BennyB
Senior Jockey
Backed it in the end, took 100/30. Happy days.
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Daily picks.
- Thread starter gigilo
- Start date
gigilo
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BennyB
Senior Jockey
Would it have hurt to post an opinion before the race rather than the smug post after it's won?
Don't think I don't appreciate the thread, because I do, but you were clearly watching it so you could've answered my question.
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Don't think I don't appreciate the thread, because I do, but you were clearly watching it so you could've answered my question.
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gigilo
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Never looked at your posts or anyone elses,if anything I deliberately don't read anything on here anymore havn't got the time or inclination just post up some recent times formlines and that's it I most certainly won't ever be highlighting bets or prices bar the write uops and thatsd an absolute certainty,so woul;dn't bother wasting your time posting ok?
BennyB
Senior Jockey
You can find the time for the kaboom when they win alright though.
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gigilo
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But you read that post
I've even read your fiorst ever post on the thread very useful it was as well...
I've even read your fiorst ever post on the thread very useful it was as well...
I'm here all week
gigilo
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gigilo
Senior Jockey
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I'm here all week
Exactly the reason why I try not to read posts because as in your example 10 years on the forum and the two posts you've made....
Does nobody have a sense of humour on here? Apologies, i'll try to make it more obvious when posting something tongue-in-cheek in future.
And i've actually made quite a few posts over the years, including 3 profitable bets out of 3 in the backing thread today...all before the races were run and everything
gigilo
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Does nobody have a sense of humour on here? Apologies, i'll try to make it more obvious when posting something tongue-in-cheek in future.
And i've actually made quite a few posts over the years, including 3 profitable bets out of 3 in the backing thread today...all before the races were run and everything
Yes I'm sure there are thousands of punters that have had 3 winning bets today and made a profit,well done with your winning day and 3 posts on the thread...
Heh. Is there a reason you are so defensive? I was just jokingly commenting on you stating you didn't read replies to your posts as you were answering a reply
Chillllllllll.
you scolded me for the above post.... well,well.well
gigilo
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Splash of verve 6/1 ppower 3.0 wolves.
This looks horrendous race with lots of runners totally unexposed but difficult to make cases for them as well as very little eyectachers in the race on previous runs,i think the race splash of verve ran in last time out isn't as good as it first appears the first two rated 66 and 69 I think their marks will look to high and also the time didn't compare that well to the poor class 6 race ending the card.Splash of verve sits on 57,he showed his first bit of worthwhile form last time out has 3 pound claim taking him down to 54 today and purely on the basis nothing else has shown anything yet he's worth a very small bet.He looked a little unlucky last time out was travelling as well as the winner and into the straight, but never got a run and ended up on the rail,there's a little race to be won with him if not tomorrow then he could drop slightly In grade.You may even find hugh taylor putting him up as there's such little form in the race and he might get well backed
won sp 3/1
7.15 Kempton Taaresh
A bit speculative bet on 9yr old veteran,but the 9yr old is being switched back to the aw after two seasons away when rated 79 tomorrow he returns off a mark of 70 with 7 pound claim.A slightly speculative bet based on his hurdle rating, his hurdle rating this season has gone up to 120 after winning two races off 105 and 112 so lifetime best form over hurdles and returns to the flat off second lowest ever mark,whether he will be quick enough over this trip is a bit of guesswork but showed plenty of toe at worcster off slow pace when hacking up in October.The betting should be very interesting,again there is the possibility of it being another hugh taylor pick as potentially is well handicapped based on hurdle marks
won sp 25/1
1.55 Wolves
Beenresurgencence in form for pivotman switched to tapeta and one of the few horses to make all over the c/d winning off 65 in November,then getting collared on the 21st of November just not being able to run the stamina out of Gambino,another furlong he wouldv'e won.On those runs he looks more like going off 6/4-13/8 tops also chance could go off even shorter, then it will be a matter if the amateur can get the fractions right as to whether he will win or not.He should be heavily backed regardless,it wouldn't surprise me if he went 4-5ls clear under this jock and may trade low even if getting beat..
Pivotman 5/2 skybet 9/4 365/ppower won sp 8/13
Tuesday
Southwell 2.30
Sleepy blue ocean 14/1 corals/victor
Worth a small bet as baldings horses have been running well,he's been a bit disappoionting this season on the turf only glimmers of form as at Donny running well behind expose in a big handicap a running on 5th.Back on the aw finds himself 7 pound below last run on the aw
at swell when 4th behind royal bajan over c/d.He's 5/14 over the c/d at swell actually beat standing dish hannahs turn off 78 lsst season he also wasn't given a hard race when beaten 7ls recently by opoyle Vinnie,off these marks he's dangerous.Would only be worth a small bet tomorrow but as stable is in form worth a few coppers at 14/1
won sp 11/2
Lingfield 3.45
Caminel had looked pretty exposed but with blinkers on last two runs having to run wide at wolves losing loads of ground still running on ,she then went to lingfield winning a weak race for the grade but coming to 2furlong pole was a good 4ls off the pace,she did well to win from that position running wide and win going away.She went up 3 pound for that run which underestimates how much she had in hand,although she has to prove she can do it again,if she repeats that form in very similar race she will go very close,jeremy gask has had a poor season a trainer I liked to see with sprinters as he used to get improve handicappers.Since December 8th he's had 8 runners 3 winners,2 seconds abnd 3 fourths!She should be reasonably well backed if trading...
Caminel 4/1 Betfairsportsbook/7/2 ppower/365
won sp 7/2
Wolves 3.20
Thoroghly exposed bunch and that includes hernando torres probably one I would avoid normally as veteran now at seven this is how good he is around the 60 mark but has run in slightly better races than this the last twice last run on turf in june when 3rd and then 3rd to
coiltte cailin in October and pim street first run on tapeta. The winner of that race has since been 3rd to pivotman and persona grata and the second pimstreet 4th to naoise and stsrfield in better class races,if he can produce tha form then he would probably be around 4/1 with the fav in the race.The time of that race was 1m59 as well quickest speedfigure in the race so although veteran from stable I would normally avoid,he's worth a token bet as graham gibbons rides hasn't ridden him since 2011 and his record riding is 2/5/2/1,he could well be a gamble anyway and go off fav around that 4/1 mark..
Hernando torres 15/2 365
8/1 Ppower!!
won sp 7/2
Kempton 6.10
Drive on couldn't be a confident pick as form has been regressive,last season looked like progressing to be a top class handicapper split harwoods volante and golden amber in a very fast time at lingfield off 77,has been very disappointing since.He did run second to taquka in august off 79 but has shown little in last 5 runs although the last three runs pieces have been missing and the visor returns which all his decent runs have been.He;s dropped to mark of 75 and takes him into this grade for the first time since December 2013,he's also upped in trip over 7fs has run ok over this c/d behind some nice horses when 4th to crowdamania,this looks a weak race and he could run well if the visor works dropping in grade,this could be his right level...
Drive on 10/1 corals
won sp 11/2
Wolves 1.10
Mukaynis used to be trained by Julie cecil,then sopent some time in france since been picked up by kevin ryan and won a weak race from silver mirage over 6fs at wolves that form looked very weak,was then dropped to 5fs at lingfield upped in grade and showed improved form.
A running on 4th to temple road last time out having been outpaced and having to switch losing ground,to be nearest finish only went off 6/1 in that race,looks cracking trade shouldn't really be bigger than 7-8/1 in this race and although 6fs looks best trip the 14/1 looks worth a small bet in an ultra competitive race.Shane gray also takes off 3 pound soeffectively 4 pound lower than last run as well...
I could also see simply black running well,with josh doyle taking off 7 pound has decent draw been running well in this grade the only slight negative is there appears quite a lot of pace,should still run well...
Mukaynis 14/1 365
won sp 5/4:lol::lol::lol:
Lingfield 3.45
Le rouquin won by 6ls in extremely fast tume for the grade at Kempton,ran 1m38.23 and still only runs off 59 tomorrow due to go up another 8 pound quite interesting that last night greatest journey won off 89 in the 3yr old handicap over that c/d at Kempton and clocked 1m38.36 a 30 pound difference showing how decent le rouquins time was.He looks like being very short if he repeats that form he could go off odds on,danger probably the Prescott horse vejvois might be worth doing a reverse saver just incase spencer overdoes waiting tactics as jockey looks the biggest danger in the race!Nice trade for anyone betting that way,expect the prices to crash and an sp of even as short as 4/6 4/7 wouldn't surprise me...
Le rouquin 2/1 365
2/1 lads very surprised by books thought this would open 6/4 tops..
9/4 betfairsportsbook!!!
won 8/13
That's jusrt the tip of the iceberg posted on another site that BENNY And others off here are members those results since December 1st +88points and +56 at sp,not including an email I was sending out to a couple of others on here with 25 extra winners since jan 5th best results in 16 years of punting,eat that moviebuff!!!!!!!:lol:
This looks horrendous race with lots of runners totally unexposed but difficult to make cases for them as well as very little eyectachers in the race on previous runs,i think the race splash of verve ran in last time out isn't as good as it first appears the first two rated 66 and 69 I think their marks will look to high and also the time didn't compare that well to the poor class 6 race ending the card.Splash of verve sits on 57,he showed his first bit of worthwhile form last time out has 3 pound claim taking him down to 54 today and purely on the basis nothing else has shown anything yet he's worth a very small bet.He looked a little unlucky last time out was travelling as well as the winner and into the straight, but never got a run and ended up on the rail,there's a little race to be won with him if not tomorrow then he could drop slightly In grade.You may even find hugh taylor putting him up as there's such little form in the race and he might get well backed
won sp 3/1
7.15 Kempton Taaresh
A bit speculative bet on 9yr old veteran,but the 9yr old is being switched back to the aw after two seasons away when rated 79 tomorrow he returns off a mark of 70 with 7 pound claim.A slightly speculative bet based on his hurdle rating, his hurdle rating this season has gone up to 120 after winning two races off 105 and 112 so lifetime best form over hurdles and returns to the flat off second lowest ever mark,whether he will be quick enough over this trip is a bit of guesswork but showed plenty of toe at worcster off slow pace when hacking up in October.The betting should be very interesting,again there is the possibility of it being another hugh taylor pick as potentially is well handicapped based on hurdle marks
won sp 25/1
1.55 Wolves
Beenresurgencence in form for pivotman switched to tapeta and one of the few horses to make all over the c/d winning off 65 in November,then getting collared on the 21st of November just not being able to run the stamina out of Gambino,another furlong he wouldv'e won.On those runs he looks more like going off 6/4-13/8 tops also chance could go off even shorter, then it will be a matter if the amateur can get the fractions right as to whether he will win or not.He should be heavily backed regardless,it wouldn't surprise me if he went 4-5ls clear under this jock and may trade low even if getting beat..
Pivotman 5/2 skybet 9/4 365/ppower won sp 8/13
Tuesday
Southwell 2.30
Sleepy blue ocean 14/1 corals/victor
Worth a small bet as baldings horses have been running well,he's been a bit disappoionting this season on the turf only glimmers of form as at Donny running well behind expose in a big handicap a running on 5th.Back on the aw finds himself 7 pound below last run on the aw
at swell when 4th behind royal bajan over c/d.He's 5/14 over the c/d at swell actually beat standing dish hannahs turn off 78 lsst season he also wasn't given a hard race when beaten 7ls recently by opoyle Vinnie,off these marks he's dangerous.Would only be worth a small bet tomorrow but as stable is in form worth a few coppers at 14/1
won sp 11/2
Lingfield 3.45
Caminel had looked pretty exposed but with blinkers on last two runs having to run wide at wolves losing loads of ground still running on ,she then went to lingfield winning a weak race for the grade but coming to 2furlong pole was a good 4ls off the pace,she did well to win from that position running wide and win going away.She went up 3 pound for that run which underestimates how much she had in hand,although she has to prove she can do it again,if she repeats that form in very similar race she will go very close,jeremy gask has had a poor season a trainer I liked to see with sprinters as he used to get improve handicappers.Since December 8th he's had 8 runners 3 winners,2 seconds abnd 3 fourths!She should be reasonably well backed if trading...
Caminel 4/1 Betfairsportsbook/7/2 ppower/365
won sp 7/2
Wolves 3.20
Thoroghly exposed bunch and that includes hernando torres probably one I would avoid normally as veteran now at seven this is how good he is around the 60 mark but has run in slightly better races than this the last twice last run on turf in june when 3rd and then 3rd to
coiltte cailin in October and pim street first run on tapeta. The winner of that race has since been 3rd to pivotman and persona grata and the second pimstreet 4th to naoise and stsrfield in better class races,if he can produce tha form then he would probably be around 4/1 with the fav in the race.The time of that race was 1m59 as well quickest speedfigure in the race so although veteran from stable I would normally avoid,he's worth a token bet as graham gibbons rides hasn't ridden him since 2011 and his record riding is 2/5/2/1,he could well be a gamble anyway and go off fav around that 4/1 mark..
Hernando torres 15/2 365
8/1 Ppower!!
won sp 7/2
Kempton 6.10
Drive on couldn't be a confident pick as form has been regressive,last season looked like progressing to be a top class handicapper split harwoods volante and golden amber in a very fast time at lingfield off 77,has been very disappointing since.He did run second to taquka in august off 79 but has shown little in last 5 runs although the last three runs pieces have been missing and the visor returns which all his decent runs have been.He;s dropped to mark of 75 and takes him into this grade for the first time since December 2013,he's also upped in trip over 7fs has run ok over this c/d behind some nice horses when 4th to crowdamania,this looks a weak race and he could run well if the visor works dropping in grade,this could be his right level...
Drive on 10/1 corals
won sp 11/2
Wolves 1.10
Mukaynis used to be trained by Julie cecil,then sopent some time in france since been picked up by kevin ryan and won a weak race from silver mirage over 6fs at wolves that form looked very weak,was then dropped to 5fs at lingfield upped in grade and showed improved form.
A running on 4th to temple road last time out having been outpaced and having to switch losing ground,to be nearest finish only went off 6/1 in that race,looks cracking trade shouldn't really be bigger than 7-8/1 in this race and although 6fs looks best trip the 14/1 looks worth a small bet in an ultra competitive race.Shane gray also takes off 3 pound soeffectively 4 pound lower than last run as well...
I could also see simply black running well,with josh doyle taking off 7 pound has decent draw been running well in this grade the only slight negative is there appears quite a lot of pace,should still run well...
Mukaynis 14/1 365
won sp 5/4:lol::lol::lol:
Lingfield 3.45
Le rouquin won by 6ls in extremely fast tume for the grade at Kempton,ran 1m38.23 and still only runs off 59 tomorrow due to go up another 8 pound quite interesting that last night greatest journey won off 89 in the 3yr old handicap over that c/d at Kempton and clocked 1m38.36 a 30 pound difference showing how decent le rouquins time was.He looks like being very short if he repeats that form he could go off odds on,danger probably the Prescott horse vejvois might be worth doing a reverse saver just incase spencer overdoes waiting tactics as jockey looks the biggest danger in the race!Nice trade for anyone betting that way,expect the prices to crash and an sp of even as short as 4/6 4/7 wouldn't surprise me...
Le rouquin 2/1 365
2/1 lads very surprised by books thought this would open 6/4 tops..
9/4 betfairsportsbook!!!
won 8/13
That's jusrt the tip of the iceberg posted on another site that BENNY And others off here are members those results since December 1st +88points and +56 at sp,not including an email I was sending out to a couple of others on here with 25 extra winners since jan 5th best results in 16 years of punting,eat that moviebuff!!!!!!!:lol:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
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Aloof:lol::lol::lol:
gigilo
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About what I expected,ron said he expects him to improve even more as 5yr old.
Simpson Jersey
At the Start
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KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!
Form doesn't get any better than that bioth won in 15 mins,didn;t back the other but got 6/1 air of York even from the 7 draw looked thrown in!!!!
3 out of 3, terrific analysis giggsy very well done!:lol::lol:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
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Three from three in 2 days,a beautiful piece of form that's worked out on the times and the weights on the day,hope someone did it as I'm not betting at Chelmsford unfortunately...
gigilo
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Not betting at the track,crazy thing is you look at the times and ratings and its worked out perfect actually if you took comeuppance rating as 70 you'd have this winner tonight on 79 from same day ran off 72 and the race did look utter garbage as well...
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Everybody must have seen it after yesterdays contratemps!
Why aren't you betting at Chelmsford Andy,waiting for the surface to settle down or not enough stats to go on?
Why aren't you betting at Chelmsford Andy,waiting for the surface to settle down or not enough stats to go on?
gigilo
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Reminds me of when wolves switched surfaces 15 years ago,took 6 months for the surface to be any use in using form and the earlier form just didn't stand up,already lots of horses that have run well there have come back and run poorly which seems even stranger.It's always a sign not to bet when the best formlines just don't hold up,i'm not a big fan of these galloping tracks anyway for aw racing,probably a good place to do placepots over the foreseeable future with lots of unpredictable results.
S
SlimChance
Guest
I like this sort of outside the box thinking about the placepots. Very interesting.