Lughnasa is an obvious favourite for tonight's bumper. She quickened well close home to win going away on her debut (Cork, good to yielding), beating Director's Forum who has been placed in several bumpers and sold for €80,000 at yesterday's sales. I wonder though how she'll go on heavy ground.
I would also be doubtful whether the younger horses in the race will cope with conditions as well as some of the older ones, so I won't be backing Lady Of Glencoe, who was 2nd in the Listed juvenile bumper at Limerick last month. The 1st, 3rd and 4th in that race, Summer Star, Chakisto and Bonheur Secret have all floundered in other races here this week.
Of the others with form Honourable Lady might be best. She was a respectable second in her last outing (soft/heavy at Gowran), 33L ahead of the 3rd horse. This suggests to me that she has a good chance of coping with today's attritional conditions and at 33/1 seems worth a small each way bet.
There are three Mullins newcomers in the race, and needless to say they have to be feared.