Daily picks.

EVENS AND ODDS 7.00 Wolves Thursday

Based on old form, recent run at Ayr and fast finish under inexperienced jockey last time over a furlong shorter, this smart horse should be odds on.

Has anyone heard any rumours about injury?

He has been entered to be claimed for only £6k plus VAT - seems too low given rating
 
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May go for double that,stands out a mile at the weights the race all revolves around my lord and waabel making sure there's a decent pace otherwise the race could turn into a farce as all the runners are hold ups.Cheers colin,girlfriend lost a lot of blood and haemorraged so has to stay in for a few days,she seemed ok today though so hopefully home by the weekend.
 
gigilo said:
May go for double that,stands out a mile at the weights the race all revolves around my lord and waabel making sure there's a decent pace otherwise the race could turn into a farce as all the runners are hold ups.Cheers colin,girlfriend lost a lot of blood and haemorraged so has to stay in for a few days,she seemed ok today though so hopefully home by the weekend.
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The two pace horses were non runners and evens and odds unplaced exactly how the race looked like it would turn out with the finishers 1st and 2nd.Just glad the second didn't win as looked the obvious pick with the non runners.
 
gigilo said:
Smashed in the betting,unsurprisingly now 8s probably truer reflection and i'm out at (9);).Left little win on it,but i only back ew and am off to hospital to see my new baby daughter.:)
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Congratulations on the birth of your new baby daughter, that should stop the late night studying for a while :D

All the best to you and your wife gigilo.
 
Cheers my man!!Don't know what's going to happen on the horse front,i'm usually up till 3-3.30 am anyway so i can finish everything so with the baby waking up till those times i may still get stuff done.:blink:
At least i'll have someone to blame if i start doing my cobblers.:lol:
 
The books are ruining these races by pricing up all handicaps at night,had at least 6 picks but prices were gone before 8pm last night.The only thing i've done today so far is Excellent vision 14/1 hills to trade,price has gone,so 12/1 on here/
1pt trade excellent vision 12/1 hills lads.
 
of times this season excellent vision has been unlucky in running and that mixed with some poor runs makes the price 12/1 with hills and lads overpriced.Has run the quickest time out of the runners that have run over c/d and can see this going off around the 8s mark,the horses is so inconsistent,but the race is rubbish so will play safe with yet another trade.
 
gigilo said:
The books are ruining these races by pricing up all handicaps at night,had at least 6 picks but prices were gone before 8pm last night.The only thing i've done today so far is Excellent vision 14/1 hills to trade,price has gone,so 12/1 on here/
1pt trade excellent vision 12/1 hills lads.
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Out at 10.5 almost the worst scenario.
 
Tinshu looks overpriced on her aw form,now on a mark of 81 and that's her lowest mark since nov 2009 despite winning off 86 october 2010.She hasn't been at her best lately but 4 wins from 12 runs make her more interesting on the aw.She has run over the c/d three times winning off 76 a fourth here in this month last season in a race run in 2m3.88 a pretty quick time for the track,that was off a mark of 88 everything in the race was rated 87 plus and
if she runs to anything like that form is more like a 7/1 shot.
 
Follow the flag has dropped down to an allweather mark of 75,lowest since november 2009,similar to tinshu as he hasn't been at his best on the turf but this is a drop in class returned to the aw.Has a decent record at swell of 2/12 but has been in the first three on 6 of those occasions,january this year won off 77 winning a race the equivalent of this if not better,then followed that up with a second off 82 over 7fs.Back at swell with loads of pace in the race at least 6 front runners should suit a finisher,on his day is the best horse in the race and worth a small bet and for future reference.
 
No money for the two above,in very competitive races so not surprising,one that should be heavily backed is wicked wench,i will trade on this as i can't back fanning on odds on shots.It should go off very short so will take the 8/11 and should go off 1/2 looking at the times on their comparative days.

1pt trade wicked wench 8/11lads.

Out at 1.78 looks like fanning drifter.
 
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gigilo said:
No money for the two above,in very competitive races so not surprising,one that should be heavily backed is wicked wench,i will trade on this as i can't back fanning on odds on shots.It should go off very short so will take the 8/11 and should go off 1/2 looking at the times on their comparative days.

1pt trade wicked wench 8/11lads.

Out at 1.78 looks like fanning drifter.
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whats wrong with Fanning on odds on shots?

93/160

expected wins 100 ..A/E 0.93

they are steady stats i would have thought
 
Not necessarily odds on shots i mean as a jock in general,nothing i could repeat on here on an open forum!!Couldn't believe what i was seeing and hearing 15 years ago at haydock,bent as they come.

1pt trade Nadeen 16/1 lads already backed it at 20s and 0.05ptew.
 
Nadeen looks a bit of value at least trade wise backed at 20s but only 16s on here,the books really are ruining all the aw races at the moment as if you want a decent price you're almost forced into having a bet as anyone with any idea is picking up on the prices.365 want shooting as they're pricing up all handicaps.
Nadeens run twice at swell and from those two runs has been second twice here november 2010 off marks of 73 and 75 tomorrow runs off only 69.Won on the turf off 78 at musselburugh on the straight 5fs in april and looked progressive but was disappointing for the rest of the season.It would be hard to back the ones at the front end of the market,forevers girl runs off higher mark than when second here off 75,tomorrow off 77 yet the form is probably the same as nadeens and only 5/1.The same applies to lucky art last time it ran here won off 49 is 7/1,a few slightly better form on turf than nadeen,but as far as price goes nadeen looks like a 7,8/1 shot!!
 
Will be backing more than words as low as 8/13 books permitting to trade off,if it opens that price or bigger i expect it to be smashed down to maybe 4/9 2/5 even shorter,only reason i'm not having a win single is drop back in trip going other way round.Prices will go in the first hour of books opening 8/13 or lower.Cards are absolutely dire and only thing i could find.

1pt trade more than words

The reason it should get smashed is i think its the second quickest 2yr old race run over 6fs this season and apart from the one that beat it these two on their debut runs would more than likely be the two quickest this season with improvement to come.Every form/time student will be on this.


Taken evens and 10/11 hopefully late gamble.
 
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.40pt win hunters light 15/8 corals
1pt trade hunters light 15/8 corals
.05ptew circumvent 10/1 sky,tote,blue
1pt trade riggins 16/1 lads
0.05ptew riggins 16/1 lads.
.20ptew secret asset 3/1 hills
.10ptew total gallery 7/1 corals
 
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