Shaun Harris has had 4 winners on the trot since i put up Reality Show last Sunday and i'm loath to desert Medam who won on the same card but that did look a poor race beforehand and an 8lb rise may just catch him out.
SHOULD I STAY is an interesting contender in the 3:40 at Taunton tomorrow. Keys reasons for making it a selection are the first time cheekpieces, (had trouble completing before, but too early too call the horse an outright rogue), and another attempt over hurdles, having finished a fair fourth last time over a similar trip. Hopefully this one isn't another 50/1 finished-down-the-pack clanger.
Gary Moore a very shrewd trainer.
Glad to see SSL has gone out to a more realistic price now, must have been one of the non jiggers of the year when last ran here in March. D Shaw has done a terrific job in getting his mark down to 53, was 68 in March but defeats on soft ground and over 11fs are easily excused imo. Hope to see some more concerted money for it nearer the off.
SSL=Six Silver Lane, eventually ran 4th in that race and has now been dropped to 49 in a class 7, G Baker back on board, backed again last night from 16/1-6/1, dropped back in trip to 7fs which he won over at Laytown in Sept 2012. Interesting that all the horses that finished in front of it in March at Wolver have since won at Class 4 level. Not confident more hopeful!
I haven't fancied one like Artemis in the 7.20 at Kempton for a long time. Nice sprint pedigree, and looked nothing out of the ordinary until stepped up to a mile for her handicap debut. She travelled with bangs of enthusiasm, getting to the front and going 1.48 in running before she weakened as her stamina gave out.
She was then turned out in a race she couldn't win, a mile maiden, but again looked much better than a 52-rated horse, going as short as 2.1 before finishing last. Get the videos out as my descriptions won't do how she shaped full justice.
She's currently around 3/1 on betfair, disputing favouritism with Saffire Soung who has already been beaten in 5 handicaps and got the run of things when second off this mark at Lingfield last week and a handicap debutante of Peter Chapple-Hyam's called Female Strategy, who doesn't have the pedigree of a sprinter, made her debut over a mile on heavy ground, and has looked ordinary in a couple of weak AW maidens since.
Like the fact that Artemis comes here off a short break and with Fanning on and a good draw in stall 3, she has absolutely no excuses under these conditions. I'd have her as a 13/8 - 7/4 shot in this race and have got involved accordingly.
I haven't fancied one like Artemis in the 7.20 at Kempton for a long time. .
Reality Show-2.30 Kempton.
This horse must have gone wrong before/after winning a seller in Sept 11 and hasn't run much since but Shaun Harris has a knack of doing well with other peoples cast offs and produced it to win over 12fs at Wolver lto and is only 3lbs higher.
Fire in Babylon won over 14fs lto after looking very one paced over 12fs previously. think will find it hard to get away at Kempton over 12fs.
Thane of Cawdor has won over 11fs here but that mat be the limit of its staying powers especially in a strongly run race. Fair Comment has only run once over 12fs lto and his sire doesn't produce winners over further than 9fs! Which just leaves Poste Restante from Simcocks stable but i'd want a stewards enquiry if this wins.
Kakapuka-2.00 Kempton.
This doesn't look a particularly strong class 5 7f h'cap to me and Kakapuka looks well overpriced at 20/1. A very in and out horse but does have some very good Kempton form notably a couple of years ago when winning a class 4 at 25/1 off 76 and btn a nose by Esprit De Midas at 50/1 off 79.
Runs from 69 today but showed in the summer that still capeable from around this mark when winning off 72 at Epsom. Had a little break in Sept and has run 2 races since leading till inside final furlong at Lingfield. Annabel King has had her last 2 runners placed and i think this horse looks a value EW bet.