The 2022 Dublin Racng Festival

I totally disagree he needed it at Down Royal.
If he did no one seemed to think so looking at the market. There was plenty money for him and he went off clear fav.

It's not like he blew up he looked outclassed that day and just ran on at the same pace

Looks like Rachael has already abandoned him for the Gold Cup

I hope Patrick gets the mount on Asterian Forlonge Cooper has had him on the floor twice.
 
archie said:
Robbie Power declared to ride.
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Can see the rationale behind this, whether it's with Cheltenham in mind or due to the shambles that was the King George, or both.

Positive is a stronger rider, negative he has only had three rides since coming back.
 
Tanlic said:
I totally disagree he needed it at Down Royal.
If he did no one seemed to think so looking at the market. There was plenty money for him and he went off clear fav
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I must admit I’m no expert on a horse’s condition but I remember at the time thinking the way his run flattened out that he’d come on for it and it’s hard to imagine they’d have him 100% so early in the season.

RP Analysis:
“Minella Indo ran a fine race on reappearance but looked a bit burly in the paddock beforehand”

I’d also argue that 5/4 about a Gold Cup winner in that field (we hadn’t seen Galvin’s subsequent performance at that point and Frodon had been beaten a distance in March) fails to qualify as plenty of money for him.
 
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redundant pal said:
Can see the rationale behind this, whether it's with Cheltenham in mind or due to the shambles that was the King George, or both.

Positive is a stronger rider, negative he has only had three rides since coming back.
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What's up with Rachel Blackmore? Is she suspended, injured?
 
No!!! That would be front page news...Obviously they want to give Robbie a sit on the horse as she will be riding a Plus tard if all goes to plan
 
Henry on MINELLA INDO

“He’s been good since the King George. He came home pretty deflated and lost quite a bit of weight. He definitely didn’t come home like he normally would from a race. Normally it doesn’t take too much out of him and after the Gold Cup last year, there was no difference in him.

"It was pretty gruelling for him (in the King George). Obviously, he didn’t run to form at all, but he seems good now. We gave him a school the other day and he jumped really well, and seemed really good, and we’ve been happy with his work.

"He’d tightened up after the King George. Movement-wise, he was OK, but he’d tightened up and just looked tucked up. I’ve never seen him look as light as he did. I genuinely don’t know what it was. We ran a lot of tests on him; there was nothing obviously wrong and he lost weight, which was unlike him. I don’t know – maybe it was the fact he had such a gruelling race at that time of year? I’m starting to wonder if he’s just a spring horse. You often hear that. I’d never often agreed with that, but with him, it’s on my mind now. If he comes back this year as good as ever, you’d have to say that as his form in the spring is so strong. He’s the first horse I’ve ever felt like that with.

"Every year, you have to make an excuse for him ahead of Cheltenham, and then he either wins or just gets chinned!

"Cheltenham suits him well, but then as a novice hurdler he went and beat Allaho again at Punchestown, so I don’t think it’s that (that he’s a Cheltenham specialist).

"If there were any negatives, we wouldn’t run him. He seems really well. The fact it was a route that worked to the Gold Cup last year, we’re happy to go again as he seems good."
 
I find it a wee bit surprising that she's prepared to overlook Minella Indo so readily again for the Gold Cup.

Clearly the horse hasn't been in great form this season, but you could say much the same last season, and as Henry says in the interview quoted above, maybe he is just a Spring and/or Cheltenham horse.

As for A Plus Tard, I'm not entirely convinced yet that he gets home in the Gold Cup. I suppose she has probably been asked to commit one way or the other, so that MI's connections could jock someone else up for the IGC, if she chose to stick with the Cheveley horse.
 
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Not sure she overlooked as much as the decision was made for her based on the season plans at the start

They wanted Jack for Downroyal but Gordon pulled rank
 
On a scale from 1 to 10 I would rate last years Gold Cup a 5.

The race has the look of a Gold Cup badly in need of fresh blood so I don't find it surprising at all that Minella Indo has been beaten twice since.

If Galopin Des Champs puts up another flawless star performance on Sunday I'd be running him against this lot.
 
If GDC puts up a flawless performance this weekend, I can see him possibly running in the Turners - and if he did, I'd fancy him to beat Bob Olinger.

I think Bob is a bit of a moody favourite at around Evs, and want to find something to take him on.
 
The 3m handicap hurdle on Saturday grabs my attention. I'm pretty sure this is the one in which I put up Maze Runner in the Longshot thread last year but I've still to weigh up how that one sits relative to this year's field.

I have gone in quite heavily on Enjoy D'allen at 12/1 though. I've spent so much of today going through all the Saturday meetings I've only just got on to this race and felt compelled to get this one on.

I was really hoping it would be a Longshot thread qualifier but it's blue across the board and 12s is the best price. It looks like 28/1 was available earlier today so someone has done well to get that price.

Anyway, I have it as a high-150s chaser getting into this race off 116, which puts it in the same ball-park proposition as Total Recall after he won the Hennessy a couple of years back before sauntering home in a decent handicap hurdle - it might even have been this very race - off a ridiculously low mark at something like 5/6f.

For that reason, I'll be copying this post to the appropriate thread!
 
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I really like Unexpected Depth in that and have availed of 14/1 6 Places.

He’s a better horse over 3m and was hampered when running on well and thus prevented from qualifying for the final over Christmas so, as many of the market leaders are already qualified with a mark ensuring they get into the final and probably not wanting to get a significant raise, he strikes me as one for who Saturday is their main objective.
 
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Desert Orchid said:
The 3m handicap hurdle on Saturday grabs my attention. I'm pretty sure this is the one in which I put up Maze Runner in the Longshot thread last year but I've still to weigh up how that one sits relative to this year's field.

I have gone in quite heavily on Enjoy D'allen at 12/1 though. I've spent so much of today going through all the Saturday meetings I've only just got on to this race and felt compelled to get this one on.

I was really hoping it would be a Longshot thread qualifier but it's blue across the board and 12s is the best price. It looks like 28/1 was available earlier today so someone has done well to get that price.

Anyway, I have it as a high-150s chaser getting into this race off 116, which puts it in the same ball-park proposition as Total Recall after he won the Hennessy a couple of years back before sauntering home in a decent handicap hurdle - it might even have been this very race - off a ridiculously low mark at something like 5/6f.

For that reason, I'll be copying this post to the appropriate thread!
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I ran to a shop to take 25s. I ended up with 20s and 16s. Slight worry that this is just a run before going back into handicap chases but he's thrown in. He hasn't had many chances over hurdles with most runs just for a run.
 
wilsonl said:
I’ll probably end up taking the chance on Asterion Forlonge’s jumping but may take up the 40/1 about him winning this and the Gold Cup because if he does win then he’ll be sub 10/1 for March.
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AF will win a big one one day and 5/1 seems like a good enough price here despite the jumping concerns. Also looked at the 40/1 for this and the Cheltenham GC but limited by Powers to £2 [emoji2959]


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What is the general feeling on the form/health of Henry's horses? They were dreadful at Christmas.

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A few have netioned this but the likes of Honeysuckle and A Plus Tard have run well plus he is bang on target for the aeson percentage wise.

Doubt if there is mych to be worried about
 
I'm more referring to how they have been running since Christmas

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Most of the horses he has run that were backed have run well enough and most of the rags he has run have run like rags.

He's on 10% winners since Jan 1 and with what he's been running I would say that's about par for the course.

You can get most of the info on him and any other trainer on the racing websites.
 
Henry de Bromhead

Winners and runners in last 14 days: 2/28
Strike rate in last 14 days: 7%
Timeform run-to-form percentage in last 14 days: 39.29%
It's been a testing couple of months for Henry de Bromhead, who operated at just an 8% strike rate in December and January, which is around half of what would have been expected.
De Bromhead has been busy in the last couple of weeks, sending out 28 runners, but he has had just two winners. Even more concerning is the Timeform run-to-form percentage of 39.29% in that period, highlighting how the yard's form is still patchy.
Inconsistent stable form was not enough to stop Bob Olinger from comfortably winning at Punchestown last month and it's likely to be the same story with Honeysuckle on Sunday as she has a significant class edge over her rivals in the Irish Champion Hurdle (15:00). But it's something to keep in mind.
Honeysuckle has provided two of De Bromhead’s four wins at the Dublin Racing Festival, which have come at a strike rate of only 5.4%.
 
barjon said:
Henry de Bromhead

Winners and runners in last 14 days: 2/28
Strike rate in last 14 days: 7%
Timeform run-to-form percentage in last 14 days: 39.29%
It's been a testing couple of months for Henry de Bromhead, who operated at just an 8% strike rate in December and January, which is around half of what would have been expected.
De Bromhead has been busy in the last couple of weeks, sending out 28 runners, but he has had just two winners. Even more concerning is the Timeform run-to-form percentage of 39.29% in that period, highlighting how the yard's form is still patchy.
Inconsistent stable form was not enough to stop Bob Olinger from comfortably winning at Punchestown last month and it's likely to be the same story with Honeysuckle on Sunday as she has a significant class edge over her rivals in the Irish Champion Hurdle (15:00). But it's something to keep in mind.
Honeysuckle has provided two of De Bromhead’s four wins at the Dublin Racing Festival, which have come at a strike rate of only 5.4%.
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Cheers Barjon. Will be interesting to see how the market prices this in for his runners and Nicholls, who also seems to be having a tough time of it

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Nicholls always has a quiet spell this time of year as his horses get over their flu jabs.

Regarding the pricing of Henry’s horses, with the absence of unknown quantity Appreciate It, I’m surprised you can still get 4/6 NRNB Honeysuckle for March. If she wins like she should on Sunday and Appreciate It doesn’t turn up in March - must be a problem with him still being absent - then she’ll be <= 1/2.
 
Sat:
Opener is too difficult, was gonna go for Eric Bloodaxe ew but the NR has ruined that.

Fil D'or ap @ 9/4 (double with APT Gold Cup)

Riviere D'etel in a double with Song for Someone and at 3.55 on the machine. Will top up and lay a bit off IR. Likely she'll be much shorter at some point

I've followed Dessie in on Enjoy D'allen (ew double with Onagatheringstorm at Sandown who is too big at around 16s)

Cilaos Emery shouldn't be longer than Conflated. Worth a tenner at 66s
 
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wilsonl said:
Nicholls always has a quiet spell this time of year as his horses get over their flu jabs.

Regarding the pricing of Henry’s horses, with the absence of unknown quantity Appreciate It, I’m surprised you can still get 4/6 NRNB Honeysuckle for March. If she wins like she should on Sunday and Appreciate It doesn’t turn up in March - must be a problem with him still being absent - then she’ll be <= 1/2.
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There was talk last week that they preferred going to Gowran in two weeks time as an easier option for Appreciate It first time out.
 
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