Bangor 4:05 Saint Palais - what's he doing in a novice hurdle? Should whack these if living up to chase form 1/1 atm from 2/1 overnight.
Doesn’t seem to be any significant market action in any of these aside from Basford and maybe Saint Palais, chaumi. I’m interested in a few, but probably watch only unless market suggests otherwise.
Ayr 2:55 Travail D’Orfeure - ran quite well last time at Kelso, but weakened towards finish. 4/1 atm
Ayr 1:50 Gege Ville - well thought of 7/4f atm
Bangor 4:05 Saint Palais - what's he doing in a novice hurdle? Should whack these if living up to chase form 1/1 atm from 2/1 overnight. Maxilillion - won grittily at Carlisle last time and unbeaten thus far, but drifted to 9/4 atm from 15/8 overnight.
Bangor 3:35 Riskintheground - not disgraced at bumper Listed level and interesting hurdle debut 7/2 atm. Basford - should come on a tad from last run and 7/2 from 15/2 overnight looks significant. Lost the price, but had a small interest.
2.55 Ayr Novices' Limited Handicap Chase Class 4
Although only 7 runners, this could turn out to be competitive.
The initial interesting one is Stolen Money. This trip should be way too sharp, and the hope would be he jumps fences well but ends up 20l+ down at the end. Then we get to fill boots in a subsequent heavy ground 3-miler.
View attachment 2846
13:30 Market Rasen Mares Maiden Hurdle 2m4f Class 4
View attachment 2856
Electoral Lady
Midnightinbresil
Sinurita
Letsgotovegas
All interesting pedigrees.
10 or so performed creditably.
Out of Office ran well for sure, and the yard is unlikely to be too disappointed.
The Philip Hobbs runner High Game Royal wasn't too far off the places (perhaps confirming the well-being of the yard, at least the youngsters given how Goshhowposh went in the next).
Christian Williams may be spending his winnings wisely (or owners are actively seeking him out with useful types), his Always Busy only weakening away at the second last at a massive price. Still only 4, plenty of time.
******
Watch out for the Mountain High Shee's a Stella in a class 5 two-and-a-half mile handicap next spring or maybe autumn, potentially at treble figure odds. Had zero prospects of getting anywhere near much else running here and ran/finished accordingly.
Hereford 3.50 2 mile bumper
View attachment 2862
Some very interesting types here.
Daly has had yet another winner today already. Just look at Scrumpy's breeding. It looks soft enough at Hereford, although would have preferred it on the heavy side to blunt some of the others.
Obviously the Kim Bailey and Nicholls runners could be useful. KB definitely fancies his. Jonjo's, too. And Oliver Signy's looks like it's attracted a few pennies. Nicholls sometimes doesn't have bumper runners fully wound up, let's hope that's the case here.
That level of competition should ensure that the other Black Sam Bellamy (Black Tonic 150-1) runs out the back here, but I'll do the RFC just in case, it would be too painful. Much too painful.
If Scrumpy is not ready, let's hope it's a sound beating, and it'll be boot fill next time. 14-1 seems good enough here to take the chance.
Aye, more’s the pity, the second - Amrons Sage - is supposedly a good one, so Always Busy must be too. A good spot, chaumi, did you back it?
11 ran in the end. Proper heavy ground.
Uncle Bert ran above market expectations to finish 2nd for NTD. Perhaps an interesting note here is a Mel Rowley association, appears MR may have originally sourced Uncle Bert, and it appears she did with Ahoy Senor, too.
Coupled with this, evidence from her own runners in bumpers and some of the hurdlers suggest Mel and team certainly know what they're doing with the youngsters. The question mark I've got from this is 'does she sell on all the likely strongest types and keep the 'lesser' prospects in stable?' To be monitored...but it would seem to be sensible to pay any bumper runners some particularly close attention.
Aside from this, nothing to note. Less than half the races were run before abandonment due to ground deteriorating, so comparative time analysis pretty pointless