The more I think about it, the more I am swaying towards Rip Van Winkle, and think 7/4 represents a lotof value. Even if you take a negative view of the Eclipse form, this still puts him ahead of both of the other principles. Ghanaati would need to be a 126+ horse to beat him which would make her one of the best fillies of the last 10 years; I'm happy to take the chance this isn't the case. If you consider the highest rating Paco Boy has run to being around 127/128 (being generous perhaps), then he still has a pound or two to find (on his very best form).
O'Brien will set a suitably fast pace for Rip Van Winkle, and the only doubt I have is his possible resolution (doubts sowed by others more than myself!).
When people label O'Brien horses as "hype"....what was the last "hype" horse that failed to live up to being a genuinely top class Group 1 colt?
DO - above was my take on ratings before the race, and I think it probably aligns quite closely to what you are saying now.
What did she say?
You mean what I said a couple of days ago
I disagree that betting on what AOB says is the way to the poorhouse Hamm, I would certainly bet that he would soon be saying "he has the speed for a july cup"
The hype about Rip Van Winkle was completely unjustified for quite some time, and I was happy to bet against it. When he began to show on a racecourse the type of performance that justified the hype (his fifth(Derby) or sixth(Eclipse) race), I (& many others) were happy to change my opinion.
Betting on what O'Brien says is the way to the poorhouse.
Does anyone on here record RUK?