Good luck with the two picks. Missed the prices, so I will give them a miss.
Hard to make a case for Northern Fling, but looking at his general profile, that's always been the case when he's won.
Sp's of previous wins:
20/1 ( previous run beaten 17.5l)
16/1 ( beaten 20l)
4/1 ( beaten 4.5)
25/1 ( beaten 25l)
25/1 ( beaten 5l)
18/1 ( beaten 16l)
7/1 ( beaten 1.75l)
4/1 ( beaten 6.25l)
Apart from lack of recent form, the other issue is the trip for this former sprinter, but his only attempt over this trip was in the Cambridgshire in 2010 off a 16lb higher mark. He also has comments attached to a run over 8f on heavy as " staying on" , although this could have simply been the the leaders stopping.
Drops back into C5, which resulted in a win last time in this grade at this track,off the same mark.
Looks a daft bet, but likely to drift further on the ex's, so I'm giong in for a small bet.