Daily picks.

Amassive price for stevie thunder if as good over the 7fs as his mile form,he's on his lowest mark since winning off 88 last season following that up with a 2/32 to prince of johanne off 92 surrounded by hundred + horses.Finshed last season with a third to inler and secrecy going off 7/2 beaten 3 3/4ls,first run back this season 8th in the lincoln off 95 led to the last 1/2 furlong in the royal hunt cup finishing 7th beaten just over 3ls.He goes on all types of ground but his two best runs have been on faster ground in the two races won by prince of johanne different class races to tomorrows,i would be very surprised if he isn't backed in this race as they are nearly all exposed and he's come down in grade and on a winnable mark.I wouldn't be surprised to see his price halve at current odds of 10/1 fastha also looks interesting off current mark but will stick wth stevie thinder tomorrow.
 
1pt trade opus maximus 33/1 365

Worth a bet in a poor race although been running poorly 33/1 is to tempting opus maximus runs off lowest ever mark and also goes off the biggest price he's ever been you wouldn't want to be backing any of these at short prices so at 33/1 for a horse that was winning off 75 in december in completely different class races worth a dabble.He needs at least the extended mile at wolves to show his form and even further if there's no pace on so three out of his last four runs i would ignore anyway,plus last time out hayley turner gave this a really strange ride trying to chase the pace complete opposite of horses running style.
The most interesting thing is kirsty milczsarek rides tomorrow she's only ridden him twice once at wolves when winning and the other over tomorrows c/d running second to emerald wilderness off 73 in december in a reasonable time,also having tomorrows 16/1 shot lisahane bog 4ls behind and better off at the weights.He actually ran in a vey quick race behind emerald wilderness in january behind 80-90 horses if he'd been 16/1 i wouldn't have bet but at 33s he could easily reach the frame and the booking of km may just be a positive.He may simply get backed down anyway and turn into a decent trade as i can't see anyway he could get any bigger,if his price does get bigger i will back him ew as well but i think he will be bet at this price probably down to 14-16/1 maybe slightly shorter.


Out at 29.
 
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1pt trade scatter dice 3/1.victor,ppower,sjames




Ifthis had been soft ground this looked an odds on shot,the form of the musselburugh race could not be better beating clayton but 6ls back to ruacana rated 87 in third,the fourth and fifth stature and silver blaze beaten another 1/2l and 1/2 recently finished 1/2 in a hot newmarket handicap full of 90 rated horses such as fennell bay and an interesting runner in hajras.

Hajras touched off 87 rated love your looks older handicapper today at ascot,if taken at face vaue scatter dice looks ridiculously well handicapped although beit on soft ground.If he goes on the ground he wins,but i;'ve backed him ealier to trade at 4/1 as i think this 3/1 could well turn into 7/4 when the forms been looked at hopefully the form students will click on those formlines.So i will put him up as a trade although until he does it you wont know how he will go on the ground i still expect a big gamble which is basically exoposed handicappers!!He could go off even sghorter so with all the 3s floating about i've had a bit more on!

Worked out perfect out at 2.6!!!
 
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gigilo said:
1pt trade scatter dice 3/1.victor,ppower,sjames




Ifthis had been soft ground this looked an odds on shot,the form of the musselburugh race could not be better beating clayton but 6ls back to ruacana rated 87 in third,the fourth and fifth stature and silver blaze beaten another 1/2l and 1/2 recently finished 1/2 in a hot newmarket handicap full of 90 rated horses such as fennell bay and an interesting runner in hajras.

Hajras touched off 87 rated love your looks older handicapper today at ascot,if taken at face vaue scatter dice looks ridiculously well handicapped although beit on soft ground.If he goes on the ground he wins,but i;'ve backed him ealier to trade at 4/1 as i think this 3/1 could well turn into 7/4 when the forms been looked at hopefully the form students will click on those formlines.So i will put him up as a trade although until he does it you wont know how he will go on the ground i still expect a big gamble which is basically exoposed handicappers!!He could go off even sghorter so with all the 3s floating about i've had a bit more on!

Worked out perfect out at 2.6!!!
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KABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM WHHHHHHHHHHHHHHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOSHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH:lol::lol:
 
BURNING BLAZE
COUR VALANT
medicoe

Worth mentioning these today,as the fastest maiden run this season apart from aherns but at last one on decent ground.The time of the race was only .35 slower than van ellis winning sky bet dash winning off 100,at the weights Burning blaze wouldv'e finished fourth in the dash carrying 9-3 and maybe ryans best 2yr old.Coming from a smaller northern maiden could easily be underestimated and at the bigger tracks there's no reason to think he can't take on the very best in the end winning the maiden cheekily.Even more value for the near future could be the second cour valant and this was only debut run so again could be a group runner and maybe even more underestimated.I can see the second going off a huge price in higher grade as long as the winner doesn't reappear soon.
Even better would be if they both don't run and see what mark the third horse medicoe of prescotts is going to be on was only rated in the 70s before this race,straight into nurseries would look a stand out bet as he wasn't stopping in this race just outclassed.;)
 
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An absolutelyb enormous price for brigadoon based on the last of five at brighton on soft ground,a line can be put through that run as he has no soft ground form has only had 17 lifetime runs and his over all profile if anything has got better his best ever run last sesson when third to george adamson off 77 in a far better race than tomorrows.Brigadoon ran third to amoya over c/d last season in a decent time the quickest any of these have run over this c/d 1m59.16 that was only off a mark of 65 went to ponte and won off 67.He then ran second to beat route off 73 at kempton in same grade as tomorrows race also in a respectable time then as mentioned the run behind george adamson.That took him onto a mark of 78 was beaten 5ls on last run of the season,then on reappearence ran ok going off 10/1 in better race than tomorrows a respectable run john biscuit and hurakan and epsom salts all recent winners out of that race.

Tomorrows race there are quite a few runners stepping up in class and stepping up in trip,not much has done anything on the clock brigadoons been dropped 6 pound to enable him todrop in class,could easily figure in this race and even though eddies on it i'd expect this to be backed.If he runs to his best he's no 20/1 shot,i don't see how he can be bigger than 10/1 in what is a far weaker than his last run at kempton and he's proved himself on the tyrack,looks a nice trade to me!!


Out at 11.0.;
 
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A lightly raced filly camache queen still only 14 lifetime runs,she's pretty decent on her day although hasn't won many has been running in better races than tomorrows a 6th of 14 to cape classic at windsor off 81 and lots of high 80+ rated horses infront of her was a decent run.She than ran a 4th to russian over 7fs not her best trip off 80,she drops to 77 lowest mark since winning at sailsbury last season when winning off 75 again a better race than tomorrows.

The race on all known form looks between her and kyanight and she's double the price two positives for her one she's won over c/d and proved she likes the surface and the second is the run at kempton in may which looks an absolute rock solid piece of form.She ran off 79 in finishing second to haamaat going down by 3/4l hamaat now rated 94,the third jedward recently won and is now on a mark of 87 4th to taajub at ascot a week last sunday.The fourth from that race ray of joy a further 2 1/4ls behind has also won recently and been second to nageebha and followed that up with a third to jarrow at sandown off 81 another race thats now working out.Looks another that should be heavily bet and i would expect camache queen and kyanight to go off probable joint favs,looks a decent trade on her kempton run and she may even prove better on the aw!!
 
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gigilo said:
An absolutelyb enormous price for brigadoon based on the last of five at brighton on soft ground,a line can be put through that run as he has no soft ground form has only had 17 lifetime runs and his over all profile if anything has got better his best ever run last sesson when third to george adamson off 77 in a far better race than tomorrows.Brigadoon ran third to amoya over c/d last season in a decent time the quickest any of these have run over this c/d 1m59.16 that was only off a mark of 65 went to ponte and won off 67.He then ran second to beat route off 73 at kempton in same grade as tomorrows race also in a respectable time then as mentioned the run behind george adamson.That took him onto a mark of 78 was beaten 5ls on last run of the season,then on reappearence ran ok going off 10/1 in better race than tomorrows a respectable run john biscuit and hurakan and epsom salts all recent winners out of that race.

Tomorrows race there are quite a few runners stepping up in class and stepping up in trip,not much has done anything on the clock brigadoons been dropped 6 pound to enable him todrop in class,could easily figure in this race and even though eddies on it i'd expect this to be backed.If he runs to his best he's no 20/1 shot,i don't see how he can be bigger than 10/1 in what is a far weaker than his last run at kempton and he's proved himself on the tyrack,looks a nice trade to me!!
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8/1!!:eek:;)
 
gigilo said:
An absolutelyb enormous price for brigadoon based on the last of five at brighton on soft ground,a line can be put through that run as he has no soft ground form has only had 17 lifetime runs and his over all profile if anything has got better his best ever run last sesson when third to george adamson off 77 in a far better race than tomorrows.Brigadoon ran third to amoya over c/d last season in a decent time the quickest any of these have run over this c/d 1m59.16 that was only off a mark of 65 went to ponte and won off 67.He then ran second to beat route off 73 at kempton in same grade as tomorrows race also in a respectable time then as mentioned the run behind george adamson.That took him onto a mark of 78 was beaten 5ls on last run of the season,then on reappearence ran ok going off 10/1 in better race than tomorrows a respectable run john biscuit and hurakan and epsom salts all recent winners out of that race.

Tomorrows race there are quite a few runners stepping up in class and stepping up in trip,not much has done anything on the clock brigadoons been dropped 6 pound to enable him todrop in class,could easily figure in this race and even though eddies on it i'd expect this to be backed.If he runs to his best he's no 20/1 shot,i don't see how he can be bigger than 10/1 in what is a far weaker than his last run at kempton and he's proved himself on the tyrack,looks a nice trade to me!!


Out at 11.0.;
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Another massive price for the horse with the best form in the race although the way the race maybe run could be against him as there are other front runners the 16/1 is a big price and should still be a decent trade.He has slipped to lowest mark since may 2010 now down to 80,last season winning off 84 at newcastle and a third to nanton off 89 in the zetland at redcar!Also ran a good race on softer than ideal ground off 90 to diescentric in august,this season kicked off with a third to oriental scot off 82 very good form on gd/fm just behind imperial djay in second and lots of high 80+ runners in behind.The fourth to brockfield doesn't look to bad now either as the second muffin mcleay has just won off 84 and the third maven sluiced up on saturday in a better race.He gets the 1 draw should lead the race will get taken on but is back on favourite ground,i couldn't back anything else in this race anyway and 16/1 looks a decent trade.Should be well backed as these are his ideal conditions,probably one to watch out for if the race conspires against him tomorrow as would be an enormous price in same grade next time out.Will back again if bigger!
 
Only €61 traded so far on the race on Betfair ....................... and all that €61 is for Desert Romance !
Best price available to back on Betfair -- 11.0. :lol:

(Think I'll wait a while before getting out. :) )
 
gigilo said:
A lightly raced filly camache queen still only 14 lifetime runs,she's pretty decent on her day although hasn't won many has been running in better races than tomorrows a 6th of 14 to cape classic at windsor off 81 and lots of high 80+ rated horses infront of her was a decent run.She than ran a 4th to russian over 7fs not her best trip off 80,she drops to 77 lowest mark since winning at sailsbury last season when winning off 75 again a better race than tomorrows.

The race on all known form looks between her and kyanight and she's double the price two positives for her one she's won over c/d and proved she likes the surface and the second is the run at kempton in may which looks an absolute rock solid piece of form.She ran off 79 in finishing second to haamaat going down by 3/4l hamaat now rated 94,the third jedward recently won and is now on a mark of 87 4th to taajub at ascot a week last sunday.The fourth from that race ray of joy a further 2 1/4ls behind has also won recently and been second to nageebha and followed that up with a third to jarrow at sandown off 81 another race thats now working out.Looks another that should be heavily bet and i would expect camache queen and kyanight to go off probable joint favs,looks a decent trade on her kempton run and she may even prove better on the aw!!
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Out at 3.35:eek:
 
icebreaker said:
Only €61 traded so far on the race on Betfair ....................... and all that €61 is for Desert Romance !
Best price available to back on Betfair -- 11.0. :lol:

(Think I'll wait a while before getting out. :) )
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You wouldn't be happy if you'd backed it ew total non trier then eddie rides it out the last 1/2 furlong:lol: wouldv'e won another 1/2 furlong!!The mans a joke and so blatant,he's that thick he thinks no one notices!!
 
icebreaker said:
Out at 10.0. :)
Fantastic trade, Gigilo.
Many thanks for that.
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Was that annoyed posted on the wrong one!!:lol:

As above reference brigadoon first one i've had in a while eddies just no good at it,not discreet enough thats for sure!!:cool:
 
Gigilo, have been at the sauce, mate? :lol:
Danny Tudhope is riding Desrt Romance -- and the race isn't until tomorrow !

(I think you're meaning Ahern on Brigadoon tonight in the 21:05. And yeah, I fully agree; he didn't try an ounce until the final 100 yards when he was well beaten. Thank God it didn't win tho' -- at 20/1 my last Bet365 account would have been fried. :) )
 
LOL, cross-posted with you just there.

Yes, all the signs were there that Brigadoon might be a non-trier; drifted badly out to 16.0 from 9.6 in the last few minutes. :whistle:
 
Out at 6.0 on Desert Romance ! :D

(This seriously could be the best ever trade I've made on your picks, .......... and there have been some humdingers. But quite possibly this one is the finest).
 
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