I'm facing a bit of a dilemma this year. I've now been punting horses for around 20 years and during that time I've always been a huge national hunt racing fan. I think in the main this has been for similar reasons to most with the fact that the stars of the sport are around a lot longer and you get to know the horses inside and out and in some cases become a little bit emotionally attached to your favourite stars and characters of the sport (sometimes not a good thing from a betting perspective) . The other reason I've tended to love it has been purely financial whilst I wouldn't go so far as to say I'm a winner in the long term but I've certainly held my own through the majority of Jump seasons and had 1 or 2 where I've really done well. Last year however I did terribly and it knocked the stuffing out of me a bit . Even the Cheltenham festival which has always been kind to me down the years betting wise things didn't really work out I suffered a bit from bad luck but even so it capped a disappointing season. I had a few distractions in my personal life last year and I could I suppose put some of it down to that but I think I'd be clutching at straws really to excuse a poor performance.
Anyway aside from that as its not really the main problem, being that way inclined and loving Jump racing as I do I'd always dreaded the flat season coming and from the moment the they crossed the line in the Lincoln each year a feeling of dread would wash over me. Loving a bet as I do I'd still make an attempt at it though but very rarely would see the entire season through generally because half way through I'd be sick of doing my nuts but also because I never really felt I'd got a grip of the form and couldn't get my head around why I couldn't work out handicaps with the same ease as I could over jumps. At least when I was wrong in jump racing I could look back and understand the results and realise mistakes I'd made but when trying to do this on the flat 9 times out of 10 I found results unfathomable. This season on the flat has been completely different although somehow I've still done my spuds in the main more down to staking like a complete fruitcake than poor selections. I felt for the first time I'd actually developed a good understanding of what's going on in races. I've learnt more this season than I have in 19 others and at one point through the summer I felt so connected to the sprint form it was like magic. I've developed a good understanding of pace and that I feel has been the most important factor of anything I've learned. The problem being with that though is that the more I've come to understand flat racing the more I've come to understand why most speed rating flat judges don't bother with the jumps. I've started to understand how farcical the majority of the jumps races are with there jog and sprint type paces. Trying to separate the abilities of horses who only really start racing from a couple of furlongs out after running over 2-3 miles seems an impossible task. The other thing I've struggled with is I really am a visual punter I watch a hell of a lot of replays and work most of my bets from official handicap ratings and making my own judgments visually on where I think horses have something in hand of their marks and under what conditions, also which horses I feel have been unfairly treated and face difficult tasks for the foreseeable. I read an article, unfortunately I can't remember the guys name to give him credit for the piece but It was basically general common sense punting advice much of which I'd seen before and was pretty standard. The one piece I took from it though was his comments on watching replays which was basically pointing out to watch races in there entirety as a lot of punters focus on this finish of races and what happens in the last few furlongs. His point was that the majority do this, so everybody notices it but there are a lot of things that can happen in the earlier stages of a race which go unnoticed by most and can have just as big an effect on the outcome of a race. I took it on board and although its only common sense really I really found it useful. Most of my time has been dedicated to races between 5F and 1m so that's fine with sprint races taking less than a minute not a problem. The problem came when trying to start to change codes this week. I started catching up on some jumps replays from last season to try to refresh my memory and after watching just 3-3mile chases from start to finish (20 minutes gone) it was touch and go whether I was going to dip my head in my coffee cup to burn my eyes out of their sockets to save me from anymore of this horrendous suffering. So where that leaves me going into the season ahead I do not know.
I'm also a great lover of the Cheltenham Festival and I'm in the camp that it truly is the greatest show on turf for me Its like the World cup is to a football fanatic. The only problem being its completely over shadowing the rest of the sport . I can only liken it to Christmas which is alright as a day, family,food,presents, and a dirty great big tree in your living room, what's not to like ? Well basically the fact I was wolfing down a bit of scran and a couple of pints yesterday in my local hungry horse in the middle of October to Christmas Carols pretty much sums it up,by the time Christmas eventually arrives I'll be sick of it. The same with the festival even before the Jumps season kicks off (its getting earlier and earlier each year) people are conversing on where the Mullins hotpots will be going and what's being aimed at what. The Old Roan goes off on Sunday a race I love but I await the moment the jockey crosses the line and the first question asked is about his Festival target and the ridiculous price quotes for the Ryan Air. Not only this but the likes of yesterdays Listed contest at Kempton a race worth 17k won by a half fit the New one at odds of 2/11 against a couple of 130 something boats. Is this what we have to look forward to for the entire season ? Surely to Christ with people moaning about prize money and the fact that come the festival Mullins and Nicholls and co have so much firepower smaller yards can't really compete. O.k the odd special one creeps through I.e Coneygree but in the main its baffling to me why smaller yards don't change the game and lay out there best horses for the start of the season when the bigger yards are just gearing up their stars for bigger prizes ahead. Surely someone somewhere in the land had a horse rated 140 -150 they could have geared up for a crack at that race yesterday ?
I've gone off track a bit and I'm waffling as I was supposed to be concentrating with my fears ahead for punting this tripe. It comes to something when a life long National hunt fan is having to consider an All weather campaign which in days gone by I'd have seen as utter sacrilege.
I suppose some might say enjoy the racing without punting it which is fair comment the problem being that how many races of high quality is NH racing offering up that are competitive and a decent spectacle to watch ? One or two decent handicaps on a Saturday ?
I usually try to stay positive about racing but I fear NH racing Festival aside, is on its knees