Quiet day for me and I won't see the racing but I wrote and backed these on Thursday:
Newcastle 2.25 - I expect Glen Shiel, assuming he retains his ability, to win this and 6/1 could look quite big too. He is the only G1 horse in the race and a CD winner to boot. His form so far this season is on the modest side but it was the same last season first time up. He should be ready now after two runs. The price suggests he’s not the horse he was and the evidence for that is pretty flimsy.
Newcastle 3.30 - I’m mob-handed in this race but I’m on at much better prices than currently on offer. In order as presented in the table above: Rainbow Dreamer (16/1, 5pl), Uber Cool (40/1, 4pl), Spirit Mixer (11/1), Solent Gateway (25/1, 4pl), Summer’s Knight (20/1, 4pl) and Red Verdon (40/1, 6pl).
A quick mention of each:
Rainbow Dreamer: went close two years ago, hampered out of it early last year, now much lower.
Uber Cool: progressive, yard had two winners and a second from three at Ascot last week, has won before off long absence.
Spirit Mixer: steep curve but forced wide all the way at Chester last time and much better than the bare form.
Solent Gateway: might have gone very close at Epsom last time but never got a run. Jockey a slight worry so might have another day in mind.
Summer’s Knight: progressive and had a Gold Cup entry until later dec stages.
Red Verdon: now well handicapped, jockey eyecatching, one last chance.
Newmarket 2.40 - I’m going to row along with Universal Order (4/1 taken) here. I wonder if Rebel’s Romance is Godlphin’s Cambridgeshire plot and if they’re trying to get his mark down to below 105 for it. Kemari’s best form is in softer ground and/or over further. Could he be their Ebor horse? Stowell hasn’t progressed as might have been hoped this time last season.
Newmarket 3.15 - The top two head the betting at 9/4jf, dutching at around 4/6 which, in theory, makes Pogo value at 11/2 since he beat them last time in that thrilling finish at Haydock but Sunray Major put up a career best that day and might just improve away from them here.
Curragh 3.45 - Hard to see past the top two.