Daily picks.

gigilo said:
Not knowing what ground is as so much rain around a couple of ew trixies..

Chepstow 5.25

Kosier 5/2 365 /George Allenby 15/2 ppower 13/2 365

Kosier and general Allenby were 2nd and 5th in a 0-75 at goodwood that form strictly on paper looks decent form for this grade,the winner of that race now three on the bounce the third had won off 72 previously and last time out was finisging strongly in a 0-80 at Kempton.Strangely there look some very poor sire stats for kosier,muhtathil 0/18 over longer trips only 2/32 on softer ground and 0/9 at chepstoe so kosier has to bucjk some huge trends tomorrow even though looking an obvious improver as all three of those things will have tio turn around.Gebneral Allenby just looks out and out stayer was 5ls behind at goodwood but was best ever run and got outpacede in that race,looks like slower ground suits form hasn't really imprived bar last run which looks a little conspivcuous but on softer ground at notts was 5ls infront of cilla when 2nd cilla 3rd.On Saturday cilla won easily off 54 in this grade,if its an out and put test could run well,but horses like the Prescott runner in these sort of races could
be open to a lot more improvement but at leat this one guaranteed stayer on what could be softer ground..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Had forecasts and tricasts as well although won't pay much,great race to bet in...:ninja:

Newcastle 7.40

Peace trail 13/8 ppower/sportsbook/totesport/betfred 7/4 365 Big drifter this morning now 2/1 with sjames/betstars/lads/corals/boyles/skybet/victor 9/4 blacktype
looks a bit ominous can't change bets now..

Peace trail looked like it won a respectable maiden on debut time was ok quicker than the nursery on the card and only .77 slower than the 2yr old group 3 and the 3rd 4th and 5th have won out of the race the second is yet to run,ran in a group 3 next time out finishing last of the 10.Could still be better than that form and even if it isn't a mark of 91 looks right to me,the betting will be very interesting as loads of interesting newcomers if they aren't upto much then can't see any reason why peace trail wouldn't be odds with something having to run to a mark in the 90s.Sire is 11% ion the surface as well,the negative could be why running in maiden at newcastyle as regularly see horses with great turf form stuffed on it,the fact the sire has respectable stats and the horse could go off very short then worth doing at these process..

Very strange drift 5/2 ppower/victor/sportsbook/boyles/lads/betstars/skybet 3/1 blacktype unless this is total non trier has to shorten should still be a decent trade seems inexplicable.. 3/1

9.10

Express lady 6/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet/betfred/totesport/10bet/lads/corals/betway

Express lady is another of those maiden winners looked decent on debut only beat buxted dream but that won has won twice sonce and now rate80
had previous experience against express lady as well and the time of the lingfield race was over 1 1/2 seconds quicker than the handicap on the card won by 66 rated horse.It was also a second quicker than the other maiden won by an 80 rated horse although that runner has been disappointing,next time out express lady ran in a handicap only given a mark of 73 ran terrible running really free,horse could obviously be very well handicapped and switches to the aw.
It's hard to forgive that run at lingfield but this maybe a longterm project and maybe one to follow,could easily be an 80+ horse tomorrow runs in a run of the mill handicap at Newcastle on the aw,the sire helmet has a 26% strike rate at newcastkle and tomorrow the hoods on.
The betting should be massively informative if expecting the horse to reproduce debut and headgear to work off just 73 really should be heavily backed in a race like this at current [prices if stable are confident,it wouldn't sirprise me if coming from the palmer stable and Josephine Gordon riding were this to go off fav..There is a lack of Newcastle form in this race,so again totally magic looks the obvious pick if express lady and others
first time runners on the surface and even though drawn low, last week ground worker made all over a sprint trip so could easily run well
Click to expand...
 
gigilo said:
Not knowing what ground is as so much rain around a couple of ew trixies..

Chepstow 5.25

Kosier 5/2 365 /George Allenby 15/2 ppower 13/2 365

Kosier and general Allenby were 2nd and 5th in a 0-75 at goodwood that form strictly on paper looks decent form for this grade,the winner of that race now three on the bounce the third had won off 72 previously and last time out was finisging strongly in a 0-80 at Kempton.Strangely there look some very poor sire stats for kosier,muhtathil 0/18 over longer trips only 2/32 on softer ground and 0/9 at chepstoe so kosier has to bucjk some huge trends tomorrow even though looking an obvious improver as all three of those things will have tio turn around.Gebneral Allenby just looks out and out stayer was 5ls behind at goodwood but was best ever run and got outpacede in that race,looks like slower ground suits form hasn't really imprived bar last run which looks a little conspivcuous but on softer ground at notts was 5ls infront of cilla when 2nd cilla 3rd.On Saturday cilla won easily off 54 in this grade,if its an out and put test could run well,but horses like the Prescott runner in these sort of races could
be open to a lot more improvement but at leat this one guaranteed stayer on what could be softer ground..

Newcastle 7.40

Peace trail 13/8 ppower/sportsbook/totesport/betfred 7/4 365 Big drifter this morning now 2/1 with sjames/betstars/lads/corals/boyles/skybet/victor 9/4 blacktype
looks a bit ominous can't change bets now..

Peace trail looked like it won a respectable maiden on debut time was ok quicker than the nursery on the card and only .77 slower than the 2yr old group 3 and the 3rd 4th and 5th have won out of the race the second is yet to run,ran in a group 3 next time out finishing last of the 10.Could still be better than that form and even if it isn't a mark of 91 looks right to me,the betting will be very interesting as loads of interesting newcomers if they aren't upto much then can't see any reason why peace trail wouldn't be odds with something having to run to a mark in the 90s.Sire is 11% ion the surface as well,the negative could be why running in maiden at newcastyle as regularly see horses with great turf form stuffed on it,the fact the sire has respectable stats and the horse could go off very short then worth doing at these process..

This is unbelievable thought this was going to go off 4/6 got 9/2 and 1.75 a place must be one of the best ew bets i'veseen all year a 90+ horse in a maiden,some right lemmings artoynd with these talking hortses KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!You won't see a better bet than that for awhile :lol::lol::lol: one of the finniest things I've seen all season!!!!:lol::cool:

Very strange drift 5/2 ppower/victor/sportsbook/boyles/lads/betstars/skybet 3/1 blacktype unless this is total non trier has to shorten should still be a decent trade seems inexplicable.. 3/1

9.10

Express lady 6/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet/betfred/totesport/10bet/lads/corals/betway

Express lady is another of those maiden winners looked decent on debut only beat buxted dream but that won has won twice sonce and now rate80
had previous experience against express lady as well and the time of the lingfield race was over 1 1/2 seconds quicker than the handicap on the card won by 66 rated horse.It was also a second quicker than the other maiden won by an 80 rated horse although that runner has been disappointing,next time out express lady ran in a handicap only given a mark of 73 ran terrible running really free,horse could obviously be very well handicapped and switches to the aw.
It's hard to forgive that run at lingfield but this maybe a longterm project and maybe one to follow,could easily be an 80+ horse tomorrow runs in a run of the mill handicap at Newcastle on the aw,the sire helmet has a 26% strike rate at newcastkle and tomorrow the hoods on.
The betting should be massively informative if expecting the horse to reproduce debut and headgear to work off just 73 really should be heavily backed in a race like this at current [prices if stable are confident,it wouldn't sirprise me if coming from the palmer stable and Josephine Gordon riding were this to go off fav..There is a lack of Newcastle form in this race,so again totally magic looks the obvious pick if express lady and others
first time runners on the surface and even though drawn low, last week ground worker made all over a sprint trip so could easily run well
Click to expand...
 
Just knew she would over compensate on express lady after it's last run should've won that,great day though won on every bet returns should be ok on the multis as well another winning week..
 
gigilo said:
Not knowing what ground is as so much rain around a couple of ew trixies..

Chepstow 5.25

Kosier 5/2 365 /George Allenby 15/2 ppower 13/2 365

Kosier and general Allenby were 2nd and 5th in a 0-75 at goodwood that form strictly on paper looks decent form for this grade,the winner of that race now three on the bounce the third had won off 72 previously and last time out was finisging strongly in a 0-80 at Kempton.Strangely there look some very poor sire stats for kosier,muhtathil 0/18 over longer trips only 2/32 on softer ground and 0/9 at chepstoe so kosier has to bucjk some huge trends tomorrow even though looking an obvious improver as all three of those things will have tio turn around.Gebneral Allenby just looks out and out stayer was 5ls behind at goodwood but was best ever run and got outpacede in that race,looks like slower ground suits form hasn't really imprived bar last run which looks a little conspivcuous but on softer ground at notts was 5ls infront of cilla when 2nd cilla 3rd.On Saturday cilla won easily off 54 in this grade,if its an out and put test could run well,but horses like the Prescott runner in these sort of races could
be open to a lot more improvement but at leat this one guaranteed stayer on what could be softer ground..

Newcastle 7.40

Peace trail 13/8 ppower/sportsbook/totesport/betfred 7/4 365 Big drifter this morning now 2/1 with sjames/betstars/lads/corals/boyles/skybet/victor 9/4 blacktype
looks a bit ominous can't change bets now..

Peace trail looked like it won a respectable maiden on debut time was ok quicker than the nursery on the card and only .77 slower than the 2yr old group 3 and the 3rd 4th and 5th have won out of the race the second is yet to run,ran in a group 3 next time out finishing last of the 10.Could still be better than that form and even if it isn't a mark of 91 looks right to me,the betting will be very interesting as loads of interesting newcomers if they aren't upto much then can't see any reason why peace trail wouldn't be odds with something having to run to a mark in the 90s.Sire is 11% ion the surface as well,the negative could be why running in maiden at newcastyle as regularly see horses with great turf form stuffed on it,the fact the sire has respectable stats and the horse could go off very short then worth doing at these process..

Very strange drift 5/2 ppower/victor/sportsbook/boyles/lads/betstars/skybet 3/1 blacktype unless this is total non trier has to shorten should still be a decent trade seems inexplicable.. 3/1

9.10

Express lady 6/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet/betfred/totesport/10bet/lads/corals/betway

Express lady is another of those maiden winners looked decent on debut only beat buxted dream but that won has won twice sonce and now rate80
had previous experience against express lady as well and the time of the lingfield race was over 1 1/2 seconds quicker than the handicap on the card won by 66 rated horse.It was also a second quicker than the other maiden won by an 80 rated horse although that runner has been disappointing,next time out express lady ran in a handicap only given a mark of 73 ran terrible running really free,horse could obviously be very well handicapped and switches to the aw.
It's hard to forgive that run at lingfield but this maybe a longterm project and maybe one to follow,could easily be an 80+ horse tomorrow runs in a run of the mill handicap at Newcastle on the aw,the sire helmet has a 26% strike rate at newcastkle and tomorrow the hoods on.
The betting should be massively informative if expecting the horse to reproduce debut and headgear to work off just 73 really should be heavily backed in a race like this at current [prices if stable are confident,it wouldn't sirprise me if coming from the palmer stable and Josephine Gordon riding were this to go off fav..There is a lack of Newcastle form in this race,so again totally magic looks the obvious pick if express lady and others
first time runners on the surface and even though drawn low, last week ground worker made all over a sprint trip so could easily run well
Click to expand...

Nice little touch on multis near on 300% profit on each,last one should've sluiced up as well [poor ride looking like another winning month and great week..:D
 
Ayr gold cup

Mobsta 33/1 ppower..

The ground has probably turned the ayr gold cup into more of pin job now with ground being nearer heavy,there don't appear too many in the race with despertate ground form one that relishes it is mobsta of mick channons.The 5yr olds only had 20 races very inconsistent profile and hasn't won since may 2016 winning a group2 racewas slow by 5 seconds and similarly was unlucky to not run jack dexter close when stopped in run behind jack dexter In a liasted race was fiull of running on desperate gropund 2015,then came out 6 months later april 2016 beating suedois at Donny over 6fs race slow by 8 seconds again desperate ground.He was rated 108 beginning of the season now rated lowest ever ioff 98,hasn't shown much this season 5th though in group race to tasleet and lsst run when 3rd in listed race at York over 6fs had lancelot du lac and steady pace in behind so nothing wrong with the form.The ground could be a leveller and off just 98 with another 3 pound claim as well then worth a small bet,will be staying on when others asre stopping and there aren't that many runners with heavy ground form..
It wouldn't surprise me to see taylor or segal put it up either if 33/1 or even bigger is there..



25/1 victor 5places.
 
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Some dire stuff tomorrow will probably be near heavy ground at Leicester will try an ew thieving bet singles wise wouldn't be very confident an ew yankee/lucky 15 not worth having much on them as bound to be loads of non runners and 7 horse races..

Leicester 4.15

Lester kris 11/2 ppower/sportsbook 6/1 skybet/365/10bet/lads/corals/totesport/betfred/victor

A maiden race with an exposed runner in lester kris will like the ground only rated 75 rossa ryan takes off another 7 pound so somethings going to have tio run to priobably 83,positives are ground and trip although 0/8,an unlikely winner with a 140 rated hurdler plus SBS improver but ew chances..

Leicester 2.35

Spirit of belle 3/1 365 11/4 victor 5/2 skybet/betfred/totesport/10bet/subets...

Spirit of belle is exposed stuck on a mark of 72,a maiden after 11 runs tomorrow in a seller two runs this season on soft and heavy puts it well in at the weights a 2nd to admirable art at chepstow and a 3rd to ejayteekay at ffos las.You wouldn't totally rely on it after last run but at weights is well in and proven on desperate ground and be disappointing if not involved in finish,biggest negative is seeing evans with a shortie in a seller hopefully trying,if it is I could see it going off very short if stable are confident of running to mark..

10/30 365

5.05

Mulladel 4/1 ppower/sportsbook 7/2 365/skybet 10/30 lads/corals/victor..

Mulladel looked quite impressive last c/d win beating tomorrows ventura blues and is better off in the weights,showed decent turn of foot and could still be well handicapped also backed up by a decent time,ventura blues could still run well and also presumido showed a bit more last time out in the london mile handicap.In this grade presumido starting to look dangerous,quite liked its last run even though has a bit to find with both golden wedding and ventura blues.Don't be surprised if this goes off nearer 15/8 2/1 by the off..

Kempton 4.35

Stellarta 7/1 corals/victor

An impossible looking handicap there's no real angle from what i can see so stellarta looks as good as most run 11 times on the aw won 4 the negative is highest winning mark is just 82 and been stuck in low 90s since that win through consistentency always there abouts,.Did run over c/d last season back to back races both races coming off the pace when it held up, so against track bias those two runs,those were in 0-105 3rd of 92 and a 2nd off 92 in 0-105 off 91 tomorroqw hardly any difference but a 0-95 if gets a run then could run well in right grade..
Lots in here potentiall thrown in tropics,naadirr hard to be confident of anything with so many apparently out of form,stellartas price is a bit mean
with so many lurkers might yet drift a little..
 
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gigilo said:
Some dire stuff tomorrow will probably be near heavy ground at Leicester will try an ew thieving bet singles wise wouldn't be very confident an ew yankee/lucky 15 not worth having much on them as bound to be loads of non runners and 7 horse races..

Leicester 4.15

Lester kris 11/2 ppower/sportsbook 6/1 skybet/365/10bet/lads/corals/totesport/betfred/victor

A maiden race with an exposed runner in lester kris will like the ground only rated 75 rossa ryan takes off another 7 pound so somethings going to have tio run to priobably 83,positives are ground and trip although 0/8,an unlikely winner with a 140 rated hurdler plus SBS improver but ew chances..

Leicester 2.35

Spirit of belle 3/1 365 11/4 victor 5/2 skybet/betfred/totesport/10bet/subets...

Spirit of belle is exposed stuck on a mark of 72,a maiden after 11 runs tomorrow in a seller two runs this season on soft and heavy puts it well in at the weights a 2nd to admirable art at chepstow and a 3rd to ejayteekay at ffos las.You wouldn't totally rely on it after last run but at weights is well in and proven on desperate ground and be disappointing if not involved in finish,biggest negative is seeing evans with a shortie in a seller hopefully trying,if it is I could see it going off very short if stable are confident of running to mark..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Got a bitmore on betfair at 4.1 as well,had decent bet on the place at average of 1.75 very nice got hammered in the last 2 mins before the off,that will do nice to get one of daves ready for a change,lookede diofferent class as long as it was up there from the off draw was main worry but been favouring low draws this season...Wa expecting to see 7/4 this morning..:cool: Thread passes the million views as well..:D

10/30 365

5.05

Mulladel 4/1 ppower/sportsbook 7/2 365/skybet 10/30 lads/corals/victor..

Mulladel looked quite impressive last c/d win beating tomorrows ventura blues and is better off in the weights,showed decent turn of foot and could still be well handicapped also backed up by a decent time,ventura blues could still run well and also presumido showed a bit more last time out in the london mile handicap.In this grade presumido starting to look dangerous,quite liked its last run even though has a bit to find with both golden wedding and ventura blues.Don't be surprised if this goes off nearer 15/8 2/1 by the off..

Kempton 4.35

Stellarta 7/1 corals/victor

An impossible looking handicap there's no real angle from what i can see so stellarta looks as good as most run 11 times on the aw won 4 the negative is highest winning mark is just 82 and been stuck in low 90s since that win through consistentency always there abouts,.Did run over c/d last season back to back races both races coming off the pace when it held up, so against track bias those two runs,those were in 0-105 3rd of 92 and a 2nd off 92 in 0-105 off 91 tomorroqw hardly any difference but a 0-95 if gets a run then could run well in right grade..
Lots in here potentiall thrown in tropics,naadirr hard to be confident of anything with so many apparently out of form,stellartas price is a bit mean
with so many lurkers might yet drift a little..
Click to expand...

Nice profit on the day with a winner and the three places a pity mudallel was so far off the pace thought the betting looked a bit strange in that with the second hammered after he beat it easily last time out...havn't worked out multiple presume near stake back..
Multiple was winning bet lucky 15 returned over £40 nice start to the week...
 
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Lingfield 4.45

Groor 22/1 sportsbook/18/1 sunbets/16/1 365..20/1 ppower..

Groor I put up last time out at Epsom stumbled leaving the stalls,was 5th previous to that in a 0-80 unlucky in run looked like it would've been in first three obviously speculative as only has aw form on the dirt there are at least three lightly ones bluff cragg looks quite good based on its Kempton times and there are one or two others that look interesting lightly raced.The prices look massive on the Epsom run if going on surface dropped into a 0-75,the most interestring thing to me is jockey booking dave probert rides,the last time he rode this was February 2016 when he won on it in meydan off a m,ark of 89.
There maybe a slight angle with lacan in the race,looks regressive but was rated in the 90s 2016 abd used to race with the pace recently held up,with de siusa riding I can't see anything but bouncing off in front and maybe a decent back to lay in running..

20/1 skybet/totesport

16/1 victor I thought it would open 10-12/1 may not even go on the track but should be a decent trade although the ones at front of market are impossible to weigh up..
 
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Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post

Ayr gold cup

One of the biggest eyecatchers recently was donjuan triumphant in the stewards at goodwood now with balding after being a group 2 winner with fahey,has just had the three runs with him and the last was the stewards cup,was rated 115 at one point ran off 106 in the stewards and now dropped another two pound.He was drawn 20 in the stewards had no chance from that draw held up everything that got a good pitch on the far rail was massive advantage,was only runner held up from near side to finish in the first 10 and still finishing strongly at finish.Shanghai glory is fav for the ayr gold cup was drawn 3 in the stewards and beat donjuan triumphant by 1 3/4ls there's now a tyrnaround of 4 pound in favour of donjuan triumphant and the likelyhood of no draw advantage,also has a 9 pound turnaround with growl as well for 2 1/2ls growl was drawn 8 in the race.
What he does need is soft, gd/sft ground so would not go overboard as for the last few seasons I've backed jack dexter and he never really got his ground,septembers have tended to be quite decent months weather wise,if there is some cut then there's no chance he will be going off 25/1 as the tipsters will be onto it after the goodwood run and he'd probably go off 14s 16s tops...

Donjuan triumphant 25/1 Betfred.totesport,corals..
not fancy this today giggs?

woosh
 
Havn't been well this week as per,being updated by my mum on her chemo and was my grans 90th and my partners 40th took me days to sort something out for her so racing had to take a miss this week hopefully better by next week..

Not many bets this month but still decent roi highlights were

Hussar ballad 12/1
Milan reef 11/1
Five or six shorter priced ones an ROI of 131% as long as it doesn't fall below that 100% then that's the standard set hoping for better last 2 months ...
 
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Balmarol handicap

Firmament 25/1 ppower/sportsbook

Firmament is building up a really good profile at ascot has been stuck on a mark of 109 so couldn't say well handicappee but contested loads of good races this season 5th to stamp hill when held up in last finishing strongly in heritage handicap over 7fs at ascot,3rd to flaming spear over a mile at York in another ridiculously competitive handixcap and then again 5th to remarkable over 7fs at ascot held up last again finishing strongly.In 2016 was 2/2/3/3 at ascot off marks of 102,106,108 and 109 was 3rd in this corresponding race last year at 7/1 running on strongly at finish,most of the races he's been beaten in have been over 7fs yet all four wins have been over a mile,ground seems immaterial sand almost looks sure to run with form on track plus most ground.It maybe even the softer ground has been slightly against him and if the ground does turn out goodish could be a slight positive as quite a few hordes he will be running against oor finished behind may prefer that softer ground.Can't really see why he will be 25/1 on the day,in his last 19 runs has gone off double figure prices only twice and those were the runs when 5th to stamp hill unlucky in run and 3rd to flaming spear,could easily go off 12-14/1 with so many positives he has very little to find with this seasons winners in front of him in the betting and with extra distance and pull in weights.The biggest positive is track and almost guaranteed to run with maybe quite a few runners ground dependant..
 
Kempton 8.20

Queensbrydge 8/1 ppower/sportsbook 15/2 skybet/victor/betbright 7/1 lads/10bet/boyles/betfred/betway.

She looks a little exposed now Queensbrydge has been running quite well though bit of an eyecatcher over 7fs three runs ago,got behind staying on to be nearest finish at this track even though only 7th,next time out chased a fast pace she hit the front 3fs out looked like she was going to win going away hard to tell if it was the early pace as stopped verty quickly in last 200 yards,the first three coming from way off the pace.Mudallel and ventura blues the first and second respectable markers fort the form and the race was run in a decent time,last time out she ran at Chelmsford ran ok in fourth behind bumptious,perhaps wants to drop a pound or two but will have a small bet based on her track form.Luke morris usually ridee her instead is on the twice run influent for tom tate,hadn't run for 10 months and won easily over c/d could be nicely handicapped and abandioning queensbrydge speaks for itself only negative could be draw in 11 but really doesn't seen to be too disadvantageous in recent times..Don't know what will happen with queensbrydge as regards betting as there are others lightly raced in here as well,she's worth a small bet..
 
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Been keeping an eye on that one myself gigilo but personally feel she needs dropping back to 7F and giving a more positive ride than she recieved last time over that trip. Well enough handicapped to go close i suppose but just not convinced she sees out the mile.
 
Kempton 8.10

Ply 5/4 365 6/5 ppower/sportsbook/sunbets 11/10 skybet evens totesport/corals/betfred/betbright..


Ply looks like going off very short hacked up last time out dipping below 2m3.00 seconds over 1m2fs at kempton on paper timwise looks outstanding but the overall form of the race with horses such as luv u whatever only 9ls behind give it a slightly dubious look.The track was riding as fast as I've ever seen it but did win very easily,looks like one of those that could go off ridiculously short so there's at least a free bet in there decent trade,could see something stupid like 1/2...Steps up a furlong tomorrow and gets the 3yr old concession,he maybe an out and out aw horse so an interesting ryunner..

11/10 victor..

Evens lads/hills..
 
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