Forum Value Hunt..Join in.

7.2%Brother Tedd
4.8%Gevrey Chambertin
9.6%Un Ace
4.1%Dell Arca
23.1%Bivouac
2.3%Deep Trouble
7.2%Ibis du Rheu
11.6%Yala Enki
28.9%Westren Warrior
1.2%Little Boy Boru

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4%brother tedd
7%gevrey chambertin
7%un ace
12%dell'arca
14%bivouac
2%deep trouble
20%ibis du rhe u
12%yala enki
17%westren warrior
5%little boy boru
 
32
WESTREN WARRIOR
18GEVREY CHAMBERTIN
14BIVOUAC
10YALA ENKI
7UN ACE
6BROTHER TEDD
4IBIS DU RHEU
3LITTLE BOY BORU
3DELL'ARCA
3DEEP TROUBLE

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IBIS DU RHE U24
WESTREN WARRIOR20
BIVOUAC13
GEVREY CHAMBERTIN10
YALA ENKI10
BROTHER TEDD7
UN ACE5
DELL'ARCA5
DEEP TROUBLE4
LITTLE BOY BORU2

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BROTHER TEDD ..........................10%
GEVREY CHAMBERTIN ................10%
UN ACE .....................................1%
DELL'ARCA ................................2%
BIVOUAC .................................20%
DEEP TROUBLE .........................1%
IBIS DU RHE U ..........................32%
YALA ENKI .................................2%
WESTREN WARRIOR ..................20%
LITTLE BOY BORU .......................2%


Incidentally, anyone having a bet with real cash money in the Lanzarote could do worse than looking at Skybet who are offering stakes-returned if 2nd or 3rd on this race. (Hills are stakes returned if 2nd).
 
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ec1 said:
cheers digger..just heard it on whradio..i'll leave gevrey in just in case..

If any horse doesn't run after you done figures..don't worry about it..we can just split the % amongst rest of field

runners left in at the moment are

brother tedd
gevrey chambertin
un ace
dell'arca
bivouac
deep trouble
ibis du rhe u
yala enki
westren warrior
little boy boru
Click to expand...

brother tedd 4%
gevrey chambertin 7%
un ace 5%
dell'arca 7%
bivouac 14%
deep trouble 3%
ibis du rheu 28%
yala enki 17%
westren warrior 10%
little boy boru 5%
 
13.30% Brother Tedd
14.30% Gevrey Chambertin
9.10% Un Ace
5.00% Dell Arca
12.50% Bivouac
2.30% Deep Trouble
23.10% Ibis du Rheu
7.10% Yala Enki
11.80% Westren Warrior
1.50% Little Boy Boru


see how it goes , thanks EC1 , hopefully gets it right
 
28
westren warrior
22 gevrey chambertin
15 bivouac
10 yala enki
7 un ace
5 brother tedd
4 ibis du rheu
3 little boy boru
3 dell'arca
3 deep trouble
 
cheers guys..

there is still time to take part..12.00 cut off point..if anyone else wants to take part..don't read the rest of this post:)..it might influence your figures





This is how our market stands at the moment..9.53am...incl Del's figures


TH odds
Best Odds
7/2WESTREN WARRIOR5/1
5/1BIVOUAC9/2
5/1IBIS DU RHEU9/2
7/1YALA ENKI9/2
10/1BROTHER TEDD9/1
13/1UN ACE14/1
15/1DELL'ARCA14/1
15/1LITTLE BOY BORU20/1
23/1DEEP TROUBLE40/1

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That looks a pretty smart effort...you can use the info any way you want but for purpose of thread..i'd be wanting to back Westren warrior at 5/1+ as its the horse we all think will win..and its a value price..in our joint opinion. At this moment in time...still got until 12.00

we've virtually nailed all the other prices..but in our opinion a bad value bet is yala enki..that don't mean it can't win obviously..but if we are any good at this then backing such as that at 9/2 will lose you money long term
 
I've had a small bet on WW but it has nothing to do with evaluating it's chance in conjunction with the other contenders. I have no opinions whatsoever on those horses, but WW has form ties with Singlefarmpayment who is one of just two jumpers in my tracker.
 
final odds

TH odds

Best Bookie Odds
7/2WESTREN WARRIOR9/2
5/1BIVOUAC11/2
5/1IBIS DU RHEU11/2
7/1YALA ENKI4/1
10/1BROTHER TEDD8/1
13/1UN ACE14/1
15/1DELL'ARCA14/1
15/1LITTLE BOY BORU20/1
23/1DEEP TROUBLE40/1

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the best value bet is Westren Warrior....1 pt win at betfair price..5.9
 
why don't you post positively Warbler..why the p1$$ take?

the thread has gained over 600 reads in one day..people have put effort in...what is the problem you have with this?
 
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Why do you think it's a pi*ss-take, EC1?

On the TH tissue, an each-way bet on Deep Trouble at 40/1 is a legit enough wager.

PS. I was planning on posting on this thread, but got on the plonk last night, and didn't realise (or had forgotten) that there was a mid-day cut-off.

PPS. I think this an excellent idea for a thread - typical of the contribution you make, EC1 - and I think the results will be interesting. Not sure if you're going to do it, EC1, but it would be good to track LSP based on your interpretation of the TH value bets. It will be the best barometer of measuring how sh*it we all are. :lol:
 
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i think Warbler is maybe taking the pee with both posts..i don't know why..i'm sure he will say either way..i might be wrong..he is maybe missing baiting Clive:)

yes..i'd like to carry on with it...will give results at best price at time of posting..will usually be the betfair price if is bigger than bookies...i did mention at start of thread we might find out how sh1te we are:)..the risk we will have to take.

i did a thing years ago on a forum..pooling for profit ..i think i called it..it was ok.

yes DT is a bigger price..but at end of day our accuracy at that end is unlikely to be as good as at the sharp end..thats something i learned a good while ago..its very hard to get accurate rag figures
 
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Warbs is just being witty, often mistaken in the current day and age, of taking the micky or being cheeky.
 
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