The "Won't Win" Thread

They won't have been happy with Zaroud's price. He's now drifting. I'll add some to the place lay at 2.7.
 
I will probably take on One Way Or Another in the last too at anything 2.4 or less.

Don't think he will love the surface at the moment.

Think Mick Dundee is better in general than recent runs.
Some of the others aren't also rans either.
 
I will be shocked If Penbryn can win this over 6fs, horse won't like to be ridden hard from the off imo.
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I spent an hour last night trying to convince myself to back this horse purely on the fact the jockey was head and shoulders above the rest. Heart said yes, brain said no on account of the trip.

I had the horse in 4th best in but with an awful jockey.


As it turned out, I was stuck in traffic for nearly 3 hours with no reception so no big deal, but I do feel a little sick seeing the result.
 
Lingfield 11.50 Heska Lay. Currently 2.3

Not sure how my screen will look come 11.50, as I really think Seacheval is too big @ 3.2 and I do think she is the most likely winner of this on three counts. However, there are a couple of possible improvers in the field to scupper a win bet.

Heska looks one to oppose having looked the winner lto, hitting 1.18 in running, but found little when asked.

To back this again you would really need a desperate field but I think the 2nd fav ran with promise on Wednesday, behind a horse I was very strong on:

Seacheval does have a squeak, but Jones cannot do the weight and the c/p's really must have an effect, only receiving 2/3lb from the front two.
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She struggled on the turn but stayed on nicely and looks worth the step up in trip. Strangely, the jockey still put up a 1lb over-weight.

Liam Jones gets the ride this time and his record for trainer in this grade @ 9/4 or lower reads:

9/4: 3rd.
7/4 : Won
8/13: Won
7/4: Won
9/4: Won

The same search for the fav comes up with a SR of 27% at a heavy loss.

Any comments appreciated.
 
doomster said:
Lingfield 11.50 Heska Lay. Currently 2.3

Not sure how my screen will look come 11.50, as I really think Seacheval is too big @ 3.2 and I do think she is the most likely winner of this on three counts. However, there are a couple of possible improvers in the field to scupper a win bet.

Heska looks one to oppose having looked the winner lto, hitting 1.18 in running, but found little when asked.

To back this again you would really need a desperate field but I think the 2nd fav ran with promise on Wednesday, behind a horse I was very strong on:



She struggled on the turn but stayed on nicely and looks worth the step up in trip. Strangely, the jockey still put up a 1lb over-weight.

Liam Jones gets the ride this time and his record for trainer in this grade @ 9/4 or lower reads:

9/4: 3rd.
7/4 : Won
8/13: Won
7/4: Won
9/4: Won

The same search for the fav comes up with a SR of 27% at a heavy loss.

Any comments appreciated.
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comment - superb mate:cool:

i backed seacheval on the strength of that post.

posts like the above make the forum worth reading
 
Thanks for the comment EC.

Very busy race for me. Traded the death out of the fav but had to have the winner showing more than just a 100% return.

Sit back and watch the footy now.
 
Ballycasey too short in the next at Navan-trip on the short side and Ned Butline is a horse of some potential.Got to be laid sub 1.75.
 
leic 3.10 Bally Laggen @ 2.34

Bit late and I'm isekess over the sticks but this looks worth taking on . A couple look stronger in this small event.
 
doomster said:
leic 3.10 Bally Laggen @ 2.34

Bit late and I'm isekess over the sticks but this looks worth taking on . A couple look stronger in this small event.
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yes..already laid it Doom..mystery of the day why that was so short..it was a crap race..but this one looked about 3rd crappest in the field
 
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