decent ew chances again.



3.30


My Boy Lewis 11/1 generally


My Boy Lewis has run two respectable races here over a mile 2nd to Vive La Difference and a third to Kentucky Connection,this is the same grade
but horses in here like Ghatanfar looks to be improving and Kindly been running in better races,Kindly bit to prove over 7fs if they crawl i think the fav Ghatanfar and Kindly look the two to beat as run in a 0-80 last time out running on well over 6fs..Will have a token bet on Mty Boy Lewis he looks a bit outclassed on theur runs,am hoping with the cold weather the track might be running slow and suit My Boy Lewis so small ew bet,maybe add others in for forecasts..


4.0


Hagar 15/2 skybet/victor 13/2 betfred (3 places)

Hagar was a big eyecatcher last time out in this garde back in September looks to be running over the wrong trip again tomorrow as previous run 6fs,so surprised to see it entered in this race,just a token bet as only 7 runners betfred going 3 places one for the notebook probably




4.30


Nellies French 6/5 ppower/sportsbook

A very short price for a horse thas only won one race and that was last time out in this grade at wolves,might just win on default everything looks out of form but there are a few pretty well handicapped but they havn't won for along time..Suwaan is just 2/43 but one run here in a 0-65 when 5th in a far better race twio races back would give it a great chance,has to be considered against such a poor field..


What a waste of time and effort that was...
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Chelmsford 4.05


Holy Tiber 12/1 hills


Holy Tiber only 1/22 on the aw won twice on the turf in the summer 5/45 runs altogether,doesn't look well handicappeed on lifetime marks but this season has run two eyecatching races,was 4th to Sir Hector over 6fs here in November when staying on the winners won again since and been placed in last three runs..Eldebar was 2nd was rated 55 in that race and recently won two races and thats now rated 69 and the 3rd Album has looked a decent sprinter since now rated 73,Holy Tiber was rated 62,then ran at lingfield got stopped numerous times so can put a line through that,then last time out again stopped several times,lost its action at finish but wasn't surprising as was stopped and switched several times..finishing 3rd..
Saturday returns to Chelmsford,not sure why the visors on ran once in it ran poorly so one negative and has a poor draw in 9,but i will follow it for awhile as 12/1 in these sort of races and potentially a far weaker one if bombs out saturday would look decent ew value on the two good runs this season..That maybe the plan putting the visor on and the excuse but at the prices will have to have a small bet,the obvious two look like Velvet Vista going for four timer,won a 0-65 over c/d last time out,runs on friday if turns out again a very obvious chance it beat Swissal last time out in that race and that ones only two pound better off for 1 1/2ls but they do look the most likeliest winners..Might have a couple of savers/forecasts on the race as well..
 
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Newcastle 6.40


Maysong 9/1 365

Has been inconsistent Maysong looked like she was going to be better than a 70+ horse but hasn't won since 2yr old win in a nursery at kempton,2020 in and out 5th at Wolves in October in a 0-78 beaten a length running on and one decent run here over this c/d in November beaten 1/2l in this grade...That was off a mark of 74 tomorrow claimer rides taking off 3 and takes it down too lowest ever mark of 70,negatives are there to see two poor runs last two runs,one at chelmsford although maybe track didn't suit but returned to Kempton LTO and although didn't run terroble was 61/4ls behind in 7th..The race looks wide open only the rag can be discounted,pieces are on tomorrrow first time so will have a small bet on it,the third here was run in a fairy decent time and only its second ever race at Newcastle..Kapono was 2nd last time it ran in this grade and that was here over this c/d off 76 tomorrow off 75,form ties in with Maysong looks nothing between them,but like Maysong disappoinyed last twice and here but now right grade..And also Great Heir hasn't won also since 2yr old days but 7 pound lower than when second in this grade over c/d..
 
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Chelmsford 5.30


Bellevarde 16/1 hills/ppower/sportsbook 14/1 365 12/1 Hills
 
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gigilo said:
Southwell 6.40

Bellevarde 25/1 victor

Not been in great form Bellevarde plenty of racing now as 7yr old 56 races so on downgrade,hasn't won since October 2019 when winning off 73 best run last turf season was 4th off 75 in a 0-85 at windsor and shown nothing since..Mark has tumbled down now to just 65,ran last night finishing 6th at wolves over 5fs,was passing horses on the bridle at finish then got hampered 1/2 furlong out,might've been third..I was hoping it would run again in this grade and get some massive prices,but Richard Price has him entered again at swell,so sort of forced into having a small bet on it,doesn't look the right race has won at swell but over 6fs won off 72 in January 2019,a weaker race than tomorrows' race and this is 5fs..
With the claimer taking off 7 down to just 58 tomorrow but running against 5f swell specialists and they are in form Mulzim,Fantasy Keeper and Mondammej,the most interesting runner in the race is Mondammej long term i think this could be half decent...On debut won at Newcastle over 6fs,that night beat two next time out winners hacking up,they are now rated 71 and 70 and the winning time was only .09 slower than Astro Jakk rated 85,that nights run suggested Mondammej could be anything..You couldv'e put it on 85 just based on that run on the times that night,since has just pulled its races away beaten in a two horse race and then last time out didn't get a great run although faded at finish in a 0-85..
Once they get this horse settled he will be far better than its current mark of just 81 looks thrown on that debut run,it might click tomorrow sire
stats aren't very high 11% but 17% over 5fs,seems strange that he hacked up on debut but last two races has not got home over 5fs or 6fs,i will be following this one through the turf season...even if it again bombs out as could yet be a turf horse.
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Last time outs write up finished 5th in that 0-80 running on,tomorrow runs over 6fs at Chelmsford seems to be running at every track,the race looks ultra competitve think it has to be followed althiough there are far weaker races to run in than this,the favs won its last two runs off a nothing mark and Rebel Redemption drops in class after a decent run in a 0-70 at Newcastle just touched off returns to its c/d win and a decent draw,obvious place chances again..Bellevarde has run here once finished 6th of 8 over the 5fs in a 0-82,tomorrow drops into a 0-65 it's lowest ever aw mark and first ever run in a class 6,it's a very good race for this class regardless of tomorrows run will stll be on to follows for awhile as has no form here but have to do it.Maid Millie looked a big improiver here hacked up off 56 in a decent time,then disapinted in a 0-70 here,perhaps handicapper has got her but running off just 62 and three pund claim i can't believe there aren't some more races to be won..It's been off fir 140 days so maybe the break will suit.


Chelmsford 5.30


Bellevarde 16/1 hills/ppower/sportsbook/boyles/victor 14/1 365 12/1 Hills
 
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Some small stakes again tomorrow..poor cards again just for some interest..
pisspots

3
1,2
1,2,3,4
1,2
13,4,6
2,3,4


Lingfield

12.30

Dutugamnu 10/30 365/hills only 7 runners 5/2 betfred 3 places Saucy Encore 8/1 ppower sportsbook 7/1 betfred 3 places

Dutugamanu won over c/d two runs back in a very fast time,came from way off the pace and hacked up in first time TP had two of tomorrows runers wel behind Mr Mac and Black Medick and the third has won since Like Sugar,i put it up here next time out found nothing Black Medick was still third in that race so obviously never ra its race.Then next time out ran at Chelmsford third in this grade beaten 3ls,again came from well off the pace in a steadily run race..Saucy Encore was second to Dutugamnu in the lingfield race probably its best ever run,has finished behind Merweb before over 7fs here,it's a 13 race maiden and hard ride but a mile looks about right,last three runs have come over 1m2fs...Hopefully they will gp quick,am hoping that Merweb doesn't get a soft lead if it does than that wouldn't suit either of the picks


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!What a price 5.2 bfsp...makes up for last time,unreal


2.30


And The New 3/1 unibet/victor Estela Star 6/1 generally 13/2 hills Soldier On Parade 11/1 generally 12/1 hills

A couple on interesting runners fro the sticks And the new rated 140 over hurdles but only rated 67 on the flat is a 10 year old but only 19 lifetime runs,sire stats are actually very poor 0/22 on the aw over this trip and no winners at linfield so purely based on that although looks thrwn in would be just minimum stakes...Another hurdler in here rated 136 over hurdles,just a 4yr old and did run on the turf last season was 6th of 7 over 1m6fs at Donny but staying on off a mark of 66,tomorrow runs off 62 with added two furlongs,again sire stats are a bit suspect just 2/32 on polytrack yet at swell 4/6 again looks well in on hurdke mark but could only be minimum stakes on sire stats..The one that has c/d form Estrela Star won this time last year off 66 by an easy 4 1/2ls and hasn't run in a class 6 since..On aw form the most obvious ew chance in the race off just 63..Iva Questions run at kempton gives it a great chance ew as well,form in races equally or better than this could easily swap it for one of the others just hasn'r run here yet,but another obvious chnce for forecasts or saver.


Southwell 5.45


Sezina 14/1 ppowwr/sportsbook Bu Boy 28/1 365 25/1 generally generally huge drifter on betfair 37s

The favourutes going to be odds on and looks the obvious pick so will just have two small ew bets with 4 places,Sezina has only had six runs shown little till running in two very poor races over a mile here finishing quite well both times,sire Cityscape is at 3/20 on the surface and 4/27 over the trip so might improve a little but big step up in trip another four furlongs.
Bugboy looks like a horse that is just hugely regressive,had 10 runs on turf and 2 wins they were over 1m2fs and 1m 4fs in 2019 the last win off 66,joined the Tony Newcombe stable in June off 63 has bee running over a lot shorter trips since,shown nothing then last time out ran in a worse race than tomorrows just a 0-50 classified stakes race at kempton finishing 3rd..That form won't be good enough,but sire Big Bad Bob is over 15% here on fibresand and over the trip 11% so will try a small bet see if surface can produce simething within 10 pound of its best..Trained by Tony Newcombe and a falling mark,if the stable think surface is what it needs then would be backed so that would be a pointer..find it a bit odd the its best form was whe having blinkers yet all runs with Newcombe not on once,maybe going for a touch on the turf on resumption one i will be keeping in the notebook when blinkers back on.


7.15


Three cs 3/1 hills Fly True 9/1 sportsbook/hills

Three cs was a better horse than these on last seasons aw form,has a great record here 1/1/2/1/3/1 last season won a 0-75,then plummetted in the weights after a dozen runs came back here finished third off 55 in this class that wasn't a great race so still doesn't look well in on that run..Then last time out won one of these over the 7fs,all it does it stay on no quickening,might be a false price tomorrow but all these good runs last season were between 7th of February and the 9th of March so will have a small bet on it...
The other Fly True ran against a few of these last time out four of them covered by a length,there's nothing between them on that form or pruces really just that Fly True looked like it didn't quite get a clear run no more than place chances in wide open race unless Three cs imprives on last run..
 
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gigilo said:
Some small stakes again tomorrow..poor cards again just for some interest..
pisspots

3
1,2
1,2,3,4
1,2
13,4,6
2,3,4


Lingfield

12.30

Dutugamnu 10/30 365/hills only 7 runners 5/2 betfred 3 places Saucy Encore 8/1 ppower sportsbook 7/1 betfred 3 places

Dutugamanu won over c/d two runs back in a very fast time,came from way off the pace and hacked up in first time TP had two of tomorrows runers wel behind Mr Mac and Black Medick and the third has won since Like Sugar,i put it up here next time out found nothing Black Medick was still third in that race so obviously never ra its race.Then next time out ran at Chelmsford third in this grade beaten 3ls,again came from well off the pace in a steadily run race..Saucy Encore was second to Dutugamnu in the lingfield race probably its best ever run,has finished behind Merweb before over 7fs here,it's a 13 race maiden and hard ride but a mile looks about right,last three runs have come over 1m2fs...Hopefully they will gp quick,am hoping that Merweb doesn't get a soft lead if it does than that wouldn't suit either of the picks


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!What a price 5.2 bfsp...makes up for last time,unreal


2.30


And The New 3/1 unibet/victor Estela Star 6/1 generally 13/2 hills Soldier On Parade 11/1 generally 12/1 hills

A couple on interesting runners fro the sticks And the new rated 140 over hurdles but only rated 67 on the flat is a 10 year old but only 19 lifetime runs,sire stats are actually very poor 0/22 on the aw over this trip and no winners at linfield so purely based on that although looks thrwn in would be just minimum stakes...Another hurdler in here rated 136 over hurdles,just a 4yr old and did run on the turf last season was 6th of 7 over 1m6fs at Donny but staying on off a mark of 66,tomorrow runs off 62 with added two furlongs,again sire stats are a bit suspect just 2/32 on polytrack yet at swell 4/6 again looks well in on hurdke mark but could only be minimum stakes on sire stats..The one that has c/d form Estrela Star won this time last year off 66 by an easy 4 1/2ls and hasn't run in a class 6 since..On aw form the most obvious ew chance in the race off just 63..Iva Questions run at kempton gives it a great chance ew as well,form in races equally or better than this could easily swap it for one of the others just hasn'r run here yet,but another obvious chnce for forecasts or saver.

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Wallop...incredible price!!:ninja: Inthe new got 4th as well so will settle for that as a bonus as ell paying 4 places..


Southwell 5.45


Sezina 14/1 ppowwr/sportsbook Bu Boy 28/1 365 25/1 generally generally huge drifter on betfair 37s

The favourutes going to be odds on and looks the obvious pick so will just have two small ew bets with 4 places,Sezina has only had six runs shown little till running in two very poor races over a mile here finishing quite well both times,sire Cityscape is at 3/20 on the surface and 4/27 over the trip so might improve a little but big step up in trip another four furlongs.
Bugboy looks like a horse that is just hugely regressive,had 10 runs on turf and 2 wins they were over 1m2fs and 1m 4fs in 2019 the last win off 66,joined the Tony Newcombe stable in June off 63 has bee running over a lot shorter trips since,shown nothing then last time out ran in a worse race than tomorrows just a 0-50 classified stakes race at kempton finishing 3rd..That form won't be good enough,but sire Big Bad Bob is over 15% here on fibresand and over the trip 11% so will try a small bet see if surface can produce simething within 10 pound of its best..Trained by Tony Newcombe and a falling mark,if the stable think surface is what it needs then would be backed so that would be a pointer..find it a bit odd the its best form was whe having blinkers yet all runs with Newcombe not on once,maybe going for a touch on the turf on resumption one i will be keeping in the notebook when blinkers back on.

Bug Boy currently 50s on betfair,will be watching this closeky could be out early season on the turf with blinkers back on..

Just gets collared on the line Bug Boy got 33/1 with book did some forecasts as well with fav so another nice tiuch,got 50s on the fair plenty of mone for it as well,another great day git some nice place bets as well ashame that wouldv'e been a monster touch.A cracking day,Sezina shouldv'e been placed as well a terrible ride. CSF £23 Belting day,so close to a monster tiouch had multis running in as well..


7.15


Three cs 3/1 hills Fly True 9/1 sportsbook/hills

Three cs was a better horse than these on last seasons aw form,has a great record here 1/1/2/1/3/1 last season won a 0-75,then plummetted in the weights after a dozen runs came back here finished third off 55 in this class that wasn't a great race so still doesn't look well in on that run..Then last time out won one of these over the 7fs,all it does it stay on no quickening,might be a false price tomorrow but all these good runs last season were between 7th of February and the 9th of March so will have a small bet on it...
The other Fly True ran against a few of these last time out four of them covered by a length,there's nothing between them on that form or pruces really just that Fly True looked like it didn't quite get a clear run no more than place chances in wide open race unless Three cs imprives on last run..
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Draw beat them in the last three cs wants another furlong,a decent day couldv'r done with another place as did loads of multiples
 
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I shouldv'e just done Three cs in the last,was an impossible race i ended up doing 24 ew lucky 15s 11 of them made a loss but still doubled my stakes couldv'e just done the 12 luckys was just trying to find another race to make multiples up..on a decent run..Think Bug Boy was set up for that race,ashame it ran 3rd last time out probably wouldv'e got 66/1,got some nice place bets on it anyway..will be the turf soon and lad back at school,doing the homeschooling having to sit up till 4am to watch any replays..
 
Southwell 5.30 Thursday


Youkan 20/1 hills

A 6yr old just 19 runs trained by Stuart Kittow,Youkan won on debut in 2017 then won again may 2018 off 79 looked like an improving sprinter coming 3rd in a 0-95 at Ascot May 2019 off 83 all of its best form has been on soft ground then went backwards showing nothing November 2019 when 3rd at Kempton off 77 over 6fs..Has only run four times since came back in March last year,6th over 7fs at Kempton then another break and two very poor runs December and January,came to this c/d at swell on February 2nd in first time tp..Looked awkward ride and outpaced till staying on at finish,beaten 2 1/2ls behind the progressive Mulzim so a decent run compared to anything its done in recent times,that was a 0-80 thursday a 0-80 although this race looks very similar..Trainers out of form no winners for three months and horrible profile but git dropoed another 2 poud for that respectable run,a very well handicapped horse but does look a rogue but running off just 63 would be overpriced if it could just run to that form,they've put blinkers on now so 1sttb..Might even be worth noting for early season turf off this mark if early turf is very soft ground,am not sure this 5fs looks the right track but might be worth following fir early season turf races even if bombs tomorrow.didn't run that badly off 75 on last turf run,so one for notebook.


11/1 sportnation 10bet redzone/sportsbook/ppower
 
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20/1 into 6/1 as i suspected the same as last time missed break raceover and was switched from the middle of the track to stands side kingscote gave up 2fs out and was still running on,nice early season turf horse now showing coming into form..

Wolves 4.40

Tomorrows Land 12/1 365/hills 10/1 generally


A bit disappointed with Tomorrows Land price,may have to follow it for a few runs thoight it might be 16/1 maybe 20/1,has had fve races and only glimmer of form was last time out travelled well over this c/d finishing 6th not being hit with the whip hard to tell if jock lost interest in trying to get nearer or maybe the horse was one paced,did look as though couldv'e got a bit closer eventually beaten 3 1/2ls..That was the first division and it was .58 quicker than the second division won by tomorrows fav Blue Cable and Fard 1 1/2ls behind the fav,that would roughly have Tomorrows land needing to find 1 1/4ls with a 5 pound turnaround,if taken at face value..it could be open to improvement draws ok in 6 and Kirby rides first time,betting probable indicator and another worth noting for future races in this grade at would probably be bigger prices..But have to have somethng on tomorrow purely on last run..The three mentioned and Katelli look the most obvious ones to me..


Can't be;ieve that race had savers got 20s on fard and the forecast,how the hell fard was that price just ridiculou as i said in write up 4 horse race fard was 5 pound better in as well with favsame as Tomorrows land yet ended up double the price,forecasts going to be massive 16/1 and 4/1 sps...£78 csf unreal..the times that day worked out the osborbne horse was obvoously a non trier..Can't get over the sp of Fard.Hope you at least had a saver or the forecast..!!:ninja:..
 
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Small stakes again tomorrow will be 1/4 stakes for me,just can't seem to get a decent price on anything even on early prices..

Swell 1.1

My **** pots
1,2
5,7
1,3,5,6
2,3,4,6
1,2,3,6
1,2,3,4 and another perm bankerig blowing dixie

Fast Emma 4/1 generally

Fast Emma won a couple of races back to back,last win was here over 7fs then bombed out last time out Kempton when she win the 7f race here she had Smokey Malone and Omany Amber behind,there's a claimer on tomorrow from a wide draw e's had a winner but it looks like a longtime ago so would only be a token pick even though an apprentice race he maybe useless..For some reason i can't find any of his rides,might have a look later if he's useless might leave it off for multiples..Srictly on that form is better in with the two she beat as well,more than likely it will be a horse fiorst time on the srface winner..David Barron has one out of Mayson so sires 18% on the surface Otto Oyl,its had three runs on turf and in this terrible race,there are two others as well with decent sire stats Study The Stars and Imperial Dawn that could also figure..

Nice litle drift 2.3 a place 1.7 for 4 places,jock was useles shouldv'e wn beat the winner 4ls on that 7f race,looks ominous for other picks the surface looks vile very slow..


1.40


Mr Excellency 9/4 365 Bearaway 7/1 generally 15/2 888sport

Mr Excellency won in a respectable time here in October time compared favourably to the all aged 0-75 7f handicap on the card only .21 slower,the negative is the layoff he looks like he is probably a mid 80s horse but has to give weight away to lightky raced runners from same age group..Looks the one to beat if fit from break
Bearaway was 10/11 at Newbury in July wasn't a bad maiden and beaten 51/2ls,horses infront of it rated 81,102,74,75,80,113,99,103 trainers in form Hollie Doyle rides,sire stats aren;t great around 10%,really should be money for it in a race like this if it can run to near 80..Never looked like getting involved in that 6f race,i suspect the trip is what it wants if it goes on the surface and fit from break

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!Ashame the other hadn't had a run she wasn't hard on it..lovely thoigh and the forecast although prices ruined

2.15


Stone Soldier 11/2 victor/sportsbook/hills

A 0-105 7f race at swell rarely see this class of race here,nothing stands out Stone Soldier has won a couple of races here 18 lifetume runs,then last tme out bombed out completely here after winning in a good time previously off a big weight 1m26.37 three runs back then scrapped home over a mile off 10-1,then last time out the surface was very slow beaten over 7ls winning time 1m30 seconds..Can only be a token choice based on its previous c/d win the track has still been ridng desperate,hoping the rain has quickebned it up and see if that helps especialy with it only carrying 8-7 Archie Watson in form as well..Aljari last years winner and maybe Gulliver the best ew alternatives..

If it was the surface last time then same thing will happen again,the surface is absolutely desperate

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Clock never lies relentless!!



2.50


Marvel 4/1 ppower/spoertsbook Maysong 9/1 hills

Did Maysong last time out,dropped as as normal running style wasn't a penny for it either is well handicapped last winning marj was 73 keeps dropping in grade now off 71 never run in a 0-70 before..Running style doesn't suggest thois 6fs will suit,am hoping being out of Mayson 18% on surface and 14% over 6fs maybe surface will suit more,just a token pick after its last few runs..
Marvels price is disappointing,still a 10 runner maiden gets to run off 61 Julie Camachos horses are always in relatively good form 4/16 so far this year,Marvels been running decent races but disappointing in a weaker race last time out goig off 2/1 in this grade and 4th,must be a lot of punters cliff horse with all the seconds..He's run here once over c/d in October 2019,Royal Sands only rated in mid 70s but recently 3rd in a horse fir races rated upto 95 in Meydan,that form was a longtime ago i will give it one chance as running off 61 maybe will be better here..

Marvel gets done again,did nothing wrong probably the syrface being so slow suited it,decent day though did some ew luckys so some nice returns plus that one dogs race tonight to smaller stakes..Luckys returned £30 £40 £109 and £143 nice day.



Chelmsford


6.50


Bringing Glory 14/1 generally Little Floozie 16/1 generally

Again another weak 0-50 classified stakes race,will try Bringing Glory seven lifetime runs not even a place,but has run a couple of respectable races in handicaps although bombed out completely at swell last time out..A fourth in a 0-55 at Wolves off 55 My Footsteps 3/1 tomorrow just behind it,although the formr was unlucky in running is 6 pound worse in..drawn 1 tomorrow with t1 an ew chance..
The other Little Floozie looks one to avoid and maybe is a 12 runner maiden,she was second on december 22nd at lingfield in a 0-55 and then ran second here in one of these stepped up in trip to Irish Times,maybe the fact the track usually suits front runners suited her may have helped,also her division was a second quicker than the race won by My Footsteps as mentioned above and claimer takes off 3..If she could repeat that then ew chances,although there is a possibility these two picks might just take each other one..sio confidence is small..
 
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Just going to try some thieving bets,not really thieving bets as 6 and a 7 horse race so just two places for two races,small interests the only one i thought was worth having a bigger bet was Red Alert but Carrolls had loads of winners lately whether it will be trying now at just 7/1 is anyones guess..Would probably do a small multiple with yuften as its been running so poorly last couple of runs,and do a seperae one with the others.

3,8
1,2,3,4,5 smaller perm 4,5
1,2,3,4
2,4,8
1,2,3,4,5,6 smaller perm 3,5
4,9

Newcastle 7.15


Red Alert 7/1 generally


Red Alert had loads of racing a 7yr old now,hasn't won since september 2019 was rated 80 in 2020 now just rated 62..Tomorrow is off lowest ever mark has never run in a 0-60 before or a class 6,was fifth in a 0-85 at wolves and then even though dropped in class 8/9 and 5/6 although watching those races it looked to be crying out for 6fs in those class 5s..The problem maybe prices,thought it would open double figures for stable to have ago,if they are with pieces back on i could see this going off favourite..with stable having three winners yesterday.


5.45


Attaboy Roy 9/4 Accrington Stanley 3/1 victor/sportsbook/ppower


Attaboy Roy and Accrington Stanley look the obvious two in the race Accrinton Sanlet 12 race maiden but consistenty placed and it was 3rd here over 6fs in a respectable time off 65,maybe a slight ? now not won since but back here over 5fs with a decent draw should be involved in finish..The same for Attaboy Roy 1/7 the win came at Swell back in early December last time out, a record of 3/3/2 here,should be involved in finish but 9/4 is skinny but again for place bets at worst..



Lingfield 1.0


Princess Animale 5/2 victor/sky

Princesse Animale only sets a low standard,this a 7f maiden wouldn't normally be looking at a 67 rated horse,but so far has the best times on the clock so hopefully will finish in the fiorst two and a squeak if nothing improves...Dr Jekyl has a squeak as well at 14/1 too big in this race.

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Unreal what a touch,i had Primcesse Animale beating Dr Jekyll by over 3ls the others knowhere,that's what it wouldv'e been as well hampered several times,lovely additon and tiuch on the forecast bet it ew at 14s as well,mental prices this morning..has paid very poorly though £12.50 won't complain though perfect..:ninja:


2.35


Yuften 9/2 generally 5/1 unibet

6/1 generally this morning,have put it in a smaller bet looking at that huge drift.

You couldn't possibly rely on Yuften a horse that was rated 90 five months ago and now rated 70,has run some real stinkers drops into a claimer tomorrow was last of five last time out over,now with Alice Haynes hoping it retains a bit more ability over this 1m2f trip was only beaten 3 3/4ls in a 0-85 over this c/d back in late Jan..Again just the six runners hopefully will be in the two and run something like that run in Jan,trainer has yet to have a winner.. The fav Harlow is the obvious alternative,running ok in handicaps without looking like winning,looks the right fav on recent runs.

Gets done on the line,wss infront past the line,don't think i can remember the last time i got one in the stewards,it would probably have won as well if not for the bump.still made money on the race though ew at 6/1 and 1.8 for 3 places,gutted..


3.10

Lost Eden 3/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor


Lost Edens got the best form,ran second in a maiden on debut at Chelmsford at October in a decent time but has ti give huge amouts of weight away to unexposed 3yr olds got to give the fav 21 pounds so maybe just looking at place chances regardless of result should be worth following as the turf season approaches.

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Might do something else at Newcastlet yet,racings garbage tomorrow as bad as todays..

Nice profit on placepts as well 192x£1 and 1440 x10p returns £511.20 and £102 considering a small divi of 63.90..although was a decent divi for results
 
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14/1 skybet/victor 12/1 generally big drift,not really a surprise with fav looking obvious and its got the worst draw Dynamo.
 
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Lingfield 5.0 Wenesday


Swooper 7/2 hills


Last time out at Lingfeld Swooper gave the field a 10l start over 5fs and was eventually 4th behind Hotalena 5/2 fav tomorrow finished on the brile beat just over a length,a massive eyecatcher..Of course the horse maybe a rogue and do it again,but these eyecatchers usually get pruced up accordingly,also had Bayamon Belle behind,i think that one might run well as wasn't given an overly hard race as well although the fact Swooper made up that ground there's no way prices are going to hold up..It could well go off 6/4 even shorter,so decent trade free bet in there at that price and the third Marta Boty franked the form at Newcastle on friday winning a 0-65...


Tomorrow Southwell 4.40 will do an ew yankee they look like place horses so will try that nothing much in prices unless reaction time can repeat its penultimate run.


Drakefell 9/2 365 hills

Drakefell has run in some good races at Southwell 2nd in a class 3 earier in the season and another second to Exalted Angel a fourth to Mulzim as well in another class 4 should really be winning in this class a 0-70 but never seems to convert anywins..Has dropped to a mark of just 67 claimer taes off another 5 as well tomorrow so off 62 those early season races was off 75 upwards..Last time out ran ok in a claimer 2nd to Doc Sportello
beaten a sh/hd,it looks the obvious place horse in the race,the negative could be the trainer Anthony Brittain usually always in form has been a trainer to avoid as 39 runner losing streak and 43 days,so maybe a case of waiting till his horses come back into form..he also has second favourite Qaaraat with Cam Harding riding so hard to know of that's the more fancied..
Of the bigger prices Giogiobbo another strange profile just got touched off by the progressive Mulzim in December a win looked just a matter of time but has run eight times since December 20th 2nd in a class 3 which was good,been well beaten but i better races since could easily hit the frame if on a going day..Has also never run in a 0-70 before,i suspect it will get backed so there's a free bet or decent trade in there at 12/1...



6.10


Fortulous 9/2 hills

Fortultous three runs here a second and a win and then third beaten 9ls last time out,the horse went to Tony Carroll stable from Chelsea Banham and now back here for first run again,ran against the progressive Bay of Naples in that race won off 59 recently won off 72 and the second Exotic Dancer hasn't run since..Not an overly confident pick as its runs were when the track was running quick,at the moment its been desperate but obvious ew chances if handles it..Country n Wesyern not showed much in recent times,has siome good form here,never run in a class 6 at swell befire and off lowest ever aw mark..



6.40



Reaction Time11/2 365/sky/ppower/victor/sportsbook generally betfred 3 places


Reaction time a strange profile 6yr old was with Saeed Bin Suroor didn't show anything but then ran well in a handicap at kemprton off 74 November 2019,then went to the Kevin Frost stable on 23rd of December 2020 and on the 29th hacked up at swell by 11ls in a very good time a year after its last run ,looked one to follow.Then as happens with these swell horses a huge speedfigure ad then completely bombed at Kempton,went off 7/1 which probably tells you the stable were not confident of it backing it up..Comes back to Swell tomorrow,it's out of Dubawi
one of the best sires 30% strike rate and 22% over the trip..Runs of 85 looks high based on the form,but the time suggested this mark looks ok,a matter if it will ever repeat that run again..Kevin Frosts on a losing run as well so another trainer out of form si will be minimum atakes but you have to give it a chance back on this surface..Maybe even one to keeo for the turf as the trainers a shrewdy..
Of the others the Evans horse Snow Ocean won a class 3 on the turf,a better race than this off 81 won easily,has won here when rated 69 and hacked up,could easily run well off 85,Clifford Lee has won on it three times and his strike rate this season is 13/65 20% strike rate,looks like it's at least going to be trying..and a decent alternative.


No money for any of them,think the mot ominous one is Reaction time 3/1 this morning can't stop drifting 6/1 on betfair,so like last time out stable obviously have no confidence in the horse..
 
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Thursday Southwell 4.40


Khatm 2/1 hills

Khatms running tomorrow at kempton in a 0-55 if it can transfer its swell form there it will win there as well but the one run there previously got beat easily so will have to skip it and hope its ok for thursday back at the track it won on last time out..It seems ridiculous as its 2/1 tomorrow in a 0-55 but in thursday its 2/1 to win the 0-70,it's won its last two races after six starts 1m2f classified race at Chelmsford and then a 0-50 classified stakes here last time out over 7fs,two abysmal races..It's last win won by 7ls going away at finish then eased was probably good for another 5ls,it was only 2 1/2ls slower than Katheefa winning off 73 in the 0-75 and that won by 4ls on what they ptoduced that night it looks like Khatm couldv'e gone close in that race just getting 6 pound off the winner..On thursday runs off 60 and the claimer takes off 5 so running off just 55..The races might have caught up with him by thursday but looks well in based on that run last week and still open to improvemt he could be a 70-75 horse as was doing best work at finish and eased..
Makambe might be worth considering not been at its best and on the clock this season not much,but tps on first time this season the last time it had them on won off 71 over c/d off 63 thursday around 10/1 maybe bigger if favourite gets backed and the other for firecasts as not betting three would be Wrath of Honour thought it was worth following at one point early in the season..Last time out beat Marvel which i'd backed and won over a trip that looked too short also earlier in the season hacked up over 7fs in a decent time,there appears to be a ? over this trip,these Appleby horses are just impossible to fathom..
 
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More non runners some stramge races at Lingfield today as well Weloof 14/1 into 11/2 wins by 5ls in a slow time looks like they let it win very very strange completrky unbackable led today,usually misses the break///Will try some theiving multiples but got to admit its pretty dire stuff..Khatm hacked up at Kempton,trainers from Newmarket so a 6 hour rpund trip,don't know whther it will go all that wa y after winning last night,that will be another non runner if it doesn't run,if you wanted a really speculatuve bet The Childrens Trust at 80/1 sky/victor 130 betfair in that race would have an ew squeak if it could run to its previous trainer form won two similar races on turf last season and been second here way back in 2018 off 75..Has changed trainers now with Ron Thompson,very rarely has winners and on long losing streak but been running over 5fs,wouldn't be a huge shock if it got in the frame

Newcastle 4.55


Busy street 6/1 generally generally 9s betfair Wise Eagle 9/1 365


Bust Street could be a false price as was third here to Caribeno,but they absolutely crawled round so that forms not reliable on face value,previous to that had run in three bumpers here winning two of them all the runs in 2021,so obvious ew chances the quickest of the bumper races it won Wise Eagle ran on the same day and the both ran similar times..Wise Eagle beaten by 131 rated Proschema,was with Tom Clover and won over a mile,showed nothing else till last two runs for new trainer the win and a seconf over this c/d in bumpers Adam Nichol he's only had 7 runners,this was his first winner.Billy Garitty is taking off 3 pound and has a 17% strke rate this season,hard to know whst to expect but a mark of 64 with c/d form could be ok,Cloud Thunder if it stays could be different class to these alreast seconfd here in a 0-85 and was placed on the turf in a 0-85 would add in for forecasts..


5.30


Warnes Army 9/4 hills/unibet 2/1 generally betfred going 3 places only 7 runners

Johnson trained Warne's Army has run some eyecatching races and them some abysmal runs,but has only had seven lifetime runs,was fourth at wolves in june in a 0-78 staying on over 1m1/2f dropped into similar races and bombed out..Then last time out out of the blue stepped up in trip different surface and won,have looked at the sire stats Southwell and Newcastle are identical but more interesting is the 14% strike rate over this trip..Its never run two decent races back to back,but mark looks ok with claimer taking off five down to 70 was rated 77 in the wolves race back in june..if it bombs out then Iconic Belle and A touch of Luck i can see running well,they've run well here in this grade before and it does look a weakish race of the Johnson horse bombs out completely.


6.0


Dragon Symbol 1/3 365/sky/hills/888sport


I wouldn't be surprised if this went off 1/6 even shorter,pity it hadn't opened a bit bigger wuld be a mostrous trading opportunity,i havn't been keeping times this season with covid and homeschooling but pretty sure this is the fastest debut of any runner at wolves this season..To put into context it clocked 1m13.44 on debut,visually didn't look that impressive which is what i like to see but was only first run and that time was only
.53 than the class 2 on the card won by Venturous off 103..With normal improvement you'd be expecting it now to go under that 1m13 time and if it does progress it could be a 95 horse maybe higher,somethings going to have to run to 100 so no reason to see why this won't be going off 1/6 maybe shorter..



7.0


Broctune Gold 9/4 generally skybet 4 places Antagonize 9/2 unibet/victor/hills 4/1 generally sky going 4 places


These two don't look well in but they wree 1st and 2nd when running against each other last time out,i think this race will be harder to win Antagonize tried to make all went 5ls clear was isolated on its own and Broctune Gold just closed him down..Tomorrow Antagonize is drawn higher so maybe will get the rail and there looks nothing betwen the two at revised weights..There are some well handicapped horses in here,but would be complete guesswork if they came back to form and they are being backed,theres very little value in these two ptrices but they shoud run well..


8.0


Calonne 5/1 365


Calonne runs in the second division of the 0-65 mile races,he was sixth in Broctune Red and Antagonize race well beaten,very rarely wins there's very little value in the prices,drawn 10 and with David Nolan riding only jock to win on it hopefully given a positve ride..Geoffrey harkers had eight runners and two winners this season,David Nolans only had one ride but didoes have an 11% strike rate on the flat and goes to 12% on the aw..
Again looks more place chanes than anythng else,of the bigger priced ones Curfewed has loads of track form and could run well on a going day,won off 61 and 62 over c/d in 2020 now off 59...



8.30

Crantock Bay 17/2 skybet 5 places and other firms.

A 0-70 over 7fs,Crantock Bay second seven times tells the story 0/13 last four runs with a visor second three times and then last although jock reported banged its head leavng the stalls,it's gone off 3/1 and 7/4 in this grade in those races,positive if it gets out on ters drawn 12 negatuve is six weeks off and trainers only had 2/43 runners so could only be tentative..At some pint though it looks likeky to win in this grade or maybe dropped into slightly easier..In The Cove has become well handicapped has only runhere once was third in a 0-75 classified stakes,last win on the aw was off 71,ran well at kempton over a mile last time out in a decent time,a mark of 65 would be good if the surface suits,sires 12% on the surface and 13% over the trip so could well suit..around 12/1..Eldebar bit disapppointing last two runs,but should still run well in this grade ,drops in class another for firecasts/saver


Southwell 3.0

Star Act 5/2 generally Daddies Diva 10/30 generally


Dogs dinner race 0-50 classified stakes,there's very little to go on recent form a couple in here that could well win this race if coming back to form like First Excel would be a strong favourite,but been running terrible...So will try Daddies Diva horse is very poor but ran first ever race here over 7fs last time out,was a far better race than this 0-50 led to the furlong pole drops back a furlong to 6fs and has a decent draw,that was a 0-60 so should hit the frame..The other Karl Burke trains has bought it from Adrian Mcguiness,don't quite understand Burke buying a horse as poor as this looks fairly useles although did come third in a 3yr old handicap over 6fs at lingfield gets the allowances of 50 and below older horses..If it goes on the surface,then again looks obvious place chances at worst,.
 
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gigilo said:
Thursday Southwell 4.40


Khatm 2/1 hills

Khatms running tomorrow at kempton in a 0-55 if it can transfer its swell form there it will win there as well but the one run there previously got beat easily so will have to skip it and hope its ok for thursday back at the track it won on last time out..It seems ridiculous as its 2/1 tomorrow in a 0-55 but in thursday its 2/1 to win the 0-70,it's won its last two races after six starts 1m2f classified race at Chelmsford and then a 0-50 classified stakes here last time out over 7fs,two abysmal races..It's last win won by 7ls going away at finish then eased was probably good for another 5ls,it was only 2 1/2ls slower than Katheefa winning off 73 in the 0-75 and that won by 4ls on what they ptoduced that night it looks like Khatm couldv'e gone close in that race just getting 6 pound off the winner..On thursday runs off 60 and the claimer takes off 5 so running off just 55..The races might have caught up with him by thursday but looks well in based on that run last week and still open to improvemt he could be a 70-75 horse as was doing best work at finish and eased..
Makambe might be worth considering not been at its best and on the clock this season not much,but tps on first time this season the last time it had them on won off 71 over c/d off 63 thursday around 10/1 maybe bigger if favourite gets backed and the other for firecasts as not betting three would be Wrath of Honour thought it was worth following at one point early in the season..Last time out beat Marvel which i'd backed and won over a trip that looked too short also earlier in the season hacked up over 7fs in a decent time,there appears to be a ? over this trip,these Appleby horses are just impossible to fathom..
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KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!As i said this is a 70-75 horse running off 55,best bet in months and the firecast and place !!It's sp is what i thought it would open,the clock never lies!!1:ninja:
 
gigilo said:
Thursday Southwell 4.40


Khatm 2/1 hills

Khatms running tomorrow at kempton in a 0-55 if it can transfer its swell form there it will win there as well but the one run there previously got beat easily so will have to skip it and hope its ok for thursday back at the track it won on last time out..It seems ridiculous as its 2/1 tomorrow in a 0-55 but in thursday its 2/1 to win the 0-70,it's won its last two races after six starts 1m2f classified race at Chelmsford and then a 0-50 classified stakes here last time out over 7fs,two abysmal races..It's last win won by 7ls going away at finish then eased was probably good for another 5ls,it was only 2 1/2ls slower than Katheefa winning off 73 in the 0-75 and that won by 4ls on what they ptoduced that night it looks like Khatm couldv'e gone close in that race just getting 6 pound off the winner..On thursday runs off 60 and the claimer takes off 5 so running off just 55..The races might have caught up with him by thursday but looks well in based on that run last week and still open to improvemt he could be a 70-75 horse as was doing best work at finish and eased..
Makambe might be worth considering not been at its best and on the clock this season not much,but tps on first time this season the last time it had them on won off 71 over c/d off 63 thursday around 10/1 maybe bigger if favourite gets backed and the other for firecasts as not betting three would be Wrath of Honour thought it was worth following at one point early in the season..Last time out beat Marvel which i'd backed and won over a trip that looked too short also earlier in the season hacked up over 7fs in a decent time,there appears to be a ? over this trip,these Appleby horses are just impossible to fathom..
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Great shout on Makambe Gigs
 
gigilo said:
More non runners some stramge races at Lingfield today as well Weloof 14/1 into 11/2 wins by 5ls in a slow time looks like they let it win very very strange completrky unbackable led today,usually misses the break///Will try some theiving multiples but got to admit its pretty dire stuff..Khatm hacked up at Kempton,trainers from Newmarket so a 6 hour rpund trip,don't know whther it will go all that wa y after winning last night,that will be another non runner if it doesn't run,if you wanted a really speculatuve bet The Childrens Trust at 80/1 sky/victor 130 betfair in that race would have an ew squeak if it could run to its previous trainer form won two similar races on turf last season and been second here way back in 2018 off 75..Has changed trainers now with Ron Thompson,very rarely has winners and on long losing streak but been running over 5fs,wouldn't be a huge shock if it got in the frame

Newcastle 4.55


Busy street 6/1 generally generally 9s betfair Wise Eagle 9/1 365


Bust Street could be a false price as was third here to Caribeno,but they absolutely crawled round so that forms not reliable on face value,previous to that had run in three bumpers here winning two of them all the runs in 2021,so obvious ew chances the quickest of the bumper races it won Wise Eagle ran on the same day and the both ran similar times..Wise Eagle beaten by 131 rated Proschema,was with Tom Clover and won over a mile,showed nothing else till last two runs for new trainer the win and a seconf over this c/d in bumpers Adam Nichol he's only had 7 runners,this was his first winner.Billy Garitty is taking off 3 pound and has a 17% strke rate this season,hard to know whst to expect but a mark of 64 with c/d form could be ok,Cloud Thunder if it stays could be different class to these alreast seconfd here in a 0-85 and was placed on the turf in a 0-85 would add in for forecasts..


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!9/1 Into 6/4 those newcastle bumper times don'e lie,what a tiuch!!Adam Nichol 2/8 now...


5.30


Warnes Army 9/4 hills/unibet 2/1 generally betfred going 3 places only 7 runners

Johnson trained Warne's Army has run some eyecatching races and them some abysmal runs,but has only had seven lifetime runs,was fourth at wolves in june in a 0-78 staying on over 1m1/2f dropped into similar races and bombed out..Then last time out out of the blue stepped up in trip different surface and won,have looked at the sire stats Southwell and Newcastle are identical but more interesting is the 14% strike rate over this trip..Its never run two decent races back to back,but mark looks ok with claimer taking off five down to 70 was rated 77 in the wolves race back in june..if it bombs out then Iconic Belle and A touch of Luck i can see running well,they've run well here in this grade before and it does look a weakish race of the Johnson horse bombs out completely.

Warnes Army dreifted like a barge slow surface probably went off too quick sp 10/30 so thanks to betfred stakes back got the 1,2,3 as well the other two got hammered but wasn't worth doing forecasts...1.6 for 3 places as well so still made a tiny profit on the race,pity they hammered the other two couldv'e had forecasts and tricast.Unbelievable the TRIFECTAS PAID £53 I hope someone got it ffs,thats unbelievable


6.0


Dragon Symbol 1/3 365/sky/hills/888sport


I wouldn't be surprised if this went off 1/6 even shorter,pity it hadn't opened a bit bigger wuld be a mostrous trading opportunity,i havn't been keeping times this season with covid and homeschooling but pretty sure this is the fastest debut of any runner at wolves this season..To put into context it clocked 1m13.44 on debut,visually didn't look that impressive which is what i like to see but was only first run and that time was only
.53 than the class 2 on the card won by Venturous off 103..With normal improvement you'd be expecting it now to go under that 1m13 time and if it does progress it could be a 95 horse maybe higher,somethings going to have to run to 100 so no reason to see why this won't be going off 1/6 maybe shorter..



7.0


Broctune Gold 9/4 generally skybet 4 places Antagonize 9/2 unibet/victor/hills 4/1 generally sky going 4 places


These two don't look well in but they wree 1st and 2nd when running against each other last time out,i think this race will be harder to win Antagonize tried to make all went 5ls clear was isolated on its own and Broctune Gold just closed him down..Tomorrow Antagonize is drawn higher so maybe will get the rail and there looks nothing betwen the two at revised weights..There are some well handicapped horses in here,but would be complete guesswork if they came back to form and they are being backed,theres very little value in these two ptrices but they shoud run well..


8.0


Calonne 5/1 365


Calonne runs in the second division of the 0-65 mile races,he was sixth in Broctune Red and Antagonize race well beaten,very rarely wins there's very little value in the prices,drawn 10 and with David Nolan riding only jock to win on it hopefully given a positve ride..Geoffrey harkers had eight runners and two winners this season,David Nolans only had one ride but didoes have an 11% strike rate on the flat and goes to 12% on the aw..
Again looks more place chanes than anythng else,of the bigger priced ones Curfewed has loads of track form and could run well on a going day,won off 61 and 62 over c/d in 2020 now off 59...



8.30

Crantock Bay 17/2 skybet 5 places and other firms.

A 0-70 over 7fs,Crantock Bay second seven times tells the story 0/13 last four runs with a visor second three times and then last although jock reported banged its head leavng the stalls,it's gone off 3/1 and 7/4 in this grade in those races,positive if it gets out on ters drawn 12 negatuve is six weeks off and trainers only had 2/43 runners so could only be tentative..At some pint though it looks likeky to win in this grade or maybe dropped into slightly easier..In The Cove has become well handicapped has only runhere once was third in a 0-75 classified stakes,last win on the aw was off 71,ran well at kempton over a mile last time out in a decent time,a mark of 65 would be good if the surface suits,sires 12% on the surface and 13% over the trip so could well suit..around 12/1..Eldebar bit disapppointing last two runs,but should still run well in this grade ,drops in class another for firecasts/saver


Southwell 3.0

Star Act 5/2 generally Daddies Diva 10/30 generally


Dogs dinner race 0-50 classified stakes,there's very little to go on recent form a couple in here that could well win this race if coming back to form like First Excel would be a strong favourite,but been running terrible...So will try Daddies Diva horse is very poor but ran first ever race here over 7fs last time out,was a far better race than this 0-50 led to the furlong pole drops back a furlong to 6fs and has a decent draw,that was a 0-60 so should hit the frame..The other Karl Burke trains has bought it from Adrian Mcguiness,don't quite understand Burke buying a horse as poor as this looks fairly useles although did come third in a 3yr old handicap over 6fs at lingfield gets the allowances of 50 and below older horses..If it goes on the surface,then again looks obvious place chances at worst,.
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gigilo said:
Thursday Southwell 4.40


Khatm 2/1 hills

Khatms running tomorrow at kempton in a 0-55 if it can transfer its swell form there it will win there as well but the one run there previously got beat easily so will have to skip it and hope its ok for thursday back at the track it won on last time out..It seems ridiculous as its 2/1 tomorrow in a 0-55 but in thursday its 2/1 to win the 0-70,it's won its last two races after six starts 1m2f classified race at Chelmsford and then a 0-50 classified stakes here last time out over 7fs,two abysmal races..It's last win won by 7ls going away at finish then eased was probably good for another 5ls,it was only 2 1/2ls slower than Katheefa winning off 73 in the 0-75 and that won by 4ls on what they ptoduced that night it looks like Khatm couldv'e gone close in that race just getting 6 pound off the winner..On thursday runs off 60 and the claimer takes off 5 so running off just 55..The races might have caught up with him by thursday but looks well in based on that run last week and still open to improvemt he could be a 70-75 horse as was doing best work at finish and eased..
Makambe might be worth considering not been at its best and on the clock this season not much,but tps on first time this season the last time it had them on won off 71 over c/d off 63 thursday around 10/1 maybe bigger if favourite gets backed and the other for firecasts as not betting three would be Wrath of Honour thought it was worth following at one point early in the season..Last time out beat Marvel which i'd backed and won over a trip that looked too short also earlier in the season hacked up over 7fs in a decent time,there appears to be a ? over this trip,these Appleby horses are just impossible to fathom..
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Exacta £7.80 csf 5.76!!
 
Try some ew multiples tomorrow small stakes..nothing outstanding at prices probablt a little short for qualoity of race hopefully plenty of places..

Lingfield 2.40


Say It As It Is 5/2 365/hills River Wharfe 11/2 hills

A short price for Say It As It Is 0/9 runs looked a bit unlucky inrunning last time out and its penultimate run in a better race at Wolves where it went off 150/1 will win a little race,has a poor draw tomorrow hopefully they will go quick enough..The other River Wharfe thought it ran a decent race here penultimate race when second in a 0-75 here over c/d,then changed stableds was dropped into an easier 6f race,thought it was a little dusappointing for new stable but obvious ew chances again...

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!What in incredible price 8.82 best speedfigure in the race,tok 15/2 and got 8.5 on the fair and got evens 4 places,lovely touch that evans horse 6/4 worst draw,crazy prices..:ninja:.


Wolves 4.40


Toolmaker 14/1 victor/sportsbook/365/hills Ancient Astronaut 5/1 victor/sportsbook/ppower/888sport/hills


A dodgy 0-50 classified race,hard to take anything at face value Ancient Astronaut hadn't ru for 16 months had been running in Ireland for Karl Thornton hadn't won since 2018,it cae 3rd over this c/d in a handicap to Storm Melody the track was riding slow so that may have bee a factor as there was over 5ls back to the third..There were two divisions that night of the 0-55s and Ancient Astronauhts div time meant he wouldv'e won the other div by 3ls...It looks suspect it may have been that the surface only suited certain horsesbut if you take it at face value then it looks the obvious ew pick at the very worst..I did Toolmaker here four races ago here at 33/1 ran well just went off too quick getting collared over this c/d,
that was also a 0-60 handicap then was runner up to owatanight at Kempton,last two races has been drawn wode and tried to race prominent..Again it's another if it runs to those two previous runs then great ew chances in just a 0-50..Andre Amar was a big eyecatcher last time out,made loads of ground up was different class to these in 2019,it maybe worth a saver/forecasts..hasn't won over 6fs but this race is so bad it must have a great chance on that last run.

Traded evens Toolmaker ashame Grace Mcentree was riding a decent jock woudv'e got it over the line and of course the one back after 16 months ot finisjes last..

5.45


Silver Nemo 15/2 skybet 5 places 8/1 victor/sportsbook/ppower

I will give Silver Nemo one more chance,was gutted last time out got a huge price on it at swell and it git collared,the reason i followed it originally was because of an eyecatching run here when only seventh over 5fs here at Wolves,looked to be going quite well when stopped in run and may have got in the three in a 0-70 that was off 57..Tomorrow runs off 55 steps up to 6fs here,looks a hard ride maybe ridden for luck it will win a race somewhere but these look unexposed..


7.15


Star Ascending 6/1 365 11/2 generally


Star Ascending was rated 790 at the end of 2019,been on the downgrade ever since droppun ti marks in the 50s,won a very poor classified stakes race over this c/d penultimate run i thought the horse was going away at the finish,then last time out was fourth runing on in a 0-60...A lot will depend on pace stas further than this,if they dawdle will ikely not be placed,if they go quick then should run well in this 0-55..i think off these marks Star Ascending will win another race whether tomorrow or not..Windsorlot hasn't hit form this season


7.45


Dawn Treader 9/2 hills Pilot Wings 13/2 generally

The second division of the 0-55s Pilot wings was fifth in Star Ascendngs race off has plenty of form in these class races,an infrequent winner and not a great draw in 10 but this is a bad race ew chances...Dawn Treader 1/23 and that win was on the turf 10 aw runs 4 places.three consecutuve seconds last time out in a 0-65 at Lingfield,has been dropped a pound for that last run and although the trainer hasn't had a winner on the flat fir 181 days,he hasn't had that many runners obvious ew chances again...Zariyan and New look are capable,might play around with some savers and forecasts..


8.15


All You Wish 10/1 365/hills

A 0-75 over 7fs lots in here well handicapped,if the track and trip and surfae suits there are better class ghorses than All You Wish so would be slightly speculatuve in this grade,was rated 86 at one point has had ten runs but been in the downgrade..It's last couple of runs have been better a third in a 0-70 and a fith in a 0-80,at best maybe playing for third with the well handicapped Katheefa and Coverham so a token choice..these horses are on good marks but need to prive themselves over track and trip..Jonny peates had 5 rides two winners he takes coverham down to its lowest mark since march 2018..so maybe a saver and some forecasts..and Skontonovski looks well handicapped lightly raced but firs time out an interesting runner..Forecast saver material.
 
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gigilo said:
More non runners some stramge races at Lingfield today as well Weloof 14/1 into 11/2 wins by 5ls in a slow time looks like they let it win very very strange completrky unbackable led today,usually misses the break///Will try some theiving multiples but got to admit its pretty dire stuff..Khatm hacked up at Kempton,trainers from Newmarket so a 6 hour rpund trip,don't know whther it will go all that wa y after winning last night,that will be another non runner if it doesn't run,if you wanted a really speculatuve bet The Childrens Trust at 80/1 sky/victor 130 betfair in that race would have an ew squeak if it could run to its previous trainer form won two similar races on turf last season and been second here way back in 2018 off 75..Has changed trainers now with Ron Thompson,very rarely has winners and on long losing streak but been running over 5fs,wouldn't be a huge shock if it got in the frame

Newcastle 4.55


Busy street 6/1 generally generally 9s betfair Wise Eagle 9/1 365


Bust Street could be a false price as was third here to Caribeno,but they absolutely crawled round so that forms not reliable on face value,previous to that had run in three bumpers here winning two of them all the runs in 2021,so obvious ew chances the quickest of the bumper races it won Wise Eagle ran on the same day and the both ran similar times..Wise Eagle beaten by 131 rated Proschema,was with Tom Clover and won over a mile,showed nothing else till last two runs for new trainer the win and a seconf over this c/d in bumpers Adam Nichol he's only had 7 runners,this was his first winner.Billy Garitty is taking off 3 pound and has a 17% strke rate this season,hard to know whst to expect but a mark of 64 with c/d form could be ok,Cloud Thunder if it stays could be different class to these alreast seconfd here in a 0-85 and was placed on the turf in a 0-85 would add in for forecasts..


5.30


Warnes Army 9/4 hills/unibet 2/1 generally betfred going 3 places only 7 runners

Johnson trained Warne's Army has run some eyecatching races and them some abysmal runs,but has only had seven lifetime runs,was fourth at wolves in june in a 0-78 staying on over 1m1/2f dropped into similar races and bombed out..Then last time out out of the blue stepped up in trip different surface and won,have looked at the sire stats Southwell and Newcastle are identical but more interesting is the 14% strike rate over this trip..Its never run two decent races back to back,but mark looks ok with claimer taking off five down to 70 was rated 77 in the wolves race back in june..if it bombs out then Iconic Belle and A touch of Luck i can see running well,they've run well here in this grade before and it does look a weakish race of the Johnson horse bombs out completely.


6.0


Dragon Symbol 1/3 365/sky/hills/888sport


I wouldn't be surprised if this went off 1/6 even shorter,pity it hadn't opened a bit bigger wuld be a mostrous trading opportunity,i havn't been keeping times this season with covid and homeschooling but pretty sure this is the fastest debut of any runner at wolves this season..To put into context it clocked 1m13.44 on debut,visually didn't look that impressive which is what i like to see but was only first run and that time was only
.53 than the class 2 on the card won by Venturous off 103..With normal improvement you'd be expecting it now to go under that 1m13 time and if it does progress it could be a 95 horse maybe higher,somethings going to have to run to 100 so no reason to see why this won't be going off 1/6 maybe shorter..


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!These layers must be nuts bfsp 1.3,as i said it looked a mid 90s horse on the debut run it may even be a 100+ horse,clocking up monster fraxctions and wins in a canter,incredible..honestly thought it could go off 1.1 fastest debut this season on the aw!!And i very rarely ever back horses this short..



7.0


Broctune Gold 9/4 generally skybet 4 places Antagonize 9/2 unibet/victor/hills 4/1 generally sky going 4 places


These two don't look well in but they wree 1st and 2nd when running against each other last time out,i think this race will be harder to win Antagonize tried to make all went 5ls clear was isolated on its own and Broctune Gold just closed him down..Tomorrow Antagonize is drawn higher so maybe will get the rail and there looks nothing betwen the two at revised weights..There are some well handicapped horses in here,but would be complete guesswork if they came back to form and they are being backed,theres very little value in these two ptrices but they shoud run well..


8.0


Calonne 5/1 365


Calonne runs in the second division of the 0-65 mile races,he was sixth in Broctune Red and Antagonize race well beaten,very rarely wins there's very little value in the prices,drawn 10 and with David Nolan riding only jock to win on it hopefully given a positve ride..Geoffrey harkers had eight runners and two winners this season,David Nolans only had one ride but didoes have an 11% strike rate on the flat and goes to 12% on the aw..
Again looks more place chanes than anythng else,of the bigger priced ones Curfewed has loads of track form and could run well on a going day,won off 61 and 62 over c/d in 2020 now off 59...



8.30

Crantock Bay 17/2 skybet 5 places and other firms.

A 0-70 over 7fs,Crantock Bay second seven times tells the story 0/13 last four runs with a visor second three times and then last although jock reported banged its head leavng the stalls,it's gone off 3/1 and 7/4 in this grade in those races,positive if it gets out on ters drawn 12 negatuve is six weeks off and trainers only had 2/43 runners so could only be tentative..At some pint though it looks likeky to win in this grade or maybe dropped into slightly easier..In The Cove has become well handicapped has only runhere once was third in a 0-75 classified stakes,last win on the aw was off 71,ran well at kempton over a mile last time out in a decent time,a mark of 65 would be good if the surface suits,sires 12% on the surface and 13% over the trip so could well suit..around 12/1..Eldebar bit disapppointing last two runs,but should still run well in this grade ,drops in class another for firecasts/saver


Southwell 3.0

Star Act 5/2 generally Daddies Diva 10/30 generally


Dogs dinner race 0-50 classified stakes,there's very little to go on recent form a couple in here that could well win this race if coming back to form like First Excel would be a strong favourite,but been running terrible...So will try Daddies Diva horse is very poor but ran first ever race here over 7fs last time out,was a far better race than this 0-50 led to the furlong pole drops back a furlong to 6fs and has a decent draw,that was a 0-60 so should hit the frame..The other Karl Burke trains has bought it from Adrian Mcguiness,don't quite understand Burke buying a horse as poor as this looks fairly useles although did come third in a 3yr old handicap over 6fs at lingfield gets the allowances of 50 and below older horses..If it goes on the surface,then again looks obvious place chances at worst,.
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