What are you backing Today?

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Great shout yesterday Rob, wouldn't be at all suprised to see Kevin Kirkups other horse The Osteopath make it a quick double for him today, genuine miler goes on any ground and with Johnny Lesters Hair sure to make the running and make it a true test, hope to see him pick them off late on.
 
Yesterdays selection never got into the race and ran dissapointingly, apologies.
Think there is an interesting runner in the 5.05 Carlisle in Judicious.
This horse has been around the training centres in the last 15 months for its owners "The Unique Partnership", unique all right but is now back with G Harker who won 3 races with it 2 years ago from marks of 65-75 on stiff tracks with an uphill finish Beverley and Leicester. Has had 1 run back at Harkers and has attracted some interest today, off 65 again and G/F looks interesting, one to keep onside now i think.
 
Drifting now which is a bit dissapointing as this was very heavily backed when it won its 1st race for this gambling yard.
 
Haven't put one up for a while but like Wordsaplenty in the 5:25 at Killarney. 19lbs better off with subsequent winner Flawless Filly when both were non-jigger mid div finishers at Tipperary recently (on nett weights after claims). Has winning form off higher mark. Would like to see the Do Rae Mee coming for it being a Marnane horse. 12/1 is almost an ew bet albeit in a 7 runner race.
 
Strat 4.20 - Our Guardian Angel 20/1+ bigger on betfair e/way

Off for two years but a close reproduction of her previous form would make her look very well in here. Has run well after breaks of 5months and 6 months twice in much stronger races. A bit if but at the prices a lively outsider.
 
LLEWELLYN 4.50 THIRSK

Llewellyn bids for a repeat in the race he won last year, a race his trainer has an excellent record in, 112 from just three runners. Llewellyn is very well in at the weights here and his record at Thirsk reads 122. He was second in a 0-85 here in April behind Yair Hill. He had Chester Aristocrat, Mont Ras, Solar Spirit and Beau Mistral behind him who have all won races this summer. He was second to 87 rated Balty Boys last time just getting 5lbs and had 80 and 90 rated horses behind him at Beverley. Back on a sharp track, all 3 wins on a sharp track, in a small field, 2-4 in fields of 7 or less runners, within 7 days of his last race, 2-5, he must take all the beating here.

Above The Stars has her fourth run for Conor Dore after claiming her out of a seller. She has never been put into any of her three races so far for the yard. She is reasonably weighted but she is 5lbs worse off with Llewellyn than she would be in a handicap. Her win in a Leicester seller was at long odds on as she beat horses rated in their 50s. She did win a handicap in May off 71 but her yard are just 1-20 since June and 2-29 at Thirsk.

Commanche Raider got out paced in a 0-65 last time at Catterick and is 0-15 over 6f. He is 0-14 on a flat track and is 4lbs worse off with Llewellyn as opposed to a handicap.

Red Cape was fourth in a 0-75 the other day, only two horses rated above 70 in the race. He has won many times under these conditions but he is nearly a stone worse off with Llewellyn as opposed to a handicap.

Roland made all in a 0-65 in June but has struggled off his new mark in two races. He was tailed off in a seller last time, second favourite; it may have been the ground. He is 0-4 on a straight track and is another one worse off with Llewellyn at the weights.

Colbyor is 2-27 yet continues to go off at short prices. He is 0-7 on good to soft or quicker and only has a poor maiden win to his name on turf. Worse off at the weights with Llewellyn.

Partner is 0-14 for Noel Wilson. He has never placed in four runs in cheekpieces. Wilson has saddled four winners from his last 100 runners and he is currently on a losing run of 19.

Conclusion: Llewellyn is the second best horse on official ratings here yet doesn’t have to give any weight away. He can race from the front or just off the pace. Dandy Nicholls last three runners have all finished second but his record in sellers at this track is excellent, 9-28. That improves to 8-12 when they are in the first two in the betting. The last six have all won. I expect Llewellyn to go one better in what is clearly a target for the horse.
 
Simpson Jersey said:
Yesterdays selection never got into the race and ran dissapointingly, apologies.
Think there is an interesting runner in the 5.05 Carlisle in Judicious.
This horse has been around the training centres in the last 15 months for its owners "The Unique Partnership", unique all right but is now back with G Harker who won 3 races with it 2 years ago from marks of 65-75 on stiff tracks with an uphill finish Beverley and Leicester. Has had 1 run back at Harkers and has attracted some interest today, off 65 again and G/F looks interesting, one to keep onside now i think.
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Not been around much this week and missed this. Brilliant call SJ
 
We all know that Sir Mark's specialty is running up sequences with well -handicapped horses, so the fact that he sends the 78 rated Chinese Jade straight into listed class suggests he's somewhat out of the ordinary, and must have shown it at home too, as he was due to be put away for next year until recently.
RP Trophy & Derby entry significant for a stable not noted for tilting at windmills also, and with only the favourite to beat, ought to repay an each-way interest at the double figure price available.
 
I looked at LLEWELLYN as a possible today, Rob. I decided it would depend if the rain came or not, it hasn't.
On that note I think it may find things a little quick.
RED CAPE the CD specialist could be the answer instead, but I'll give slight preference to COMMANCHE RAIDER, who has run well twice before at this CD and at this time of year.

I'm leaving the race as the rain didn't come and that had been my plan.
 
2.30 Beverley

This race is full of pace which will suit a few of these, but those it does suit are better on slower ground..except York Glory...who will relish the pace here. He will also relish the stiff track..his record on stiff tracks reads 111..one obviously was the wokingham..but also beat a large field at Pontefract

Hard to beat under these conditions..6.6 on betfair
 
EC1 said:
2.30 Beverley

This race is full of pace which will suit a few of these, but those it does suit are better on slower ground..except York Glory...who will relish the pace here. He will also relish the stiff track..his record on stiff tracks reads 111..one obviously was the wokingham..but also beat a large field at Pontefract

Hard to beat under these conditions..6.6 on betfair
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I'm going to back this. No pressure (spit).
 
Bet of the day for me, too.
Like a few others,he wasn't helped by the softening ground in the Nunthorpe, and ran a blinder in the circumstance.
 
SILVER DIXIE 5.00 SANDOWN

Silver Dixie bumped into some useful sorts a couple of runs back in a 0-90, Retirement Plan, was entered for the St Leger and Goodwood Mirage who goes for the Dubai Duty Free Handicap at Newbury on the 21st September finished first and second. Silver Dixie finished ahead of Ambleside, Statutory and Bee Jay Kay who have all franked the form. Silver Dixie last time run in a 0-85 where he bumped into Morpheus who was winning his third race of the season off 85. The drop into a 0-80 and most of his rivals look pretty exposed. This stiff mile should be right up his street. The form of the Noseda stable is a little concerning, 0-26, but 11 of those have placed. Noseda is 8-30 in 3yo handicaps at Sandown, 5-12 when they're in the first two of the betting.

Mazaheer marked his card with an excellent second to Blue Grass Prince last time, the fourth and seventh have franked the form. He looks likely to run well but John Hills is out of form, 0-31, 6 have placed. He is also 7-77 in handicaps at Sandown, 1-28 in 3yo handicaps.

Emulating steps up in grade after finishing second in a 0-75 last time over 10f. The drop back to a mile won’t affect him as much as his mark. The last time he won over a mile it was off 66 and he is 6lbs higher now. He should be thereabouts.

Aint Got A Scooby beat Sennockian Star in a 0-80 in April; Sennockian Star has won five times since. The third and fourth home have both won twice since but Aint Got A Scooby found things difficult off his new mark until last time when he got mugged by Quest For More. He had Emulating just over a length away but is 7lbs worse off today.

Orbison won a class 5 off 68 before flopping off 7lbs higher when favourite to beat Emulating and Aint Got A Scooby. He shouldn’t turn the tables on these terms.

Starlight Symphony won a 0-80 off 71 before getting beaten a head off 74. She needs lightning fast conditions to show her best form and both her wins came against her own sex, 0-10 against the opposite sex.

Strong Conviction has conditions to suit but he was 12.5ls behind Silver Dixie last time and he shouldn’t turn the tables on 5lbs better terms. He is 0-11 off marks above 70.

Rainbow Beauty hasn’t been seen since last November and has yet to show the same level of form on turf as opposed to the artificial surfaces. Butler is 0-35 with horses returning to the track after a break of 300 days or more.

Living The Life won a class 5 maiden last year and has had a break. Osborne isn’t hurrying the filly and his record of 1-25 this season with horses returning to the track after 10 or more weeks off is discouraging.

Strictly Ballroom won on her seasonal debut on soft ground as a 2yo but has shown nothing since apart from a second to Auction in May. She is by Choisir whose progeny are 1-43 at Sandown.

Big Whiskey won his maiden at Naas on soft ground and he was a 1l third to Bartack on his debut for Ed Creighton. He was then fourth at Newmarket keeping on at the death. There is probably a race in him on soft ground but the handicapper looks in charge at present. Ed Creighton has never had a horse placed at Sandown from nine runners.

Atlantis City is the second Hannon runner and with just the one place from seven races. He might prove to better now he has been gelded. He is 1 lb out of the handicap and has been beaten 16ls, 23l sand 63ls in his three races on turf.

Conclusion: Twelve runners but only a few have a realistic chance. Susan Roy must be sick of Prince Khalid Abdulla’s colours after Silver Dixie has been beaten by two of his improving horses on his last two runs. There doesn’t appear to be anything lurking in the shadows here. There doesn’t appear to be a lot of pace and Silver Dixie could make all. It is interesting he has come here as he is in a similar race on Wednesday which looks much easier for him.


MERCERS ROW 3.05 BEVERLEY (Each Way)

A 17 runner handicap over 5f up the Westwood doesn’t usually set the pulse racing but there is cause for optimism here. Danny Tudhope is 3-14 on Mercers Row but those figures don’t reveal the fact he has rode the gelding on four occasions at Beverley winning twice and placing twice. Mercers Row is on a dangerous mark, won off 69 before, and he has pace to aim at here. He looks a good value each way bet.
 
In the ultimate act of self love I am backing myself to win the Captain's Prize at my local club. I have had the hand-brake on for two years since I came back playing and have gone from 9 to 12 handicap. Today is the day. I hear I am 25/1 with the local illegal bookie. Here comes the pain!
 
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