Daily picks.

7.20 Chelmsford

Probably not that good a race for the grade and not to many open to improvemet,craftsmanships best form has come round chelmsford and back in march 2016 won off 78 over the mile winning by 3 3/4ls looked very impressive in a decent time and one to follow but never went onto win again even though running some respectable races.Two runs over tomorrows c/d a 3rd to eucreil off 82 and a 2nd to the now 94 rated buracn off 80 solid runs probably in context of tomorrows race,was disappointing last time at wolves scrubbed along early,is worth giving another chance even if one or two could be possibly better handicapped.Went off 11/4 against burcan in this grade here penultimaste run,so bettying should be interesting,thought he would be around 5/1 based on track form so looks little overpriced if running to previous c/d form.Final lightly raced Johnston runner could be anything after beating qaffaal last time out at lingfield, over this trip for horses rated upto 95 and only 15 lifetime runs could be better than these,hopefully craftsmanship runs to its best and gives him a race..

Craftsmanship 8/1 ppower/sportsbook

7/1 betbright..


13/2 hills

Just 6/1 left with ppower.

Back out to 7/1 with 365/skybet/victor/hills/betway/betfair this morning...8.8..
 
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8.45 Wolves

I put a maiden on here to follow,was the quickest 1m2f race i can remember for 2yr olds run in 2m3.30 won by plead over the c/d at lingfield,the 2nd,3rd,5th and 6th have all won and look still well handicapped and even the 7th won twice after now rated 75 was beaten 22ls tin that maiden the 4th has yet to run since.Plead runs tomorrow in a wolves handicap off just 75,is well handicapped and as i said at the time probably an 85 horse just based on that run alone,the negatives seem to be lay off of 3months and not keen on jack mitchell either strictly whats seen so far in this hanmdicap most look expopsed or have yet to produce a decent time.I'd expected this to be 6/4 tops tomorrow,unless the clive cox horse turns out to be far better than mark is related to listed winner so possible then should be heavily backed ,would also expect jack mitchell to put the pace to this race as has the time on the clock obviously stays and drops 1/2 furlong,no excuses to be sitting off a slow pace.Even if plead gets beat,i would imagine will be straight onto turf early season and will still be worth following off this mark and picking up some early handicaps,it was one of the races to follow off a cliff during the aw season and has worked out as seemed likely..

Plead 5/2 365..

There is a possibility that plead could go off nearer odds on in this race presuming its ready to run plus if the cox horse has been given a harsh mark..
betting will be very interesting..looks cracking trade regardless..

5/2 ppower/9/4 skybet/Betbright 2/1

15/8 spotsbook..


6/4 generally across the boards now with 14 books but looks like drifting tomorrow ..may still see slightly bigger on betfair currentl 2/1,would expect it to be continually backed through the day at those bigger prices,as long as trying no reason why it should be going off bigger than 5/4 very tops unless not fit..
 
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Never backed it I said last week would give it one chance,tyoical not only that but it wins from the 1 draw where you'd think it would miss the break and get no run yet all the field raced up the centre and makes all on the rail a very strange race to watch..Think plead in the last has obviously had some problem was 6/5 earlier drifted out to 2/1,from looking an 85 horse to running like a 65 horse had 10ls in hand on the 3rd on the clock,one of the best maidens run at lingfield this season and the only runners that's let the form down,probably worth following for awhile presuming its nothing drastic did seem a bit strange not running for 99 days.Might be worth looking out for on the turf.
 
The aw cards are abysmal can't really see much in the way of value had some small interests they look mainly better on the place side done an ew Trixie.//

6.15 Atteq 3/1 365/skybet/ppower/10/30 hills/victor

Atteq is thoroughly exposed and not very quick,an unlikeky winner with hannon newcomer and lightly raced gosden horse atteq didn't run too baly when 4th in a handicap over c/d and looks a place proposition if running to that form.The fav is entered in the derby cost 525,000 I don't even think atteqs rating of 72 is worthy in all probability if the fav or gosdens can run to 75 will probably win this..



7.15 Castlerea tess 3/1 hills//365 11/4 sportsbook

Castlrea lass seemingly improving slightly in a race full of exposed runners,last time out ran well in better grade had previously had 20 runs but
the application of cheek pieces has brought about improvement.This has a look of being massively overbet with Kirby riding to me,although from a decent draws looks obvious place chance at worst..Pillar was rated 60 last season and is the other interesting runner,hasn't shown muchlately but lsst time out was 3rd at Dundalk and penultimate run was 5th in a better race,could easily figure I this weaker race betting should be a pointer..



7.45 Mr chuckles 6/1 ppower/betfred/totesport/victor/lads/corals/totesport/betway/netbet/10bet/marathon//13/2365/ sportsbook/7/1betbright

Some well handicapped horses at the top of the handicap virile,broughtons fancy,our jocki won a better race last time out and even bog snog
it maybe worth giving mr chuckles a chance even though if those horses run to best he maybe struggling,he dod run well when touched off by athassel winner again three more times and tonight at Chelmsford over c/d in a decent time a few runs back.That night had the 1 draw tomorrow 3 so he may run a little better than his current form and he may trade low in running as well especially if uncontested,probably one of the well handicapped ones more likely winners but if left alone he might run well from his draw..

atteq 7/2 totesport/victor/betfred 4/1 hills

Castle reatess 5/2 victor

Mr chuckles 7/1 victor..
 
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Wolves 8.15

Shypen 8/1 ppower/sportsbook..

Shypen ran better than looked last time out from a wide draw,having to drop in after two furlongs and not given a hard race staying on in a relatively slow race fior grade for horses rated upto 90 at linfield over 7fs,had also run well when having lady Lydia and rebel surge behind when 2nd to summer icon in this grade when stuck on the inside and having to swtch wide.That was another decent run and still looks capable of winning more races,again has been very unlucky with the draw in 9,still can't see this going off bigger than 9/2 tops with hanagan riding runs off 79 same mark as when 2nd to summer icon, will need some luck and probavbly somr pace to chase, but has at least a decent place chance on those two bits of form.Wouldn't surprise me if rebel surge ran well either even thiough can't strictly beat shypen drawn in 4 races prominent and that day at linfield was a decent time they have [proved themselves on the clock..

7/1 hills 6/1 365


Just the 6/1 left 365/hills/ppower/sportsbook could easily go off 4/1 even shorter so still some value in that price and with prices holding upcould turn into fantastic trading opportunity throughout the day...

Ended up getting 1.9-1.93 for Ateeq nice little drift,Mr chuckles drifted like a barge 10/1 now hopefully trying and from 3 draw could trade relatively low as should att least be infront approaching the furlong marker,presuming the gamble broughtons fancy doesn't lead..

Pity Kirby hadn't placed ruined the Trixie got 10/1 ew mr chuckles and 2.82 a place so won some coppers on the night,just couldn't get to the front against well handicapped horse as mentioned in write up..
 
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gigilo said:
Wolves 8.15

Shypen 8/1 ppower/sportsbook..

Shypen ran better than looked last time out from a wide draw,having to drop in after two furlongs and not given a hard race staying on in a relatively slow race fior grade for horses rated upto 90 at linfield over 7fs,had also run well when having lady Lydia and rebel surge behind when 2nd to summer icon in this grade when stuck on the inside and having to swtch wide.That was another decent run and still looks capable of winning more races,again has been very unlucky with the draw in 9,still can't see this going off bigger than 9/2 tops with hanagan riding runs off 79 same mark as when 2nd to summer icon, will need some luck and probavbly somr pace to chase, but has at least a decent place chance on those two bits of form.Wouldn't surprise me if rebel surge ran well either even thiough can't strictly beat shypen drawn in 4 races prominent and that day at linfield was a decent time they have [proved themselves on the clock..

7/1 hills 6/1 365


Just the 6/1 left 365/hills/ppower/sportsbook could easily go off 4/1 even shorter so still some value in that price and with prices holding upcould turn into fantastic trading opportunity throughout the day...


Ended up getting 1.9-1.93 for Ateeq nice little drift,Mr chuckles drifted like a barge 10/1 now hopefully trying and from 3 draw could trade relatively low as should att least be infront approaching the furlong marker,presuming the gamble broughtons fancy doesn't lead..

Pity Kirby hadn't placed ruined the Trixie got 10/1 ew mr chuckles and 2.82 a place so won some coppers on the night,just couldn't get to the front against well handicapped horse as mentioned in write up..
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Had fortunes on it as I said in write up looked a cracker for trading especially being Saturday,laid 4 figures off but still hefty chunl running on vey nice touch horse looked different class to that lot time of the lingfield run was completely different class to those,knew it had won after a furlong to be in that position that's how much better it was than them even running wide from the 9 draw,be a while before you see something like that had to wait a week for a decent bet!!!
 
gigilo said:
Wolves 8.15

Shypen 8/1 ppower/sportsbook..

Shypen ran better than looked last time out from a wide draw,having to drop in after two furlongs and not given a hard race staying on in a relatively slow race fior grade for horses rated upto 90 at linfield over 7fs,had also run well when having lady Lydia and rebel surge behind when 2nd to summer icon in this grade when stuck on the inside and having to swtch wide.That was another decent run and still looks capable of winning more races,again has been very unlucky with the draw in 9,still can't see this going off bigger than 9/2 tops with hanagan riding runs off 79 same mark as when 2nd to summer icon, will need some luck and probavbly somr pace to chase, but has at least a decent place chance on those two bits of form.Wouldn't surprise me if rebel surge ran well either even thiough can't strictly beat shypen drawn in 4 races prominent and that day at linfield was a decent time they have [proved themselves on the clock..

7/1 hills 6/1 365


Just the 6/1 left 365/hills/ppower/sportsbook could easily go off 4/1 even shorter so still some value in that price and with prices holding upcould turn into fantastic trading opportunity throughout the day...


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Ended up getting 1.9-1.93 for Ateeq nice little drift,Mr chuckles drifted like a barge 10/1 now hopefully trying and from 3 draw could trade relatively low as should att least be infront approaching the furlong marker,presuming the gamble broughtons fancy doesn't lead..

Pity Kirby hadn't placed ruined the Trixie got 10/1 ew mr chuckles and 2.82 a place so won some coppers on the night,just couldn't get to the front against well handicapped horse as mentioned in write up..
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To be honest I actually thought it was a non trier last time out,but garritty is so poor it was very difficult to be certain..
 
Haha it was a slow day in the office. But I particularly like the fact that even when the tips don't always win when put up, they usually win a few weeks later at an even bigger price. Masterful form reading altogether :eek:
 
Spirit of Gondree out tomorrow in the lucky last at Kempton. His descent down the weights continues you think he's worth backing at 5-1? Luke Morris up this time..although I'm not sure if that's a good thing or a bad thing these days.
 
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gigilo said:
Balmoral handicap 4.25 Ascot

Doncha maybe worth a small bet can't see to many outstanding in this years race,last time oput hadn't run for 2 months and although was behind firmament that race was over 7fs at ascot looked beat 3furlongs on but still was staying on at finish so respectable comeback run.Last year was a big eyecatcher in this race obviously loves this c/d mile mile not getting a clear run from the near side group where there was less pace motoring at finish the mile here looks perfect trip so stamina amnd ground issues seem ideal,strictly on that form has 3 1/2ls to find with gm Hopkins but would've been close between then with clear run.The rest of donnchas form hasn't compared really bar the last time run here over the inadequate 7fs,looks a tiny bit of value on last years run even though on strict formlines has a little to find with a couple,16s at the moment seems fair anything bigger would be too far to big..
If the draw does favour lows certainly wouldn't surprise me if master of the world ran ok always races with the pace 3rd in racelast year and although appears badly handicapped
looking through the field doesn't appear to be loads of pace on so could surprise and hit the frame.

Donncha 16/1 Boyles,betfred,victor,ppower,sjames,lads,corals,hills,totesport..18/1 sportsbook
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The Lincoln

I do like morando as was an eyecatcher in the above race and looked under pressure but was picking up again looked open to loads of improvement but is 7/1,plus I put yuften up for the aw finals at 14/1 is even shorter to win the Lincoln at 12s but fit and still well handicapped on old form.I completely forgot about this race last year when donncha looked to be coming through to maybe win the race,ran ok on comeback run last season when 2nd at Donny in the spring mile,5th in a listed handicap at York,3rd to franklin d at goodwood,ran well behind librisa breeze over inadequate 7fs at ascot then the run behind yuften plus a respectable 4th in a listed race behind estidkhaar.Doesn't look as though as a specific ground preference ran well at Donny in the spring mile after exactly same break as this coming season,also hasn't been over raced and last season showed its most improvement.Morando looks the obvious improverbut no reason why donncha couldn't run well,i havn't really looked at the race I just remember the above race being very unlucky.If anyone can find a link I can wath the above race that actually works would be handu as I can't,i just remember it from memory and also mirando being an eyecatcher as well...

Donncha 25/1 sportsbook/20/1 365/hills/betfred/sjames/totesport/lads/corals
 
gigilo said:
The Lincoln

I do like morando as was an eyecatcher in the above race and looked under pressure but was picking up again looked open to loads of improvement but is 7/1,plus I put yuften up for the aw finals at 14/1 is even shorter to win the Lincoln at 12s but fit and still well handicapped on old form.I completely forgot about this race last year when donncha looked to be coming through to maybe win the race,ran ok on comeback run last season when 2nd at Donny in the spring mile,5th in a listed handicap at York,3rd to franklin d at goodwood,ran well behind librisa breeze over inadequate 7fs at ascot then the run behind yuften plus a respectable 4th in a listed race behind estidkhaar.Doesn't look as though as a specific ground preference ran well at Donny in the spring mile after exactly same break as this coming season,also hasn't been over raced and last season showed its most improvement.Morando looks the obvious improverbut no reason why donncha couldn't run well,i havn't really looked at the race I just remember the above race being very unlucky.If anyone can find a link I can wath the above race that actually works would be handu as I can't,i just remember it from memory and also mirando being an eyecatcher as well...

Donncha 25/1 sportingbet/20/1 365/hills/betfred/sjames/totesport/lads/corals
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Whats happened to all the icons,bold type etc and can't edit the posts either all i'm getting is quick reply box had to use the reply with quote to repost..
 
Nonannyimfine said:
Spirit of Gondree out tomorrow in the lucky last at Kempton. His descent down the weights continues you think he's worth backing at 5-1? Luke Morris up this time..although I'm not sure if that's a good thing or a bad thing these days.
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Down to sprinting,was hoping to see it back at wolves because that form behind gossiping has been franked again by the winner and scribner creek yet spirit og gondree has kept dropping,very strange drop in trip but I did say had been racing keenly,i couldn't back it at 5/1 over 6fs hoping it doesn't win and gets back to 6-7fs at wolves.Really want to see some decent prices now after last couple of runs.
 
gigilo said:
Down to sprinting,was hoping to see it back at wolves because that form behind gossiping has been franked again by the winner and scribner creek yet spirit og gondree has kept dropping,very strange drop in trip but I did say had been racing keenly,i couldn't back it at 5/1 over 6fs hoping it doesn't win and gets back to 7fs+ at wolves.Really want to see some decent prices now after last couple of runs.Still can't edit posts blank box comes up,been like it all week have to reply using the quote box..
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