Daily picks.

gigilo said:
Yellow printer 7/1 sjames,lads,hills.

Yellow printer went under 2ms which doesn't happen often in this grade,although the track has been riding quick.Last time out running 4th to arkaim beaten 2 1/4ls the time of the race 1.59.48 also finshing in 5th was cathcart castle recent winner and had the fav one of twins in tonights race behind which also makes the 7s look overpriced.The favs drifting in this race so may also be a bit of value as well at 9/2 as these two on the clock if they repeat their recent runs look the two that stand out.I may even put in valley tiger and princess gail for tricasts if the prices permit.

1pt trade yellow printer out at 5.5 and the tricast as above 122.23:cool:
.05ptew
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gigilo said:
Looking for love 22/1.

Lots of horses looking overpriced tonight at wolves looking at the times of races but just for the time being will put this one up.A reasonable time on 1st of october and only just behind the fav in the 8.50 tonight one of twins the race being run in 2m.0.17.Will be very surprised if there's no money for this as the standard time of that race was as quick as anything in this race has run here.

1pt trade 22/1 victor out at 18.5
.05ptew
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Kingaroo 1pt trade 12/1 365 0.05ptew may even be bigger with some other firms only 3 books up.Ppower may go 14s will back it again if they open 12s or bigger.

1pt trade 12/1 365
.05ptew

On his day kingaroos capable of winning this from the front,c/d record is 3/6 and been second off this mark the last two runs here,his last run second to beau fighter has gone onto win off 67 in a far better race than this that day it was another 8ls back to the third trachonitus running off 69.The penultimate run over c/d again second off this mark and having horses rated in the 70s behind.On previous runs over c/d last season had amazing bluesky priced up at 15/2 in todays race unsighted on their two meetings,if he runs to his best 12s is to big.The obvious danger looks the ellison horse hurdle mark 151 and last run on the flat won by 11ls over 1m2fs,the other runners although some are lightly raced have yet to run on the surface or either have run in or won in slow times on the surface.If punters look beyond its turf form i expect kingaroo to be backed as its overall profile is quite consistent and at least should be a trade out of it,i don't bet in running but for anyone that does should be a decent back to lay.
 
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1pt trade lady del sol 10/1 hills.

Won't be backing this as a single as i rarely bet at redcar,but there maybe a good chance this will be backed,lady del sol is off all time low mark tmorrow with challenor taking off 5 is only on a mark of 55,yet started the season on 75.She actually is a bit of a redcar specialist 7 runs and won twice over the c/d 1/3/4,likes good or fast ground and that maybe decides whether she's backed or not as the grounds not a definite thats why i can't have a single.Perhaps if the times show its not on the slow side i may have an ew bet later in the day,five runs back she was third off 66 beaten 2 3/4ls by lizzie that form was franked yesterday when lizzie was third of seventeen to teds brother in a far better race than todays.The second from that race caranbola has won twice since the last off 76 and the fourth behind lady del sol,cool in the shade recieving 12 pounds recently won off 68,on that form lady del sol would head of the market so will be very interesting to see which way she goes in the market.I wouldn't normally look at a redcar card but i will be keeping note and watching closely as she is extremely well in on that form and if drifts in the betting will be backing her for the rest of the season when the grounds right etc as she looks on a mark that should be a formality
 
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Drifting like a barge kingaroo so going to have two 1pt trades in the same race boy the bell 9/4 and cotehill lass.They look like they will be massively overbet especially with ellison and evans training.

1pt trade boy the bell 9/4 tote,bet,stan,lads
1pt trade cotehill lass 4/1 sbet,bluesquare,totesport.
 
Missed the prices but gracies gift was different class to these last season there's still 7s with boyles and sporting bet 1pt trade could go off fav.
The one thats massively overpriced is scruffy skip and is a stone in with some of these on last years form,will keep an eye out on betfair to see if there's any massive prices.

1pt trade gracies gift 7/1 boyles,sporting bet.
 
gigilo said:
Kingaroo 1pt trade 12/1 365 0.05ptew may even be bigger with some other firms only 3 books up.Ppower may go 14s will back it again if they open 12s or bigger.

1pt trade 12/1 365 Out at 19s the prices were very sus and pulls up!!!Plus the fav won as in write up.
.05ptew

On his day kingaroos capable of winning this from the front,c/d record is 3/6 and been second off this mark the last two runs here,his last run second to beau fighter has gone onto win off 67 in a far better race than this that day it was another 8ls back to the third trachonitus running off 69.The penultimate run over c/d again second off this mark and having horses rated in the 70s behind.On previous runs over c/d last season had amazing bluesky priced up at 15/2 in todays race unsighted on their two meetings,if he runs to his best 12s is to big.The obvious danger looks the ellison horse hurdle mark 151 and last run on the flat won by 11ls over 1m2fs,the other runners although some are lightly raced have yet to run on the surface or either have run in or won in slow times on the surface.If punters look beyond its turf form i expect kingaroo to be backed as its overall profile is quite consistent and at least should be a trade out of it,i don't bet in running but for anyone that does should be a decent back to lay.
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gigilo said:
1pt trade lady del sol 10/1 hills.

Won't be backing this as a single as i rarely bet at redcar,but there maybe a good chance this will be backed,lady del sol is off all time low mark tmorrow with challenor taking off 5 is only on a mark of 55,yet started the season on 75.She actually is a bit of a redcar specialist 7 runs and won twice over the c/d 1/3/4,likes good or fast ground and that maybe decides whether she's backed or not as the grounds not a definite thats why i can't have a single.Perhaps if the times show its not on the slow side i may have an ew bet later in the day,five runs back she was third off 66 beaten 2 3/4ls by lizzie that form was franked yesterday when lizzie was third of seventeen to teds brother in a far better race than todays.The second from that race caranbola has won twice since the last off 76 and the fourth behind lady del sol,cool in the shade recieving 12 pounds recently won off 68,on that form lady del sol would head of the market so will be very interesting to see which way she goes in the market.I wouldn't normally look at a redcar card but i will be keeping note and watching closely as she is extremely well in on that form and if drifts in the betting will be backing her for the rest of the season when the grounds right etc as she looks on a mark that should be a formality
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Out at 8s:cool:
 
gigilo said:
Drifting like a barge kingaroo so going to have two 1pt trades in the same race boy the bell 9/4 and cotehill lass.They look like they will be massively overbet especially with ellison and evans training.

1pt trade boy the bell 9/4 tote,bet,stan,lads Out at 3
1pt trade cotehill lass 4/1 sbet,bluesquare,totesport.
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Out at 3.7:cool:
 
gigilo said:
Missed the prices but gracies gift was different class to these last season there's still 7s with boyles and sporting bet 1pt trade could go off fav.
The one thats massively overpriced is scruffy skip and is a stone in with some of these on last years form,will keep an eye out on betfair to see if there's any massive prices.

1pt trade gracies gift 7/1 boyles,sporting bet.
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Out at 9 a winning day despit a couple of drifters!!!
 
Most of the runners in the race have run on poly,so there's a few comparisons to make.The prescott horse could be reasonably well handicapped being 5ls infront of 67 rated horse on debut and with improvement on top of that 77 looks fairly lenient,the race on debut was run in 1m39.40 not that quick but was a flip start and a virtual standing start for a furlong.The hannon horse in contrast ran a fairly decent time on debut at wolves 1m28.54 and with improvement to come on top,ran in a sales race at fairyhouse finishing 4th of 18 the 7th quick bite ran well in a decent nursery on saturday at donny so form also looks decent.They are all so lightly raced but just on times on the surface so far think its safer to back the two to trade as they look like they should be the two at the front of the market,hopefully one will return a reasonable profit with at least the other returning stake
 
A losing day even though i avoided the huge drift on hannon horse and traded out for a small profit as it was trading shorter for most of the day,6.6 and 7.0 the prescott horse.If i'd been around for the race i probably wouldv'e backed the hannon horse with that drift as the markets can produce huge drifters that win on the aw.Will check the race out later as i havn't seen it yet!!
 
Trovare has the best form in the race and also sits on an all time low mark of 81,the doubt is whether the horse stays a true run 2mile.Even so 20/1 looks huge on previous form,a third off 82 to yourgonnabelucky over the same track over 1m6fs is by far the best piece of any form in this race.That particular race staying on and looking as though 2miles wasn't beyond it,has run again over 1m6fs and even though beaten over 7ls that form has been franked by veiled and gifted leader.In a race where it is dropping in grade i can see this going off nearer 10s than the 20s and making this hopefully a nice trade.
 
Leave the tipping to tipsters,i'm just putting up horses that will shorten and decent trades with the occasional ew bet.I'm sure if you went back through the thread it would be miles infront on winners as i know there's 16/1,12/1,8/1 9/2 and several other winners on there.Considering i back maybe ten horses aday and post one or two on here every so often mainly for trading you're very unlikely to see that many winners.
 
Gritstone made its aw debut over a trip a a furlong longer than tomorrows which is probably the negative,as he's never won over a trip as short as this.That debut on the aw showed lots of promise and clocked up at a decent time of 1m58.29,a line through dream of fortune seems to give him a fair bit in hand on second fav elijah pepper.There looks to be loads of pace on with elijah pepper having to come from a wide draw and will be taking kidlat on for the lead,that may just help gritstone over the shorter trip,lockantanks is a horse i've always thought could be an improver and remains on the same mark as when catching my eye at lingfield when 4th to fandith absolutely full of running with the worst jock imaginable.It looks like gritstone maybe overbet considering it hasn't won over the trip,in saying that two 4ths to attash and spoken last season off 84,82 would be different class to this lot and i'm pretty sure he's one to follow for the rest of the aw season.If it does get heavily backed i will leave a bit running on but this slightly shorter trip playing safe with the trade,will be going on my to follows list for the aw whatever tomorrows result.
 
gigilo said:
Gritstone made its aw debut over a trip a a furlong longer than tomorrows which is probably the negative,as he's never won over a trip as short as this.That debut on the aw showed lots of promise and clocked up at a decent time of 1m58.29,a line through dream of fortune seems to give him a fair bit in hand on second fav elijah pepper.There looks to be loads of pace on with elijah pepper having to come from a wide draw and will be taking kidlat on for the lead,that may just help gritstone over the shorter trip,lockantanks is a horse i've always thought could be an improver and remains on the same mark as when catching my eye at lingfield when 4th to fandith absolutely full of running with the worst jock imaginable.It looks like gritstone maybe overbet considering it hasn't won over the trip,in saying that two 4ths to attash and spoken last season off 84,82 would be different class to this lot and i'm pretty sure he's one to follow for the rest of the aw season.If it does get heavily backed i will leave a bit running on but this slightly shorter trip playing safe with the trade,will be going on my to follows list for the aw whatever tomorrows result.
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Out at 2.6 and a bit on the win!!!:cool:
 
Kens Girl has slipped to last winning mark of 75 enabling her to head the weights and creep into this handicap,she's run some nice races this season and off higher marks.She started the season winning off 76,runs well on this soft ground and only on penultimate run was 5th of 14 off 79 in a far better race than this to askaud.Everything infront of it in that race was rated 80+ and was 11/1 it really should around the 10/1 mark as there are quite afew unexposed 3yr olds.I wouldn't be surprised to see osgood run a better race as well over this trip on this ground and this one maybe a far bigger price tomorrow.
 
gigilo said:
1pt trade kens girl 16/1 365!
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Smashed in the betting,unsurprisingly now 8s probably truer reflection and i'm out at (9);).Left little win on it,but i only back ew and am off to hospital to see my new baby daughter.:)
 
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