Novice Hurdlers 2016/17

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It'll be a kick in the balls for Airlie Beach AP backers all right but she'd still be the most likely winner for me. There's 6lb between them on HRI ratings but we all know that higher ratings are given for competing in top level open company whereas Airlie Beach's runs have been restricted to mares and / or novice races.

Let's Dance needs further than two miles and Ricci was saying how the Albert Bartlett looked the race for her after her last win and now the clowns are coming back in distance.

I'm a big fan of her and she'll no doubt make it a sterner test for Airlie Beach but my money would still be on the Supreme Racing club's horse.

Unless this means Airlie Beach goes for the Supreme, in which case she'd be a real big player in that.
 
This from Ricci's RUK blog today

"One horse Ricci does expect to be in the mix at Cheltenham is Let's Dance, winner of a Grade Two event at Leopardstown at the end of January. He said: "When Let's Dance won the Grade Two novice hurdle at Leopardstown last month, it opened up the possibility of her triggering a 50,000 euros bonus offered by the race sponsors should she go on to win at Cheltenham.
"I think it's brilliant, and well done to Nathaniel Lacy and Partners Solicitors. It's unusual because the 50,000 euros goes to the stable staff should Let's Dance do the business next month, so let's hope for Nathaniel Lacy and the stable staff that she can win one.
"She's in good form and is rated 147 now, so with a 7lb allowance in any of those open races like the Neptune or the Albert Bartlett, it would make her very competitive.
"The New Course at Cheltenham, on which the racing on the Thursday and Friday of the Festival takes place, would suit her and so she has plenty of options.
"I would say at this stage the Dawn Run mares novice race on the Thursday of the Festival looks the most likely race for her in my view."
Coral make Let's Dance a best-priced 5-1 for the Dawn Run.
Ricci also remains hopeful that Bapaume is a live Triumph Hurdle contender despite his defeat at the hands of Mega Fortune in the Spring Juvenile Hurdle at Leopardstown.
"The winner, Mega Fortune, was a different horse altogether in cheekpieces on Sunday, and was too good for Bapaume," Riccisaid.
"But we lost nothing in defeat and the New Course for the Triumph Hurdle should really suit our fella because he’s a strong galloper. We go there with a good chance."
Bapaume is available at 12-1 for the Triumph.
 
The three key words in that article

'In my view'

Previous experience would suggest that doesn't count for much.


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You got me! The way the email came through, all I saw was Defi misses Cheltenham. Knowing your Connections, I trusted it and had a wedge on Charli Parks for the Triumph at 10/1 with Sportsbook. NOT nrnb and not funny mate.
 
You assume? Cracking a joke is nothing to the crap some post on here and calling them tips....look before you look is an old proverb for good reason
 
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Any word on Jenkins after his injury?I know they planned cantering him back a few weeks ago after his setback but they are being extraordinarly quiet on his progress since.


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From Mark Aitken's Narrowing The Field about Ballyandy:

[FONT=&quot]NONE of the last 19 Supreme winners ran in a Handicap last time out.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]45 tried to win the Supreme off the back of a Handicap run, zero were victorious and only six managed to place. Get Me Out Of Here almost managed to pull off the feat…but ultimately he didn’t quite manage it.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The stats for the Neptune aren’t much better…[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]NONE of the last 19 Neptune winners ran in a Handicap last time out either.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]38 tried to win the Neptune after running in a Handicap, zero were victorious and only two managed to scrape into the places.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Not good signs for Ballyandy’s likely festival targets…[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Indeed if you look at ALL 81 Grade 1 Hurdle races at the Cheltenham Festival since 2003 you will only find TWO horses that ran in a Handicap last time out and then go on to land one of the G1 Hurdle races at the Festival.[/FONT]
 
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