The "Won't Win" Thread

Rebel Fitz-couldn't believe the amount of sweat on him when he won at Tipp a couple of weeks ago -a summer horse who doesn't like to travel -definite lay at 1/2.
 
6.15 Dundalk

Peony Fairy

currently 2.3 ish

I don't think a drop back to 5 looks a good move vased on form comments so far.

Sire's 2yo's not strong on the sand....fillies even less so ..1/20 with an AE of just 0.34.

Also only 2yo winners were over 7 & 8f.

just to add

Sire's record with all age groups at sprint trips on sand

5f = 0/8
6f = 2/42 .....AE 0.28
 
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Peony Fairy
currently 2.3 ish
I don't think a drop back to 5 looks a good move vased on form comments so far.
Sire's 2yo's not strong on the sand....fillies even less so ..1/20 with an AE of just 0.34.
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Well done EC. Not getting the same attention as a winners thread, but I'm sure it will change.
 
thanks for the replies

the thread is getting about 200 views per day...similar to the win one Doomster...well just a few less:)

picking losers is deemed easy by many punters...so will never get the same response as winners imo
 
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It actually took me about 40 minutes to put a lay in on Peony Fairy on my phone but worth the hassle in the end.
the thread is getting about 200 views per day.
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You can put me down for 195 of them.

Cheers.
 
Well done guys.

Not into the laying of Horses side of things but a great thread to keep watching
 
1.45 Estimate - going on a friends (Cliff) stats I'm risking a lay at 3.15

10/11 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
8/11 – Raced at least 5 times that season
8/11 – Aged 5 or older
7/11 – Won at least 5 times previously
 
:)

its just to keep it to shorties that people will actually lay rather than bigger prices which i don't like laying either..2.5 is just right. I see lots of horses at 3/1 4/1 that i don't think can win but never consider laying them just because the liability hurts

on paper it should win..a G1 horse in a G3..but for long distance horses its basically a G1/2 looking at the ratings of those taking part
 
EC1 said:
:)

its just to keep it to shorties that people will actually lay rather than bigger prices which i don't like laying either..2.5 is just right. I see lots of horses at 3/1 4/1 that i don't think can win but never consider laying them just because the liability hurts

on paper it should win..a G1 horse in a G3..but for long distance horses its basically a G1/2 looking at the ratings of those taking part
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I should have done a place lay :lol:
 
3.10 Samategal - I'll risk an in running lay at 2.0

3/4 – Irish bred winners
2/4 – Officially rated exactly 131
2/4 – Won 3 times over hurdles previously
 
Newbury 5.10 Blessington - odds-on - I don't believe the progeny of Kheyleyf truly handle soft let alone heavy - so risking the lay.
 
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