What are you backing Today? Part 2

reet hard said:
From my tracker:
Arecibo 3.30L
10/1 888bet
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25/2 Arecibo 1.30 Kempton today “was a classic case of “not off” He looked to be carrying condition but despite having hold up jock, Spencer on board, he was rushed into the lead and made plenty of use with until he blew up. He will improve next time and comes from an exceptionally shrewd yard.”

Not my notes , but I can’t remember where I got them from!!
 
1.30 Newbury
Glen Cannal palpably failed to stay the 3m at Musselburgh last time out and may be worth a go at this shorter trip. The second that day Outlaw Peter is now rated 135 having won comfortably at Kempton so this fella may be well treated off 122. He’s drifting like a barge though so I’ve probably done my money


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Outsider said:
Cowboy cooper 345H 6/1 1st hcap and up in trip.
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It can sometimes pay to read between the lines on Donald's expectations...

"Cowboy Cooper will need to show some improvement to be involved in the finish but you never know....."

The key words are 'but you never know'...and I'd say it's 50/50 that's Donald's way of saying nothing will get near...or it actually means what it says. Stable team have been running well, including in the Class 2 bumper at Kelso.

6-1 in the context of the race seems just about fair enough, given there will be question marks against many handling the ground. And out of Frammasone, too.

Sue Smith's could step up. 85 grand as a store, but that's history now. But ran OK LTO.
 
Market Rasen

2.35 The King Of May hasn't won this season, but has won four chases in the U.K so far and is still relatively young at the age of nine. His first run this season when in front of Xcitations and one place behind Zanza makes him look quite nicely handicapped

Zanza of course being a serial Newbury winner who won twice at his favourite course, after he finished 11 lengths in front of The King Of May that day. Zanza now rated 156 over fences with The King Of May dropped to a career low mark of 119 for this event. At the odds I'll take a chance he can get his act together. He must be well handicapped on that form.
 
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Marb said:
Market Rasen

2.35 The King Of May hasn't won this season, but has won four chases in the U.K so far and is still relatively young at the age of nine. His first run this season when in front of Xcitations and one place behind Zanza makes him look quite nicely handicapped

Zanza of course being a serial Newbury winner who won twice at his favourite course, after he finished 11 lengths in front of The King Of May that day. Zanza now rated 156 over fences with The King Of May dropped to a career low mark of 119 for this event. At the odds I'll take a chance he can get his act together. He must be well handicapped on that form.
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Agree on this one (that’s buggered it up for you sorry [emoji3]). Karl Philippe was the winner when KoM ran behind Zanza and that one wasn’t disgraced on Festival Trials day or the Ultima at the Festival


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Marb said:
Market Rasen

2.35 The King Of May hasn't won this season, but has won four chases in the U.K so far and is still relatively young at the age of nine. His first run this season when in front of Xcitations and one place behind Zanza makes him look quite nicely handicapped

Zanza of course being a serial Newbury winner who won twice at his favourite course, after he finished 11 lengths in front of The King Of May that day. Zanza now rated 156 over fences with The King Of May dropped to a career low mark of 119 for this event. At the odds I'll take a chance he can get his act together. He must be well handicapped on that form.
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Thought we had it jumping two out but the winner got the trip better


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He's been woefully out-of-form of late, but I have had a small swing at Sizing Pottsie (20/1) in Wetherby today, based on his hurdles mark now being 17lbs lower than when winning a novice at Ayr in October, and some 27lbs lower than his last winning chase mark (March 2022).
 
Grasshopper said:
He's been woefully out-of-form of late, but I have had a small swing at Sizing Pottsie (20/1) in Wetherby today, based on his hurdles mark now being 17lbs lower than when winning a novice at Ayr in October, and some 27lbs lower than his last winning chase mark (March 2022).
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Hadn't spotted him, and this got me thinking. And my, Pottsie does look well-handicapped over hurdles. There could be pretty good excuses for recent chase runs, and I believe the yard think that, too. 20-1 looks enticing.
 
chaumi said:
Hadn't spotted him, and this got me thinking. And my, Pottsie does look well-handicapped over hurdles. There could be pretty good excuses for recent chase runs, and I believe the yard think that, too. 20-1 looks enticing.
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Now 25/1 with Powers and Betfair Sportsbook. :lol:

Have gone in again for small money, though would much prefer to see the yard punting it before the off.
 
Well, he wants soft ground. And the yard will be running him here 1. for the ground and 2. probably as a confidence booster. DP will not be daft enough to be thinking he'll definitely get another go at soft ground this season, so that suggests he'll at least be there trying to get involved. The drift doesn't make a lot of logical sense, other than it's not exactly soft competition he's up against.
 
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