150g Friday WHO DARES WINS 20/1 ran in the goodwood cup last year and is now 6lb lower.
Holly takes over from Tom Marquand.
Two ante-post longshots for one of my favourite races - the Golden Mile at Goodwood:
First up, Path Of Thunder 25/1 - will carry a 3lb penalty and we'll find out in the morning just how well in he might be but he was a smart-looking winner the other day and is already 14s in quite a few places. I reckon it will be at least a 7lb hike (ergo 4lbs well in) but it could be as much as 10lbs.
Next up, Beat Le Bon 25/1 - can run off the same mark as when winning the race two years ago and caught my eye in the Hunt Cup. He was well beaten in absolute terms but was second to the runaway winner on the far side and about six lengths clear of the third. If he's back to his very best he's on a winning mark.
Path Of Thunder into 4/1 fav :blink:. Wasn't expecting that but won't complain
Hannon's only runner now is Qaysar 25/1 so I'll be backing him as well, despite the draw. Sickness insurance.
1:50 Goodwood
Two against the field at prices.
Rochester House 20/1 Bet365, Hills
Blinkers on first time and should go from the front and try and last it out. 2nd in this race last year beaten a neck by Just Hubert. Won’t mind the ground either way it goes and has the master Fanning on board.
Kloud Gate 40/1 various books
Bit of a speculative one this but went off 10/1 off top weight in this race in 2018 and although the race was weaker (top rated horse was Kloud Gate off 93) he was still fairly competitive until 2 furlongs out but by that point Lil Rockerfeller had the race sewn up and Moore looked after the horse from then on. He gets in today’s race off 90 but is carrying a much lower weight, granted against much better horses but if the ground doesn’t go bottomless I think he can outrun his odds today.
1:50 Goodwood
Two against the field at prices.
Rochester House 20/1 Bet365, Hills
Blinkers on first time and should go from the front and try and last it out. 2nd in this race last year beaten a neck by Just Hubert. Won’t mind the ground either way it goes and has the master Fanning on board.
Kloud Gate 40/1 various books
Bit of a speculative one this but went off 10/1 off top weight in this race in 2018 and although the race was weaker (top rated horse was Kloud Gate off 93) he was still fairly competitive until 2 furlongs out but by that point Lil Rockerfeller had the race sewn up and Moore looked after the horse from then on. He gets in today’s race off 90 but is carrying a much lower weight, granted against much better horses but if the ground doesn’t go bottomless I think he can outrun his odds today.
Another one for the Golden mile.
SHELIR 40/1 been kept to 7f lately but 1m is within its capabilities
I’ve backed Shelir too. Also Hortzadar at 20’s.
You don't post often enough, nickf88. I like your thinking.
Rochester suffered an injury, Nick.
I hope not fatal.
Roll on next
Baeed backed like a certainty, will anything get near?
Peretto to out run the odds I reckon.
Goodwood 3.40 Barbill
A freaky type who I once thought was an Ayr Gold cup type but can run a huge race at big odds sooner or later. In fact he was a decent 9th in the Wokingham against Rohaan. Maybe Mick Channon has laid him out for this. Watch the betting.
Each Way. 100/1
Goodwood 3.40 Barbill
A freaky type who I once thought was an Ayr Gold cup type but can run a huge race at big odds sooner or later. In fact he was a decent 9th in the Wokingham against Rohaan. Maybe Mick Channon has laid him out for this. Watch the betting.
Each Way. 100/1
Stewards cup TINTO 33/1 carries 12lb less than last year and 15 if Ghiani still claims 3.
Another I will probably do is HELLO JONESY 6lb less.did me a big turn last year.
Is there a draw bias in the race?