The 2024 Longshot Thread

[Robicheaux]

Star Anthem has halved in price.
Hopefully a good sign.
Trainer Clive Cox has had 3 winners so far at Newbury so stable in form.

His last 5 runners have won [ 2 at Yarmouth other day ]. Aftertiming but I just backed that 22/1 shot.
Has one runner at Ayr tomorrow.
Sergeant Pep in the Silver cup.

 

[simmo]

Aramis Grey put up in the sporting life value bet column

 

[Desert Orchid]

Enfjaar (1.50 Ayr) & Annaf (1.30 Nwb) - double. Pays 21.5/1 at current best odds. Should probably be no more than about 9/1.

 

[Desert Orchid]

Nwb 2.05 - Grand Alliance 25/1, 4 places - worth an each-way pop despite his woeful reappearance run recently. Doesn't hold a Ces entry but does for better-class non-handicaps and I think the well-rated other horses in this race could have more valuable handicaps on their agenda later in the season.

 

[Robicheaux]

In anticipation of a deluge. I'm taking 50s about Two Brothers ew in the 2.05 at Newbury.
Very impressive when he won on heavy at Thirsk in May.
Fairbanks + Faylaq, have come out + won good races since.
Not so sleepy in the race, there will be no hanging about + it may get attritional.
No forlorn hope.

 

[Desert Orchid]

Newbury 2.40 - Grays Inn 66/1 3 places & 50/1 4 places - just a bit of gut churning here. It has come down 5lbs since the start of the season and has had a two-month break and I'm hoping the booking of De Sousa is suggesting they think they've got him back in some sort of form.

 

[Desert Orchid]

Nwm 3.55 - The Grand Visir 20/1, 4 places - he'll need a penalty to get in the Ces itself and is chucked in on his best old form.