The 2025 Longshot Thread

Seems like we all backed the wrong long shot to place in Ireland? Relieved that I followed you with Goshen. As with Hewick I usually back him because I’d hate to not be willing him to win if he was upsides at the last. Let’s hope the Moore horses are starting to find their form now.
 
Desert Orchid said:
Leo 4.05

Still, in the same race I was always going to back another longshot and managed to get 50/1 Lisnamult Lad when I was only expecting 25/1.

The swings and arrows of outrageous roundabouts...
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"The swings and arrows of outrageous roundabouts..." indeed. LL ran a great race but was ultimately run out of fourth place. Maybe just did too much up front.
 
Robicheaux said:
Looking at Grange Walk, Leopardstown 4.05 on Saturday. Has come 2nd in this race previously + was in the act of running well in it again a year later, before coming down 2 out. Eleven, or 12lb lower now. Looks out of form at the moment hence the 50/1 available. Who knows, back in the race may rejuvenate him.
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Nice one !
Ran a great race 3rd at 50/1.
Turned a so so day into a winning one.
Thanks👍🏻
 
Musselburgh 3.00

The old warrior Wakool runs here on a rating of 125. He's got a great win strike rate of 7/29, just under 25 percent, and has done well for the yard over the years, although he's done precious little recently. He did win the Rendledham Hurdle two years ago, when rated 139. His form figures around Musselburgh read a very respectable 43211240, and while the favourite will be mighty hard to beat, I think Wakool rates a decent longshot.
 
Leo 3.50

Batman Girac 28/1, 5 places
Any Road 33/1, 5 places

Batman Girac is top on my ratings and a second-season novice so almost certainly 10lbs better than I can rate him,

Any Road is third top and technically a second-season novice though he has clocked up ten starts. Still if he won at a nice price from that position in my table and I hadn't backed it I'd be annoyed with myself.

(I suspect McLaurey will run away with it.)
 
Desert Orchid said:
Leo 3.50

Batman Girac 28/1, 5 places
Any Road 33/1, 5 places

Batman Girac is top on my ratings and a second-season novice so almost certainly 10lbs better than I can rate him,

Any Road is third top and technically a second-season novice though he has clocked up ten starts. Still if he won at a nice price from that position in my table and I hadn't backed it I'd be annoyed with myself.

(I suspect McLaurey will run away with it.)
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Just seen that Any Road got 5th at 40/1. Another few shekels recouped.
 
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