The Goat Cheltenham Preview Night in Ireland
Panel
Kevin O' Ryan (KOR) - ATR
Patrick Mullins (PM)- Jockey
Tony Martin (TM)- Trainer
Barry Geraghty (BJG) - Jockey
Supreme Novices
PM: Ruby likely to attempt similar tactics to last year in the opener on Vatour. Wicklow Brave the better bet at 9s will be in first three.
BJG: Vautour far too short, had the run of the race the last day. Josses Hill good EW chance as does Western Boy in a weak Supreme.
TM: Tony goes for Josses Hill. Tony Martin has a gut feeling re Irving 'Just doesn't like him'
General consensus is Vautour far too short, doubts re Irving's stamina.
Neptune/Albert Bartlett
PM: Backed Briar Hill for Neptune but looks a losing bet now. Faugheen =
Reckon Faugheen is a deal better than Rathvinden. PM says they will be very disappointed if Faugheen is beat. Faster pace will bring improvement in jumping department. PM reckons Briar would win any of the three novice hurdles, his banker.
BJG: Faugheen will take beating in Neptune. Would be confident of Rathvinden reversing form with Red Sherlock given better ground. In the Albert Bartlett says Captain Cutter may struggle, Briar is the one to have on side.
TM: Very sweet on Rathvinden for Neptune if he goes, big field will suit, under the radar, appreciate better ground. Upset Faugheen!
Triumph Hurdle
BJG: hoping Royal Irish Hussar can return to form and good EW bet at big prices. La Rocher the one to beat, best horse Nick Williams has.
PM: The Triumph is the perfect opportunity to go get a cup of tea, hates it. For poor flat horses.
Paddy surprised if Abbysial runs in Triumoh, hopes he doesn't, one for the future, maybe Punchestown.
TM: A big fan of Le Rocher also, Nick Williams a very underrated trainer. Says PM wouldn't mind his daddy buying this one haha
Arkle/ JLT
PM: Champ Fever hasn't had the ideal prep, loves Cheltenham but Trifolium the one to beat, very impressive. Rock on Ruby has been broken by Hurricane Fly much like Peddlers Cross.
Good ground would bring out the best in Felix come the JLT, Djackadam may not go, do not back until see him line up.
BJG: Oscar Whiskey has surprised him, jumps brilliantly. Fatter than anything first time out when beaten. Rock solid. One to beat.Thought Grandouet would win the Arkle at the start of the season, disappointed but still a chance. Champagne Fever vulnerable.Grandouet now under the radar for Barry, big shout at big price.
TM: says they've made a balls of Ted Veale's campaign , ( RM adds wouldn't trust a word out of his mouth. Won't give us anything )
RSA
BJG: reckons Balleycasey one to beat in RSA, caught his eye. Will probably ride O'Faolins with a little chance.
PM: says massive performance from Balleycasey last time out. Like driving a Rolls Royce.Ballycasey was bought as a Gold Cup horse and that's the plan long term.
World Hurdle
PM: Willie won't make the decision re Annie till last minute though reckon that the World looks the best option for Annie. Big Bucks the vulnerable Fav out of the three races ( CHampion Hurdle. Mares, World Hurdle). No problem re 3m.
BJG : At Fishers could improve. Likes More of That too he went by b4 him very easily with a great turn of foot. Dark one. Big Bucks of old could have been ridden anyway and won the last day just watch the race, beaten fair and square, not very unfit. Barry firmly says Big Bucks will not win the World Hurdle, was fit last time out, 95% at least.
TM: Would run Annie against Quevega, wouldn't subject her to 3m at Cheltenham. While future ahead of her, big ask.
Open world hurdle for all, Big Bucks opposable.
Mala Beach a cheeky outsider for KOR.
Champion Hurdle
RM One of the lads just had a sly word with Barry. Hopes to ride Jezki in the champion.
PM : Will not bare his arse if Hurricane gets beat. All great with the Fly, knows where the winning line is, aggression sets him apart. A true champion. Age the only concern put stronger than ever after this Summer. Good as ever if not better. Potential versus Proven in the Champion. Most worried about The New One. If Champagne beats MTOY over 2mile, so does the Fly. Willie leaning away from Champion for Un De Sceaux. PM says Dads placed him fantastically. Admits that the Fly is the one the Mullins camp want the most to win 'He's always been the one'
BJG: waiting for the phone call re Jezki. If Fly turns up like the last day he won't be beaten but not convinced will hold form at Cheltenham. Our Conor strolls around Cheltenham like Larry the Lamb says Barry, one I give Fly most to so. Jezki better than this season too at 10/1.MTOY had The New One covered at Kempton. The New One might be forced to make it come Cheltenham, not ideal. Says key to Jezki is getting him to switch off, doesn't seea convinced should make it like AP McCoy has been saying.
TM : has it between Our Conor and The New One, Hurricane well beatable at his age.
Queen Mother Champion Chase:
BJG: disappointed about Sprinter Sacre but he's in one piece that's the main thing, he's the best he's ridden. Kid Casiddy the EW value for Barry, Sizing Europe looks to be fading in his old age. Maybe if Henry can work a miracle.
TM: says heavy ground Benefficent goes QMCC, yielding he goes RyanAir Tony actually keen to go RyanAir with Benificient, thinks he has a right chance in this race. Tony not mad on Sire de Grugy, Arvika a majestic horse he says but can't put it together. Aeroplane if puts it together.
RM: Panel joking re Barry getting on Bennificient. Literally can't ever tell if Tony Martin is telling the truth
PM: would avoid the QMCC, concerns re Arvika's jumping left handed.
Gold Cup
BJG: Haydock was too sharp for Bobs Worth and wasn't fit enough. Leop far more his cup of tea.
Better the ground the better the chance for Bobs. Softer ground plays to Last Instalment and he's the one he fears most. If Last Instalment hadn't have missed last season, he could have been last years Gold Cup winner. As far as the rest of them, Barry reckons he has Silvi, Cue Card etc covered. Silvi was bollocksed when fell last year.
PM: Bobs Worth will take the beating, reckons this is the best horse Barry is riding, not Sacre. Thought they'd win with SDC last year.
( My note PM cant get over saying Sprinter Sacre was lay of the festival in 2012
TM: Last Instalment is a PROPER HORSE, comparing to all time greats.
Bumper
PM: all bumper horses very different, Hard to split but he's likes Black Hercules the most. Temperament huge asset. Wants to ride Black Hercules as things stand.
TM: Golantilla emptied yesterday, little short and PM gave winner great ride. Needed the run and wouldn't write him off 'if he turns up'. Golantilla won't go unless he's 100% happy and if he does go he would be disappointed if didn't place
Other races
TM: very sweet on Living Next Door he says, disappointed if not in first three wherever he goes. Entered in everything, likes him.
PM: likely to ride Suntiep in the four miler. Noble Inn in the Fred Winter worth keeping an eye on Paddy says too.
PM says Mossey Joe runs within a stone of best he wins, he turns up he wins. BJG warns ground key, needs better ground.
Charity Bets
TM: Living Next Door.
BJG : Josses Hill and More of That.
PM: Briar Hill.
KOR: Tiger Roll.