16/1 Hills any race.
That feels like a good price without overthinking it.
16/1 Hills any race.
Dunno, Brian.
I just think Henderson is a bit of a coward who overthinks almost everything. Horse could be perfectly fine, but the trainer’s bottle has gone.
I’ll probably just watch this race as I’m not sure whether I can trust some of my figures, so far in advance of their ORs are they. If my figure for Allmankind is correct he’s already in the frame of a normal Arkle renewal.
With Altior out and the ground unlikely to suit RV, Politologue should win. I think a lot of people are underestimating his CC win.
Politologue will like it too and as I've posted in other threads, thinking of him as hugely overpriced at 20s for the Champion Chase it'd be remiss of me not to have some sort of involvement here while not needing to get carried away as a good performance will be nice for my AP vouchers.
I can't see Rouge Vif enjoying the ground and I'm still struggling to comprehend how Grenateen can be a similar price to Politologue so having taken the 11/2 about him placing here (when 3 places were offered AP) and in the QMCC I've taken another option of the 10/3 insurance bet where if he wins I'm paid at those odds but he comes second and I get my stake back. It was a close call but I marginally preferred it to the e/w bet with 2 places, especially as bookies like Paddy are only 7/2 for the outright.
Got that bit right but really disappointed with BUAS. Ridden seemingly to pick up place scraps he never looked like doing that either. Wonder where they'll go with him now.
It was all there on his Carlisle run. Horse is gone.
God there’s some bollox talked about on here about Hendo pulling out Altior. He’s the berludy trainer FFS. If he doesn’t know his horse better than anyone else, then he wouldn’t have been champion trainer so many times. I would have done the same. The ground has got soft enough for him to consider the horses well being. Why pull the guts out of the horse and ruin it for the rest of the season? His target is the QE2. That’s the owners wishes as well. And it’s Hendos job to get him there in the best possible condition. Yes it’s disappointing for punters/racegoers but they aren’t the priority.
I have taken horses to the races having rung up the Clerk of the Course to find out the state of the ground only to get there and pull the horse out as he was a lying bar Steward!
I know we are all armchair experts but when a trainer pulls a horse 24 hrs before a race using the ground as the reason even though ground conditions are better than what is described it is puzzling to say the least. Surely if there was any doubt about the ground the trainer could walk the track in the morning and then make the call. Its all the more frustrating when you see a novice break 4 mins for the course and distance indicating the ground must be nearer goo/soft than soft.
I disagree about the Carlisle run. Stalked Imperial Aura most of the way and eased off from the home turn.
They'll probably need to go down the handicap route with him now but I will be wary about him at least until the stable's runners are faring better.
When ground takes more rain it is usually less taxing to a horse but when it starts drying out that is a completely different ball game. It becomes like a glue pot even is its G/S heading to good it can be very holding.
Drying!!! its december and 3 degrees, have you been sniffing the glue
**** all wrong with the ground
It's nowhere near as bad as it was a couple of years ago when he beat UDS
It's all a load of bollocks isn't it![]()