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The 2025 Longshot Thread

Jayhawk said:
First three in last May's Champion Hunter Chase at Stratford are big prices for the 4:40 Hunter Chase on Friday. What A Glance (1st) is 33/1, Lift Me Up (2nd) 25/1, and Fairly Famous (3rd) 20/1. The result shows that all three should see out the trip on goodish ground. Lift Me Up has fairly famous owners too ( Mr and Mrs Christian Horner ). Extra place offers would be a plus rather than just 1/5 the first 3.
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Maybe big prices but you couldn't get more different tracks than Cheltenham and Stratford? Stratford is a sharp flat track which tends to suit smaller types with a bit of speed whereas Cheltenham is the complete opposite. That said the winner has won here but got stuffed in his two points so far this season by ordinary horses. Out of the three, I'd opt for Fairly Famous who has two wins here and had won his two points easily this year so is in good form.
 
Friday, M Pipe - Nurse Susan 50/1, 6 pl - Hasn't run this season, Langer Dan colours, held G1 entries going into Cheltenham last season but missed the meeting. This has plot painted all over it and I want it onside just in case a gamble develops.
 
Desert Orchid said:
Friday, M Pipe - Nurse Susan 50/1, 6 pl - Hasn't run this season, Langer Dan colours, held G1 entries going into Cheltenham last season but missed the meeting. This has plot painted all over it and I want it onside just in case a gamble develops.
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" I haven't had her long enough to get her ready for the Mares' Hurdle, but she is a talented mare. Under normal circumstances, I would give her a massive chance, but I haven't had enough time with her. I think she will run well, but I think she will improve for the run." ( Dan Skelton Cheltenham Stable Tour, 21 February)
 
Idem pertemps hurdle 2.40 tomorrow 28/1
Caught my eye last time out at Musselburgh.
Had to weave between horses and finished placed without being given a hard time.
Has hopefully been prepped all season with this race in mind.
 
Desert Orchid said:
Bumper - Shuttle Diplomacy 50/1, 4 places - the winner of last year's race got an RPR of 137. Shuttle Diplomacy is a second-season bumper horse and they tend to improve 10-20 when they go hurdling. If SD can improve 10lbs on his 126 RPR in his second season he could be placed and if he finds more than that he could win.
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3rd 66/1. Am impressed, and relieved it didn't finish 2nd as I didn't include it in my combination forecasts ( all Mullins).
 
Desert Orchid said:
Bumper - Shuttle Diplomacy 50/1, 4 places - the winner of last year's race got an RPR of 137. Shuttle Diplomacy is a second-season bumper horse and they tend to improve 10-20 when they go hurdling. If SD can improve 10lbs on his 126 RPR in his second season he could be placed and if he finds more than that he could win.
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Third at 66/1 :cheers:
 
Bob Olinger stayers 22/1 Great record at Cheltenham
Personal Ambition 20/1 4.40 tomorrow
Will hopefully be suited by likely fast pace.
 
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