Nah ... Trump "says it how it is" remember, and when he says something particularly stupid "he doesn't mean it". Quite what qualifies 40% of American's to think they somehow possess the unique insight into what Trump really thinks heaven only knows?
The idea that he's trying to sabotage his own campaign, although crazy at face value, isn't without some validity. How else do you explain it? How else do you explain that his most outlandish claims always seem to come on the back of his polls ratings rising? The best counter explanation I've got is that he's actually been behaving with restraint to date, but every now then he gets over confident when his campaign is back on track and thinks the people are coming with him. When this happens he's more inclined to say and do things that reveal the real person behind the act, and its even worse than the act!
There are a few things we ought to be worried about though.
It isn't the substance of Trump's platform that's being rejected. It's the minituaie. Basically he's ripping himself apart off the back of silly non-issues that any half decent politician would avoid. The question it rather begs is how would America vote if they were presented with the same substance, but from a politician who didn't show the temperamental flaws and wasn't so interested in thrusting subjects like the Khan family, Heidi Cruz not being a model, the size of his own dick, Megyn Kelly's PMT or what ever else to the front of the stage
I also wonder if we're seeing a correction in the electoral map. In the 1950's the N/E states were Republican, and the southern states Democrat. For reasons of scoio/ economics the south should have been Democrat. Basically, these dixie states began voting against their own economic interests.
As things stand tonight, Hillary has retaken the lead in Georgia (the most purple of the Republican southern fortress) Arizona is also looking vulnerable again too. There has been talk of Texas going Democrat of course within a generation
At the same time, Trump is also making progress in the rust belt (not as much) but he is (or was) closing the gap in places like Michigan, Pennyslvania and Iowa (the latter probably doesn't count rust belt in truth). Other states like New Hampshire were giving him a fighting chance. The Trump Republican is increasingly appealing to the patriotic working class (the one time Reagan Democrats). Perhaps those whom the message of globalisation has resonnated with and whom the Democrats are struggling to look in the eye any longer are starting to come over to the republican message of protectionism, isolationism, and patriotism. It might have been interesting to see what would have happened to Ohio had Kasich decided to endorse and campaign for Trump. Trump thinks he's got traction in Maine too (I doubt he has personally). Wisconsin might be vulnerable to a Trump lite candidate who hasn't got the republican state machinary and talk radio hosts lined up against him
It's as if the Republicans are starting to garner the abandoned working class which is a traditional Democrat demographic, and they're therefore picking up voters from the extremes of rich and poor.
The area that Trump is losing though, (and this is down to his craziness) is the white, college educated voter. These used to be the bedrock of the Republican vote, but they're increasingly being spooked by Trump. I don't know if its true whether or not he was asking about why he couldn't use nuclear weapons as a first strike option, when he received his first security last week, but these people are the ones who are much prepared to say "yes he does" to those who say "he doesn't really mean it"
The idea that he's trying to sabotage his own campaign, although crazy at face value, isn't without some validity. How else do you explain it? How else do you explain that his most outlandish claims always seem to come on the back of his polls ratings rising? The best counter explanation I've got is that he's actually been behaving with restraint to date, but every now then he gets over confident when his campaign is back on track and thinks the people are coming with him. When this happens he's more inclined to say and do things that reveal the real person behind the act, and its even worse than the act!
There are a few things we ought to be worried about though.
It isn't the substance of Trump's platform that's being rejected. It's the minituaie. Basically he's ripping himself apart off the back of silly non-issues that any half decent politician would avoid. The question it rather begs is how would America vote if they were presented with the same substance, but from a politician who didn't show the temperamental flaws and wasn't so interested in thrusting subjects like the Khan family, Heidi Cruz not being a model, the size of his own dick, Megyn Kelly's PMT or what ever else to the front of the stage
I also wonder if we're seeing a correction in the electoral map. In the 1950's the N/E states were Republican, and the southern states Democrat. For reasons of scoio/ economics the south should have been Democrat. Basically, these dixie states began voting against their own economic interests.
As things stand tonight, Hillary has retaken the lead in Georgia (the most purple of the Republican southern fortress) Arizona is also looking vulnerable again too. There has been talk of Texas going Democrat of course within a generation
At the same time, Trump is also making progress in the rust belt (not as much) but he is (or was) closing the gap in places like Michigan, Pennyslvania and Iowa (the latter probably doesn't count rust belt in truth). Other states like New Hampshire were giving him a fighting chance. The Trump Republican is increasingly appealing to the patriotic working class (the one time Reagan Democrats). Perhaps those whom the message of globalisation has resonnated with and whom the Democrats are struggling to look in the eye any longer are starting to come over to the republican message of protectionism, isolationism, and patriotism. It might have been interesting to see what would have happened to Ohio had Kasich decided to endorse and campaign for Trump. Trump thinks he's got traction in Maine too (I doubt he has personally). Wisconsin might be vulnerable to a Trump lite candidate who hasn't got the republican state machinary and talk radio hosts lined up against him
It's as if the Republicans are starting to garner the abandoned working class which is a traditional Democrat demographic, and they're therefore picking up voters from the extremes of rich and poor.
The area that Trump is losing though, (and this is down to his craziness) is the white, college educated voter. These used to be the bedrock of the Republican vote, but they're increasingly being spooked by Trump. I don't know if its true whether or not he was asking about why he couldn't use nuclear weapons as a first strike option, when he received his first security last week, but these people are the ones who are much prepared to say "yes he does" to those who say "he doesn't really mean it"
Last edited: