What are you backing Today? Part 2

Would have expected her to win that in a canter so very disappointing but what was Steve Donahue doing?

As you look at them on screeen one minute he's behind the horses on the right then he drops back to last and he's behind the horses on the left then he's back behing the horses on the right
then he ends up back on the stand side beaten a head and a short head. guy was all over the shop:mad:
 
Tanlic said:
Would have expected her to win that in a canter so very disappointing but what was Steve Donahue doing?

As you look at them on screeen one minute he's behind the horses on the right then he drops back to last and he's behind the horses on the left then he's back behing the horses on the right
then he ends up back on the stand side beaten a head and a short head. guy was all over the shop:mad:
Click to expand...

Wow, that was expensive. Rotten ride, but I suppose tonight wasn’t the one.
 
Wouldn't be the first horse to fail to do on the racecourse what she does at home.

My first two bets were EW at 5/1 so I saved most and I laid one for plenty so came out ok.

I'd tell you which horse but then i'd have to kill myself as there is a connection :lol:
 
Last edited:
Tanlic said:
Wouldn't be the first horse to fail to do on the racecourse what she does at home.
Click to expand...


Looking at the times, it was significantly slower than the next class 4. Maybe that was the problem. It didn't look an ideal ride but maybe the instructions were to teach her how to come through horses, and the slowish pace left her flat-footed a furlong or so out for a couple of seconds with the others moving ahead.

The alternative view is it could have been over-confidence that backfired.
 
Pink Crystal - 4.50 Newmarket 8/1 Ew.


Zephron - Curragh 5.30 16/1 ew


Bascule - Newmarket 3.40 17/1 10 paces

Blogged :)
 
Surely with Sakheer out all Richard K needs to do is point Nostrum 2.75 in the right direction and he's home and hosed.

I know sometimes SMS's are hard to access but this horse looks straight forward and a much higher class of animal than his opponents
 
Last edited:
reet hard said:
Creative Flair 5.50Nm Fri.
Already a gp2 winner in Meydan, escapes a penalty for the drop in class. Not run for a while, but probably up for this.
Taken 15/2 with Hills, well worth a punt on fitness,imo.
Click to expand...
W 8/1 - that's what happens when they grant Wm Buick a soft lead. :)
 
My bets for today are pretty much finalised and I'll be busy from lunchtime through to midnight. It looks like I'm going to miss the Ces too :( which I've been looking forward to for weeks.

Anyway, these are my summaries based on my ratings tables, written mostly on Thursday with some editing yesterday morning (which is why some extracts appear on other threads already) and I haven't bothered with the 2yo races:

NWM 3.40 - I think the way to go nowadays is with hurdlers who are well in compared with in that discipline. I can’t believe HMS President will stay this trip anyway. I think Ahorsewithnoname (4/1) will probably win with the main dangers being Gibraltar (12/1), Not So Sleepy (40/1) and Run For Oscar (9/2). I was heavily into Adagio but he collapsed and died on the gallops on Thursday morning. Someone must have told him I’d backed him. I also took Withhold (40/1) a wee while back and still think that’s far too long but I fancy the hurdlers now that I’ve checked their relative ratings. I’ve taken 40s (BOG, 6 places) Not So Sleepy but haven’t backed the others yet as I think at least one will drift by Saturday morning. Not So Sleepy wasn’t too far behind Great White Shark a couple of years ago off this mark or in the Chester Cup last year off 2lbs higher and is currently the highest-rated of the hurdlers, having improved a stone on RPRs since then. Ahorsewithnoname looks on a very steep curve over hurdles and it looks like Ryan Moore has managed to muscle his way on to the mare’s back. She might well be the reason O’Brien took his horses, one of which was the favourite, out. We shall see.

NWM 5.20 - I’ve ordered these by ORs and, for the most part, it’s shaping up as a glorified handicap. Only one firm is pricing the race up at the moment but they’re showing 22/1 Intellogent and I’ll be availing myself of that or better when more come on line. The Bengough last week was an excellent example of how top handicap form can beat average Group form and I have a couple of really good handicap performances from Intellogent on my figures.

Yrk 2.40 - This is a very tight little handicap. I was prepared to back Saga in the Cambridgeshire but it didn’t run so I presume it must have had a problem. I can’t see them busting a gut with this good a horse when it’s probably got a much more valuable prize in it – it isn’t in the ultra-valuable Ascot Balmoral handicap later this month so maybe going for the Lincoln next spring? – and I’m not convinced this will be its trip. That leaves the door open for Stay Well (13/2).

Yrk 3.15 - Exalted Angel looks better on the all-weather so I can let him go. O’Meara has been mopping up the mega handicaps lately and Gulliver (11/1 BOG taken), who won this two and three years ago off 102 and 100 respectively, is back on a very lenient mark. Kevin Ryan has a strong hand and a good record in the race so his runners are respected. Volatile Analyst is only a pound higher than when winning a competitive renewal last year but I’m surprised Rodriguez is not jocked up when he’s at the track. Dusky Lord (9/1) is the profile horse but he’s got plenty to find after taking a hike in the ratings.
 
Marching Army 2.40Y
3/1 general - strong bet
Sir Chauvelin 4.25Y
ew 4pl 25/1 B365
Chil Chil 4.50 Nm
5/1 general
Luck to all.
 
Mustazeed 5:00 York. Springer in the market, now 9/2 from 11/1 overnight. In his last race he raced towards the rear and Richard Kingscote seemed to have plenty of horse under him, but he met a troubled passage through and failed to get there by a length. Up in class, though.
 
Desert Orchid said:
NWM 3.40 - I think the way to go nowadays is with hurdlers who are well in compared with in that discipline. I can’t believe HMS President will stay this trip anyway. I think Ahorsewithnoname (4/1) will probably win with the main dangers being Gibraltar (12/1), Not So Sleepy (40/1) and Run For Oscar (9/2). I was heavily into Adagio but he collapsed and died on the gallops on Thursday morning. Someone must have told him I’d backed him. I also took Withhold (40/1) a wee while back and still think that’s far too long but I fancy the hurdlers now that I’ve checked their relative ratings. I’ve taken 40s (BOG, 6 places) Not So Sleepy but haven’t backed the others yet as I think at least one will drift by Saturday morning.
Click to expand...

I can't be too disappointed. The five runners highlighted finished 1,3,5,7 & 9. The only one I didn't back was the winner and that was because I didn't really want to back both it and AHWNN. The place return on NSS almost covered the Adagio bet and the losses I can live with.
 
Indian creek 300g 20/1 ran a good race here 5 races ago but has been disappointing since.but has dropped 8lb since.
 
There's a race at Leicester on Tuesday where a horse I like has been declared.

In the 4:50 Auditor takes on some other useful opponents including Star Of Orion, Aratus and Inver Park.

They say every horse needs forgiving one awful run and for Auditor that one awful run was last time out. I don't think he gave his running at all.

Before that he was a good second to a horse called Atrium who I like a lot and is vying for favouritism for the Balmoral Handicap on Saturday.

So yeah I will put a line through Auditors last no show. It was too bad to be true. His two wins came at Newmarket and Leicester is another right handed track which could suit him.

It wouldn't surprise me if other forum members took me on with Star Of Orion as he has been mentioned before by a few on here.

I am looking to back Auditor though if the prices seems right.

I am hoping for 7 or 8's or thereabouts with Tom Marquand booked to ride.

We'll see nearer the time.
 
Last edited:
GEORGE RIDSDALE 135M 20/1 risky I know on a couple of points.one is possibly needs further and the other obviously is form.
Has won off this mark before.never ran last season so must of had a few problems.its first run back it was last but I thought it was a decent run after a long lay off.1m
Then finished 9th of 13 over 1m 2f but again ran a promising race.
Has won at newcastle so maybe this is just another outing but the fact Sarah Brotherton has been booked gives me hope that it's trying.
At the price I have to have a bet.
 
Back
Top