Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- Aug 2, 2005
- Messages
- 25,688
I've changed my mind and decided to along with Santini (ew) at 6/1. Three places are on offer so each-way seems prudent.
On ORs, only Cyrname is rated higher and I have doubts about his stamina.
Clan Des Obeaux probably should be rated higher and remains my idea of the most likely winner but horses are only human...
If I can get 33/1 or better Frodon on Saturday morning, I might have a small ew interest in him too. I was prepared to back him for the Gold Cup and if he's running here I have to wonder why they would duck out of a decent Cheltenham hcap a few days later. I'm a big fan of the horse and if he can get into a rhythm over the fences, who knows.
I would hate to think they were only running such a good horse in the race to make the pace for the stablemates.
I've had pretty much a complete rethink on the race.
I just wonder if, with Cyrname, I'm not seeing the wood for the trees. That form with Altior just stands out a mile and both Hendo and Nicholls are constantly banging on about what it took put of them.
I wasn't convinced at the time about Cyrname's Wetherby win proving he stayed but I reckon the 11/4 on offer this morning amounts to that price about him staying well enough to win.
Contrary to the shite that Chapman appears to be stirring, I don't believe Nicholls has insisted that Cobden ride Cyrname. I reckon Cobden decided before Wetherby that Cyrname was the better and it might not have been a hard decision.
I'm happy enough with the Santini each-way bet as it could still provide a wee bit of value but it will probably be no surprise if he just puts up a nice, promising performance with the Gold Cup in mind but there does seem to be money for him.
I haven't seen 33/1 Frodon anywhere and he's blue across the board too but I can't see me backing him now.