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The 2025 Longshot Thread

Robicheaux said:
Spring Cup Saturday. I think Inishfallen is big at 66s + 50s generally. Some useful form as a 2yo, including finishing in front of 111 rated Devils Point. Didn't happen for him as a 3yo, but his last run, was a step in the right direction ( 2nd one after being gelded ).
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I like 4yos that have come down the ratings after a disappointing 3yo season. Sometimes they just need time to grow up.
 
Saturday, Newbury 1.25 - Feigning Madness 40/1 - only two places going and this one sits at the bottom on ORs and RPRs but I'm a huge fan of Ralph - howTF does that get pronounced Rafe?? - Beckett and I can't see him running it in this race just to get it fit when he has an excellent record in the race itself, with two winners and two placed from seven runners and four winners from 16 in races of this type here in the last ten years. I'm maybe throwing money away but there's always a good chance at this time of year that the 'better' horses are just here as part of a prep for bigger targets so it doesn't cost much at the price to find out.
 
Desert Orchid said:
Saturday, Newbury 1.25 - Feigning Madness 40/1 - only two places going and this one sits at the bottom on ORs and RPRs but I'm a huge fan of Ralph - howTF does that get pronounced Rafe?? - Beckett and I can't see him running it in this race just to get it fit when he has an excellent record in the race itself, with two winners and two placed from seven runners and four winners from 16 in races of this type here in the last ten years. I'm maybe throwing money away but there's always a good chance at this time of year that the 'better' horses are just here as part of a prep for bigger targets so it doesn't cost much at the price to find out.
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Looked at this myself for all the reasons given above. 8 runners, I would've joined in.
 
Hey Boo in tomorrows Fred Darling at Newbury. Stable have won this 5 times, so they must think a bit of this unbeaten filly.. Granted Jack is in charge now, but I imagine the old man will still have some input.
50/1 4 places can be got.
 
I was hoping to post Londoner, 4.54 Newbury tomorrow on here. Opened 16/1 with Bet365, but quickly cut to 10/1.

Instead, I have posted reasoning on “Flatties to follow” thread, as if it is not tomorrow, he looks like he’s well handicapped to strike at some point this season.
 
I've backed Inishfallen (33/1) and Klarc Kent (40/1) in an e/w double - partly based on this and other topics on here tbf - and they've both been trimmed a little bit since that. I quite like them both but Mullins having so many tempers my expectations with KC. I'll owe you all a pint if it comes in though! 🍺
 
Maw Lam 2:00 Newbury Saturday 25/1 available.
How on earth Paddy Mathers got this horse beaten in the Hilary Needler at Beverley I will never know.
Beaten less than 2 lengths in the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot.
Has had five different jockeys in its last five races but has held its form well.
Hoping Harrison Shaw can work the Oracle and get it to stay 7 furlongs and get a place.
 
It has to be in the Scottish Nash: Dom Of Mary currently 66/1. He won the Sussex National last term, second this year and I think this race has been the plan (To be fair, this probably amounts to most of the runners lol). He's my 'dark horse' for the season and there's no way I wouldn't be having a little ew on this. He stays and stays.
 
Pontefract 3.35.
Marhaba the Champ, won first time out at York 2 seasons ago in a hot handicap on similar ground. Form of that race has worked out well. Very well handicapped on that.
25/1 at Ladbrookes with a boost.
 
Robicheaux said:
Pontefract 3.35.
Marhaba the Champ, won first time out at York 2 seasons ago in a hot handicap on similar ground. Form of that race has worked out well. Very well handicapped on that.
25/1 at Ladbrookes with a boost.
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That will hopefully go some way to guaranteeing a nice price in the next run or two on fast to fast-ish ground
 


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