The alternative Cheltenham Thread

  • Thread starter Thread starter SlimChance
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I'm just trying to remind people that it will be a 95% book on the morning of the race.
 
I'm really struggling with Jonjo for this Festival. There are a handful of his I like. The trouble is I really can't figure out whether he is badly out of form or whether he's been holding pretty much everything back for next week. In addition, in the last two weeks he's had five favourites from nineteen runners. All turned over.

If his horses are fine I can genuinely see him having two or three winners and several placed horses. Can anyone give me some sound reasoning why there is no problem with his horses?
 
Holywell is a good example of a Jonjo horse that will benefit from a change in form with the changing of the ground.
 
Upswing is another that will thrive on good ground whichever race he goes for

It's getting to the stage now where it's folly to back his horses between December and February
But as far as his handicappers go this week,there's going to be no better man to have on your side.
 
I've scoured through his entries and I just can't see where this handicap plot comes from.
I even tried to make a case for Fort Worth, off handicap rating 129, but then realised he's so well handicapped he'll probably miss the cut.

It's a shame, he seems like a good humble bloke.
The horses have always seemed happy and well, but they don't look like the gun has ever been put to their heads at home. I very rarely part with any small change to back them. Nothing personal.
 
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Marble said:
I've scoured through his entries and I just can't see where this handicap plot comes from.
I even tried to make a case for Fort Worth, off handicap rating 129, but then realised he's so well handicapped he'll probably miss the cut.

It's a shame, he seems like a good humble bloke.
The horses have always seemed happy and well, but they don't look like the gun has ever been put to their heads at home. I very rarely part with any small change to back them. Nothing personal.
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Holywell could go off 9/2.
 
One of his owners...electrical good limited, has a couple of horses entered in the Ultima with Tom George.
 
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Marble said:
One of his owners...electrical good limited, has a couple of horses entered in the Ultima with Tom George.

This is the type of thing to look out for.
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Explain? I'd rather not bet conspiracy theories.
 
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I'm hearing he did a bit of work that suggests he'd win in a muddy field.
 
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Exactly. 10lbs lower than when 4th in a GC on unsuitable ground. Working well and a course and distance winner yet he is 10/1. Some price.
 
SlimChance said:
Holywell is a good example of a Jonjo horse that will benefit from a change in form with the changing of the ground.[/

It's going to be some effort for Holywell to win this off 153
Aintree matters more imo,where he'll be much more favoured at the weights.
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Well good luck with Holywell Slim and co..
I like Kruzhlinin at the head of the market. But I'm ruling nothing out at the bottom of the weights, including these Tom George hosses.
 
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Marble said:
Well good luck with Holywell Slim and co..
I like Kruzhlinin at the head of the market. But I'm ruling nothing out at the bottom of the weights, including these Tom George hosses.
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You really want the final decs at this stage. Tired of looking though Betfair to guess what's running.
 
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