Daily picks.




Wolves 8.30 Saturday


Rectory Road 7/1 hills/888sport 15/2 365 Pope Gregory 3/1 sportsbook/ppower 5/2..


A respectable mid 80s handicapper with Balding and then Ron Harris and now regressed and left the Harris stable to join Alice Hayes it usually misses the break looking at its form its a habit that has always happened till last time out i would normally leave this horse alone but am hoping it will do the exact same thing as last time out when tried to make all over 1m 1 1/2fs here..It led to the 1/2 furlong pole getting beat by 2 1/2ls by International Law second fav on saturday,looked to have the race won if you stopped it at this shorter distance of 1m 1/2f and has 5 pound turnaround with International Law,if it runs the exact same race and doesn't miss the break then it has a great chance of being involved at the finish..The time was respectable in that race,easily make a case for it being the same price as International Law on that last run,although it will have to buck the trend and lead twice in two runs when it's invariably always missed the break..Will give it one chance,i would never back it again and the fact Alice Haynes is running at 13% she maybe one of the newer trainers worth following in the future she maybe a bit of a shrewdy..
Have added Pope Gregory last time out ran a decent time when the track was running slow was 1.3 seconds quicker than the second division and just too frank the form Makambe came out and won similar race earlier last week,had this race as a race to follow but missed it last night so will have to add it on being such a weak race..


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!:ninja:



Wolves 4.49
:ninja:
Lovely Lou lou 5/2 generally King Athelstan 7/1 hills/365
7/2 365 3/1 generally 4s on betfair



An amateur riders race with virtually no form,0-55 over 1m4fs the favourte Lovey lou lou hasn't done much was with John Ryan and rated 70 won two races a bumper and a maiden over 1m6fs,last run fir John Ryan was beaten 10ls here in january 2020 over 1m6fs off 70..Has done virually nothing since that run and joined John Butler although last couple of runs over 2mile at lingfield has run ok beaten 5ls in both races,still very weak form..I'm hoping it's been laid out for this race ecause the jockey i can't even find a ride fir and it's ridden by Charlotte Butler,trying to find if shes ridde anywhere or related to Jihn Butler..
King of Athelstan would stand out in this race and rdee by Simon Walker,i backed it three runs back has a decent record at lingfield,dudn't get a very clear run beaten 2 1/4ls in a 0-60,am a bit suspicious they are running this down thefield as its run at swekl two races fir new trainer Sra Ender she has had very few winners...Also the surface it has never run on Tapeta they maybe going for a touch with another run down thefield and at lingfield will try it but don't be surprised if it doesn't handle the surface eve though this is a perfect race for it..


Hopeless his daughter,but bonus Kig Athelstan driftig to 10/1 got 2.5 for 4 places as well settle for that strange druft out to 13s on betfair,nice start for placepot as well .


3,5
1,2,3
1,2,8
2,4,5,6,7
1,2,3,5
1,5,6

7.0


Final Attack 12/1 sportsbook/ppower


A regular here at Wolves not sure i've ever backed it when it's won,usually gets left if they crawl usually runs poorly if they go quick then usually runs well has been going off massive prices even though in September won off 46 in a decent time in this grade..won a 0-60 in january off 51 a couple of poor runs followed by a decent running on 4th in a 0-60 off 53..Both winner broken Rifle and second Pallas dancer have run well since the former won last time out at Newcastle,the fact it has not been backed shows the stable have little confidence when it will run well,if the go fast enough with claimer taking off 7 and down to just 46 in a 0-55 would have decent ew chances..Think they might've gone too slow for Pilot Wings last time out and might run better if they go quick enough,bit like Final Attack needs a decent pace,Pilot Wings was over 4ls behind Act of Magic tomorrows favourite no pace guaranteed again..Am hoping Captain Lucifer will take Act of Magic on and give Final Attack and Pilot Wings a better chance and Captain Lucifer could be an improver,so forecasts savers etc..

Stinking drift on this again 17s on betfair,either non trier or again perhaps a lack of pace in the race just hope they go off quick enough..to give it a place chance
 
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Musselburugh Sprint Cup


Jabbarocike 12/1 365/hills 10/1 skybet


Jabbarockie an 8yr old looks the opposite of profile to bet never won in this grade before highest winning mark is 94 that was last season in a 0-95 but that was first time out last seaso at Newmarket the first three were clear ad the second went onto be rated 102 and the third went onto be rated 98 and actually beat Jabbarockie later in the season..For some reason Jabbarockies form was its best ever last season,after that run was second in a 0-105 at Donny trying to make all,horses rarely make all there then was 3/6/5/6 in ultra competitve class 2 handicaps,not sure what the ground will be hopefully good ground as the imprived run were all on that surface or maybe even quicker..Has won over this c/d before a weaker race,but the horse is all about speed it led every race it ran in last season at some point,if it gets a decent draw then will probably do so again and is now a pound below that last winning mark..Trainers already had 2/5 winners this season,the track looks ideal hopefully fit and decent place chances,probably will bet another one yet..

Absolute legend :D
 
Musselburugh Sprint Cup


Jabbarocike 12/1 365/hills 10/1 skybet


Jabbarockie an 8yr old looks the opposite of profile to bet never won in this grade before highest winning mark is 94 that was last season in a 0-95 but that was first time out last seaso at Newmarket the first three were clear ad the second went onto be rated 102 and the third went onto be rated 98 and actually beat Jabbarockie later in the season..For some reason Jabbarockies form was its best ever last season,after that run was second in a 0-105 at Donny trying to make all,horses rarely make all there then was 3/6/5/6 in ultra competitve class 2 handicaps,not sure what the ground will be hopefully good ground as the imprived run were all on that surface or maybe even quicker..Has won over this c/d before a weaker race,but the horse is all about speed it led every race it ran in last season at some point,if it gets a decent draw then will probably do so again and is now a pound below that last winning mark..Trainers already had 2/5 winners this season,the track looks ideal hopefully fit and decent place chances,probably will bet another one yet..


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!And the firecast,nice additio with arzyni,wat a tuch exacty as wrte up goes off 4/1 jf...Two big race winners two weeks riunning!!!:ninja::ninja:
 
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Copper Knight 9/1 Boyles


Copper Knights one of those horses that was getting worse throughout last season i know i was avoiding it as just looked stupid prices even though was getting itself well handicapped started 2020 with a second to Makanah off 102 on fast ground in a decent time at Newmarket..The horse that finished behind it Count D'orsay by 2 1/4ls is 24 pound worse off with Copper Knight tomorrow showing how much it regressed last season..It didn't run terribe in quite a few of those decent class 2 handicaps at york 6th has loads in hand with Jabbarockie on that run,but its form went further backwards..There didn't seem to be any excuses as runs well on most grounds but i did notice the runs on faster ground were far better than the soft ground runs..it ran its best race on seasonal debut and is 20 pound lower tomorrow off just 82,from the 9 draw positve a negative for me would be Ellie Mcain riding..It has run twice here in class 2s over c/d a 6th to Caspian Prince in 2018 and a 4th to Saheeq in 2019 off 100..if Easterbys got it back to anything like last seasons debut then would be favourite to win this at the weights,but you couldn't possibly be confident..

Zarzyni is the most lightky raced had 10 runs with Mike Halford got to a mark of 101 ran in a couple of group races last season,switched to the Barron stable now off 90 from the 12 draw,hasn't run over this short before on the tyrf but was hampered over 6fs behind Stramline and Summerhand first run bak on the aw,Summerghand won the aw finals race yesterday...Has to be considered so maybe a saver and try some speculative forecasts.

And the firecast for good measure apity about the sps...Exacta 24 csf 17
 
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Placepot wolves

1,3,6
1,3,5,8,10
1,2
1,2
3,4,5,6
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8







Wolves 5.40



Seaforth 18/1 skybet 14/1 generally


A 0-55 over the 1m1/2f at Wolves,all thoroughly exposed looks a pinjob Seaforths the oldest runner in the race at 9 and not a horse i would normally
bet but it has won races on the aw 6/56,won twice last season off 51 and 57 over 7fs and a mile at lingfield.After the win at lingfield was in the 60s didn't show anything in 4 runs,last time out was only 8th of 10 in the race i put up Pope Gregory as above last time out,seemed to travel ok in that race and then looked like might get involved but never got a run..The horse may have been flattered as they finished in a heap and not really knowing if it wouldv'e run on even if clear..But drops from a 0-65 into a 0-55 and with Angus Villiers taking off 5 down to 51,so that winning mark of last year..Decent ew chances if is back to its best.
Memory hill has only had 9 lifetime runs,has never won was with Grace Harris and left to go to Robert Stephens stable,that is off putting as she picks up horses then does well with them,she took it from the Dave Evans stable,June of last year it was 4th to Mister Struuter over tomorrows c/d was 1/2l behind Seaforth but has a 10 pound turnaround...If it came back to that form then would also look a decent ew bet running off just
47...trainers had a wuinner and a place from last six runners.


Might do something else later.
 
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Placepot wolves

1,3,6
1,3,5,8,10
1,2
1,2
3,4,5,6
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8

1920 bets Returns £59.46 for every penny staked placepot,a decent return was hard to cut it down any further maybe the last leg,but i was right by putting 8 in as fav unplaced..







Wolves 5.40



Seaforth 18/1 skybet 14/1 generally


A 0-55 over the 1m1/2f at Wolves,all thoroughly exposed looks a pinjob Seaforths the oldest runner in the race at 9 and not a horse i would normally
bet but it has won races on the aw 6/56,won twice last season off 51 and 57 over 7fs and a mile at lingfield.After the win at lingfield was in the 60s didn't show anything in 4 runs,last time out was only 8th of 10 in the race i put up Pope Gregory as above last time out,seemed to travel ok in that race and then looked like might get involved but never got a run..The horse may have been flattered as they finished in a heap and not really knowing if it wouldv'e run on even if clear..But drops from a 0-65 into a 0-55 and with Angus Villiers taking off 5 down to 51,so that winning mark of last year..Decent ew chances if is back to its best.
Memory hill has only had 9 lifetime runs,has never won was with Grace Harris and left to go to Robert Stephens stable,that is off putting as she picks up horses then does well with them,she took it from the Dave Evans stable,June of last year it was 4th to Mister Struuter over tomorrows c/d was 1/2l behind Seaforth but has a 10 pound turnaround...If it came back to that form then would also look a decent ew bet running off just
47...trainers had a wuinner and a place from last six runners.


Might do something else later.

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Unbelievable picking,trying to be selective won't last long as lots of turf soon then moaning about the overwatered ground:rolleyes:!!!:lol::lol::lol::lol: RELENTLESS Still 16s on betfair as well unreal!!!
 
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Bath 7.10 friday


Sefton Warrior 12/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor 11/1 888/sky/betfred/boyles/betway 10/1 Hills 9/1 365 11/1


Fast ground at Bath over 1m3 1/2fs Sefton Warrior a 4yr old,ten runs so maybe not thoroughly exposed although hasn't run since November and its last two runs were over hurdles beate 37ls and PU,previous run to that was only 5th of 8 in a 2mile race at Chelmsford last 110 yards just stopped so not quite as bad as appears.In the June of 2020 was a decent 5th of 12 to Boss power at Yarmouth in a 0-70 over this trip,the first six of seven in that race all went onto win races and it was a far better race than this Bath race,Seftopn Warrior then won a 0-65 over 1m6fs at the same track off
65..That was a weak race although the third was over 5ls behind and the runner up Sophar Sogood has been 1/3/2/3 on its last four aw runs off 70 was off 60 the day it was runner upto Sefton Warrior,that win for Sefton Warrior was also in first time pieces,the was unplaced on soft ground and then the Chelmsford run..The hurdles runs followed no pieces,they are back on again on friday and its mark has come down to 67 althoigh Angus Villiers takes off 5 so down to 62,lowest ever mark,has a bit to prive after the break and poor hurdles runs betting will surely be a pointer,trainers horses running well Richard Spencer 5/32 and jockeys 6/36..If stable think its back to last summers form i'd expect it to be going off around 5/1 11/2..and would have a decent ew chance..
 
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The thing tonight looking ominous 18/1 now had a pull in the weights with Grand Canal for 1/2l at chelmsford and that ones been backed into 7/2 fav and still getting backed,so maybe horse isn't right yet..otherwise would be backed just on that formline alone..

And of course Grand canal hacks up and backed into fav...

Newbury Spring mile Sunday 3.55


Nugget 8/1 sportsbook/skybet/ppowwr 15/2 hills/betfred.

Watering at Newbury so wanted to see how the going was today,at the moment as it should be good but drying out,i just hope that they don't water again and it's faster on sunday have looked through the race and there doesn't appear to be much form on rattling ground although lots of 4yr olds unexposed...Nuggets had seven runs,his early season run at Donny last season was first win,looked one to follow in low 80s but got beat both next time up runs as fav,so started tol look a little unreliable..It's most interesting run was whe winning at Newmarket in a small field where the race was fast by 1.45 seconds,was by far the quicker race on the day,not one other race went under standard that day including a class 4 handicap wion by Al Rufaa rated 85 that won by 3 1/2ls yet was over two seconds slower than Nuggets race,the runner up Yes My boy has gone on to be rated 101,90 in the Newmarket race although on the aw and the 3rd Cognac 2l behind won its next race in a 0-100 and now rated 98..Nugget has run already this season a small field at Notts only a 0-95,never got much of a run in that race but hadn't run for 9 months..This ios obviously a bigstep up in class but if the ground does ride really quick and they don't overwater perhaps the horse will be shown to be better than current mark of 92,based on that run at Newmarket could well be..



2.45 Greenham


Alkumait 5/1 ppower/sportsbook 5places


This horse looks all about fast ground,just the four runs and on third run here over 6fs looked his best run and looked a bit special,winning over 6fs off a really fast pace the race was fast by 1.9 seconds was actually faster than the older horse group 3 horses on the day he won going away
and looked value for more than that win..Then last time out ran in the Dewhurst was last beaten 27ls,strange thing was the betting that day going off 12/1 the horse he slaughtered in that 6f race at Newbury went off 9/1 and that finished 7th while Devilwala was 4th only beaten 2 3/4ls and that had finished 5 3/4ls behind Alkumait in that Newbury race..So that race giot franked even though he was last,the trainer saud he wantrd fast griund the ground that day was gd/sft verging on soft ground although wasn't terrible,what it does tell you is Alkumait anythung slower than gd/gdfm will be no good..A very interesting runner based on that Newbury run and still open to loads of impriovement as long as waters not chucked on.
 
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The thing tonight looking ominous 18/1 now had a pull in the weights with Grand Canal for 1/2l at chelmsford and that ones been backed into 7/2 fav and still getting backed,so maybe horse isn't right yet..otherwise would be backed just on that formline alone..

And of course Grand canal hacks up and backed into fav...

Newbury Spring mile Sunday 3.55


Nugget 8/1 sportsbook/skybet/ppowwr 15/2 hills/betfred.

Watering at Newbury so wanted to see how the going was today,at the moment as it should be good but drying out,i just hope that they don't water again and it's faster on sunday have looked through the race and there doesn't appear to be much form on rattling ground although lots of 4yr olds unexposed...Nuggets had seven runs,his early season run at Donny last season was first win,looked one to follow in low 80s but got beat both next time up runs as fav,so started tol look a little unreliable..It's most interesting run was whe winning at Newmarket in a small field where the race was fast by 1.45 seconds,was by far the quicker race on the day,not one other race went under standard that day including a class 4 handicap wion by Al Rufaa rated 85 that won by 3 1/2ls yet was over two seconds slower than Nuggets race,the runner up Yes My boy has gone on to be rated 101,90 in the Newmarket race although on the aw and the 3rd Cognac 2l behind won its next race in a 0-100 and now rated 98..Nugget has run already this season a small field at Notts only a 0-95,never got much of a run in that race but hadn't run for 9 months..This ios obviously a bigstep up in class but if the ground does ride really quick and they don't overwater perhaps the horse will be shown to be better than current mark of 92,based on that run at Newmarket could well be..

10/1 365 9/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor 8/1 skybet



2.45 Greenham


Alkumait 6/1 365 11/2 ppower/sportsbook/skybet/betfred 5places


This horse looks all about fast ground,just the four runs and on third run here over 6fs looked his best run and looked a bit special,winning over 6fs off a really fast pace the race was fast by 1.9 seconds was actually faster than the older horse group 3 horses on the day he won going away
and looked value for more than that win..Then last time out ran in the Dewhurst was last beaten 27ls,strange thing was the betting that day going off 12/1 the horse he slaughtered in that 6f race at Newbury went off 9/1 and that finished 7th while Devilwala was 4th only beaten 2 3/4ls and that had finished 5 3/4ls behind Alkumait in that Newbury race..So that race giot franked even though he was last,the trainer saud he wantrd fast griund the ground that day was gd/sft verging on soft ground although wasn't terrible,what it does tell you is Alkumait anythung slower than gd/gdfm will be no good..A very interesting runner based on that Newbury run and still open to loads of impriovement as long as waters not chucked on.


5.05

Good Birthday 9/1 generally


Good Birthday probably has the best known form in the race and plenty of it here,but has become hard to win with,not overly raced with 18 runs and 3 wins but hasn't won since August 2019 off 95 at Beverley likes gd/gdfm ground so conditons look ok as long as not overwatered..Seasonal debut was 3rd off 98 in a 0-105 at Newmarket a 5th in a class 2 at Sandown,and a staying on 7/11 over this c/d nearest finish off 90..Then was 8/27 in the Cambridgeshire didn't have a brilliant draw ran ok beaten just over 8ls..Then ran a poor race on soft ground,gets to run in a 0-85 tomorrow off 86,lowest mark since March 2019 off 82 winning first handicap,that was also on seasonal debut so some hope goes well fresh..Lots of unexposed 4yr olds,but if runs to any of last seasons best form then decent ew chances..


Same old story at Newbury overwatered ground,ffs it drives you mad two days ago they were going under standard perfect fir Alkamait today nearer 2 seconds above in grouop 3 races going stick 6.7 complete farce..5s out to 13s
 
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Windsor 1.40 Monday


Carp Kid 17/2 hills


I think Carp Kid will be winning this season at some point,hasn't won since May 2019 has only ever won 4/32 but is quite consistent at Windsor 1/3/2/3/2 was second here twice last season off 75 was even second here over a mile in a 0-80 and then 4th at Newbury in a 0-85..The obvious negative is really hasn't done anything first time out so may have to wait till returns here,but as its form here is so consistent will have a small bet,runs off 69 now and drops into a 0-70..It looks a positive dropping into a 0-70 but this has horses like Hawridge Flyer that usually runs in bewtter races also,think the ground and how much water they chuck on will decide its chaces as if overwatered would have a great chance,the favourite Ranco ran well in a 0-75 on the aw and there are a couple of others coming back from lay offs that are wel handicapped..



Windsor 4.45

Bronze River 17/2 hills


Bronze River was with Andrew Balding last season,has only ever won two maidens,was third in a 0-90 last season at Newmarket and also 4th in a 0-95 beaten 1 1/2ls at Sandown then 4th of 6 at Ascot in a 0-95 just didn't stay..Didn't run too badly over these trips next couple of runs,then joined the Roger Teal stable just three weeks ago,has already run twice disappointing on the aw not showing anything,but gets the chace too run in a 0-75 on good/gdfm ground if not overwatered,was running off 82 last season n most races tomorrow off 72 will be interesting to see if there's any money for it as really in ths grade if anywhere near last seasons form would be near enough favourite...Speculatve with an unfashionable trainer,but definite chances at best..
Wouldn't be a shock if 10yr old Pactolus were to run well rated 82 still on the aw and just 68 on turf,was third here off 75 last season in a 0-85,is well handicapped enough to alsi have place chances in an open looking race.
 
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The thing tonight looking ominous 18/1 now had a pull in the weights with Grand Canal for 1/2l at chelmsford and that ones been backed into 7/2 fav and still getting backed,so maybe horse isn't right yet..otherwise would be backed just on that formline alone..

And of course Grand canal hacks up and backed into fav...

Newbury Spring mile Sunday 3.55


Nugget 8/1 sportsbook/skybet/ppowwr 15/2 hills/betfred.

Watering at Newbury so wanted to see how the going was today,at the moment as it should be good but drying out,i just hope that they don't water again and it's faster on sunday have looked through the race and there doesn't appear to be much form on rattling ground although lots of 4yr olds unexposed...Nuggets had seven runs,his early season run at Donny last season was first win,looked one to follow in low 80s but got beat both next time up runs as fav,so started tol look a little unreliable..It's most interesting run was whe winning at Newmarket in a small field where the race was fast by 1.45 seconds,was by far the quicker race on the day,not one other race went under standard that day including a class 4 handicap wion by Al Rufaa rated 85 that won by 3 1/2ls yet was over two seconds slower than Nuggets race,the runner up Yes My boy has gone on to be rated 101,90 in the Newmarket race although on the aw and the 3rd Cognac 2l behind won its next race in a 0-100 and now rated 98..Nugget has run already this season a small field at Notts only a 0-95,never got much of a run in that race but hadn't run for 9 months..This ios obviously a bigstep up in class but if the ground does ride really quick and they don't overwater perhaps the horse will be shown to be better than current mark of 92,based on that run at Newmarket could well be..
10/1 365 9/1 Ppower/sportsbook/victor


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!And again:lol::lol: Unreal i've had Lincoln winner,Scottish cup sprint winner and now the Bunbury cup..what a season so far,won easiy as well was fuming about the waterig but didn't seem to makke anu difference just looks a massive improver!!!



2.45 Greenham


Alkumait 5/1 ppower/sportsbook 5places


This horse looks all about fast ground,just the four runs and on third run here over 6fs looked his best run and looked a bit special,winning over 6fs off a really fast pace the race was fast by 1.9 seconds was actually faster than the older horse group 3 horses on the day he won going away
and looked value for more than that win..Then last time out ran in the Dewhurst was last beaten 27ls,strange thing was the betting that day going off 12/1 the horse he slaughtered in that 6f race at Newbury went off 9/1 and that finished 7th while Devilwala was 4th only beaten 2 3/4ls and that had finished 5 3/4ls behind Alkumait in that Newbury race..So that race giot franked even though he was last,the trainer saud he wantrd fast griund the ground that day was gd/sft verging on soft ground although wasn't terrible,what it does tell you is Alkumait anythung slower than gd/gdfm will be no good..A very interesting runner based on that Newbury run and still open to loads of impriovement as long as waters not chucked on.
 
Southwell 8.30


En Couleur 4/1 365


En Coouleur made its debut over 7fs here totally outpaced till stayed on strongly back in March 2020 in a maiden ,didn't look a great race but it was the eyecatcher in it and proved it handled the surface,then two more runs one at newcastle beaten miles the same on turf at Redcar.Has been hurdling since some gradual improvement although not placing has been running in Class 4s its last run was its best beaten 9ls,looked to be cantering but just completey stopped after the last and had done this in a previous race as well..The horse might just be a rogue and not want to hit the front,or it simply doesn't stay the two miles over hurdles,switched now to the aw off 60,the price is not great this could be desperation or a plan,its debut showed it handled the surface and the sire Archipenko does really well on this surface 17% strike rate and 20% over this 1m4fs trip..The race looks wide open unless En Couleur turns out better than its mark,they are all 0-60 runners with loads of form here,they've met each other throughout the season so impossible to pick one out,so will just try the Mick Easterby horse
and hope its not a dodgepot..
 
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Donny 4.30


Lucky Louie 12/1 sportsbook/victor/betfred/betway


Typically at Windsor on monday i put up the Roger Teal runner and his very next runner won and his last runner since,tomorrow he has veteran Lucky Louie out running over 7fs at Donny,am not sure it's going to be a trier drawn wide stalls on stands side and for some reason vosors kept on something that really puts me off,has shown nothing with it on..The positives are likes the ground and has loads of form here although has never actually won on the track,has been 3/2/5/2/2 then 6/16 in a class 3 sprint beaten just over a legth and its only poor run here was on heavy ground last season..The horse has a poor win record,only 3/38 and last win was August 2019 off 75,last season was second in a 0-78 at Chepstow and fourth in a 0-85 at Sandown,is now running off 67 lowest mark since May 2017,drops into a 0-70 first time since April 2018..Jack Mitchell rides won twice on it placed numerous times and the horse has placed everytime on turf seasonal debut..if visor and draw aren't negatives then well enough handicapped to run well..Would add this in a too follows if it doesn't get placed.
Lasting Legacy is drawn 12 against the rail,if high draws have an advantage looks the more obvious one in the race with only eight runs with two solid runs on Tapwta at Newcasle a third in a 0-85 the beaten over a mile by Pholas that went onto win a conditions race on aw finals day..off a mark of just 67 and open to improvement..
 
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Some ew multiples...not going to do any write ups too much racing.

Cliffs of Capri 4/1Crawled a farce got stake back on 4 places,ground looks on the slow side to me as well so much for the gd/fm.
Supremacy 8/11
Rewyaat 9/4
Pure Charmer 4/5
Looking for Carl 4/1 Frame rate 9/2(Sinndarella could run well 18/1)
Dacesa 13/2 Bungledinblue 11/1
 
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Windsor 4.51 monday..


Noble Masquerade 9/2 hills 4/1 365



Lots of 4yr olds unexposed so guessing on lots of them,Noble Masquerade trained by Eve Johnson Houghton recent form 4/22 a winner today,has quite a few winners at Windsor so more than likely this will get overbet,i wouldn't be surprised to see it go off 9/4-2/1 even though looks very competitve..It's had seven runs no wins,last season was running on soft ground in what were slightly better races than this but all over far longer trips,infact it's hard to know what its trip is staying on over 1m4fs at Ascot in Heritage handicap only 6th of 10 but mainly 90 rated horses,than ran over further outstaued over 1m6fs at Haydock in a 0-90..That was a weaker race,then favourite on the aw very disappointing and on its seasonal debut ran at Notts on the 7th April only a 0-75 but over a mile,looked to be travelling well till stopped in run and jocj let it come ho,me in its own time..On monday steps up two furlongs and the griunds looking like good/soft maybe soft,it maybe it needs faster ground to show its best and perhaps soft won't be its best ground but last seasons form looks like on limited evidence more preferable..Just looks like getting overbet to me,being a big eyecatcher,trainer in form step up in trip and ground probably suiting...
Others to consider Sceptred Isle another eyecatcher last time out here over a mile against a decent winner the winner won by an easy 5ls and Sceptered Isle was 9ls behind but last season its few runs were over 1m2fs where it came thurd in two maidens that looked as good as this race,the negative could be the ground sire does poorly on softer ground but this ones runs last season were on it third to Zahratty rated 86 and Moonlight in Paris rated 107 at Newmarket..Betting will be interesting only runs off 70,i think this one is worth following just not sure this ground is what it wants,but won't discount and also Carp Kid,i put it up here last time out a regular here rarely wins but has Oisin Murphy riding..I put it up here for its seasonal debut was only a 0-70 but ran one of its worst ever races here,previously i put up its record at the track 1/3/2/2/2 and then that flop,most of its form is on faster ground but was second here last season over a mile on soft ground in a 0-80 off 69, tomorrow off just 66...Any revival would have a great ew chance and it may just drift to a decent price after its last run.
 
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Windsor 7.0


Tra Lti 20/1 sportsbook/ppower/betfred/betway


A speculative bet on soft ground 3yr old handicap at Windsor over a mile,most of these runners look well in i have loads down to follow but can't find any soft ground form and those that have are over shorter so lightly raced they may just be different class to Tra Lti..Tra Lti has had five runs four on the aw three at Newcastle where the sire does terribly so all those lines can out a line thriughit's had one run on turf desperate ground at eicester when winning a 0-60 that was the second div over a second quicker than the first division on same day..It was a terrible race though and has been bumped up to 66,tomorrows ground looks like being soft,hope for as much rain as possible as the positive is it likes desperate ground,,out of Sixties Icon around 13% on ground and trip..may stop a few and so worth having a small ew bet..Andrea Atzeni is booked and he won on him in the Leicester race and the Ed Dunlops stable has had 3/12 runners,half the field look different class to me but so far that's all on the aw although quite a few in here are stepping down in class..Hopefully its a complete bog..


Try some ew multiples,no write ups at the moment form seems to be all over the place so small stakes

Windsor 4.25

Amir Kabir 7/2 skybet HMS President 11/2 skybet 4 places

6.0

Kindred Spirit 9/4 365 betfred 3 places


7.30

Remedium 6/4 betway/victor Zuraig 3/1 generally

Catterick 2.50


Flammarion 7/4 victor/hills


3.25


Captain jameson 4/1 Paddy powerskybet 6/1 365 5/1 skybet 4 places generally


Lingfield 1.15


Mr Mac 20/1 365 18/1 skybet Black Medick 20/1 sportsbook both 4 places


2.25


Golden Rainbow 11/8 victor


3.0


Vandad 9/2 365 Shining 5/1 skybet


3.35


Headley georg 2/1 generally


4.10


I'm Digby 9/2 365 Junoesque 10/1 power/sportsbook
 
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Some bad luck today 4 winners loads of places Paddy power and Captain jameson btn a nose and sh/hd Kidred Spireit shouldv'e sluiced up Artzeni managed to find trouble in a 6 horse race
even though they went all over the track,massive drift so the 1.5 for 3 places probably the best bet of the day and betfred paying 3 places,a very strange drift..And the pick with Artenzi on the ground dried out,going changed to gd/sft good in places just impossible to bet with any confidence such unpredictable weather..it was supposed to rain at Windsor...still traded 2.74 but won't win in that class on that ground.Had a decent ew bet on Zuraig and the reverse forecast csf £6 Exacta 6.70 plus 1.5 4 places the sire of the favourite Redemptive has never had a winner over that trip something like 0-30...close to being a really good day 4 winners and 7 places...Got loads of myultiples up with the shorties in but small profits on those pruces...

Ayr placepot

1,4
3,5
1,2,3,8
1,4,6,10 smaller perm
3,4,5,7,9
1,3,8



Wetherby 7.55


Eye Up It's Mick 15/2 skybet


Eye up its Mick likes soft ground is looking quite well handicapped all its improvement came last season has only ever won a 0-70 on its best ever win so this class would be its best ever won but has been 3rd in a class 4 at ponte last season off 73 in a 0-85 and was 3rd in a 0-80 at ripon and
4th in a 0-85 at redcar...Came back this season with an eyecatching run at Beverley out the back nearest finish in 5th then ran on saturday over 7fs beaten over 11ls,so s;ight step backwards blinkers have gone back again after that run,don't know if track will suit 5 1/2fs probably a minimum on thios track for it gets to run off 65 with 5 off...If it doesn't go on the track one for notebook and soft ground,there are others in here like Fox Hill and Dark Defender they could also run well if they run to their best,looks as though there's going to be more rain there so will suit.


Might do something else yet see how the ground plaus out/
 
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Bath 5.20


Gilded Edge 12/1 365 11/1 betfred Show Me The Bubbly 25/1 boyles/betfred/victor/sportsbook/ppower


Just seems a wasye of time betting at the moment,very little worthwhile form to go on unpredictable weather ground at Bath says good,will take it at face value and hope there's no rain as these two don't really want any rain...there is rain firecast there tomorrow so another minmum stakes race even Wetherby giot abandioned today after the first race..Gilded Edge a c/d winner won 3/21 trainer Chris Mason has very few winners horse is still only 5 and definitely has enough ability to be involved in this class of race,last win was way back in August 2019 off 66 claimer took off 5 a 0-70 goig off 11/10 fav.The horse runs over all sorts of distances from 5fs upto 7fs,form not as good last season had a few places one over this c/d when second to Able Kane in a 0-70 off 64 but claimer took of 7 so off 57..comeback run this season at Sailsbury only 5/7 but didn't get a clear run there so a little unlucky..but that was on fast ground,tomorrow gets too drop into a 0-60 hasn't run in this class since July 2019..I think for the cl;ass of race this is red hot i could make a case for six in this and probably not hit the frame,very competitve with lots well handicapped..If gilted edge gets decent groyund and runs anywgere near its best then decent ew chances runs off 60 with claimer taking off 5 lowest ever mark..
Similarly Show Me The Bubby another relatively lighty raced 5yr old 21 runs just one win but that was on turf and has only had nine races on turf a win a second and three thirds,the win
was way back here in may 2019 winning off 67 on firm ground,its last run was its worst on the aw 9/9 beaten 24ls and comes back after a 103 day break so could only be speculatuve.
Last season ran over this c/d three times was 3/5/3 went off 10/1 4/1 and 9/4 fav off marks of 70,68 and 67 the last run was just a 0-65 when favourite but is now running off just 58..
The horse has no form on soft ground whatsoever,if stable have it spot on and conditins are fine coming from the O'shea stable you'd be exoecting a bit of a gamble based on those runs last season and lowest ever mark,worth keeping in the notebook when running here as able to run in 0-60s betting wull be interestin..Others like Pastfacr 6/26 on the turf stable in form runs off 57 and was placed here off 58 in a 0-70 last season another with a great ew chance won a 0-65 last season and 14/1 overpriced on last seasons best form,Bring the Money another if sift ground arrived.And the favourite Forenza Rosa is very short for a horse that rarely wins but if rains come after it ran its bet lifetime run last time out in a 0-70 at Windsor,could get lucky with the weather if it rains..

6.50


Mr Curiosity 4/1 365 7/2 generally


Mr Curiosity ran a decent race at Lingfield on debut finishing 4th staying on over 1m4fs on the aw at lingfield was beaten 6ls but the time was very good especially for a maiden,he's out of Frankel so 20% over the trip 25% at the track and ground is 20% or higher on all sorts of ground although soft is the worst..It's another one of these that if bombs out on turf then might be worth following on the aw,could easily be an 85+ horse and will try an ew bet and some trading,if they expect big imprivement and turfs ok i wouldn't be surprised if this was a big gamble as well so maybe a decent trade could well go off 9/4 in this yet maybe shorter..
 
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York 3.40 Friday


Fortamour 16/1 sportsbok/ppower/boyles/betway/betfred 6 places 14/1 skybet 7 places 14/1 hills 6 places

A ridiculously competitve handicap for horses rated upto 0-85,Fortamours a 5yr old but hasn't had that much racing just 14 runs 3 wins two on the aw just one win on turf that was over 6fs last season in a 0-105 off 86 previous to that run was 3rd over this c/d off 81 in a 0-95..Has been disappointing since the win at Ayr in the 0-105 hasn't run terrible but not at its best,this season a 6th of 12 at Redcar in a 0-95 over 6fs and then last time out only 3rd of 6 in a 0-105 at Ripon just infront of todays winner Mr Lupton..If it was near its best it would probably be near enough favourite near top of the market the 3rd here to Documenting was two classes above fridays race even though running off 5 pound higher now off top weight of 85..With so many places on offer with books must be worth backing at least another,because even the rags have place chances,will try and sort another out for friday..
 
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Bath 5.20


Gilded Edge 12/1 365 11/1 betfred Show Me The Bubbly 25/1 boyles/betfred/victor/sportsbook/ppower


Just seems a wasye of time betting at the moment,very little worthwhile form to go on unpredictable weather ground at Bath says good,will take it at face value and hope there's no rain as these two don't really want any rain...there is rain firecast there tomorrow so another minmum stakes race even Wetherby giot abandioned today after the first race..Gilded Edge a c/d winner won 3/21 trainer Chris Mason has very few winners horse is still only 5 and definitely has enough ability to be involved in this class of race,last win was way back in August 2019 off 66 claimer took off 5 a 0-70 goig off 11/10 fav.The horse runs over all sorts of distances from 5fs upto 7fs,form not as good last season had a few places one over this c/d when second to Able Kane in a 0-70 off 64 but claimer took of 7 so off 57..comeback run this season at Sailsbury only 5/7 but didn't get a clear run there so a little unlucky..but that was on fast ground,tomorrow gets too drop into a 0-60 hasn't run in this class since July 2019..I think for the cl;ass of race this is red hot i could make a case for six in this and probably not hit the frame,very competitve with lots well handicapped..If gilted edge gets decent groyund and runs anywgere near its best then decent ew chances runs off 60 with claimer taking off 5 lowest ever mark..
Similarly Show Me The Bubby another relatively lighty raced 5yr old 21 runs just one win but that was on turf and has only had nine races on turf a win a second and three thirds,the win
was way back here in may 2019 winning off 67 on firm ground,its last run was its worst on the aw 9/9 beaten 24ls and comes back after a 103 day break so could only be speculatuve.
Last season ran over this c/d three times was 3/5/3 went off 10/1 4/1 and 9/4 fav off marks of 70,68 and 67 the last run was just a 0-65 when favourite but is now running off just 58..
The horse has no form on soft ground whatsoever,if stable have it spot on and conditins are fine coming from the O'shea stable you'd be exoecting a bit of a gamble based on those runs last season and lowest ever mark,worth keeping in the notebook when running here as able to run in 0-60s betting wull be interestin..Others like Pastfacr 6/26 on the turf stable in form runs off 57 and was placed here off 58 in a 0-70 last season another with a great ew chance won a 0-65 last season and 14/1 overpriced on last seasons best form,Bring the Money another if sift ground arrived.And the favourite Forenza Rosa is very short for a horse that rarely wins but if rains come after it ran its bet lifetime run last time out in a 0-70 at Windsor,could get lucky with the weather if it rains..

6.50


Mr Curiosity 4/1 365 7/2 generally


Mr Curiosity ran a decent race at Lingfield on debut finishing 4th staying on over 1m4fs on the aw at lingfield was beaten 6ls but the time was very good especially for a maiden,he's out of Frankel so 20% over the trip 25% at the track and ground is 20% or higher on all sorts of ground although soft is the worst..It's another one of these that if bombs out on turf then might be worth following on the aw,could easily be an 85+ horse and will try an ew bet and some trading,if they expect big imprivement and turfs ok i wouldn't be surprised if this was a big gamble as well so maybe a decent trade could well go off 9/4 in this yet maybe shorter..


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Lingfield 4.22 Thursday


Silver Diva 5/2 hills Bomb Squad 7/1 hills


Looks like being desperate ground at Lingfield soft wit more rain to come,wouldn't surprise me if got abandoned but looks like heavy ground,Bomb Squad ran today was second in a weak 0-60 over 7fs at Brighton he's slow but on this type of ground hasn't run a bad race on ground soft or worse 1/3/3/1,i put him up at 33s when he won at Winsor last season at 33s off 49 a terrible race..Then followed that up with another two thirds then another third in a 0-70 on heavy off just 47 then beat Velocistar off same mark by 2 1/4ls,thats come out and won this week and was runner up today in a 0-70..I presume he will get backed just because of the ground,there are horses with better form like Silver Diva only the six runs and a decent second at Sailsbury last time out in a 0-75 that was on slow ground as well,Bomb Squad can't beat it on that for if it goes on really heavy ground sire says it should so looks the one to beat..Wouldn't discount Miss Bella Brand either looks well in on maiden form and out of Poets voice could easily figure in this poor race..
 
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Ascot The Albany


Hello You 12/1 sportsbook/ppower


The 2yr old races look wide open,most of the form has been on slow ground so very little to go on times which is usually the pointer for value on decent ground at Ascot,i haven't really been keeping track with the soft ground so at some point will have to look throuh the runners proper..I saw todays winner at Wolves and it was very impressive,cantering over the field winning by 4 1/2ls,but looked like a horse with previous experience to come through other horses then quicken,pretty rare to see 2yr olds win like that on a debut run..Even though only average pace set the winning time of 1m13.83 was respectable and the ease of the win suggests a definite 100+ horse to me had loads in hand..Albany is only a Group 3 so definitely looks the right race for it, i don't know much about the other runners i have one other marked off in the race,but will wait nearer the race as its being aimed at this race and another...Negatives are the sire Invincible Spirit has a very poor record at Ascot and stats wise poor over 6fs which is very surpising,the main positve it looks to me like the tipsters will put it because of lack of fast ground form,it's going to be a guessing game and this looks the only runner to date you aren't guessing on..
 
Sandown 8.0 Thursday..


History Writer 17/2 hills


Been doing thursdays cards all morning,i shouldv'e done Sandowns card first not last as been cut from 10/1 into 17/2 just within the last half an hour was hoping to see double figures but price is probably fair enough even though looking at the recent form you might think not..Tomorrows race is a 0-95 hasn't run in one of these since may 2019 when 2nd off 91,has form on all sorts of ground beat Mitchum Swagger on heavy ground in November 2019,that was its last win has been going off huge pruces and coming nearer last than first so had questions to answer after going upto a 106 and now back down to 95..Ran well in the LLincoln stopped in run several times but then last behind Nuggett at Newbury the last 5 all had double figure draws although you couldn't just put it down to the draw but maybe contributed..Then last time out was drawn 9 of 27 at Ascot over 7fs in the Victori Cup did well as switched to the near side then had to be switched again staying on strongly and the lowest draw to get anywhere near the high draws..Probably one worth following now and maybe at Ascot again,but drops in class is a c/d winner at Sandown so will follow it for awhile,,has always had an unreliable profile rarely follows up a decent run with another but this is the right grade for it..
 
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