gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,794
Baby strange is very well handicapped now not a horse i back very often but running off just 85 and with 7 poind claimer gets to run off lowest ever mark the 20/1 looks enormous on some runs this season!He doesn't mind the ground either way but the ground at necastle was unraceable last time out,you can put a l;ine through that and penultimate run over 7fs you can also put a line through that as well.Ran 5th at epsom to lui rei when only 7/1 in a class 2,this infact is a weaker race tomorrow yet he's three times the price,a second of ninteen to secret witness off 85 previous run to that and a 6th to farlow off 86 at donny beaten 1 3/4ls having to run on the outside of the field when the the first five were drawn 19,15,20,17,18 he was drawn 7!This looks like one of the weakest races he's run and is very well in with numerous horses from previous meetings this season,he's 16 pound better off with beckermet for that donny run when drawn porly for 3/4 length.There are a few likely improvers amongst the 3yr olds but if the baby strange from the donny and york run turns up he'll be a 10/1 shot in this race.I think i will follow him for a whiole as he now looks like being a bit of value.
At first glance tagula night seems to have no chance on previous form but when you look over 6fs on soft ground his runs have been 1/7/1/3,gets to run off 82 tomorrow last winning mark.Followed that up with a third to valery borzov off 85 in the same grade as this,even this season an inadequate 4th to lui rei off 88 at ascot staying on behind judge n; jury in a better race than tomorrows.All his soft ground form over 6fs he could easily run well in this race,infact the biggest price he's ever been is 25/1 on gd/fm ground on soft ground he's never been bigger than 16/1 and that was when running a very decent 7th to dungannon last season at donny off 91.Looks like being bet to me at this price and would not surprise me if he outran his price.!!
At first glance tagula night seems to have no chance on previous form but when you look over 6fs on soft ground his runs have been 1/7/1/3,gets to run off 82 tomorrow last winning mark.Followed that up with a third to valery borzov off 85 in the same grade as this,even this season an inadequate 4th to lui rei off 88 at ascot staying on behind judge n; jury in a better race than tomorrows.All his soft ground form over 6fs he could easily run well in this race,infact the biggest price he's ever been is 25/1 on gd/fm ground on soft ground he's never been bigger than 16/1 and that was when running a very decent 7th to dungannon last season at donny off 91.Looks like being bet to me at this price and would not surprise me if he outran his price.!!