It maybe best being wary of the aw for awhile the cold weather throwing up crazy results today at swell,all the speedfigure horses beaten out of site and alpha tauri over wrong trip in wrong grasde couldn't win in wins by 10ls,this happens nearly every season when temps drop as lots of horses simply don't go on slower surfaces.Will have a few small interests but will be looking at the times etc and if it continues at other tracks will leave alone for awhiole..
1.40
This is a poor claimer top weight dandy flame and drop kick murphy may well be different class,but there is one runner that has run ok in three races at the track critical thinking,was beaten 3 3/4ls over c/d by another of tomorrows runners peachey carnehan after getting outpaced they finished 2nd and 5th,but was staying on again at finish and closing.Next time out was stepped up in trip,in what was probably a reasonable ,maiden tomorrow though in this claimer gets a 15 pound turnaround with peachey carnehan so could run well,probably need one of the favs to run poorly but 25/1 is far to big compared to peachey glens 6/1 if repeats form..
Critical thinking 25/1 ppower/betbright/totesport/betfred/365
22/1 left ppowr/victor/sportsbook
2.40
Fashion business out of frankel ran in the fastest mile maiden at lingfield this season staying on strongly in 2nd winning time of race 1m36.24 pretty quick for debutants,the betting will be interesting in this race as on form shown so far this looks like being very short,what does catch the eye is ryan moore riding for gosden and horse with first time blinkers.Also abaaad ran ok on debut as well,if fashion business has come on for run though i'd expect him to be very short 2s on at best,anything backed against it would have to be given a second look as improvement on that deut time would take all the beating,although there id the ? of another two furlongs stayed on strongly on debut,it wouldn't totally surprise me if went off nearer to 4/9 maybe shorter but there are a couple in here like spencers ride havn't run that are interesting.Can't say it's a certainty but should be a nice trade/freebet..
Fashion business 4/5 ppower/skybet/365/totesport/betfred 5/6 betbright
4/5 racebets
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Thought baker had blown that went 4.9 in running:lol::lol: absolutely cracing day got 9s slice of life ew,the 25/1 shot probabnly one of the best ew bets to nothing seen in a long time at those crazy prices andv topped off with this little beauty..The multiple with the non runner returns £119 if you did a £1ew lucky and if the two are unplaced tonight they return £58,hopefully one will place its almost a cleaned up job!!:lol::lol:
8.15 Newcastle
Nuala tagula has just been running ok won a maiden here in september time of race was similar to the hanmdicap of this same grade on same night,so although not looking thrown in with 7 pound claimer down to 53 and with a ru in a classs 4 here over c/d although well beat must have a chance.The negative could be the draw in 2 as don't see the races figuring over the farside to often,hopefully the drawn won't be too much of a disadvantage in tis weaker race..
Cruisetothelimit has become very hard to win with,put her up with poppy in the wind when touched off in november off 64,also ran ok here last time out off 63 in 8th in a race for horses upto 75,tomorrow gets dropped 3 pound into a much weaker race,graham lee rides drawn 14/14 they are trying first time visor which i'm not sure is a positve as has run well here every run.It's a bit like a couple of the others has never wonon the aw but actually has the best form at the track,just a matter of reproducing its other runs,could be a bit of a gamble with graham lee riding..Se Vermont could run well at a price as well,had some form over 5fs at wolves in slightly better grade last season..
Nuala tagula 6/1 ppower/hills/corals 13/2 skybet/365 Cruise tothelimit 14/1ppower/sportsbook/skybet/365
Have added in See Vermont at 7/1 cruise Tothelimit non runner...
Wouldn't surprise me to see this going off nearer 7/1..and if the surface is desperately slow still may trade pretty low in running!!
Will have some very small ew multiples as well and add these two in,looking for places realistically and hoping a couple of the bigger priced ones hot the frame..
1.10 Lingfield
Slice of life has looked ungenuine and probably not one to trust been last two previous runs,but last time out led and ran ok in this grade,the going was given as slow/standard which seems strange looking at the older handicap on the card as was 2 seconds quicker and that was low grade race.Maybe the track got quicker through the day,but this first division slice of life ran in was run in virtual same time as twasbutadream winner again this week,if slice of life gets away on terms then looks to have at least place chances from a decent draw.
Sliceoflife 13/2 hills/365/betway
15/2 victor 8/1 across the board,think that says a lot about horses unreliability..