My views, for what they're worth (might do the Moriarty later on):
Hennessy Gold Cup (Grade 1): A thoroughly unsatisfactory renewal, owing in large part to the lack of pace for much of the race, saw the markets leaders fight out a desperate finish, with Joncol prevailing narrowly over Cooldine. The bare form surely needs treating with a degree of caution, the time only less than a second quicker than the subsequent hunters’ chase. The nature of the race is further put into perspective considering the runners in the hunter chase covered the first fourteen fences virtually five seconds quicker than those in the Hennessy.
That is not to take anything away from the performance of Joncol. Jumping well throughout (though he did run down the final fence), Paul Nolan’s charge travelled sweetly throughout under a more patient ride than he received in the Lexus. He did look to get a shade outpaced swinging into the straight but picked up strongly from the back of the last, to land a deserved success. The winner would almost certainly have preferred a stronger-run race given he stays three miles thoroughly. Indeed, he did very well to peg back two runners far more suited to the way the race was run than he was. Connections will surely be tempted to go to Cheltenham now, with the Ryanair mooted as a potential target. Whether he has the pace to win a Ryanair over 2m4f on good ground must be a serious question and it is hard to see him being good enough over the trip. He looks the type to progress further and should stay further than three miles in time.
Cooldine ran a fine race, jumping fluently throughout – bar a serious blunder at the sixth – to atone for a below-par effort in the Lexus. Despite having the run of the race from the front, he fought back well when challenged in the straight. With his trainer stating that the run will bring him on significantly, there must be every chance he will improve come Gold Cup day. He’ll have to improve immensely to trouble the principles though. That said, running into a place is certainly not beyond his reach. Schinder’s Hunt is almost certainly significantly flattered by the bare form. Not surprisingly he arguably travelled best of all into the straight before weakening on the run-in following a mistake at the last. He didn’t look to get home, for all that the race did not present a true 3m test (his proximity to the winner testament to that), despite jumping soundly in the main and travelling well throughout. Connections will presumably head for the Ryanair, in which he ran a fine race last year. Despite making considerably more appeal for that race than Joncol at the prices, his best chance of success may come in the Melling Chase at Aintree, where he ran his best race to date last year. The combination of 2m4f, a flat track and good ground suits him to a tee.
The run of the race was totally against both Notre Pere and Money Trix. Why neither Andrew Lynch or Davy Russell decided to grasp the nettle and go on when it was clear there was no pace on is baffling, to say the least. A test of speed was never going to suit either, and so it proved. Notre Pere jumped well in the main, becoming predictably outpaced from the back of the third last to finish a creditable fourth. It must be highly doubtful whether he will ever pick up anything other than well below-par Grade 1 pot around Leopardstown; 3m around the track simply doesn’t provide enough of a test. It would not be at all surprising to see Money Trix become a regular visitor to Leopardstown over the next few years but he, like Notre Pere, is likely to be hampered by the fact that heavy ground around at Leopardstown seems a thing of the past.
Deloitte Novice Hurdle (Grade 1): Despite a sketchy round of jumping, Dunguib cemented his place at the head of the market for the Supreme Novices Hurdle market with a display that simply oozed class. In a race run at a good gallop throughout (only 2.40 seconds above standard), Brian O’Connell was content to look on in last place for much of the race, easing Dunguib into contention between the last two flights before going on to win hard on the bridle. His jumping left a good bit to be desired at times, as he was generally clumsy at most of his hurdles without making any really serious mistakes (despite walking through the second). Under normal circumstances, such a round would justifiably provoke comments that a horse would never get away with jumping like that in the Supreme, but this horse is anything but normal. His jumping is surely enough to put off backing him at prohibitive odds for the Festival curtain-raiser. In backer’s favour, however, is the fact that Philip Fenton’s charge has already proven that he can unleash a withering turn of foot if needed – a turn of foot that has not need to be used thusfar in his hurdling career. Potentially the best novice hurdler in many years.
Fioneggas appreciated the increased emphasis on stamina to his last start to finish a creditable second. He was probably suited by the run of the race, held up towards the rear before improving to lead swinging in. He jumped adequately on the whole (despite fiddling a couple early on) and is clearly going the right way, with a further step up in trip likely to bring about further improvement. Something like the Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Novice Hurdle at Fairyhouse’s Easter Festival might well suit (particularly as he may be better going right-handed), whilst there is also the Champion Novice at Punchestown to consider. A sound surface is something of an unknown, though he didn’t seem bothered by yielding ground at Christmas. He has the scope to make an exciting chaser as well.
The front two were well ahead of Some Present, who ran a creditable race, keeping on at once pace having raced prominently throughout. He may well be worth trying over further though, given his trainer’s credentials, further progress is far from guaranteed. Whodoyouthink was another to run a creditable race, racing prominently until weakening in the straight. He is another with the size and scope to go chasing. In the circumstances both, along with Saludos and Mr. Cracker, were set nigh on impossible tasks racing on or close to a strong pace, stalked by Dunguib and Fioneggas. Michael Hourigan’s charge deserves particular note, given how well he travelled for much of the, only to weaken predictably in the straight. He ran better than his finishing position suggests and may do better held up in such a strongly-run race.