Battle Group isn't an ew bet because of his record of refusing to race.I have him on my short list-he is trained by a shrewd man and you can't disregard his exploits at Aintree last April.I think the way to play him is to have a small bet just before the off if he doesn't look reluctant and have the rest on in running if he jumps the first.I would certainly be looking to lay off in running.
same ride every time as well. hang back and stay on at the end. i must have backed state of play every year he was in the race.Quite an achievement that Alvarado continues the owner's placing record in the National for 6th successive year, 3 different horses, 2 trainers but with Paul Moloney as their jockey on each occasion.
delighted all horses and jocks ok. some bemoan the changes that have been made but two nationals in a row with no casualties and no horses injured for the whole meeting has made it more than worthit imo.
Trends I follow:-
At least one chase win at 3 miles or over
Official rating of 136 or above
At least 10 chase runs in their career
Won a chase worth at least £17k
Weighted below 11st 7
Aged between 8 and 12
At least 3 runs this season
The animals which match the criteria are:-
Teaforthree
Monbeg Dude
Burton Port
Prince De Beauchene
Balthazar King
Double Seven
The Rainbow Hunter
Shakalakaboomboom
Lion Na Bearnai
Chance Du Roy
Alvarado
Battle Group
Raz De Maree
Quito De La Roque
Its a big old list but I'm happy enough to start with 14 rather than 40 before studying the form. I'm also happy in the knowledge that once in a while the winner will not be on this list.
Absolutely and it can hardly be said that the race was not exciting . It appears to be suggested that it was Tidal bay who was to blame for Across the Bay being carried out - utterly amazing that horse got so close afterwards .
I've been very pro BK running just in case he were to win then I can get him to parade at our point to point in May to draw the crowds in! I'm hoping he's got the perfect profile this year. Loved the owner's interviews last w/e - could be interesting were he to win!
I think the horse is in great form as are all Hobbs' horses - don't forget they have had a huge problem with a virus the past 2 seasons and they seem to be free of it now. My biggest worry is that RJ may let him bowl along too quick (sometimes I think his speedometer is stuck a bit high) and burn him out. But in the XC he was settled just in behind the leaders and more relaxed.
BK really did run a cracker, probably ran almost too conservative a race - Pineau de Re just kicked away from him in the end. Double Ross also very impressive, some scratchy jumps on the first circuit cost him.
Tidal Bay for the Bet365 Gold Cup anyone? They'll surely be running him again to try and give him one last hurrah.
Bloody hell, Rishi has just noticed that the winner lost a shoe - some story if he was the one that lost it down at the start.
a showdown with Roalco des Farges.
He was actually very good down at the start. Spotting the shoe was good work.
delighted all horses and jocks ok. some bemoan the changes that have been made but two nationals in a row with no casualties and no horses injured for the whole meeting has made it more than worthit imo.
Alvarado was finishing 'like a train', if he had had him closer maybe....... Looked some nasty falls and although they say now all okay, it will be the next couple of days which will reveal anything. I hope they are really all okay.