What are you backing Today?

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I have the same problem EC. Would you believe that my Ebor competition entry which picked all six winners didn't show yesterday?

What's this NAP then ?!
 
2.30 Yarmouth-Diamondhead @ 3-1 [Stan James] BOG

Under rated trainer got his horses in good form
 
Gwd 3.20 Groundbreaking
It's a nice wee handicap that's attracted a few rematches from Ascot and Goodwood. I'm very much a Godolphin-in-a-handicap kinda guy so I'm always interested in those they take straight from debut maiden wins into handicaps as it's usually a sign they think it's under-rated. Maybe if someone out there has access to the stats they can tell me if this approach is misguided. If I'm wrong Pasaka Boy and Aussie Reigns top my ratings.

Gwd 4.30 Professor
I've managed to catch this a couple of times this season and backed it beat Afsare last time over a mile. He was ridden to get the trip that day and had no response to the winner's surge two out. Back in trip against lesser mortals, I'm hoping he can get back to winning form.

And a wee double just in case.
 
3.55 - Goodwood - Elsie Bay. 1 pt e/w. Available at 12/1.
Still a maiden after eleven races but has been placed in five of those starts and her latest effort at Newbury was her best yet. She was beaten a length and a quaterf by Hector's Chance and those placings should be upheld at today's weights. However that was Elsie Bay's first run for 163 days and she may come on enough to turn the tables on her rival. She is also proven in testing conditions so if the predicted rainfall arrives, she is well placed to take advantage. Her jockey hasn't ridden a winner since 2011 but she is a competent rider and she represents a yard in decent order. There doesn't seem a natural, hard front runner present but these affairs are rarely run at anything but a generous pace and that will suit the selection, who stays further.

5.00 - Goodwood - Princess Caetani. 1 pt e/w. Available at 12/1.
There looks likely to be plenty of early pace in this race and that could set it up for a closer. If the rain arrives Princess Caetani tops the short list. She may be more exposed than some of these but she rarely runs a bad race and has run well on two of her three previous visits. Her latest second of three in soft ground at Ffos Las was upheld by the winner yesterday and she has plenty of form against useful yardsticks in the book. Both her victories to date have come in this type of race in soft/heavy ground and plenty of her opposition here will be inconvenienced if the ground is softer than good.
 
In the 3.20 I've gone for Broughton. C/D winner. Has run distance (10f) 4 times-won 3, second tother time. 2nd came on GF, wins on G and GS. Norton rode all 4 races. Today G.

Price of 6's more than compensates the risk.
 
Unlucky there EC1.

It'll be interesting to see where they go with the filly. She will go up for this so a 0-95 or a fillies listed race will be on the agenda.

The Mallard at Doncaster over 14.5f maybe an answer but there is a 0-95 over 12f on Leger day which would probably be at her mercy if she took that route.
 
MLMRob said:
Unlucky there EC1.

It'll be interesting to see where they go with the filly. She will go up for this so a 0-95 or a fillies listed race will be on the agenda.

The Mallard at Doncaster over 14.5f maybe an answer but there is a 0-95 over 12f on Leger day which would probably be at her mercy if she took that route.
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cheers Rob

One thing i waited for was the time of the preceding race as if it had been Good to soft i wouldn't have bet..think she needs a decent surface and by 5.00 it was Good ground there..possibly needs just a little faster surface as well..proper Good ground. I think she is at least mid 90's and possibly better

the 2nd horse from that maiden is the next wait for me
 
OSTEOPATHIC REMEDY 4.10 RIPON (Each Way)

Osteopathic Remedy has a fantastic record in this race. From six attempts he has returned the following form figures; 13141, never finishing out of the frame. He tends to follow a familiar path taking in a race at Thirsk before coming here. This year he was unplaced at Thirsk as he was in 2012. He won the race in 2011 before finishing fourth here. He races off a mark of 90 which is 5lbs higher than last year but he won off 91 at Ayr last year. Connor Beasley is full value for his 5lbs claim. All conditions come alike to him and 10 of his 11 wins have been over 8f.

Robert The Painter had been disappointing up to winning at Beverley in July. Since they applied the visor in June his form has been excellent and he has improved from 72 to 89 which he won off last time. Up to 97 now and up in grade, 0-100, it may well be a big ask for him. He is 0-10 on good to soft or slower and has unplaced on all three runs in races above 0-90.

Haafaguinea run well enough in the Betfred Mile at Goodwood and his win at Sandown in a class 2 against his own age group is reasonable form. However, he sweated up badly last time and slept in the stalls. This will be run to suit.

No Poppy was 1/2l behind Robert The Painter last time and is 3lbs better off. Robert The Painter appeared to have her at arms length that day. She has been hiked 7lbs for that run. She won off 88 a year ago in heavy ground so she should manage her mark but she is 0-3 in 0-100.

Trail Blaze was ahead of No Poppy and Osteopathic Remedy last time, No Poppy is 1lb better off for 3ls and Osteopathic Remedy is 12lbs better off for 11ls. His second to Galician in the International looks solid with fourth home Glen Moss franking the form. However, it is now seven races and seven defeats off marks above 89. He is 0-7 in class 2. He has never raced right handed.

Suits Me is sure to be on the front end and is 3-8 at this course. He is 11lbs worse off with Osteopathic Remedy on their running here in May when just under 3ls separated them. Since being with David Barron he is 0-12 off marks above 90.

Desert Revolution was hammered in a 0-90 last time. He had a soft lead right to the 2f pole but didn’t get home. The drop back in distance should help but he will have company up front. It was a weak maiden he won at Haydock.

The Rectifier was running well in listed class a couple of years ago and Seamus Durack appears to have revitalised him. His last two wins have been visibly impressive and he is just 4lbs higher. However, he is drawn 13 and four of his five wins have come on good to firm, he is 0-6 on good or slower.

Ardmay is the second Ryan runner and is on a career high mark now. He has his conditions and he has won after a break before. He should run well.

Captain Bertie is 0-9 off marks above 91 and is drawn in 14.
Anton Chigurh hasn’t run much in the last 12 months. Won three races in 2012 off marks 73-88. He was 8.5ls behind Robert The Painter last time and is 4lbs better off today. He shouldn’t really turn the tables on his in form rival and it may well be the handicapper has got him now.

Dubai Dynamo is well handicapped but is 0-10 in 0-100, never placing.

Compton is 0-4 over 8f and 0-11 in class 2.

Justonefortheroad is 3-6 under Tony Hamilton. He was fourth in the Lincoln off 94 but he is drawn wide.

Conclusion: Suits Me, The Rectifier, Robert The Painter and Desert Revolution are going to be vying for the lead here. It should set this up for a closer. The 3yo Haafaguinea should run well as should Ardmay. However, Osteopathic Remedy will have been trained all season with this race in mind and he will be cherry ripe today. He should go very close and repay each way support.
 
4.05 Cartmel-Ballybough Gorta @ 9-4 [Betfred] BOG

No better trainer of placing his horses when in the form he is now...Peter Bowen
 
The front two in the market for the 3.05 at Cartmel Soul Magic and Pete look rock solid with combined form figures at the track of 8 from 13 with a couple of 2nds in there aswel.
Its hard to split them at prices of 2/1 and 11/4 respectively so the r f/c looks the way to go.
Pete may just edge it with his win at the course at on Saturday, Being on the bit until jumping the last and just idling on the run in to win by half a Length against another Cartmel loving well handicapped rival with the two clear of the rest by 20l.
 
I think Donald McCain will have a good day at Bangor and Cartmel and will follow all his in £5 win singles and hope it proves profitable.
 
MLMRob said:
OSTEOPATHIC REMEDY 4.10 RIPON (Each Way)

Osteopathic Remedy has a fantastic record in this race. From six attempts he has returned the following form figures; 13141, never finishing out of the frame. He tends to follow a familiar path taking in a race at Thirsk before coming here. This year he was unplaced at Thirsk as he was in 2012. He won the race in 2011 before finishing fourth here. He races off a mark of 90 which is 5lbs higher than last year but he won off 91 at Ayr last year. Connor Beasley is full value for his 5lbs claim. All conditions come alike to him and 10 of his 11 wins have been over 8f.

Robert The Painter had been disappointing up to winning at Beverley in July. Since they applied the visor in June his form has been excellent and he has improved from 72 to 89 which he won off last time. Up to 97 now and up in grade, 0-100, it may well be a big ask for him. He is 0-10 on good to soft or slower and has unplaced on all three runs in races above 0-90.

Haafaguinea run well enough in the Betfred Mile at Goodwood and his win at Sandown in a class 2 against his own age group is reasonable form. However, he sweated up badly last time and slept in the stalls. This will be run to suit.

No Poppy was 1/2l behind Robert The Painter last time and is 3lbs better off. Robert The Painter appeared to have her at arms length that day. She has been hiked 7lbs for that run. She won off 88 a year ago in heavy ground so she should manage her mark but she is 0-3 in 0-100.

Trail Blaze was ahead of No Poppy and Osteopathic Remedy last time, No Poppy is 1lb better off for 3ls and Osteopathic Remedy is 12lbs better off for 11ls. His second to Galician in the International looks solid with fourth home Glen Moss franking the form. However, it is now seven races and seven defeats off marks above 89. He is 0-7 in class 2. He has never raced right handed.

Suits Me is sure to be on the front end and is 3-8 at this course. He is 11lbs worse off with Osteopathic Remedy on their running here in May when just under 3ls separated them. Since being with David Barron he is 0-12 off marks above 90.

Desert Revolution was hammered in a 0-90 last time. He had a soft lead right to the 2f pole but didn’t get home. The drop back in distance should help but he will have company up front. It was a weak maiden he won at Haydock.

The Rectifier was running well in listed class a couple of years ago and Seamus Durack appears to have revitalised him. His last two wins have been visibly impressive and he is just 4lbs higher. However, he is drawn 13 and four of his five wins have come on good to firm, he is 0-6 on good or slower.

Ardmay is the second Ryan runner and is on a career high mark now. He has his conditions and he has won after a break before. He should run well.

Captain Bertie is 0-9 off marks above 91 and is drawn in 14.
Anton Chigurh hasn’t run much in the last 12 months. Won three races in 2012 off marks 73-88. He was 8.5ls behind Robert The Painter last time and is 4lbs better off today. He shouldn’t really turn the tables on his in form rival and it may well be the handicapper has got him now.

Dubai Dynamo is well handicapped but is 0-10 in 0-100, never placing.

Compton is 0-4 over 8f and 0-11 in class 2.

Justonefortheroad is 3-6 under Tony Hamilton. He was fourth in the Lincoln off 94 but he is drawn wide.

Conclusion: Suits Me, The Rectifier, Robert The Painter and Desert Revolution are going to be vying for the lead here. It should set this up for a closer. The 3yo Haafaguinea should run well as should Ardmay. However, Osteopathic Remedy will have been trained all season with this race in mind and he will be cherry ripe today. He should go very close and repay each way support.
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CRACKING

:cool:
 
A 10/1 winner from Rob and an 11/4 from Roddy and pb.

What a bad day I picked to pick to stay away from the distractions of racing.

Seriously good stuff.
 
Cheers guys.

Well done Placebacker and Roddy. Another winner for you guys. You are just relentless.:)
 
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