Road to the Champion Chase 2011
- Thread starter granger
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granger
Senior Jockey
Euronymous
Senior Jockey
I can't remember a Festival where all four Championship races were such mouth wateringly competitive affairs. It's going to be an awesome week.
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EC1
On a break
Oh go on... we say it every year.
It'll be a hell of a week for sure, just like the year before and the year before that... I'm getting quite excited as well.
EC1
On a break
Oh go on... we say it every year.
i might have to question the strength of the GC though Steve if it turns out that TB can place in it
Shadow Leader
At the Start
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Somersby and Mad Max for me....
i might have to question the strength of the GC though Steve if it turns out that TB can place in it
TB’s run to around 170 a handful of times, which include his latest couple of starts. I could believe he’s set to run the race of his life in this, which would be up to the standard of being placed in plenty of Gold Cups (and winning some). If the horse that came third ran into the 170s it could be a great Gold Cup. I’d expect perhaps Kempes to do something similar to Tidal (i.e. run to about 170+). The three (or four if you include Kauto) clear of these would be Denman, Imperial Commander and Long Run. If two of the three say ran to about 180, I could see Tidal putting up something like a 174 behind them.
We're getting our threads crossed though... we should be talking Woolcombe and co on this one.
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Grasshopper
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SteveM, if Tidal Bay finishes within 6L of the winner it will massively hold down the form and mean none of the principals have run to anything like 180.
Maybe all these posts should be moved but there is no doubt in my mind Tidal Bay ran to much, if anything, above 160 last time out. Neptune Collonges is a long way behind what he used to be, which for me was 'only' 172/173 anyway.
Grasshopper
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SteveM, if Tidal Bay finishes within 6L of the winner it will massively hold down the form and mean none of the principals have run to anything like 180.
Grasshopper
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Another doubler!
Grasshopper
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I give up with this thing!
If something's worth saying it's worth saying twice.:lol: and you at least thought it worth saying!
Because he's not quite done it before doesn't mean it couldn't happen. He's run into the 170s in his last two outings. Paradoxically I think this race will bring the best out in him rather than the worst.
This won't be true if he runs to his best, or a little better (as I'm expecting). There are only four or five (if you count Kauto) that are capable of running better. It would only take one or two not to turn up or have an off day to see him bang in the frame.
Grasshopper
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Has he banjo! :lol:
Bar the Bull
At the Start
No way Hose A. You could possibly crowbar a 170 rating out of his Haydock run, but the Argento race was a shambles.
Or so I'm told by our friends at the Post. But whatever figure you want to call it 170, 4,300 or 6, what I'm saying is that with only a little improvement on this he would certainly be thereabouts with the four or five who have proved they are better than him to date.
He's recorded RPRs 171 and 172 in his last two outings. On that scale I can see that a 174 is possible. On the same scale, for example, Denman and IC are about 10-12lb better.
I think it is a poor edition and I dont discard asurprise
Master Minded regressing and looks a shadow of the champion he was,
Big Zeb is the most likely winner but age not on his side.
Woolcombe Folly doesnt look a bad horse but not running in the Game Spirit is a negative.
Sommersby not fast enough
Golden Silver very busy campaign
Master Minded regressing and looks a shadow of the champion he was,
Big Zeb is the most likely winner but age not on his side.
Woolcombe Folly doesnt look a bad horse but not running in the Game Spirit is a negative.
Sommersby not fast enough
Golden Silver very busy campaign
Bar the Bull
At the Start
I have never been able to trust your otherwise sound judgement, when it comes to 2m chasing. I still can't believe your stance on the MF vs Azerty debate.