Paddy Power Gold Cup

marb;I'm looking at Present View as well. If he could recapture the form that got him placed last year [when he had an interrupted preparation]he could go close.
 
05-Nov-15
21:09:47 Chel 14th Nov
Art Mauresque - Paddy Power Gold Cup
Betfair Bet ID 1:************* | Matched: 05-Nov-15 21:09:47 Back 25.24 4.24 --
102.76
Matched

01-Nov-15
18:37:23 Chel 14th Nov
Art Mauresque - Paddy Power Gold Cup
Betfair Bet ID 1:*********** | Matched: 01-Nov-15 18:37:23 Back 26.05 15.00 --
375.79
Matched

01-Nov-15
15:47:07 Chel 14th Nov
Art Mauresque - Paddy Power Gold Cup
Betfair Bet ID 1:*********** | Matched: 01-Nov-15 15:47:07 Back 26.00 3.00 --
75.00
Matched

29-Oct-15
10:28:51 Chel 14th Nov
Art Mauresque - Paddy Power Gold Cup
Betfair Bet ID 1:********** | Matched: 29-Oct-15 10:28:51 Back 26.23 8.47 --
213.71
Matched

:ninja:
 
I'm with Kings Palace & Irish Caviler ew antepost today. Hoping one if them goes close.


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I thought Boondooma was ultra impressive last time and despite the rise will carry my money today.
 
Danny said:
O.k I've decided to have a small wager and attempt to blow a five figure hole in Paddy Power at their own meet. Although a long shot I really think the bet has a little merit to it.

In the paddy power chase I've come down on the side of Oscar Rock. When I initially looked at him I thought he seemed harshly treated on what he had achieved so far he also has a lack of course form which is usually a bit of a negative and tbh I'm taking a little bit of a chance that he will handle the track. Having watched his win last time at Market Rasen he travelled beautifully throughout the race and although caught a bit flat footed after the last he really picked up in a short space of time to put the race to bed. I've noticed when going through the rest of the field a fair few negatives for lots of the runners and some what come to Oscar Rock by way of default.Apart from one blip when falling at Ayr he's simply done nothing wrong and would surley have been unbeaten in all chase starts. I find it hard with so many question marks over the others to envisage him being out of the first 5 if jumping soundly and should certainly be suited by this stiff 2 and a half.

In the Greatwood hurdle on Sunday the normal M.O for this is to find one on the up. However I've arrived at the conclusion that 9yo Olofi must have a major shout of lifting this prize for the second time off 132 especially if the forecast rain arrives and the more the merrier as far as he's concerned. Its been 3 years since he won this with a degree of ease off a mark of 136. Due to a few problems he's had he's only been seen 10 times since. On reappearance this year he was comfortably beaten 20L in the Elite hurdle at Wetherby although for a long way was going well. A speed track like Wetherby was never going to play to his strengths and all his better form seems to have come at Cheltenham down the years. Maybe as he's getting older he takes a bit more getting fit but more than likely Sundays race looks more certainly to have been the target. Does he still retain the ability ? Well judging by a couple of his efforts last term at the course it appears he does and he may have been ingnored a little by the handicapper in my view. He was soundly beaten in this last year but that was off the back off a year and a half layoff his subsequent efforts though suggested he still has it in him. In the international hurdle he was well and easily beaten by The new one and I wouldn't draw lines through him. However he's finished 6L behind 154 rated Vaniteux off levels and has 3 horses over 6L behind him rated 140,156 and 149 one off levels and two conceding him just 4lbs. Next up he's run over 2m4f so you can't really draw a direct line from it but he's got to within spitting distance of Rock on Ruby 160,Cole harden 158 and Vaniteux 154 again on terrible terms and with higher rated rivals beaten off in behind. I wouldn't be so stupid to suggest Olofi is anywhere near this level but on Saturday he doesn't have to be running from a mark of 132 with Jamie Bagary taking off a useful 5lb off this is a lot easier task . He will almost certainly need a bit of give in the ground to stand any chance of winning but the 33/1 generally available is an absolute insult to his ability back at this track.

Paddy Power go top price Oscar Rock 16/1 and 33/1 Olofi and also pay 5 places on both races. I thought about keeping stakes really small as its a real long shot but tbh when I looks that just getting them both in the first 5 the place part of the bet is paying over 45/1 for the double then that's a mental enough price for me to take a decent swipe.

£20e/w double on the pair.
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Good luck there Danny Boy
I've gone for a bit of a haymaker at Paddy myself
Monetaire 10/1
Old guard 12/1
Coneygree 9/2
E/W treble
Dream the dream folks :D
 
EC1 said:
age

>8yo = 9/97
8yo+ = 1/86

ratings band

150+ = 1/46
139-149 = 9/94
138- = 0/43

shortlist

splash of ginge
buywise
anacotty
art mauresque
shanpallas
present view
generous ransom

last 10 winners had less than 10 runs over fences..which removes anacotty - shanpallas


will have a look at form on the day and whittle them down
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buywise+art mauresque+generous ransom+present view...slung a tenner on each as all are good prices
 
King's Palace would be my selection but for the fact half the field may want to make the running.....John's Spirit is bound to go close so I'll throw a few bob at him
 
Johns spirit for me

last run was simply unlucky and he's bang there on the ratings

present view has done me a few favours but last run was awful.
 
Digger said:
Im on Annacotty. Personally hope it wins for the Racing Manager who has taken some **** from the keyboard warriors of twitter after she moved the horse. I also like Monataire of Pipes, and PFNs horse is peeking out at me after betting his winner last year.
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Good call. Should have been on it myself after following the horse last season in truth.
 
Greatwood looks tough so Dutching two of Nicholls runners
Win+place on Bouvreuil and Old Guard.
 
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