Yesterday ended in a small profit when Three Ways was successful at Doncaster.
Today's Selections:
1.40 - Kempton - North Hill. 1 pt e/w. Available at 11/1.
Some potential improvers in this Handicap Hurdle for Conditional Jockey's and a chance is taken on North Hill. He is a maiden after seven starts, five over hurdles, and his form to date has an uneven look to it but there is a reason to suspect that he may do better here. He has yet to get within ten lengths of a winner but he has a couple of pieces of form that would make his current mark of 103 manageable. His fifth of fifteen, beaten 26 lengths, to Gwafa in a novice race over two miles at Huntingdon this time last year sees him competitively weighted with the shorter priced Magic Dancer through the winner and his ten length second at Ludlow in April came behind a horse who has won twice since and is now eighteen pounds higher in the weights. Either side of those performances he disappointed at Uttoxeter and Warwick (last time out). It may be too early to be making assumptions but they were the only times he has encountered a left-handed track and he could benefit from going back the other way round. He drops back in trip, which may not be ideal given the stamina on his Dam's side, but he represents an in-form yard whose horses have a profitable 22% strike rate here in recent seasons. They have booked a top Conditional who is 3 from 12 here over hurdles.
3.20 - Bangor - Wood Yer. 2 pts win. Available at 13/2.
This is likely to be a war of attrition and only four of the field have ever raced over this far. The four horses in question are Wellforth, Godsmejudge, Saroque and Barton Gift. The first two named are not as good as they once were and preference of the four is given to Saroque and Barton Gift. They are both running well enough to be involved and are respected but it could be worth opposing them with Wood Yer. He has run well in five of his six starts and this represents a drop in class compared to the three races he has competed in this season. He has dropped five pounds in the weights in that time and that leaves him on the same mark as when last winning at Chepstow in March. He gives the impression that he will stay this far and three of his seven victories have come in soft/heavy ground. He has a very good Claimer on board and the three pounds he takes off can prove useful in this kind of test. He has 3 from 8 record at this track over fences and his yard have used him wisely in handicaps over fences as his very profitable 16% strike rate testifies. His strike rate in general over fences for this Trainer is 21% returning a l.s.p of £39 and he turns up here for just the one booked ride.
3.45 - Kempton:
Bulfin Island. 2 pts win. Available at 6/1.
The Mad Well. 0.5 pts e/w. Available at 40/1.
3.55 - Bangor - De Bene Esse. 1 pt e/w. Available at 14/1.
Today's Selections:
1.40 - Kempton - North Hill. 1 pt e/w. Available at 11/1.
Some potential improvers in this Handicap Hurdle for Conditional Jockey's and a chance is taken on North Hill. He is a maiden after seven starts, five over hurdles, and his form to date has an uneven look to it but there is a reason to suspect that he may do better here. He has yet to get within ten lengths of a winner but he has a couple of pieces of form that would make his current mark of 103 manageable. His fifth of fifteen, beaten 26 lengths, to Gwafa in a novice race over two miles at Huntingdon this time last year sees him competitively weighted with the shorter priced Magic Dancer through the winner and his ten length second at Ludlow in April came behind a horse who has won twice since and is now eighteen pounds higher in the weights. Either side of those performances he disappointed at Uttoxeter and Warwick (last time out). It may be too early to be making assumptions but they were the only times he has encountered a left-handed track and he could benefit from going back the other way round. He drops back in trip, which may not be ideal given the stamina on his Dam's side, but he represents an in-form yard whose horses have a profitable 22% strike rate here in recent seasons. They have booked a top Conditional who is 3 from 12 here over hurdles.
3.20 - Bangor - Wood Yer. 2 pts win. Available at 13/2.
This is likely to be a war of attrition and only four of the field have ever raced over this far. The four horses in question are Wellforth, Godsmejudge, Saroque and Barton Gift. The first two named are not as good as they once were and preference of the four is given to Saroque and Barton Gift. They are both running well enough to be involved and are respected but it could be worth opposing them with Wood Yer. He has run well in five of his six starts and this represents a drop in class compared to the three races he has competed in this season. He has dropped five pounds in the weights in that time and that leaves him on the same mark as when last winning at Chepstow in March. He gives the impression that he will stay this far and three of his seven victories have come in soft/heavy ground. He has a very good Claimer on board and the three pounds he takes off can prove useful in this kind of test. He has 3 from 8 record at this track over fences and his yard have used him wisely in handicaps over fences as his very profitable 16% strike rate testifies. His strike rate in general over fences for this Trainer is 21% returning a l.s.p of £39 and he turns up here for just the one booked ride.
3.45 - Kempton:
Bulfin Island. 2 pts win. Available at 6/1.
The Mad Well. 0.5 pts e/w. Available at 40/1.
3.55 - Bangor - De Bene Esse. 1 pt e/w. Available at 14/1.
Last edited:
@ 11-2
