I think TNO has no chance against faugheen, he runs like he needs further and last time out looked like a horse with a back problem.
With regard to hampered, I can see that in some circumstances it could be a blessing in disguise, but for the most part it is still a disadvantage. I've spent quite a bit of my life riding racehorses, hunting, show jumping etc., and in my experience if you're stopped in your tracks you need to use quite a bit of petrol to get back up to speed again. In a race you run the best time if you use energy evenly throughout, so slamming on the anchors and then sharply accelerating isn't going to help. Obviously it depends what stage of the race and how badly you're hampered.
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I Think the handicapper had him just about spot on and we were both wrong Mo. If he turns up in the Grand Annual which is the obvious target he' should be beaten by something less exposed. I've crossed him off for the moment and I'll start again when the entries come out.
I watched the race again today, Maruco.
I might just be clutching at wet straws but I'm not convinced he was off for his life. It looked to me like he blew up two out. He travelled throughout like by far the best horse in the race. He had two heavily backed opponents in Cold March and Keel Haul, especially the latter, off the bit and going nowhere at that stage but the pace setters and chasers ran out of puff late on and Keel Haul was able to run on past them.
I'd be keen to know if EC1 or anyone else did a pace analysis of the race.
If I'm right about him being by far the best horse in the race he could still win the GA but if he's really only a 160 at best he won't be doing anything much in the Champion Chase.
Between him and Sign Of A Victory running badly again, I had more bubbles popped yesterday than kid playing with bubblewrap.
1. No matter how much you debate this it still doesn't help anyone figure out if TNO will beat Faugheen.
11-Mar-14 | 154 |
12-Mar-14 | 154 |